A strong card of racing has been assembled for Boxing Day racing at Randwick this Saturday where the feature race is the $125,000 Group lll Summer Cup (2000m). The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.
Race One (12:40) : Hyland Race Colours Plate 1200m:
Back Me: Doing this race on the assumption that Detective is racing in the B.J. McLachlan. I’ll go with Highland Beat, (Best Odds: $7.00) who could not have been more impressive in winning at Moonee Valley first up, leading most of the way to win comfortably. Unknown on a wet track, but is in the right stable and has the race day winning experience on the board.
Big Danger: Overreactive (Best Odds: $9.00) debuted in the Gimcrack and was far from disgraced when fifth to the highly regarded Calliope. Her two trials leading in have been solid, and she did trial well on a wet track prior to that Gimcrack run.
Roughie: Tickling (Best Odds: $15.00) debuted in the Wyong Magic Millions and was far from disgraced when running fourth to Magic Millions favourite and likely winner Capitalist. The trial prior was sharp and she is bred to swim.
Race Two (13:20) : McGrath Estate Agents Handicap (70) 1200m:
Back Me: River Wild (Best Odds: $3.40) on top for me here. This Coolmore colt for Gai Waterhouse had two runs during the Winter. He created a big impression when winning on debut at Kembla Grange, then came here and ran third to Wudang Mountain. Recent trial win here was very impressive and on potential, he looks a Stakes class horse.
Big Danger: Barood (Best Odds: $4.80) is a regally bred colt for Team Snowden who overcame severe difficulties to win last time out at Canterbury, and though he didn’t beat much, the way he won despite the negatives against him was impressive. He can definitely measure up here.
Roughie: Atalanta Miss (Best Odds: $15.00) resumes here for Patrick Payne. She hasn’t raced since running midfield in a Stakes race during the Adelaide Autumn Carnival behind talented galloper Prince Of Brooklyn. Recent Cranbourne trial was encouraging and she does run well when produced fresh.
Race Three (13:55) : Summer Cup 2000m:
Back Me: Mighty Lucky (Best Odds: $4.20) also comes through the Villiers where he worked home strongly to run fifth, beaten 2.2L. Massive query on him at 2000m, but based on his effort last start, he has to be rated as a serious winning hope.
Big Danger: Sebrina (Best Odds: $3.20) is on the back up once again from last Saturday where he ran a narrow second to Kontiki Dane over 1900m at Rosehill. She seemingly had her chance to win, but the winner was just too tough. Gives the impression she will handle 2000m and if the rain comes, she will improve.
Roughie: Get On The Grange (Best Odds: $26.00) steps up to Stakes level after toughing it out strongly to win over 1900m at Canterbury last time out. I don’t think he will have an issue running the trip out here, he is on the minimum and is a proven wet track performer.
Race Four (14:30) : TAB Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1600m:
Back Me: Bank On Henry (Best Odds: $8.00) will be given another chance for me. He ran over 1400m here a fortnight back and worked home well from the back to run seventh to Pera Pera and Shutter Bug. Loves getting his toe into the ground, he’ll relish the rise to 1600m and he gets a 2kg weight pull on those two horses.
Big Danger: Pera Pera (Best Odds: $3.10) was enormous in dead heating with Shutter Bug and arguably should have won the race outright if he had normal luck in the run but was stuck wide no cover. In form rider in Australia at the moment is Thomas Huet, so him on is a big positive, draws well and handles all conditions.
Roughie: Destined To Win (Best Odds: $81.00) could be a knockout hope at odds. He was ridden upside down two back at Canberra before going to Goulburn where he worked home strongly to run second to La Bella Rouge, who is a city performer, so the form doesn’t read bad and he won’t mind the track being wet, plus he drops 6kg.
Race Five (15:05) : Cellarbrations Handicap (78) 1200m:
Back Me: Progressive (Best Odds: $5.00) is an in form mare for Godolphin who has been impressive at her past two starts, winning on both occasions, and though it’s been narrow, it’s been slick nonetheless. Harder here, but stable is flying, as is the jockey, draws well…ticks the boxes.
Big Danger: Karakuchi (Best Odds: $5.00) ran over this track/distance last time out and stuck to the task quite gamely when running second to impressive winner Rule The River. Her last run on a wet track was ordinary despite her great record on rain affected ground, but Tommy Berry has ridden her to success before so I think him being back on is a positive.
