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The show that is Winx will continue on this Saturday at Randwick in the feature race, the Group l Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m), and that highlights another brilliant card of racing at ‘Headquarters’. The weather forecast is for showers, the track is soft (6) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

 

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Race One (12:45) : Auckland Racing Club Trophy (85) 2000m:

Back Me: 1 Montauk (Best Odds: $4.20) can be a hard horse to trust, but he does seem to have found some consistency in recent times, largely due to the genius work of Avdulla, who has ridden him a treat the last three outings, resulting in two wins and a narrow second. 2000m probably sees him out, but at this level, it suits him perfectly.
Big Danger: 6 Most Exalted (Best Odds: $3.80) should be forgiven for his horrendous effort at Warwick Farm last start given he was on a bottomless surface and just couldn’t pick his feet up with the big weight. Only carries 51kg here and will take a stack of beating back in trip, plus he trialled well last week after that last start failure.
Long Shot: 4 King’s Officer (Best Odds: $7.00) is a horse I was quite keen on last Friday night at Canterbury but gee he let me down badly with a horrible performance behind Lord De Air. He is much better than that and the start prior, which came at this track/distance behind Montauk, is the form you need to look at.

 

 

Race Two (13:25) : TAB Highway Plate (Class 3) 1600m:

Back Me: 4 Dreadlock (Best Odds: $5.00) looks one of the better bets on the program here to my eye. Former Tony McEvoy runner that has had three runs for Clint Lundholm, winning one and placing the other two, the latest coming over the Mudgee 1400m when beaten narrowly by Shadow Affair. Looks suited up to the mile, and I think he will be more effective with cover.
Big Danger: 5 Medieval (Best Odds: $5.50) ran over 1800m in a Highway here lasy Monday where he was given every chance in the run by Corey Brown and he loomed to win the ace, but was just no match late for Bills A Goodie. That tough 1800m effort, should see him cherry ripe for the mile here, and the stable is near unbeatable in the Highway.
Long Shot: 2 Grange Rouge (Best Odds: $19.00) is the improver here for sure. Was okay first up behind Chosen Prayer before running in a Rosehill Highway where he was a flop behind Madame De Ban, who ran well behind Perfect dare in the Country Championship Qualifier. That form reads very well for this, and he does have a tidy record at Randwick.

 

 

Race Three (14:00) : Vale Edgar Britt OAM Sweet Embrace Stakes 1200m:

Back Me: 1 Teaspoon (Best Odds: $5.50) is an absolute beauty for Michael Freedman and Arrowfield Stud. Two from two and both times she has been impressive. Not so much ability, but her heart and desire to win, which is a great trait to have with two year olds. Form around her isn’t the greatest, but it doesn’t have to be in this field given the lack of depth.
Big Danger: 3 Exceeds (Best Odds: $6.00) is the hard fit filly with form around her and in the right stable. Sharp winner first up before beating all bar Veranillio in the Lonhro Plate. That horse came out and placed behind She Will Reign, the ruling Slipper favourite. Question on her at a strong 1200m, but she is one of the key chances for sure form wise.
Long Shot: 9 Shudabeen (Best Odds: $26.00) is the very interesting runner here. Handily bred filly that resumes for Tim Martin after failing in a 2YO maiden at Warwick Farm in November. Has always looked sharp at the trials, and that has been the case leading up to her first up run here. If she brings her trial efforts to raceday, she’d be right in this.

 

 

Race Four (14:35) : Schweppes Skyline Stakes 1200m:

Back Me: Surprised that 3 Single Bullet (Best Odds: $5.00) was $9 all in for this race. He is a serious colt who will certainly be a threat come the Golden Slipper. Had two runs to kick off his career. The tight turns beat him in the Wyong Magic Millions on debut behind Madeenaty before facing a bog track at Warwick Farm. Trial last week was outstanding, and the noise out of the stable is very strong.
Big Danger: 8 Dracarys (Best Odds: $3.60) has been the big mover since the scratching of Menari. I didn’t think much of his debut win at Warwick Farm, but on second viewing, you had to be impressed because he clearly didn’t look at home on the bog track, yet he still got through it to win. Will be much better on top of the ground and stable knows what it takes with their youngsters.
Long Shot: 7 Coruscate (Best Odds: $8.00) was a drifter in the market when debuting under the lights at Canterbury but despite the fluc, he was given a sweet steer by Doyle and the colt showed a lovely turn of foot to get the job done. O’Shea was quite bullish about him post race and held him in high regard, so I’ll respect his judgement here.

