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The smell of Spring is in the air this Saturday at Randwick with a strong program set down, highlighted by the return of Slipper winner Capitalist in the Missile Stakes (1200m). The weather is overcast, the track is heavy (10) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

 

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Race One (11:50): Powhf Louisa Hope Handicap (78) 1800m:

Back Me: 3 Firebird Flyer (Bet Now: $3.70) has been given a four week let up since winning over 2000m here when lunging late to get the job done impressively. Has since trialled well here and looks ready to run a bottler.
Big Danger: 2 Harlem Lady (Bet Now: $3.00) is on the back up from racing last Saturday over 1500m at Rosehill when showing a sharp turn of foot and getting lifted over the line late by Avdulla. Up to 1800m would normally be a bug query but the small field I think will offset that.
Roughie: 4 Erika (Bet Now: $4.80) ran over 2000m at Randwick three weeks back when running on well without threatening when third to Esteban. Drops to her own sex now and back to 1800m is a big tick. Leading chance for sure.

 

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Race Two (12:25) : Powhf Roy Billing OAM Handicap (74) 2400m:

Back Me: 8 Lie Direct (Bet Now: $4.40) ran well here a few runs back before going to Rosehill where he has bumped into a potential stakes horse in Esteban. Not as much depth here and he should roll forward and give a great sight for his supporters.
Big Danger: 5 Major Major (Bet Now: $3.90) is on the back up from racing on Wednesday at Warwick Farm where he tried hard with 61.5kg but couldn’t quite finish it off when third to Shelleys Girl. Rises in class, but tumbles big time in weight, hard fit and there has been strong market support.
Roughie: 4 Storm System (Bet Now: $4.60) ran third behind More Than Fabulous in that race mentioned above and on face value, he was disappointing, but I think he is better when he is in the clear and allowed to build up momentum, plus the tighter track isn’t his go. Better suited here and he can sharply bounce back.

 

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Race Three (13:00) : Jockey Celebration Day Handicap (81) 1000m:

Back Me: 5 Three Sheets (Bet Now: $3.40) kicked off the prep with two impressive wins before starting odds on in the Jungle Juice Cup where he was enormous in defeat behind Ultima Chance. Little break should be beneficial and stable is in ripping form, as we saw recently at Canterbury with a Highway win. One of the hardest to beat.
Roughie: 4 Last Witness (Bet Now: $2.40) deserves a crack at this level after a dominant win in a pretty thin race IMO at Canterbury a fortnight back, aided by a peach from Tim Clark. The small field will really help, he’s hard fit and in super form.
Roughie: 9 Don’t Tease (Bet Now: $15.00) Me ran along in front last start in the Sir James Kibry during the Grafton Carnival and just felt the pinch late behind Plateau Gold. He looks the sole leader here, he handles wet ground, on the minimum and I think he’ll give a stack of cheek.

 

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Race Four (13:35) : TAB Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1400m:

Back Me: 5 Attainment (Bet Now: $3.80) is bursting to win a Highway and he gets his chance here. Avdulla tried to lift him over the line in a Highway at Canterbury a fortnight back but he couldn’t hold out Lasszou, who was well backed in betting. Avdulla sticks, good gate, handles all conditions…gee I think he gets his chance.
Big Danger: 6 Explosive Scene (Bet Now: $3.80) was a touch unlucky not to win the Highway last Saturday at Rosehill given he got held up in the straight and never really had a clear run to the line. That was with 56kg and now he tumbles to 52kg and is drawn to be out of trouble and in the clear. Massive threat.
Roughie: 9 Destined To Win (Bet Now: $10.00) was an eye catcher in that Lasszou race given she was never really clear but she did travel as if she would threaten if she got clear air. Her record doesn’t read great, but she has run well previously in Highways, she has upside and she will be strong late.

 

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Race Five (14:10) : Mark Moran Missile Stakes 1200m:

Back Me: 3 Big Money (Bet Now: $3.80) goes on top for me now. He closed off very strongly last start in the Ramornie when running a close up second to Smart Volatility, and would have won in another bound. The small field really suits him here, draws gate one, hard fit and loves a wet track.
Big Danger: 1 Rebel Dane (Bet Now: $1.65) is getting on in years but he is very good when right. He is also first up here off the back of encouraging signs at the trials. He did win well first up last prep and outside Capitalist, this isn’t a strong race.
Roughie: 6 Tycoon Tara (Bet Now: $13.00) is an interesting runner. Formerly with the Wilde camp and now with Team Snowden. Trials have been encouraging and the leader is there for hers on a platter. She can sprint well fresh and doesn’t mind sting out of the track. With the field reduced by scratchings, he is a contender for sure.

