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A bumper nine race card has been organised for Flemington this Saturday, where it is ‘Super Saturday’ given we have two outstanding Group l events, the Newmarket Handicap (1200m) and Australian Cup (2000m). The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out eight metres for the entire circuit.

Australian Cup 🏆: View the Field for the Australian Cup

Newmarket Handicap 🏆: View the Field for the Newmarket Handicap

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Race 1. (12:20) Thoroughbred Breeders Stks 1200m

Back Me

2 Muntaseera (Bet Now: $1.95 TOP ODDS) looks the safe option. This Maher/Eustace filly was very good in defeat in the Blue Diamond prelude before contesting the big dance and she was outstanding from the back behind Tagaloa. Back to her own age/sex, small field, massive drop in depth/class, she looks clearly the horse to beat.

Danger

5 Minhaaj (Bet Now: $3.20 TOP ODDS) is a daughter of Exceed And Excel for the Hayes/Dabernig team that was heavily backed when debuting over 1000m at Bendigo and the weight of support was spot on. She spanked her rivals, winning by five lengths, running sharp time relative to the meeting and had something in hand it seemed. Looks a leading contender.

Long Shot

3 Geist (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) looks a leading chance for James Cummings. This filly is four weeks between runs since racing in the Blue Diamond Prelude where she was near the speed throughout and battled away pretty well in defeat when third to Letzbeglam. Been given a little break and loved the way she went in a recent jumpout here. Primed to go.

Race 2. (12:55) VRC Sires’ Produce Stakes 1400m

Back Me

Hard to knock the way 10 Cloudbreaker (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) has gone about her business in her short career to date. Has won her past two and the margins haven’t been major, she’s really knuckled down strongly each time and wanted to win, which is a really good sign for a juvenile. Latest of those wins came over 1300m at Sandown and off that, 1400m here should be no problem.

Danger

9 The Watchman (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) is a More Than Ready gelding for Greg Eurell that debuted over 1300m at Sandown where he was back near last in the run and spotting those in front a tidy start but loved the way he finished his race off when fourth to Cloudbreaker. As is the case with this race, don’t have to be the best horse. The one that’s on the up, and he is certainly that type of horse.

Long Shot

5 Lunar Fox (Bet Now: $26.00 TOP ODDS) is a Team O’Sullivan trained son of Foxwedge that has some really good form next to his name. Took a few runs to break the maiden tag but win one came last time out at Ballarat when on speed and proving too strong for his rivals in a good performance. Lands near the front again and prove a leading contender.

Race 3. (13:30) Nova100 Trophy 1400m

Back Me

1400m is clearly short of his best but I think the class and brilliance of 8 Russian Camelot (Bet Now: $4.00 TOP ODDS) can get him home first up. Quality colt for Danny O’Brien that had two runs in the Spring to start his career. Debuted with a stunning win at Ballarat before racing over 1800m here on Oaks Day when beating all bar Pancho in a close finish. He looks a SA Derby horse and loved the way he closed off in a recent jumpout here.

Danger

6 Katalin (Bet Now: $4.40 TOP ODDS) is a smart filly for James Cummings that won her first two career outings in such impressive fashion before going to the Vanity where her race was over after a few strides when she missed the kick and was back near last. Did a really good job to get as close as she did. Cleaner getaway this time around and she can bounce back.

Long Shot

1 Yourdeel (Bet Now: $41.00 TOP ODDS) is worth a look here I feel. He hasn’t done a great deal since coming over from NZ but in saying that, I think he’s been really poorly placed but given his rating, he’s hard to place. Resumed in the CS Hayes where he was back and didn’t fire behind Alligator Blood but outside the first three in that race, nothing did. More suited here and can run a much improved race.

Race 4. (14:05) Schweppervescence Trophy 1600m

Back Me

Have to be with 2 Greysful Glamour (Bet Now: $4.20 TOP ODDS). She was just so impressive in winning the Mannerism first up two weeks ago, leading throughout and burning the candle at both ends in doing so. She was there to be run down but she safely held her rivals at bay. Should lead these up again and prove mighty hard to run down.

Danger

Third up from a spell, 1 Spanish Reef (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS) should just about be ready to peak. Was good late first up behind Sylvia’s Mother before going to the Mannerism where she was held up for a few strides, but overall, had her chance behind Greysful Glamour, but was still sound in defeat. Crying out for 1600m, which she gets here, and is a leading chance.

Long Shot

5 My Pendant (Bet Now: $17.00 TOP ODDS) is a bit of an unknown at 1600m but her two runs back from a break have been somewhat inconclusive. Worked home okay late in the piece fresh in the Bellmaine before getting back in the Mannerism and again finding the line nicely without really threatening. Back on her home track and hard fit now.

Race 5. (14:45) March Stakes 1400m

Back Me

Going the way of 5 Iconoclasm (Bet Now: $7.50), who resumes for Danny O’Brien. This bloke had a pretty good Spring prep, highlighted by a win over Widgee Turf in the VOBIS Gold Star on Manikato Night at the Valley, and generally did perform at a high level. Recent jumpout here was good, he goes well fresh and for mine finds a winnable race.

