The big6 for Victorian punters on Saturday is on races 3-8 at Flemington. Here is my $20 strategy.
Leg 1 – Open race to kick off the big6. Swooper hasn’t won for a while but does have the best form. Risk It All was game in defeat behind Eruptious and looks perfectly placed to win. Geejayhaitch probably wasn’t suited by the speed last start. He needs the pace to be slow to even for a forward showing. Rowland will win a race this prep, will it be here?
Leg 2 – I am a fan of Stratcombe, but down the straight for the first time is a concern. For that reason, I’ll leave him out. Spurcific only needed one more bound to win last start behind Liveandletdie. With the claim, she looks the winner. The main danger will be Royal Bender. Very consistent filly for Darren Weir. Tried her heart out last Saturday and will love the weight drop.
Leg 3 – Looks the ideal race for Shadowfax to continue his winning ways. Drawn wide, but Rodd should ease back and get some cover and just sprout his wings and record another win. Only danger is the flying wet tracker Mr Make Believe. He won’t get conditions to suit, but he is flying.
Leg 4 – Even race. Finishing Card has started twice at Flemington for two unplaced runs, but he is a much better horse now. Led and fought on well at the Valley last week when beaten by Philda. Handles all conditions and should press forward from the barrier for Danny Nikolic. De Mars took off in the Swan Hill Cup and was gunned down late. Meets the winner 3kg better off here. Mr Griswold beat all but iron horse Jungle Ruler last start. Looks perfectly placed here. Titus Vinius might be looking for further, but if the speed is on, he’ll be finishing off well. Moment To Savour has been in excellent form this time in, but his form on dry tracks is a worry.
Leg 5 – I can see four legitimate winning hopes. Secret Flyer enjoyed the hectic pace to win last start at Caulfield. Elusive Touch, if right, would beat these, but he is first up since September and might need this. Gran Sasso was most unlucky last Saturday behind Candle and he loves the straight course. Morgan Dollar is ultra-consistent and looks well weighted thanks to the claim.
Leg 6 – I am going to be brave and stand out Ulundi. Should have bolted in last start at this track over 2000m when beaten in a close finish behind Midnight Martini. Drops back 280m in journey, but he has plenty of upside and he did contest the three-year-old classic races in the Spring. Cheer him home.
Leg 1: 1, 2, 4, 7
Leg 2: 2, 3
Leg 3: 4, 16
Leg 4: 5, 6, 7, 8, 12
Leg 5: 1, 2, 3, 6
Leg 6: 6
A $20 investment = 6.25% of the dividend if successful.
Written by Adam Page
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