 

 

Race Five (15:10) : Openmarkets & BMYG Liverpool City Cup 1300m:

Back Me: 3 Chetwood (Best Odds: $2.20) is a high class animal that should be forgiven for his first up failure in the Australia Stakes at Moonee Valley. It was a poor ride by Doyle, but overall, I think he just struggled around the Valley. Back home now and finds a very winnable race here. Should get a very comfortable lead and 1300m is perfect. Clear horse to beat.
Big Danger: 4 Big Money (Best Odds: $6.50) is a grand campaigner for Rod Northam who went within a lip of winning another feature race a fortnight back in the Southern Cross where he beat all bar Le Romain in a thrilling finish. He is a risk beyond 1200m, but off that last start effort, you’d have to think he will handle it.
Long Shot: 8 New Tipperary (Best Odds: $19.00) is a talented up and comer for Joe Pride that resumes here on a possible Sydney Cup path. He was one of the real finds of the Spring, winning three on end before being tipped out with the Autumn in mind. Hawkesbury trial was good, he goes well fresh and though the likely slow tempo will be against him, he will be good to the line late. Exotic player.

 

 

Race Six (15:50) : Theraces.com.au Surround Stakes 1400m:

Back Me: 5 Spright (Best Odds: $11.00), like most here, comes through the Light Fingers where she was a bit unlucky not to win the race given jockey Corey Brown did drop the whip with about 100m to go where she was really savaging the line, and in the end wasn’t beaten far. 1400m is a query with her, but off last start, she surely will get it.
Big Danger: 4 Omei Sword (Best Odds: $4.60) was due to run a few weeks back but was held back to saved for this after a slight issue. She showed during the Spring she is a star filly and had it not been for injury, she would have won a Group l. Trial on January 27 leading up to this was very good to the eye and we know how classy she is.
Long Shot: 7 Sezanne (Best Odds: $19.00) resumed four weeks back over 1350m at Rosehill where she was hard in the market but to the eye was quite disappointing when sixth to another three year old filly, Invincible Gem, who franked the form in the Spring Stakes. Trial since was very good and she can definitely bounce back against her own age/sex.

 

 

Race Seven (16:30) : TAB Chipping Norton Stakes 1600m:

Back Me: 9 Winx…(Best Odds: $1.10) we don’t need to say much really. Best turf horse in the business and confirmed that she has come back into work superbly after a dominant first up win in the Apollo where she was arrogant once again. Randwick mile has seen her produce some of her career best efforts, and it will be only about times and margins.
Big Danger: 1 Hartnell (Best Odds: $8.00), in another generation, would be considered one of the greats, but he is just in the era of Winx. Make no mistake, his first up effort in the Apollo was outstanding and one of the runs of the race. The problem is that Winx was three lengths ahead of him. 99% sure he won’t turn the tables, but he should run second.
Long Shot: The obvious third pick is 8 Endless Drama (Best Odds: $18.00). He too resumed in the Apollo and if you took away Winx and Hartnell, his run was outstanding and you’d think this’ll be the star of the Autumn. He could still well be a star, but he will be running for minor prizemoney here. The logical trifecta choice.

 

 

Race Eight (17:10) : Guy Walter Stakes 1400m:

Back Me: 3 Danish Twist (Best Odds: $4.00) for me here. Her run was enormous I thought when she was first up in the Breeders Classic three back. She was back near last in a slowly run race and just had too much to do with that pace yet to her credit she loomed large with about 150m to go. Her condition just gave way late. Should come right on from that and rates highly for me.
Big Danger: 4 Dixie Blossoms (Best Odds: $3.80) resumed in the Triscay and looked to truck up really well in the run, wide with cover, and once Tim Clark eased her wider, she did look the winner for the most part but her condition just gave way late. Should take enormous benefit from that outing and she has class on her side.
Long Shot: Really interested to see how 7 Happy Hannah (Best Odds: $16.00) goes here. She ran some cracking races during the Spring, but just couldn’t win. But admittedly, she should have won during Cup Week but just got too far back in the run. Thought she trialled well here last week, she can sprint well fresh and look for her to attack the line.

 

 

Race Nine (17:50) : Byron Thomas Recruitment Handicap (85) 1200m:

Back Me: 8 Your Way (Best Odds: $1.60) is a mare that is putting together a very impressive record and I am happy to be in her corner again. She ran over this track/distance last Monday where she had the charmed run before Tim Clark pushed the button and she produced a lovely turn of foot to get the job done. Proven weight carrier, so the extra 2.5kg from that win to here is no issue and she maps well once again.
Big Danger: 5 Lofty’s Menu (Best Odds: $3.40) is a sparingly raced gelding that should be watched closely here. Bolted up in the Goulburn Country Championship Qualifier last year before running a game fifth in the final. hasn’t raced since then, but looked very good in a Goulburn trial, a trial which involved Pumpkin Pie. That reads well for this, and keep in mind that Lofty’s Menu is four from four when produced fresh.
Long Shot: 3 Grand Punto (Best Odds: $9.00) has done bugger all in two runs back from a break, but this is the sort of race he could easily bob up in. Ran down the track behind Your Way, but was making ground very late. If the rain comes, he is right in the mix because a host of these will struggle to pick their feet up.

 

 

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 3 Danish Twist

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 3 Chetwood

VALUE: Race Six Number 5 Spright

 

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 4, 5, 7

Leg Two: 9

Leg Three: 3, 4

Leg Four: Field

$50 Investment= 125% of the dividend if successful

 

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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