Caulfield will host its first meeting since Blue Diamond Stakes Day this Saturday with their traditional Easter program, highlighted by the two $150,000 Group ll events, the Easter Cup (2000m) and Victoria Handicap (1400m). The weather is fine, the track is good (3) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One (12:25pm) : Robert Taranto Handicap 1100m: Form Guide
Back Me: Really strong trial/jump out form here. I’ve been most impressed though with Radioactive (Best Odds: $41.00), an unraced gelding. He has looked very sharp in a couple of jump outs, and from gate two, James Winks has plenty of options. Looks a safe way to go in the opener.
Big Danger: The other one I have been impressed with is Koolama Bay (Best Odds: $17.00) for Clinton McDonald. Son of Starcraft that is trained on the track and he too has looked slick at the jump outs, and having home advantage is a definite plus towards his winning prospects.
Roughie: Primo Pinxto (Best Odds: $4.60) was unwanted in betting a couple of weeks back in the Gold Rush at Bendigo yet the daughter of Street Boss worked home very strongly late to run fourth to The Big Dance. Gets on her home track and senior rider takes the mount.
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Race Two (1:00pm) : Bill Collins Handicap 1000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Secret Blend (Best Odds: $7.00) was a star at the jump outs prior to his first up win at Ballarat and he backed it up with a gritty narrow win at the Valley. Could well lead again, and with the race fitness on his side, he could take some catching.
Big Danger: Bullpit (Best Odds: $8.00) hasn’t raced since February 21 at Rosehill when narrowly beaten by Fine Mist, but he is back home now, and he produced one of the better performances at the Werribee jump outs last Friday. He is a speedy customer, and with the claim for Jake Bayliss, he gets in well at the weights.
Roughie: Kalabek (Best Odds: $12.00) is a handy filly who fought on very well to win last time out at Sandown, beating home Puzzle, who ran well on Wednesday on a shifty track. Kalabek has always shown good promise, and now that she has that winning feeling again, she may take some catching at attractive odds.
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Race Three (1:35pm) : Berty Bryant Handicap 2000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Pretty ordinary three year old staying event, so I’ll go with the class and that is clearly Magicool (Best Odds: $3.80). He has performed at a high level throughout his career, and this is the easiest race he has contested in some time. He has also been ridden forward lately, and he hasn’t responded, so maybe ride him a touch more quiet and see if that helps, because on class and ability, he has a few lengths on these.
Big Danger: Black Velveteen (Best Odds: $7.00) scored a strong maiden win at Sandown before racing there again and having no luck at all when seventh, beaten five lengths by Show A Star, who ran well last week in the Mornington Guineas. Up to 2000m looks perfect and the stable is having a good run at the moment.
Roughie: I honestly don’t know what to put in for third, because the race really thins out outside the pair mentioned above. Maybe Brouhaha (Best Odds: $4.20)? But his run wasn’t as good as Black Velveteen behind Show A Star, and gives that horse 2kg for beating him home a half length.
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Race Four (2:10pm) : Jack Elliot Handicap (78) 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: Great value each-way bet here IMO in Sir Berus (Best Odds: $17.00). He was having his first run for Colin Little at Bendigo when going back to last from the wide gate. That pretty much sealed his fate, but I really liked the way he finished off the race in restricted room. Runs very well second up and is trained on the track.
Big Danger: Pendles (Best Odds: $10.00) has been very consistent for Darren Weir this time in, winning a couple of races and running well in between, like last time out at Ballarat when second to Zupacharged after going back to the inside, which wasn’t the place to be that afternoon. Drawn to get a soft trip here, Yendall sticks…hard to beat.
Roughie: Northern Zhar (Best Odds: $7.50) is the interesting runner for David Jolly. Has built up a strong record back home in Adelaide, and ran very well last time out where he looked the winner all the way up the straight but was caught near the post. Pike on board is a very good positive, and this horse will be suited by a likely hot tempo.
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Race Five (2:50pm) : Geoff Murphy Handicap 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: With normal luck, Sea Spray (Best Odds: $4.80) should take care of this field. She was completely luckless first up in the Typhoon Tracy behind Written Dash before going to the Kewney and working home strongly to run fifth to Wawail. Pat Moloney is back aboard, and he steered the filly in her impressive jump out prior to her first up run. With him back aboard, and with a drop in class, she’ll take a power of beating.
Big Danger: Samartested (Best Odds: $5.00) sat three deep throughout in the Kewney and stuck on really well when running seventh, beaten just over three lengths. She gets a slight weight pull on Sea Spray, but does draw much more favourably. Definite threat.
