Morphettville will play host to a strong card of racing on Saturday, where the feature race is the $100,000 Listed Christmas Handicap (1200m). The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One (13:08) : Schweppes Handicap (82) 2500m:
Back Me: Looks a nice race for Loncava (Best Odds: $1.90), trained by Tony McEvoy. He ran over 3000m at Moonee Valley last start and tried very hard when second to Packing Empire, beaten just over a length. Big drop in depth here, stable in form…should just win with normal luck.
Big Danger: Tunes (Best Odds: $2.90) toughed it out very strongly last start over 2400m on the Parks track where he looked as though he was going to run second to Triple Gold, but he kicked back hard and got the win. I didn’t think he could win there, so I won’t take any risks here.
Roughie: Grumpy Guru (Best Odds: $13.00) ran over 2000m here on Friday and was just fair I thought when fourth to impressive winner It’s Fred, who is one of the more in form gallopers in SA racing at the moment. Extra trip should suit this horse and is a definite knockout hope.
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Race Two (13:44) : Exelsuper Handicap (64) 1000m:
Back Me: Ascendance (Best Odds: $7.00) ran over 1250m on the Parks track a fortnight back where he showed good speed to lead and was only nabbed in the last couple of strides when a close up fourth to Kallara Village, beaten less than a half length. I think he might be better with sit and bunny to chase, and I think that should eventuate here.
Big Danger: Sir Charleston (Best Odds: $13.00) is a stablemate also of the top two tips. He resumed against the older horses at Gawler last week where he copped pressure in front and felt the pinch late when third to Wapping. Back to his own age now, draws well, fitter and is well weighted after the claim.
Roughie: Punter’s Lass (Best Odds: $16.00) is a stablemate of the top tip who resumed in a thin Murray Bridge maiden and coasted home after sitting on speed throughout. She’ll have to do some work from the gate here, but the first up win was very impressive.
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Race Three (14:19) : Nespresso Handicap (70) 2014m:
Back Me: Martian (Best Odds: $3.50) ran over this track/distance three weeks weeks back where he loomed to win but he had to settle for second to the in form Held Hostage. Should be at peak fitness now and should take some beating.
Big Danger: Gravitational (Best Odds: $5.00) will love the step up in trip after racing over 1550m on the Parks track two weeks ago where he worked home strongly to run third to Boys Getaround Him, beaten just under six lengths. He has a stack of upside and races well on the track.
Roughie: Robocop (Best Odds: $5.00) strung together two wins on the bounce before running over 1950m on the Parks track where he worked home okay late for third to Zerprise Journey. Bit harder here, but he has upside and will be better suited on the bigger track.
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Race Four (14:54) : Medallion Homes Handicap (70) 1200m:
Back Me: Royal Rumble (Best Odds: $2.30) is a talented galloper for the McDonald/Gluyas stable who strung together two wins before running on Finals Day at Flemington during the Winter when fifth to Authentic Choice, beaten two lengths. Recent trial here was very good and he is the clear class runner.
Big Danger: Heartz Ablaze (Best Odds: $5.00) has been given a month freshen up since running an even fourth to stablemate Evil Dreams over 1100m here. She does tend to race best when produced fresh, and though a query at 1200m, she has a touch of quality about her.
Roughie: Hazy Lane (Best Odds: $13.00) took on the older horses last time out and found that a bit tough when finishing down the track behind Stakes performer Coachella. Back to her own age now, small field and the slight drop in trip will be ideal.
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Race Five (15:33) : Farmers Union Iced Coffee Handicap (70) 1600m:
Back Me: Where’s Tim (Best Odds: $18.00) ran over this track/distance three weeks back where he worked home strongly late to run fifth to Tenere, beaten 2.5L. Easier race here I feel, he has upside and will be very strong at the end of a fast run 1600m.
Big Danger: Cavaloce (Best Odds: $4.60) ran over 1500m here three weeks ago where she sat near the speed and fought on alright late in the piece when running third to Coachella, beaten 2.3L. That was her third up run, so fourth up here, she should be ready fitness wise and prove hard to hold out.
