26/2/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Launceston, Launceston Cup day

A bumper ten race card has been assembled for Launceston on Wednesday where it is Launceston Cup Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

Launceston Cup 🏆: View the Field for the Launceston Cup

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Was on 6 Gee Gee Flash Too (Bet Now: $4.40) when narrowly beaten on Hobart Cup Day and happy to be with him again. He was good in defeat that day, doing a bit of work to get near the speed, but overall, he had his chance when finishing second. Tricky gate, and can press forward, but I’d like to see him ridden with cover, perhaps a three wide trail, and blend in on the turn.

1 Catch Me Paddy (Bet Now: $3.40) is working up to a win for Dylan Clark. Horror watch here two back behind Subtle Cross before being ridden positively by Froggy on speed and tried hard, but clearly no match for Chase On The Case. From gate one, Froggy has all the options in the world and should prove really hard to beat.

2 Le Monde De Lucas (Bet Now: $7.00) is the interesting one. Son of Lucas Cranach who has been freshened up and comes back to 1400m after a couple of outings at the mile where he has been okay without really being a winning threat. The run three back at this track/distance was more than sound, so perhaps one for multiples.

9 Rhode Away (Bet Now: $4.80) looks one of the better bets on the card. Ian Hay trains this five year old, who was a few weeks between runs and stepping up to 2100m from 1600m when racing on Hobart Cup Day and tried very hard, just outgunned late by a hard fit Nero Veloce. Has that run under the belt and the depth here isn’t overly strong. Keen on his chances.

5 Banca Syd (Bet Now: $26.00) looks the key and perhaps only serious threat to Rhode Away. Scott Brunton trains this guy, who comes through the same race from Hobart. He was back before McDougall elected to start rolling from around the 700m mark and stuck on pretty well without really being a winning threat behind Nero Veloce. Has upside as well, but not sure where he gets from the draw.

8 Red Fiore (Bet Now: $17.00) is one that can add value to exotics. He too comes through the Nero Veloce race from Hobart Cup Day. He was back early before making a mid race move to find the front and though safely held, was far from disgraced in running fourth. Should get a soft run from the soft gate and be around the mark.

With 1 Pennstock (Bet Now: $6.50), who resumes for Scott Brunton. This five year old hasn’t raced since December 18 when wide throughout and dropped out of the race after doing all that work in the run. Been given a break and has been tuned up for his return with a sharp 1400m trial win at Hobart, sitting off the speed before peeling wider and letting down strongly.

4 Louise (Bet Now: $8.00) has such an ordinary draw to overcome but I think Adam Trinder has her going well. Was really well supported when racing over the mile here last time but just got a fraction keen in the run behind the speed and that left her with not many petrol tickets for the straight. Back to a truly run 1400m should suit. Just depends where she gets to from the barrier.

9 Poolside Hendrick (Bet Now: $15.00) isn’t the worst against these. Market said he would need the run when resuming at this track/distance and that’s how it panned out, weakening late to finish down the track. Did place second up last prep behind a handy one in Ocean Essence and gets the in form Jess Eaton to steer.

Think Scott Brunton will be winning this race, possibly get the first two as well. I’m with 4 Malmas (Bet Now: $6.00), who has had two runs for the stable. He was awful first up behind Mr Churchill, overdoing it big time on speed. Ridden completely cold last time and was one of the runs of the meeting when third to Heaven’s Delight. Can sit closer in the run and third up, should be close to peak fitness.

9 Banstead (Bet Now: $5.00) is 2/2 this time in and no reason why he can’t make it three on the bounce. Last run came over the mile at Hobart and what I liked is that he really knuckled down when challenging and eventually drew clear to win impressively. That was from barrier 14 as well. Gets a much better gate this time around and should prove hard to beat.

1 Mr Churchill (Bet Now: $5.50) can be an improver here. Impressive winner at this track/distance two back before going to Hobart when back near last in the run and didn’t really fire a shot behind White Hawk. Senior jock on certainly helps. Not so much going up 5kg, but he does get a soft gate to perhaps take care of that somewhat.

In the corner of 4 Heavenly Light (Bet Now: $7.00). Scott Brunton has this filly absolutely flying at the moment, winning two of her past four, including last start in a Class One at Hobart when sitting off the speed before being presented clear air and she really put them away quickly and impressively. Confident she can measure up against these.

Very keen to see how 3 Galenus (Bet Now: $3.10) measures up. Resumes for the Brunton camp after winning his maiden over 1100m here before being spelled. Thought his Hobart trial win was good leading in and the fact he resumes in a good race like this off a maiden win tells me the stable have a good opinion of him.

8 Audrey (Bet Now: $14.00) has the recent runs on the board against these having placed in the Thousand Guineas two back behind Mystical Pursuit before going to the Carbine Club and being game in defeat behind Deroche. Not sure what upside she has left, but only has to hold her form to be around the mark against these.

