Nine races will be run and won at Randwick on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is out seven metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One (11:25) : McGrath Estate Agents Plate 1200m:
Back Me: 3 Florid (Bet Now: $11.00) on top for me in a really good off season juvenile event. This colt resumes after a two run Autumn prep. Was awful first up in the Black Opal prelude behind Gunnison before going to Newcastle where he toughed it out strongly on speed under Penza to score a narrow but sharp win. Trial efforts leading in have been quite good and we know he has quality.
Big Danger: 8 Lipizzan (Bet Now: $6.50) is a handy filly for Gary Portelli but she can do a bit wrong. Toughed it out strongly on speed to win two back at Canterbury before racing over 1000m here two weeks ago where she was wayward in the straight but clearly no match for a potential Group l filly in Champagne Cuddles. That reads very well for this.
Long Shot: 5 Music Addition (Bet Now: $8.50) was unwanted in betting when debuting at Gosford but despite the market drift, the son of Your Song was very impressive to the eye, leading all the way to bolt up and running sharp time. Tougher here, but I’m trusting what I saw on debut and I think he can measure up.
Race Two (12:00) : Hyland EOFY Sale Handicap (78) 1200m:
Back Me: Going for some value here in the shape of 10 Aquatic (Bet Now: $11.00). He doesn’t have the greatest of winning strike rates, but his win did come at this track/distance. Two back he ran well against the bias when second to Ghostly, who will start favourite here. He meets that horse 4.5kg better off here. Aquatic then raced at Canterbury and again was good from the back behind Passage Of Time. Great each way play.
Big Danger: 11 Peaceful Sea (Bet Now: $12.00) had really confident market support when resuming last Wednesday at Canterbury where she looked to really lack the turn of foot but she was strong to the line when third to Sangiovese. Back to her own age now, fitter, bigger track and up to 1200m are all huge ticks.
Long Shot: 7 Suspenders (Bet Now: $14.00) resumed in the Denise’s Joy during the Scone Carnival and nothing really went right for her when finishing down the track behind Miss Debutante. Has since been back to the trials and looked outstanding last Tuesday. If she brings her best, she’s a big chance here.
Race Three (12:35) : Schweppes Handicap (81) 1400m:
Back Me: 1 Heavenly Anna (Bet Now: $3.30) is a talented mare for the Kerry Parker camp who is creeping up in the weights due to her winning ways in recent times but she is facing a similar field to the one that she spanked here a fortnight back at this track/distance. The key to her is a wet track, and drawing wide, so she is clear of runners.
Big Danger: 2 Test The World (Bet Now: $3.00) is an absolute ripper for the Bjorn Baker yard. Every time he has asked this filly to step up to the plate, she has delivered. She ran over 1200m at Rosehill last Saturday in a similar race and gee she found plenty under pressure to get the job done, albeit in a bunched finish. Angland has all the options in the world and she rates highly.
Long Shot: 7 Love’s A Fantasy (Bet Now: $8.50) rises back up in depth after racing at the midweeks at Canterbury a tick over two weeks back where she really struggled on the bottomless track behind Cleeve Hill. Back on firmer ground now, right down in the weights and maps superbly from the gate. Knockout chance.
Race Four (13:10) : TAB Highway Handicap (Class 3) 1200m:
Back Me: 2 Atlantic Sentinel (Bet Now: $8.00) put a frustrating run of outs behind him when racing on the Acton track at Canberra a couple of Fridays back where he was hard in the market and justified the confidence with a commanding win. That should do his confidence the world of good and is a knockout chance at odds.
Big Danger: 6 Bulala (Bet Now: $6.00) is the big watch here. Peter Morgan has nominated a couple for the Highway recently but he runs this boy, so I think that’s noteworthy. This gelding spanked them fresh at Gundagai, running over seconds quicker than the other races at that trip
Long Shot: 7 Leap Of Legend (Bet Now: $8.00) spanked them in his first two runs this prep at Grafton before going to the Gold Coast where he was a drifter in the market but worked home with real purpose behind More Patasi, who has since run well without much luck. Draws the inside gate and you always respect the stable.
Race Five (13:45) : Ron Finemore Transport Handicap (85) 2400m:
Back Me: 5 Northern Journey (Bet Now: $9.00) looks a major, major threat here. David Briedoake runner who surprised everyone with his win at Flemington two back at over $101 before going to the Valley where nothing went right for him in a messy race behind Gallic Chieftain. He is a swimmer, he’s a stayer and has upside.
Big Danger: 2 Richard Of Yorke (Bet Now: $4.00) is the key threat. Tough, tough stayer for the Waller yard who attempted to lead all the way in the Stayers Cup and was given a peach by Avdulla, and the ride deserved the win but just no match late for Plot Twist. Back to 2400m looks perfect, he maps well, hard fit, likes Randwick…ticks the boxes.
