28/10/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Spring Champion Stakes day

The Randwick Carnival in terms of Group l racing wraps up this Saturday where it is Spring Champion Stakes Day. Weather is fine, track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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2 Chief Conductor (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to be in for a good prep for a very much in form Sara Ryan camp. This guy resumed at the midweeks at Warwick Farm when on speed throughout and he kept finding the line but just couldn’t quite see it through when a close up third to Jedibeel. Good racing style, stable in form, has good upside to come, he’ll take running down.

1 Cecil Street Lad (Bet Now:  $SP.00) comes here with fresh legs, five weeks between runs since racing over 1100m at Rosehill where he just got too far back in the run in a race where up/in was suited and forget he went around behind Tristate. Bigger track should help his cause and back to Midway grade, he rates as one of the leading contenders.

5 Vindication (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an interesting runner. He hasn’t raced since Sep 13 at the midweeks at Canterbury where he was wide no cover throughout and that hard run just told late in the piece when down the track behind Way To The Stars. Blinkers come off and the recent tick over trial at Hawkesbury was a nice piece of work, so keen to see how he goes.

2 Capo Strada (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another look. He resumed at the midweeks on the Kenso track where he got back in a race where the tempo was suiting those on speed, so forgive and forget the run. He should get a more genuine tempo this time around and fitter, onto the bigger track, he has the engine under the hood to take this out.

4 Pioneer River (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an honest horse around this level and I suspect something similar will eventuate here. He ran a few weeks back at Rosehill when just off the speed throughout and tried his guts out but just didn’t have the finale to put the race away behind Stanislaus. Overall form around him reads pretty good to my eye and the depth here isn’t overly deep.

5 Sebonack (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is hard to beat I’d suggest for Team Hawkes. He comes here with relatively fresh legs, having not raced since Sep 23 when getting too far back at Caulfield but was a real eye catcher late in the piece behind the very much in form mare Viviane. If he’s within range, he certainly has the finale to launch over the top and win.

10 Bandi’s Boy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is dangerous if he can settle closer in the run. He resumed a few weeks back at Rosehill. He got a mile out of his ground and was never a threat but I did like the way he found the line late in the piece behind Stanislaus, beaten 3.6L. Might be a case of second up syndrome potentially on the cards but off the return, I wouldn’t be dismissing him.

20 Love Shuck (Bet Now:  $SP.00) deserves a crack at Highway grade. Todd Smart trains this gelding, who resumed over 1200m at Wagga where he was a noted drifter in betting but he has a bit of quality about him and that came to the fore late in an impressive return. Good room for improvement and ticked the 1200m box first up, so he has plenty going for him.

16 Sharp Shock (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is heading in the right direction for Rod Northam. His opening two runs for the prep were quite good without winning but that changed when he raced on the home deck at Scone, giving them a start and a beating in an impressive display. The way he finished off to win, 1100m to 1200m should be fine for him and he has run well at Highway level previously.

3 Pervade (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is sneaky flying for Chris Waller and is knocking on the door to win. He ran over the mile at Warwick Farm last time where he tried to make a long sustained run. He kept finding the line but was held late when second to Cinque Torri. I reckon he’ll love getting to Randwick and just about at peak fitness, I think he commands respect.

8 Sequestered (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a progressive mare for James Cummings that is heading in the right direction. 2/2 this time in, the latest being over 1400m here two weeks ago where she looked in a bit of trouble early on in the straight but she got the split and dashed late to win and win well. Heading in the right direction and up in trip, hard fit, think it all points to her taking this out.

Fitter and up in trip are two big ticks for 4 Colour Sergeant (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He resumed behind Super Helpful three weeks back at Rosehill and failed to make up any real headway in a race dominated by those up/in. Loved the way he went in a tick over trial win last week and up in trip, upside to come, proven metro performer, I wouldn’t be dismissing him here.

Giving respect to 10 Mumbai Muse (Bet Now:  $SP.00). Michael Freedman trained filly that comes here with fresh legs, having not raced since the Tea Rose when just not quite seeing out the 1400m behind Tiz Invincible. Freshened up and her tick over trial win last week was a very sharp piece of work. Lobs into a beaut spot from the gate, Berry on and despite being a maiden, I think her form lines are very strong.

6 Keenan (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and prove hard to run down. That was the case last time out in a maiden on the Kenso where he led throughout and credit to him, he found under pressure to fend them off and win well. Back in trip slightly is fine, he has a win on the board, will land on speed and be strong at the end. Leading contender.

5 Balkans (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another look. James Cummings trained three year old that put together a couple of sharp wins on the bounce before going to the Roman Consul where he was safely held but I thought was far from disgraced in defeat behind King’s Gambit. The depth here isn’t as deep to my eye and if there is petrol left in the tank, I think he can bounce back against these.