2 Mandela Effect (Bet Now: $1.45) does look the one to beat and barring bad luck, he should win. Was five weeks between runs when contesting the Thomas Lyons and it was his turn of foot that came to the fore, just out sprinting Hellova Street in a good race. You’d think up to 1600m will only suit. The question is what does Froggy do from the gate.

1 Hellova Street (Bet Now: $2.70) has been an absolute beauty for a number of years and as it stands, he was third to Mystic Journey and The Inevitable as the best in Tassie, but that bronze medal goes to Mandela Effect after the Thomas Lyons. Hellova Street tried his guts out but was just no match for the younger stablemate. He saves his best for the Launceston mile and will give his all.

If there is going to be a total blowout here, it could well come via 3 The Chairman (Bet Now: $23.00), who has had two runs in Tassie and to the eye, he hasn’t done a great deal but the key is the blinkers. They really bring out the best in him and he gets them on for the first time since coming to Tassie. Gets a soft gate to do no work…surprised if he wins, but provided there is eight starters, could easily back him to place.

11 Deroche (Bet Now: $1.85) is short enough but in saying that, she does look the one to beat, especially with the weight pull. On the quick back up after taking out the Magic Millions here on Sunday and it was pretty much a barrier trial for her really. Sent out as a $1.22 favourite and wasn’t asked for much in winning, leading throughout. Good test here, think she can measure up, but around even money/odds on? She has to drift.

4 Platinum Angel (Bet Now: $4.60) is a Lindsey Smith trained mare who resumed in the Bow Mistress at Hobart where she was back and wide, but kept finding the line out wide and loomed to win, but her condition just gave way. Up to 1400m is a big tick for her…still got those dreaded Bar Plates on, but the Hobart run indicated she’s fine without them at the moment.

8 Miss Mandito (Bet Now: $20.00) could be a sneaky chance with luck in running. This mare resumed down the Flemington straight on Rapid Racing Day when off the speed and chasing well behind a handy one in Chicago Cub. Looking to get a blacktype placing next to her name, she draws well and gets Maskiell to steer.

Happy to go each way again with 1 Home By Midnight (Bet Now: $10.00). Was keen on him running well in the Hobart Cup but the tempo was clearly against him and just couldn’t sustain a 700-800m run. Think Launceston will suit him much better and the big tick going for him is the Blinkers back on to sharpen him right up for this.

4 Toorak Affair (Bet Now: $3.00) is looking to do the Hobart/Launceston Cup double. Her Hobart Cup win was dominant, outstanding and just so impressive, getting the sweet sit just off the speed before angling into clear air on the turn and she had the race won a fair way out. Has to rise to 57kg, but has the soft gate and is a deserving favourite.

11 Settler’s Stone (Bet Now: $35.00) has been an absolute beauty for a number of years and is contesting his fifth straight Launceston Cup. His previous four attempts, while not winning, have been excellent. Tuned up for his fifth crack with a fast finishing second to White Hawk over 2100m here. Down in the weights again, sits back and will be strong at the end.

4 Shot Of Irish (Bet Now: $2.90) on top for me. This Scott Brunton trained galloper is first up after what was a pretty good campaign during the Winter, which included several runs in Melbourne, placing behind the likes of Age Of Chivalry and Junipal. Thought his trial behind The Inevitable was very good and despite a tricky gate, happy to be in his corner.

Interested to see how 3 Ruettiger (Bet Now: $11.00) goes first up. His best days are behind him I think but looks to be going well enough to be around the mark here. He does have a very good first up record and he trialled alongside Shot Of Irish behind The Inevitable and looked very well also, so wouldn’t shock at all to see him win.

6 Minute Repeater (Bet Now: $31.00) is a Tegan Keys trained ten year old veteran that is first up, having not raced since August 25 when down the track on the Devonport Synthetic after doing a power of work out wide. Been given a good break and loved the way he closed off in his trial behind The Inevitable. Gate one to use, he’s a knockout chance.

Any luck from the wide gate and 5 Words Of Pride (Bet Now: $2.60) is the pony to bet on here. Ran over 1200m at Hobart last time out when doing work in the run from a wide gate and was huge in defeat when second to Silkstone. She’s been outstanding this time in and if she can get luck in the run, she’s the likely winner against these.

2 Cabarrus (Bet Now: $3.80) is a son of Squamosa that has put together a good record in a short space of time. That was 100% until last start at Hobart where he was dreadful behind Silkstone. Not sure what happened there, but the market knew because he was a notable drifter late in betting. Scratched from the Magic Millions on Sunday to be saved for this.

9 Tennessee Sky (Bet Now: $13.00) is the knockout chance in the get out. Comes through the Silkstone race at Hobart when doing work from the wide barrier to sit on speed and gave a good kick, but the last 50-75m, she just weakened and tired. If she can get on speed without doing as many petrol tickets this time around, she’ll be dangerous.

BEST BET: Race Two Number 9 Rhode Away

NEXT BEST: Race Race Three Number 1 Pennstock

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 1 Home By Midnight

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 4, 11

Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 7, 11

Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 6

Leg Four: 2, 3, 5, 9

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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