Roughie: London Lolly (Best Odds: $15.00) also comes through the Kewney, and she ran ok, but was probably more outclassed than anything else. Would really like to see her ridden more aggressively, and I think from the good draw James Winks can push forward, and that’s when this filly does race best.
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Race Six (3:30pm) : Theshark.com.au Handicap (90) 1100m: Form Guide
Back Me: Prince Harada (Best Odds: $3.00) could well challenge Sea Spray for the ‘Best Bet of the Day” tag. Former boom galloper for Tony Vasil who last raced in the Australian Guineas last year when seventh to Shamus Award. Now with Danny O’Brien, and gee he has looked very impressive in a couple of jump outs, most notably last Friday at Werribee. Extremely hard to beat, especially on the limit.
Big Danger: Search Squad (Best Odds: $12.00) hasn’t raced since early January at Flemington, making up good ground late to run third to Bishops Castle. She was later found to have pulled up lame, so the run had more merit. She has only had one run here, and that was back in April last year, at this meeting when running behind The Quarterback. Races very well fresh and is on the limit.
Roughie: Zedi Knight (Best Odds: $67.00) was wide no cover last time out at Bendigo yet fought on very bravely to run second to Agent, who had the sweet run just off the speed. The 10 year old has every right to turn it up and look for retirement, but his last start effort indicates there is still life in the old boy, plus he gets a lovely weight drop.
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Race Seven (4:10pm) : Le Pines Funerals Easter Cup 2000m: Form Guide
Back Me: Can only see three winning hopes here, and the best of those appears to be The Cleaner (Best Odds: $3.20), who was very brave in the Australian Cup when fourth to Spillway. He sort of has the habit of booting clear and then waiting for his rivals before picking up again, so I like the Blinkers going off and the Visor going on for the first time, a gear change likely to sharpen him up. If it does, I’ll be surprised if he doesn’t win.
Big Danger: Sertorius (Best Odds: $3.80) ran an absolute cracker in the Blamey first up when third to star mare Suavito, who goes around in the Doncaster as a genuine winning chance. He always runs well fresh, as well as second up, and second up last time in he was three lengths off Dissident in the Makybe Diva. Good enough to go close here.
Roughie: The improver is Shoreham (Best Odds: $18.00), who worked home okay in the Blamey behind Suavito in a race that totally wasn’t run to suit. Ordinary second up record, but quickly up to 2000m and a thin race could see him be in the money somewhere, especially with the in form Dean Holland steering.
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Race Eight (4:50pm) : Victoria Handicap 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: This race evolves around one horse and one horse only-Disposition (Best Odds: $3.10). He is a Group l horse that gets in on the minimum weight, but he has been away for a little bit after pulling out of the Guineas due to injury. I’ll take the gamble that his class and Pike back aboard will get him home.
Big Danger: If Disposition is off his game, then the consistent Gracious Prospect is a definite winning chance. He has been so good this time in, continually collecting prize money for connections. Has to do it away from Flemington, but he has run well twice here in the past, and draws a beaut gate.
Roughie: Giving a sneaky chance to Trade Commissioner (Best Odds: $81.00), who is better over further, but I loved the way he looked in a recent jump out at Werribee, and first up last time in he was three lengths off a Group l performer in Entirely Platinum.
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Race Nine (5:30pm) : Noel Rundle Handicap 1400m: Form Guide
Back Me: I’ll go with Nadeem Lass (Best Odds: $12.00), who was given an absolute peach ride by Max Allen to win the Gold Bracelet at Bendigo last time out, putting behind her a frustrating run of outs. She is a talented mare when at her best, and now she has a win on the board, she could go on with it.
Big Danger: Soosa Rama (Best Odds: $9.00) ran sixth in the Gold Bracelet and she was very brave given she was three deep on speed most of the way. Back to her home track, beautifully in at the weights after the claim, drawn well, hard to beat.
Roughie: Chiquada (Best Odds: $10.00) ran well also in the Gold Bracelet when fourth, beaten just over a length, after getting a soft trip just off the speed. She is probably better ridden on speed and in the clear, so I expect that to eventuate from the draw here, and if it does, she’ll take some catching.
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BEST BET: Race Five Number 5 Sea Spray
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 5 Prince Harada
VALUE: Race Four Number 4 Sir Berus
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 6, 7, 8, 11, 14
Leg Two: 1, 2, 4
Leg Three: 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 12, 14, 15
Leg Four: 1, 4, 6, 7, 9, 11, 12
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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