Roughie: Tree Of Jesse (Best Odds: $9.00) is a talented mare who comes to this race off a little freshen up, where she kicked off her prep with a couple of very poor efforts. Recent trial win here was very encouraging, two time winner on this track and has won in the wet previously.
Race Six (15:45) : TAB Rewards December Handicap 1600m:
Back Me: Keen on the mare Telepathic (Best Odds: $2.00). She was one of the better runs of the beaten brigade in the Villiers (1600m), making up a stack of ground from near last to run sixth to Happy Clapper, beaten 3.6L. Remains at the mile, which is perfect on a wet track, and she will appreciate the drop in depth and class. Should take a power of beating.
Big Danger: Destiny’s Kiss (Best Odds: $10.00) resumes here for Joe Pride. He hasn’t raced since finishing down the track behind Music Magnate over 1400m here in October. Recent trials have been quiet, but he can run well fresh and this isn’t the strongest race going around.
Roughie: Der Meister (Best Odds: $21.00) resumes here for Paul Perry after a pretty solid Winter prep, which didn’t see him win, but he placed on a couple of occasions behind a couple of handy types in Maurus and Soviet Courage. No trials, but he ran well first up last time in, he loves a wet track and will be strong late.
Race Seven (16:25) : Canterbury Classic 1200m:
Back Me: Echo Gal (Best Odds: $5.00), like most here, comes through the Razor Sharp (1200m) where he was an absolute tragedy beaten, missing the start by two lengths before being kicked up to sit on speed and ended up getting beat in the last couple of strides. If she doesn’t have a cry and turn it up after that gutbuster and improves, she’ll take a power of beating.
Big Danger: Howmuchdoyoulove (Best Odds: $9.00) me has been given a month freshen up since running a game third to Dublin Lass in the Starlight (1100m) at Rosehill in what was a very solid performance and it proved the first up win was no fluke. A tough 1200m in testing conditions should really suit this horse and Sam Clenton remains on.
Roughie: Keep an eye on Soros (Best Odds: $51.00), who is making his Sydney debut under the care of Joe Pride after formerly being with Peter Moody and Kelly Schweida. His two trials leading in have been quite eye catching, he can handle a wet track and we know the record Pride has with tried horses.
Race Eight (17:05) : ATC Congratulates & Farewells Alan Thomas Handicap (85) 1000m:
Back Me: Husson Eagle (Best Odds: $8.00) was outstanding against the bias when resuming on Ballarat Cup Day, charging home from near last to run a close up fifth to Murt The Flirt, beaten 1.7L. He is another who has a solid record at Flemington, plus the first up run clearly indicated he is in for a very good prep. Just a little query on wet ground, but I am happy to take the gamble.
Big Danger: Voilier (Best Odds: $11.00) is a talented three year old for Gary Nickson who hasn’t raced since finishing down the track behind Metallic Crown in the Ming Dynasty (1400m). Resumes here with no trials, but he has class and quality, handles all conditions and has a very good record without winning at Randwick.
Roughie: One horse to definitely include in exotics is Floral Insight (Best Odds: $19.00), who rises in grade after contesting a couple of midweek events over 1000m. He won’t know himself with the weight relief, he loves give in the track and will be in it for a long way.
Race Nine (17:45) : TAB More Than Just Winning Handicap (75) 1400m:
Back Me: At a price, I’ll go with Mydream (Best Odds: $51.00) on an each way basis. Was not suited at all when resuming at Canterbury but she finished off her race quite nicely when running sixth to Selita. Bigger track is perfect, has a stack of upside and handles all conditions.
Big Danger: Disgraceful (Best Odds: $4.00) ran over this track/distance a fortnight back when chasing hard but couldn’t quite reel in Mr Entertainer and had to settle for second, beaten just under a length. Looks well placed here with the likely solid tempo and will be strong late.
Roughie: Lady Macan (Best Odds: $41.00) has been given a month freshen up since running midfield over 1900m at Rosehill behind Sebrina. She will be strong at the end of 1400m on a wet track, in form rider aboard and this is a very open race.
BEST BET: Race Six Number 3 Telepathic
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 1 River Wild
VALUE: Race Eight Number 8 Floral Insight
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 3
Leg Two: 3, 7, 8, 10, 12, 14
Leg Three: 2, 3, 6, 8, 11, 12
Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 8, 14
$50 Investment= 13.88% of the dividend if successful.
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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