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A Cox Plate start is on the line for the victor of the Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes (1600m) this Saturday at Moonee Valley with the winner getting a free pass. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

 

[crownbetoffer]

 

Race One (12:25) : William Hill Handicap (84) 1600m:

Back Me: 5 Choice (Bet Now: $8.50) was 1200m to the mile when racing at Caulfield last start and just feeling the pinch behind Kaniana. That should toughen her up here and I think she is a great winning chance. Hard to beat for sure.
Big Danger: 3 Kaniana (Bet Now: $2.80) won that race mentioned above and the win was well deserved given she had no luck at her past couple. She has won her lone start here, draws okay and looks to have some upside left. Ticks alot of boxes for me.
Roughie: 1 Nigelisima (Bet Now: $19.00) is a talented mare that makes her Australian debut for the Busuttin/Young stable. She was a genuine Stakes performer when racing in NZ and though no public trials, she has quality and the mile first up is perhaps a lead she is forward enough to sprint well fresh.

 

Race Two (13:00) : 1PRINT Craig Opie Cup 1600m:

Back Me: Going the way of 8 Mihany (Bet Now: $5.50) in a cracking race. He resumed on the Parks track in SA three weeks back where he sat on speed most of the way and gave a tremendous kick, but was nabbed late by the fitter Outlandish Lad. Looks as though he’ll get a cheap run on speed here and is only carrying 52.5kg on his back.
Big Danger: 5 Raw Impulse (Bet Now: $1.85) is the clear watch horse. Created a big impression in his first Australian prep, winning and winning like a potential star before failing in the McKell Cup at Randwick. Gate one with Oliver booked is a good lead and he looks the clear pick of the Weir runners.
Roughie: If there is any hint of bias towards leaders, then a horse like 9 Sadaqa (Bet Now: $14.00) comes into play. He battled away strongly three weeks back at Caulfield when midfield behind Great Esteem, who of course won the Heatherlie last week to frank the form. Gets good weight relief here, Dunn rides him well and he has a very solid record at the track.

 

Race Three (13:35) : Quest Moonee Valley Handicap 1514m:

Back Me: 12 Rocketeer (Bet Now: $8.00) was a very good fifth in a hot Sale maiden behind Stakes placegetter and Caulfield winner Leotie before getting the easy kill at Wangaratta in really dominant fashion. Has really good upside and Dee remains on. Draws a tricky one, but if he gets luck, he’ll take some beating.
Big Danger: 1 Hey Doc (Bet Now: $6.50) resumed at Sandown on Grand National Hurdle Day and off the back of an impressive Flemington jump out, he got the job done impressively, eventually wearing down Perfectly Safe, who ran well at Caulfield last weekend to frank the form. Month between runs is a slight query, but he has quality and stable is going very well.
Roughie: 8 Congressional (Bet Now: $13.00) was a strong winner two back on the Pakenham Synthetic before going to Bendigo where he took an eternity to wind up and only got warm late in the piece. Step up in trip suits and gate one for Oliver is a big tick.

 

 

Race Four (14:15) : United Refrigeration Handicap (78) 1514m:

Back Me: If you backed 10 Vostok (Bet Now: $3.80) on Sunday at Cranbourne, it was tough to watch. Looked to have the charmed run behind the tempo, but he just couldn’t get a crack at them in the straight and pretty much went to the line under a hold. Give him better luck here and he will take some beating.
Big Danger: 8 Steggler (Bet Now: $19.00) made his Australian debut over this track/distance behind Grand Dreamer and it was a definite pass mark for me given there was a stack of improvement from what there was seen in the mounting yard. Bit more depth, but is in the right stable.
Roughie: 1 Zahspeed (Bet Now: $21.00) is a capable type that is first up here for Danny O’Brien. Ran some good races last prep, albeit over longer trips than what he is at here, but he hasn’t looked too bad at the jump outs, he runs well fresh and has a solid record at the track.

 

 

Race Five (14:50) : Mitty’s Racing Colours McEwen Stakes 1000m:

Back Me: Hard to go against 8 Heatherly (Bet Now: $2.40) here. She was fabulous when winning the Carlyon here fresh. She pulled her head off outside the speed and was exposed in a long way out. She had every right to get beat, and though she nearly did, she got there in the end. Was that a gut buster? Time will tell, but I am prepared to take the gamble even with the gate.
Big Danger: 6 Wild Rain (Bet Now: $5.50) has been given a let up since getting the job done impressively at Caulfield in the Monash, aided by a peach from Oliver. Was due to run here a fortnight back in the Carlyon but was scratched and instead runs here. Little break between runs is the query, but she has class and quality.
Roughie: Really intrigued to see how 5 Sheidel (Bet Now: $5.50) runs here. This class mare for the Hayes/Dabernig yard almost the got the job done last prep with a Group l win but was beaten in the last stride in the Robert Sangster by Precious Gem. Her trial at Tatura was great but gee she caught my eye at Flemington last Thursday. Won the trial and looked to do it very easily. Big watch.

