Night racing continues at Canterbury this Friday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (7) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (18:15) Paul Lahood Funeral Serv. Mdn 1100m
With Forbes holding a large percentage of the market, you’ll get value if you like something else. I do like a couple here at odds, and on top is 3 Mazu (Bet Now: $7.50). Son of Maurice for Team Snowden on debut and his two trials have been pretty good to my eye, both times not really being pressured but appearing to move nicely. The double figures each way looks more than acceptable.
1 Forbes (Bet Now: $1.45) is a quality colt for the Freedman camp that resumes. Hasn’t raced since his debut in the Merson Cooper at Sandown where he looked all over a winner but wandered about under pressure and it allowed Anamoe to get up and beat him. Given a break with the Slipper in mind. The trial at Goulburn was solid, but nothing to jump up and down about. Market will be fascinating.
I’m very interested in 13 Conrad (Bet Now: $10.00). Kim Waugh doesn’t usually debut them in town so you have to respect when she does, and when she finds J Mac to steer. This colt has trialled up a couple of times this prep and won them both. Nothing flash on the clock but looks to have ability and should do no work from the gate.
Race 2. (18:45) Tab (bm64) 1200m
Bit surprised that nearly double figures is on offer for 8 Sammy (Bet Now: $8.00). He’s too well bred to be gelded, but I think that would make him a really nice horse if that were to happen. But, thankfully for him, he’s a colt, and I think he’s still good enough to resume a winner here. Has some solid form lines around him and his trials have been interesting. Second trial, he was there to stretch the legs out the back. Then the latest trial, Blinkers went on and he was much better behind Dawn Passage. Think he only runs well.
Market will be fascinating with 4 Jenga (Bet Now: $3.00), who is having start two for Team Hawkes. Debuted several weeks ago at Warwick Farm and made a mess of them in impressive fashion. The clock says she went solid, but the form out of it has been ordinary to say the very least, so keen to see what the betting will tell.
1 Dubai Star (Bet Now: $10.00) has the talent to take this out. Resumes for the WaterBott camp, having not raced since early October at Warwick Farm when pulling up slow to recover behind Instant Attraction. Just one soft trial 742m trial at Randwick to get ready, but it was a nice piece of work and she’s certainly good enough.
Race 3. (19:15) Iron Jack (bm64) 1900m
1 Mightybeel (Bet Now: $2.25) is a 3YO taking on older horses and concedes weight, but he just looks loaded with talent and I think he’s got the quality to take care of this lot. Wasn’t a great deal he beat over 1550m here last start, but it was the arrogance of the win, the way he put them away. Form out of it has been solid and the rise to 1900m is perfect.
6 Yiyi (Bet Now: $4.60) is racing in honest form at the moment for Chris Waller and should be thereabouts once again. That was the case last Saturday at Newcastle when a solid third behind Cliffs Of Moher on a testing wet track. 1900m no issue, draws soft and overall, this race is thin depth wise.
12 Boom And Zoom (Bet Now: $17.00) lacks the class of some of these, but is down in the weights and racing well. She ran in a Highway at Randwick just under two weeks ago over 1800m when near the speed and battling on strongly to run a close up third. She’ll land near the front and give a sight.
Race 4. (19:45) The Agency Real Estate (bm72) 1250m
3 What Could Be (Bet Now: $13.00) is flying for David Atkins and I can’t work out why $10+ is available. He has been excellent in two runs back from a spell, each run coming here. Latest run was at this track/distance when warming to the task late behind Kosciuszko. He can sit closer in the run from the good draw and a firmer surface is a big tick.
6 Born A Warrior (Bet Now: $3.70) doesn’t have the best of winning strike rates but he is a better horse than what that suggests. Two runs back from a spell, the latest coming at Warwick Farm when back in the run and working home strongly behind impressive winner Newsreader. Third up, hard fit and has upside.
Think a rise back up in trip suits 10 Noble Soldier (Bet Now: $5.50). Disappointing resumption over 1200m before being freshened up and coming back to 1000m last Tuesday at Goulburn when back in the run and finishing off well at the end behind Pedway. Back up in trip and fitter, he’s a knockout chance.
Race 5. (20:15) M&g Seafood (bm72) 1900m
Another that looks great value to my eye on this program is 10 Newtown Bluebag (Bet Now: $16.00). Was on his back when he raced over 1550m here two weeks ago and yes, speaking from my pocket, but with clear air, I think he wins the race instead of a luckless fifth behind Major Artie. Fitter, up in trip and drawn out, surely no bad luck this time around.
2 Major Artie (Bet Now: $3.30) is an interesting runner at 1900m. The WaterBott stable trains this lightly raced three year old, who showed good ticker to win over 1550m here last time out. He was on speed and there to be run down, but found plenty under pressure. Harder here and a rise in trip is the query, but he’s got the right racing pattern.
9 Impactful (Bet Now: $9.00) looks to have plenty of upside to come. Just remaining at 1900m is the knock but his resumption at this track/distance was more than encouraging I thought behind California Longbow, not beaten far. J Mac sticks which is a positive and his lone career win did come second up at this track.
Race 6. (20:45) Kia C'bury Sprint Final-bm78 1100m
Looks to be a stack of speed here, so want to be on a swooper and one that will be charging late is 3 Broken Arrows (Bet Now: $11.00). Resumed here two weeks ago where he just got too far back in the run but was warming to the task late in the piece in a good effort. Market said he would need the run. Goes much better second up and gets a significant jockey upgrade.
I am a big fan of 11 Najmah (Bet Now: $1.75) but just where she gets to in the run I’m not sure hence why I think the early price of around even money is rock bottom. Smashed the clock on debut at Kembla before coming here where she got control in front and dashed strongly. Loaded with talent. Just depends what pressure she cops and whether or not she can be as effective taking a sit.
I like that they resume 8 Stellar Pauline (Bet Now: $12.00) in a race like this and not the Fillies series ie Light Fingers/Surround. She’s a handy filly, but she’s not that level and that was proven in the Spring. This is more her level and she has trialled well in readiness for her return so keen to see how she goes.
Race 7. (21:15) Pfd Food Services (bm72) 1550m
Ordinary race to close out the card. A rise in trip and firmer footing should help the cause of handy three year old 2 Saffiano (Bet Now: $7.00). He just found the track too wet on the Kenso last time, which followed a strong win at Kembla. Like him up in trip and does have less convictions than most engaged.
6 Foxborough (Bet Now: $4.00) is the map horse. Either she leads or box seats. Whatever the scenario, she’s hard to beat. Attempted to lead throughout over this track/distance last time and battled on pretty well when third to the in form Joliette. She’s honest and should be thereabouts.
11 Weekend Affair (Bet Now: $9.00) doesn’t have the greatest of winning strike rates but is on the quick back up and the effort last Friday night wasn’t too bad I thought behind On The White Turf. Was the first off the bit but just kept chipping away when a close up fifth. Dangerous if he can sit closer in the run.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Three Number 1 Mightybeel
NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 10 Newtown Bluebag
LONG SHOT: Race Four Number 3 What Could Be
Quaddie Tips (Races Four Through To Seven):
Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 6, 10
Leg Two: 2, 4, 7, 9, 10
Leg Three: 3, 8, 9, 11
Leg Four: 1, 2, 6, 11
$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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