A bumper program has been assembled for Randwick this Saturday, with the mares stepping out in the Breeders Classic (1200m) being the highlight. The weather is overcast, the track is soft (6) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race One (12:40) : Frank Wilding 70th Birthday Handicap (93) 2000m:
Back Me: 1 Loophole (Best Odds: $5.00) is a great bread and butter horse for a stable. He is no star, but he will win a race or two each prep and justify his spot in the stable. He has been excellent this time in, winning his past two, the latest over this track/distance in a pretty strong form race subsequently. Trialled here last Friday and looked pretty god there. No reason why he can’t win three on the bounce.
Big Danger: I dropped off 6 Allergic (Best Odds: $2.40) because he had just burnt too big of a hole in my wallet. And as the racing game usually goes, as soon as you sack, they win, and that is what he did last Saturday at Rosehill, and was dominant. Bit more depth here, but now he has that winning feeling, he can go right on with it.
Roughie: 4 Slow Pace (Best Odds: $10.00) ran over the mile here a few weeks back in a small field and worked home well against the tempo when running a close up third to surprise winner Snippets Land. He will love the step up to 2000m, as well as the slight drop in depth.
Race Two (13:20) : TAB Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1200m:
Back Me: 3 Invienna (Best Odds: $4.80) resumed on his home track at Scone a couple of weeks back where Blake Shinn went there for the one ride on this horse, and it duly saluted in impressive fashion, beating home his talented stablemate Chivadahli. Draws terribly here, but he has upside, has class and will be charging late if the speed is on, which I am sure it will be.
Big Danger: 1 Three Sheets (Best Odds: $5.50) ran well in the Magic Millions Country Cup (1200m) behind War Jet before backing up seven days later at the Sunny Coast where he sat off speed before peeling out and letting down strongly. Has to rise big time in weight, which is the negative, and topweights have a horrible record in the Highway, but the gelding gets the services of regular rider Robert Thompson, which is a big plus.
Roughie: 10 Star Shaft (Best Odds: $15.00) won a Highway race over 1100m here first up, and his three runs since have been very pleasing, the latest over 1400m here behind Hermosa Beach, who ran well last Saturday. I like that Sam Clenton takes over, draws well and his record in Highway races is very good, and the form has held up.
Race Three (13:55) : Ranvet Handicap (93) 1000m:
Back Me: 1 Craftiness (Best Odds: $3.20) is a very talented sprinter that resumes for Joe Pride. He had three runs in the Spring, and to be fair, he wasn’t as dynamic as he was in past preparations. Back now and he looked very good in a recent trial behind Va Pensiero. He is brilliant fresh, as he is at Randwick, and is the clear class runner.
Big Danger: 9 Felines (Best Odds: $2.20) was enormous in winning over this track/distance last start given she was wide no cover for the trip, and on a day where it was impossible to win out wide. As good as Sam Clenton is IMO, McDonald going back on is a plus, drops 3.5kg in weight and is hard fit.
Roughie: 6 Happy Galaxy (Best Odds: $41.00) resumes here for Gary Moore. His first up record is terrible, but gee I loved his trial placing at Rosehill behind Sooboog where he could have won the trial, but he wasn’t let down. He can handle a wet track and that trial was too good to dismiss.
Race Four (14:30) : Thoroughbreds Breeders NSW Breeders Classic 1200m:
Back Me: Going to take a chance on 7 Press Report (Best Odds: $61.00). She hasn’t won for a tick under 12 months and her form was just fair during the Spring, but I was very taken by her trial effort at Rosehill a couple of weeks back where she moved in great fashion. She can sprint very well fresh and on her best form, she’d go almighty close here.
Big Danger: 4 I’ve Got The Looks (Best Odds: $4.20) has been given a month freshen up since running a game fifth to Howmuchdoyouloveme in the Takeover Target (1200m) at Gosford. Trialled last Friday here and looked quite good I thought behind Harlem River. She has a brilliant turn of foot when cuddled and looks suited on the minimum.
Roughie: 1 Amicus (Best Odds: $5.00) is the class mare engaged here given she is a Group l winner and performer. She was really good early on in the Spring, then was off a touch before running a very game fifth to Politeness in the Myer Classic (1600m). Has to carry the 58kg, and her trials haven’t filled me with great confidence, but she has class and is well weighted.
Race Five (15:05) : Inglis Classic 1200m:
Back Me: I think first starter 10 Wonderful Story (Best Odds: $2.80) is one of the better bets on the program. This debutante for Chris Waller is a well bred colt who comes here off the back of a couple of outstanding the trials, the latest resulting in a win at Rosehill on Monday. My advice would be have something on him for the Slipper, because if he wins here, which I am confident he will, his price will be slashed.
Big Danger: 12 Soviet Secret (Best Odds: $6.50) is a definite threat for mine. This Sam Pritchard-Gordon trained filly debuted in the Merson Cooper at Ladbrokes Park back in November and worked home well behind Jackson. Spelled, and got a taste of racing the Sydney way when trialling here last Friday where she went to the line under a hold when second to Kiss And Make Up. She creates plenty of interest.