 

Race Six (15:30) : Mitchelton Wines Atlantic Jewel Stakes 1200m:

Back Me: Going with 9 Sebring Dream (Bet Now: $7.50). Had two runs to kick off her career towards the end of the Autumn and was excellent on both occasions, the latter being a strong win at Flemington which has seen the form hold up very nicely. She has looked very good at the Flemington jump outs and she appears to have really strengthened up since last prep. The one to beat for me.
Big Danger: 16 Piccadillies (Bet Now: $4.60) creates some interest. Coolmore first starter for Team Freedman who did trial as a two year old in November last year and won that. Spelled and is back now and she did look very sharp in a recent jump out at Flemington. Despite being a debutante, I think she can measure up for sure.
Roughie: Enormous respect has to be given to the Perth filly 1 Whispering Brook (Bet Now: $7.00), who was the dominant juvenile in WA last season, highlighted by her Karrakatta Plate triumph. The trial win at Pinjarra didn’t exactly scream of a coming winner, but her record has to be respected.

 

Race Seven (16:10) : Fruit Supply Stakes 1200m:

Back Me: 3 Voodoo Lad (Bet Now: $3.10) looks the safe way to go here. He was given a lovely ride from Chris Parnham to win the Regal Roller last time out and was quite dominant in the process, with the key being that the horse relaxed. If he reproduces that sort of effort here, especially given he is hard fit, he’ll be a tough nut to crack.
Big Danger: 4 Keen Array (Bet Now: $5.00) is the class and quality engaged here. He didn’t fire a short in the Autumn after such a promising Spring where he placed in the Coolmore Stud. He has looked sharp in recent jump outs at Flemington and though drawn awkwardly, he is a great chance IMO.
Roughie: 10 Taddei Tondo (Bet Now: $26.00) is a gelding who shouldn’t be left out of exotics. Forget he went around in the Regal Roller given he was given a fairly ordinary steer from Mick Dee and rightfully dropped out. He’ll get a soft run from the gate here and Moloney rides him better than anyone. Great outside prospect at odds.

 

Race Eight (16:50) : Dato Tan Chin Nam Stakes 1600m:

Back Me: Keen here on 14 Jameka (Bet Now: $8.00). Her first up run in the P.B. Lawrence was an absolute ripper, getting back in the run and closed off strongly to run fourth to Miss Rose De Lago. She has a fab record at the Valley and there is just enormous upside. If she can sit closer she will take some beating.
Big Danger: 3 The Cleaner (Bet Now: $14.00) resumed also in the P.B. Lawrence and on face value, he was disappointing despite the fact he copped serious heat on speed. He has won this race the past two years which has to be respected. Not going as well IMO, but he is a tough bugger to get past.
Roughie: 6 Excess Knowledge (Bet Now: $19.00) creates real interest here. Waterhouse/Bott star that ran an absolute cracker in the Melbourne Cup last year and looked set for a major Autumn but injury cut short that. His trial was sharp and he is a definite market watch.

 

Race Nine (17:25) : MSC Signs Handicap 2040m:

Back Me: It’s hard to knock the way 2 Killarney Kid (Bet Now: $4.40) is going. He was confidently backed late to win at Flemington last start and the punters got it spot on when he dashed past them and won convincingly. He should get every chance I think and rates highly.
Big Danger: 6 Pin Your Hopes (Bet Now: $6.00) was backed late to win here last start at the track/distance and led for most of the way. He gave a really good kick when asked but was just outgunned late by Bold Sniper. Been up for a long time, but continues to race very well, should be on speed again and give a stack of cheek.
Roughie: 3 Almandin (Bet Now: $13.00) was a real eye catcher when resuming here behind Onpicalo before going to that Flemington race mentioned with Killarney Kid where he surprisingly led and dropped out. Better ridden with cover IMO and senior rider takes over. Knockout hope if he brings his best.

 

 

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 14 Jameka

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 6 Heatherly

VALUE: Race Six Number 9 Sebring Dream

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 9, 10, 14, 16

Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 8, 10

Leg Three: 2, 3, 6, 12, 13, 14

Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 9

$50 Investment= 3.96% of the dividend if successful

 

We recommend BET365 for all Quadrella punters. Sign-up at Bet365.com.au via this link for a $200 BONUS!

All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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