 

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Race Six (14:50) : The Randwick City Council Rosebud 1200m:

Back Me: 1 Quick Feet (Bet Now: $6.00) resumes for Team Snowden. Hasn’t raced since finishing midfield in the Slipper behind stablemate Capitalist but looks to have come back in great order based on a recent Randwick trial win. Tipping a beaut first up run.
Big Danger: 2 Thronum (Bet Now: $3.00) put together two on the trot to kick off his career, including a dominant win here, before going to Canterbury where he didn’t lead and couldn’t dictate, but his last 100m was excellent. I think he will lead here and he is the hard fit horse engaged here.
Roughie: 6 Uthred (Bet Now: $9.00) rises sharply in grade but shouldn’t be ignored. He comes off a last start maiden win at the provincials at Kembla Grange but he was pretty solid given he ran along in front and was there to be beaten. He draws to either lead or get the sit behind Thronum, and stable is having a great run with their youngsters.

 

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Race Seven (15:30) : The Wallaby Cup (78) 1600m:

Back Me: I think there is value in the shape of 8 Bring Luck (Bet Now: $12.00). He was outstanding in defeat I thought when resuming at Rosehill given he bombed the start and missed it by several lengths before making up ground late. He has since trialled very well at Warwick Farm and he looks to have come through that run in very good fashion.
Big Danger: 2 Kings Officer (Bet Now: $4.40) has been in ripping form in recent times for Terry Robinson and he continued the picket fence a fortnight back at Canterbury, aided by a brilliant steer from Tommy Berry. He is starting to creep up in the weights now but it’s hard to ignore the way he is going about it.
Roughie: 6 Dark Eyes (Bet Now: $7.00) was a strong winner three weeks back at Rosehill, sitting up on speed and fighting on strongly to win narrowly but impressively. Tough Randwick mile should appear as though it will suit him and he has to be strongly considered.

 

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Race Eight (16:10) : Powhf Directors Handicap (82) 1200m:

Back Me: 11 Rock On Zariz (Bet Now: $4.20) is on the back up after racing last Saturday at Rosehill where she closed off hard late to run a close up third to the impressive winner Interstellar. Down on the limit now and is a winner on the track. Leading chance.
Big Danger: 6 Allez Chival (Bet Now: $5.50) ran atCanterbury a fortnight back and attempted to lead all the way. She gave a really good kick but was just overhauled late by Stakes performers Slots and Powerline. Back to her own sex now and looks a major a threat.
Roughie: 4 Tree Of Jesse (Bet Now: $5.50) resumed here four weeks back and was dreadful behind Monogram. Has since been to the trials here and looked to work home okay late without much pressure behind Burning Passion. If she finds her best, she is right in this.

 

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Race Nine (16:50) : Rotary Club Of Botany Bay Handicap (78) 1200m:

Back Me: 2 Burning Passion (Bet Now: $1.65) has been given a four week let up since bolting up on a bottomless surface here. That would have busted his gut I suspect but he looks to have recovered well going on his sharp trial win here recently. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: 3 Encostanati (Bet Now: $17.00) ran at Canterbury a fortnight back and to be fair, I thought he was disappointing behind Last Witness. Proving a bit costly to follow this time in, but he is in well at the weights after the claim and the scratchings do help.
Roughie: 13 Star Shaft (Bet Now: $8.00) had been bursting to win a race for some time and he finally got the breaks to go his way in a Highway at Rosehill three weeks back. He has run well in Saturday grade outside Highways previously, he’s down in the weights and gets the services of Blake Shinn. Ticks plenty of boxes.

 

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BEST BET: Race Nine Number 2 Burning Passion

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 3 Firebird Flyer

VALUE: Race Seven Number 8 Bring Luck

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 6, 9

Leg Two: 2, 3, 6, 7, 8

Leg Three: 4, 5, 6, 8, 11, 12

Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 13, 14

$50 Investment= 6.66% of the dividend if successful

 

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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