Roughie: Astro Damus (Best Odds: $12.00) ran over 1250m on the Parks track a couple of weeks back where he worked home strongly late from the back to run fourth to all the way winner Kievann. Bit easier here, and the extra trip is perfect for this horse.
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Race Six (16:13) : Wayne Henson’s 70th Burthday Handicap (80) 1200m:
Back Me: Alabama Missile (Best Odds: $2.70) looks one of the better bets on the program. She was luckless last start at Moonee Valley, losing all momentum at a vital stage when appearing to travel well when running seventh to Celeritas, who will race at Caulfield as a leading contender. Big drop in depth here and gun apprentice takes over.
Big Danger: Regal Magnus (Best Odds: $4.40) was given a peach of a ride from Jamie Kah last time out over 1200m at this track, but just missed out on picking up Cool Maverick, who franked the form by running well next start and will be a leading chance earlier on in the day. Remaining at 1200m is ideal, draws a touch awkwardly but Jamie Kah remains on.
Roughie: Miss Adele (Best Odds: $11.00) is the clear blowout horse. She pulled up lame after her last start behind Ship’s Captain a fortnight back, but the amazing thing is that she produced the fastest final sectionals from the race. If she is 100% healthy in the run here, from the good draw, she’ll be a different threat.
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Race Seven (16:53) : Rite Price Heating & Cooling Handicap (75) 1100m:
Back Me: Trueno (Best Odds: $7.50) was outstanding in winning here two back before being sent to Moonee Valley when working home well out wide to run fourth to Sirrible, beaten 1.5L. This is his right level, Caboche stays on, draws well and is just so well placed with only 52.5kg on his back.
Big Danger: Alcobro (Best Odds: $4.00) resumed over 1000m on the Parks track a fortnight back when looking a little unlucky to finish third to Ship’s Captain, beaten 2.6L. Should get every chance from the gate here, he’s fitter and is a definite threat.
Roughie: Spiritof Endeavour (Best Odds: $18.00) resumes here for Ryan Balfour after a pretty solid Autumn prep, which only yielded a couple of placings, but a recent trial here was very encouraging, and he can produce a decent run fresh.
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Race Eight (17:33) : Adelaide Galvanising Christmas Handicap 1200m:
Back Me: Finding it hard to tip against Lord Aspen (Best Odds: $2.20), who appreciated the little freshen up and was simply outstanding in winning the City Of Marion (1200m), sitting four and five wide throughout but was just too classy. Provided that gutbuster has done him no harm, he should be too good for this lot again.
Big Danger: Karacatis (Best Odds: $8.50) was superb in winning first up on the Parks circuit before running a game third to Lord Aspen in that race mentioned above. He got slightly held up early on in the straight, but had his chance. Doubt he can turn the tables, but he should run well again.
Roughie: The horse that is a must for exotics is Whitlam (Best Odds: $26.00), who pretty much went to the line under triple wraps behind Lord Aspen. If he gets normal luck here, he can charge home late for a definite exotic spot, and it wouldn’t surprise me if he won.
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Race Nine (18:13) : Star Of Christmas Series Final (75) 1400m:
Back Me: Living Large (Best Odds: $3.00) steps up to 1400m after running over 1200m on this track last start where he tired to run fifth to Tipperary Lil, beaten just over a length. Gives the impression he will run 1400m and stable is in form.
Big Danger: Rationality (Best Odds: $8.00) was simply run off his legs when making his debut for Phillip Stokes last time out when fifth to Pepper The Pin. Bigger track and extra 100, as well as the weight claim for Emily Finnegan, brings this Arrowfield galloper right into contention.
Roughie: Ilovewhatsebrings (Best Odds: $31.00) resumed over 1200m at Murray Bridge and stuck to the task pretty well I thought when running fourth to Babitzin, who ran well in town the start prior so the form around Ilovewhatsebrings is pretty good, and though she is quickly stepping up to 1400m, she has placed at the track.
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BEST BET: Race Eight Number 6 Lord Aspen
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 1 Alabama Missile
VALUE: Race Eight Number 3 Whitlam
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 4, 5, 8, 11
Leg Two: 2, 7, 8, 12, 14
Leg Three: 6
Leg Four: 1, 5, 9, 10, 15, 16, 17
$50 Investment= 28.57% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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