Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Wednesday’s (19/6/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 7pm Monday.
Betting Strategy Outlay: $41810
Betting Strategy Return: $43458
Futures Outlay: $2565
Futures Return: $2391
Canterbury
$100 Win Papal Warrior R1 @ $3 (TAB)
$35 Win/$65 Place Bringagem R4 @ $23/$6 (Sportsbet)
Canterbury Overview:
Not quite at the confidence levels with Funstar but I still do think Papal Warrior will win the first. Fastnet Rock colt first up for Team Snowden who hasn’t raced since debuting at the track back in February on a wet track when a close up third to Belitsa. Race hasn’t produced winners so that’s a concern but his trials, most notably his 1030m trial, was the standout of the morning. Think he’ll sit outside Exceed The Stars and with the heavy track, this will feel like a slog and Papal Warrior has the grounding. The best value of the day is clearly Bringagem at $23+. Gary Portelli trains this gelding, who was specked to run well last time out but I just think he got too far back on a day where on speed was the place to be. I hope Clenton can take advantage of the gate and the wet track is certainly no issue with him.
Royal Ascot
$25 Win Kimari R1 (Tote)
$50 Win Magical R3 (Tote)
$25 Win Karak R6 @ $11 Sportsbet
Royal Ascot Overview:
Wesley Ward has a fab record in the Queen Mary and I think he can win it again via Kimari, who debuted over 900m at Keeneland and as is the case with the Ward juveniles, jumped well, led and bolted in. Hard to get a real guide on those 900m scampers, but to the eye, she was very good and the stable knows what it takes when it comes to this time honoured race. Have to be going the way of Magical in the Prince Of Wales. This mare has really turned the corner in recent times. Form was a tad suspect around this time last year but towards the end of the year, she switched on. Won the Fillies & Mares race on Champions Day then pushed Enable hard in the Breeders Cup. In 2019 she’s won 3/3 and has been impressive each time she’s stepped out. Just has to hold her form to be winning IMO. The wraps are pretty big on Karak, a Wesley Ward trained filly who was just awesome when winning on debut over 1000m at Belmont, sitting on a good speed before putting them away rather arrogantly and ran very solid late time despite doing a bit wrong. Possibly getting lost down the straight is the unknown with her, but the noise around her is too positive to ignore.