Roughie: 5 Engaging (Best Odds: $101.00) debuted over 1000m here and was alright I thought behind Scarlet Rain, who has been one of the better two year olds Sydney has produced during the Summer months. His trials leading in were pretty good, so he could fill a place with luck in running.
Race Six (15:45) : Tab.com.au Gardenia Handicap 1600m:
Back Me: Australians get to see the unbeaten kiwi 4 Hasselhoof (Best Odds: $1.80) for the first time. This Donna Logan trained son of Tavistock is six from six, with the latest resulting in a dominant win in the Group ll Rich Hill Mile on New Years Day at Ellerslie. While he is unbeaten, to be fair, he has just beaten donkeys. There are some handy types here, so it won’t be easy, but on hype and boom, he’ll go on top.
Big Danger: 7 Medcaut (Best Odds: $8.00) ran over the mile here on Boxing Day where he toughed it out too good to beat Monton in a close finish. He has come back in super order bar the first up howler where he had excuses. No reason why he can’t continue the picket fence. but he bumps into a star.
Roughie: 11 Libran (Best Odds: $11.00) is the watch horse. Former import for Chris Waller who had one run in the Spring, on Oaks Day, when running an eye catching sixth to Berisha. He has looked the part in a couple of trials, he can handle a wet track, in the right stable and gets the services of the form rider in Sydney at the moment.
Race Seven (16:25) : Eskimo Prince Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: 11 Cannyescent (Best Odds: $9.00) was outstanding in winning over 1100m here on Australia Day. He was backed as if unbeatable despite taking on the older horses, and despite racing near the inside, which wasn’t the spot to be, he charged home and won impressively. There are some lofty ambitions for this horse, and if he is to reach those, you’d want to see him win here or run very well, and I am confident, he’ll measure up.
Big Danger: The big guns are at the top, and of those, the one that has trialled best has been 3 Counterattack (Best Odds: $3.50). His form in the Spring was excellent, which ended with a third to Japonisme in the Coolmore Stud (1200m). His two trials leading in have been sharp, he flies fresh and is best suited at this trip compared to the other big guns.
Roughie: 9 Spill The Beans (Best Odds: $7.00) resumes here for Gerald Ryan after a pretty solid Spring, which didn’t get a win, but he ran very well behind some classy types, most notably Exosphere. Loved his trial last Friday here where he won by a space under little pressure, and beat home a classy field. He has a solid record at Randwick, and that trial was too good to dismiss.
Race Eight (17:05) : ATC Remembers AB “Banjo” Paterson Handicap (85) 1400m:
Back Me: Looks a good race for the highly talented 5 Murt The Flirt (Best Odds: $7.00), who was scratched from the Sunny Coast Cup last Sunday due to the bottomless surface where he was highly fancied off the back of his gallant fourth to Lucky Hussler in the Magic Millions Cup (1400m). This is such a nice target for him here, and if the track isn’t too wet, he’ll go very close.
Big Danger: 6 Himalaya Dream (Best Odds: $18.00) is one of the most interesting runners on the program. He has promised to be a very good horse, but he hasn’t quite put it together on race day. His two runs in the Spring were pretty poor, so he was tipped out. Trialled on Monday at Rosehill and looked sharp in winning, beating home a class field. If the real Himalaya Dream turns up, he’ll spank these.
Roughie: 16 Balmain Boy (Best Odds: $21.00) resumes here for Les Bridge and he looks as though he’ll run a cheeky race given he trialled very well here last Friday behind Group l performer Dibayani. You go back through his form and there is subsequent Stakes form in each race. The trial was good, form is good, trained on the track…he can definitely measure up here.
Race Nine (17:45) : Colin Tidy Tribute Handicap (78) 1600m:
Back Me: 10 Embley (Best Odds: $9.00) for me here. I thought his effort over this track/distance a fortnight back behind Testashadow was pretty good considering he was back in the run in a slowly run race and had to come wide, which was the no go zone. With a more fairer racing surface here, and a more genuine tempo, he can definitely bounce back.
Big Danger: 11 Made To Order (Best Odds: $26.00) is now with Gai Waterhouse after formerly being with Chris Waller and Matty Dunn. I haven’t minded the way this mare has gone about her business in a couple of trials, and on her best form, she’d spank these. Best form is over further, but she can sprint well fresh.
Roughie: 8 Ziggy Willie (Best Odds: $12.00) ran over this track/distance on Australia Day and worked home well with purpose when third to Lunar Rise. He is clearly knocking on the door to win a race, and despite the rise in depth here, he is right down in the weights again, in form and with some luck, he can get the job done.
BEST BET: Race Six Number 4 Hasselhoof
NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 10 Wonderful Story
VALUE: Race Four Number 7 Press Report
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 4, 5, 7, 11
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 5, 8, 11
Leg Three: 1, 5, 6, 7, 10, 11, 14, 15, 16
Leg Four: 2, 6, 8, 10, 11
$50 Investment= 4.62% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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