Danger

First time this prep that 10 Wild Planet (Bet Now: $2.40) has been placed to win by Team Hawkes. Needed the run first up at Caulfield behind Anaheed in the Rubiton but was good late, then went to the Futurity and pretty much held his spot in the run throughout when fourth to Streets Of Avalon. Comes back from a Group l WFA to a Listed race yet tumbles 5kg, so he’s well suited here.

Long Shot

1 Debt Agent (Bet Now: $27.00) interests me. Former top class Singapore galloper that had a three run Spring prep and didn’t really fire a shot each time, but the last two runs, he was really poorly placed. Finds a winnable race for his resumption if he’s anywhere near right and his recent Mornington jumpout was encouraging to the eye.

Race 6. (15:25) Newmarket Handicap 1200m

Back Me

History says it’s very hard to win the Newmarket first up but I have faith in 4 The Inevitable (Bet Now: $9.00) to do it. Star four year old from Tassie who has only had one goal for this prep and that is this race. Showed how dynamic he was with fresh legs during the Spring and I think after the Golden Eagle, Scott Brunton realised he’s a sprinter. Trial win was very sharp and from all reports he went like a jet in a subsequent jumpout. I think he’ll only run well.

Danger

11 Loving Gaby (Bet Now: $4.80) had the flashing light for the Newmarket after her effort first up in the Lightning. It was a brilliant return from the filly given she was resuming over an unsuitable trip and was out wide, which wasn’t the spot to be. Still did a remarkable job to get as close as she did behind Gytrash. She’ll eat up a fast run 1200m and be strong at the end.

Long Shot

They say forgive a good horse for one bad run and you have to do that with 13 Libertini (Bet Now: $12.00). She was heavily backed when resuming in the Light Fingers but despite sitting wide in the run, she was very plain behind Flit and that form was no good in the Surround, so the knocks are there, but with the light weight and likely on firmer footing, we know how explosive she can be.

Race 7. (16:05) Kewney Stakes 1400m

Back Me

With the run under the belt I’m in the corner of 2 Pretty Brazen (Bet Now: $7.50). This filly was really well supported when resuming in the Vanity three weeks ago and looked the winner 250m out, but her condition just gave way late when bloused near the peg by Bonvicini. She’ll take good improvement off that and looks one of the hardest to beat.

Danger

You don’t know how good a horse is til they are beaten and so far, 5 How Womantic (Bet Now: $6.00) is yet to taste defeat in four career outings, the latest when near the speed and showing good ticker when winning the Kevin Hayes. Not sure about her at 1400m, and did have a set back last week, but hard to knock a filly that keeps winning.

Long Shot

10 Mrs Beckham (Bet Now: $27.00) is a filly who has always showed good promise and this prep, she’s put it all together. Hasn’t raced since scoring a tough win, second on the bounce, over 1400m at Caulfield on January 4 when proving too good for stablemate Parmie. Loved the way she went in a Cranbourne trial a few weeks back in fast time and can measure up here.

Race 8. (16:45) Australian Cup 2000m

Back Me

Just hope the track has some give in it for 2 Avilius (Bet Now: $3.40). He’s flying for James Cummings and is bursting to win a big one. Think it’s here provided the track has juice in it. Was very good first up in the CF Orr before going to the Chipping Norton and was good late when fourth to Te Akau Shark. Up to 2000m looks perfect. Please…please let the track be soft.

Danger

He’s knocking on the door 5 King’s Will Dream (Bet Now: $7.50) to win a big one and the big tick is that the bloke who rode him last to victory, Jye McNeil, is back on. Two runs back have been strong, the latest in the Peter Young when a closing second to Miss Siska. He has gate one to use and sit close to the speed. Just don’t think he wants it to be a sit/sprint.

Long Shot

A third straight Australian Cup is well within reach for 4 Harlem (Bet Now: $15.00) off what he’s done this campaign in two runs. Excellent late in the Carlyon Cup fresh behind Miss Siska before finishing behind that mare again in the Peter Young, pretty much being a barrier trial late in the piece when held up. He’s flying I think and a win wouldn’t shock at all.

Race 9. (17:20) Incognitus Stakes 1100m

Back Me

4 Garner (Bet Now: $3.60) is a very promising three year old for Gordon Richards that resumes. He hasn’t raced since Cup Day down the straight here when sitting off the speed before getting clear air and loved the way he put them away. Trial was quite good and we know the stable and their very good record when coming to Melbourne.

Danger

Just jump and let her run please re 2 Sisstar (Bet Now: $7.50). Just went too keen on speed last time out in the WJ Adams at Caulfield and had nothing left for the straight when down the track behind Jungle Edge. Been given a little freshen up and I think here, the best chance for her to win is to run them along on speed and break their hearts.

Long Shot

The horse that does appear big odds is 13 Little Rich Boy (Bet Now: $23.00) for John Hickmott, who hasn’t raced for just under two months since racing down the straight here when leading and trying hard when second to impressive winner and subsequent CF Orr winner Alabama Express. Keep in mind that race Garner won on Cup Day, Little Rich Boy was only 3.7L away and while we haven’t seen Garner since, Little Rich Boy has clearly improved.

Best Bets & Quaddie Tips

BEST BET: Race Nine Number 4 Garner

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 2 Muntaseera

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 4 The Inevitable

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 4, 11, 13

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 5, 10

Leg Three: 2, 4, 5, 9

Leg Four: 4

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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