1 Huetor (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has a good second up record and a touch of class/quality when at his best. He resumed in the King Charles where he clearly looked in need of the run and that’s how it panned out when failing to beat a runner home behind Fangirl. He might want another run and 2000m+, but he is too good of a horse to pen just yet and this race has thinned right out.

5 Zeyrek (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should appreciate a rise back up in trip for Team Hawkes. He was potentially heading towards the Cox Plate but he didn’t measure up in the King Charles hence why connections have lowered their eyes for a target race and have come here. The run prior in the Hill Stakes was full of merit and I think off his prior efforts pre King Charles, he is good enough to take this out.

6 Stockman (Bet Now:  $SP.00) seems to be a knockout chance here IMO. He was building into the race nicely last Saturday over the mile her but copped the backwash of the interference so forgive/forget. He picked up and was pretty good late to the line. Yes, he potentially has eyes on longer races, but he has class and will be strong at the end.

The speck I am going to have is a former Kiwi, 10 Medatsu (Bet Now:  $SP.00). I reckon he could be using this as a tune up for the Derby next week, but he does have the 2000m lead up, albeit that came five weeks and with no trial since, that does interest me. But, he will very strong late, he has enormous upside, Waller polish, different form…easy enough to speck.

2 Tom Kitten (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing like he will eat up 2000m but he needs to show more early speed so the booking of Hippo is a big, big tick in that regard. He got too far back in the Gloaming last time but I loved the way he found the line late in the piece to run a close up second. He’s been crying out for 2000m all prep, he gets it here and with a half positive ride, he’s clearly going to take beating.

I am not giving up on 7 Ravello (Bet Now:  $SP.00). I was on him at odds in the Gloaming and I am convinced he should have finished closer. Tommy was probing to get clear air but in doing so, he nearly came down. The fact he picked up and was solid to/through the line, the was full of merit. He’ll have no issue with 2000m and I think with clear air, room to move, I think he’s good enough to measure up.

2 Espiona (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has Everest form and we see year in, year out, it’s A1 as a form reference. She had a soft run in transit and was entitled to finish off the race well, which she did, and was only beaten 2.8L by Think About It in a very good effort. Back up in trip, back to Mares grade…she only has to have four legs, healthy lungs, and she just about wins this surely?

6 Roots (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has a good second up record and back to Mares grade, she appeals. She was kept safe in betting when resuming three weeks ago in the Alan Brown and I thought she was a real eye catcher from the back behind Cepheus, beaten just over a length in a good effort. Like her on the bigger track and she is one here that does have good upside to come for the prep.

I think 12 Dalchini (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a great each way gamble here at odds and is worth a speck for sure. Team Curtis mare that doesn’t win out of turn but is rarely far away from the action and her two runs back have been enormous, the latest being in The Nivison at Rosehill when back and making up good ground, albeit in the best ground, when third to Magic Time. Hard fit now and up to 1400m, I think she will only run well.

11 Arctic Glamour (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a sharp filly for Ryan/Alexiou and she can put her hands up for the Thousand Guineas with a win here. She resumed with a bang in winning her maiden at the midweeks at Rsoehill before going to the Reginald Allen where she looked a moral on paper and duly saluted, winning by a space and did it pretty comfortably late. Peak fitness, 1600m, she’s hard to beat.

1 Namesake (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness. Son of Maurice for Maher/Eustace that comes through the Roman Consul when getting into a tricky spot from the wide gate and failed to come on when down the track behind King’s Gambit. The first up run in the Heritage was quite good and off that, he’s good enough to be more than competitive here.

6 Ducasse (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been hovering around 1300-1400m all prep and he’s racing like he will eat up 1600m here. He comes through the Tapp-Craig from three weeks ago at Rosehill where he got back to near last in the run and made up solid headway without threatening behind Makarena, beaten just under two lengths. 1600m should be fine and with a more positive steer, he can win.

10 Fall For Cindy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has returned in super order and should take beating here for the John O’Shea stable, a camp that is flying at the moment. This mare comes to Saturday metro grade after a dominant win at the midweeks at Warwick Farm where she looked a moral and duly saluted under J Mac. Staying at 1400m I find interesting but she’s heading in the right direction and can win again.

4 Gringotts (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been around the mark throughout his eight start career and is hard to beat here. Three weeks between runs since racing at Rosehill when doing work in the run and in a race dominated by those on the fence, he couldn’t quite get there but stayed on and was sound in defeat behind Super Helpful. Been up a little while but think he only has to hold his form to prove hard to beat here.

3 Felix Majestic (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is putting together a tidy little record for Gary Nickson. He has won his past two, both coming at Rosehill. Latest of those wins was in a Midway where he led throughout and was there to be beaten but he found under pressure to fend them off and win. Harder here, but with his racing style, he’ll give himself every chance.

BEST BET: Race Nine Number 11 Arctic Glamour

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 2 Chief Conductor

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 10 Medatsu

Quaddie (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 2, 6, 7, 10

Leg Two: 2, 5, 6, 7, 12

Leg Three: 11

Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 10

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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