Long Shot: Back up in trip should suit 6 Get On The Grange (Bet Now: $10.00). He ran over 2000m here a fortnight back where he had specking at longer odds and while the move didn’t come off, he ran pretty well in defeat when fifth to Wildflower. His record beyond 2000m is okay and he gets really good weight relief.
Race Six (14:25) : Racing To Win Handicap 1600m:
Back Me: 6 Berry Delicious (Bet Now: $8.00) is a really good mare for the Jason Coyle yard who is knocking on the door to win a race and she gets her chance here. She comes through the Spear Chief at Doomben where she was really good on a rock hard track behind Payroll. Back onto a track with give in it, I’m keen on her.
Big Danger: 7 Liapari0 (Bet Now: $4.00) is on the seven day back up after racing over 1500m at Rosehill last Saturday where he was given a Bowman special, diving through nearer the inside and bursting through to grab the win right on the peg. Fab record at Randwick and has run well on the quick back up before.
Long Shot: 9 Sultan Of Swing (Bet Now: $5.50) is the x factor here. Kiwi visitor with some really good form behind him and is up to the mile once again after racing over 1500m at Rosehill three weeks back where he ran a game second to Louie Sea Kay. If he runs the trip out, his ability and speed will come to the fore.
Race Seven (15:05) : Can Assist Winter Dash 1200m:
Big Danger: 5 Kudero (Bet Now: $3.70) has found a new lease on life since coming back to Clarry Conners. He has been great in two runs back from a spell. Bolted in first up over 1100m here before going to the June Stakes where he ran a gutsy second to tearaway winner The Monstar. Looking for 1200m and he gets it here.
Big Danger: This is D-Day for 9 Tessera (Bet Now: $2.45). This will tell us if he is a contender or a pretender. First two runs back were outstanding without luck before he failed on the Eagle Farm track. Sent to the trials last week and went very nicely I thought behind stablemate Ghostly. He does handle wet ground, he’s on the minimum, fit, and has class.
Long Shot: 3 Mount Nebo (Bet Now: $11.00) could be the sharp improver here at odds. He hasn’t raced since May 20 when finishing down the track in the Chief De Beers behind The Virginian, but I will say he didn’t get much luck in the straight. Returns to Sydney and he does have a real liking for Randwick, and is best on the fresh side.
Race Eight (15:45) : Tamworth Professionals Handicap (78) 1400m:
Back Me: 7 Clear The Beach (Bet Now: $6.00) looks one of the better bets on the program. Really talented type for the Greg McFarlane yard who resumed with a dominant win at Rosehill before racing here where he was nabbed right on the peg by the hard fit Stella Ombra. Should be ready third up from a break and rates highly.
Big Danger: 5 Pelethronius (Bet Now: $8.00) is an in form galloper for the Pfieffer yard, who is two for two this time in. Toughed it out strongly to win fresh at Kembla Grange before going to Warwick Farm where he repeated the dose and proved the fresh win was no fluke. Harder here, but he draws well and should be cherry ripe fitness wise.
Long Shot: 6 Tap That (Bet Now: $35.00) is the watch horse here. Waratah horse that resumes for John Thompson off the back of just one run in the Autumn where he finished down the track behind Deploy. Trials leading in have been good, both of them, both in solid time, so he has been given a good grounding to run a cheeky race fresh.
Race Nine (16:25) : Jackson Pastoral Company Guyra Handicap (78) 1000m:
Back Me: 3 Isorich (Bet Now: $10.00) represents value for me in the get out. He is three weeks between runs since racing over 1200m at Rosehill where he tried hard but just didn’t quite run the trip out behind Firsthand. Back to 1000m is a big tick, plus he draws a sweet gate with the claim for Adkins. Each way all day for me.
Big Danger: 2 Sangiovese (Bet Now: $6.00) bounced back to winning form last Wednesday at Canterbury over 1100m where she had confident market support and justified it with a narrow but sharp win. Back to 1000m is perfect and she does have a really good record at Randwick. One of the leading contenders.
Long Shot: 11 Minnesota (Bet Now: $11.00) ran a really good race here fresh on Anzac Day behind Ice Bucket before going to Gosford where he was game in defeat behind the nippy Tornadic. She does have a really good record at Randwick and being third up, she should just about be ready fitness wise.
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BEST BET: Race Five Number 5 Northern Journey
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 6 Berry Delicious
VALUE: Race Four Number 2 Atlantic Sentinel
Have A Tip? – Post Your Tip in the Comment Section Below
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 5, 6, 7, 9
Leg Two: 3, 5, 7, 9
Leg Three: 5, 6, 7, 8, 10
Leg Four: 2, 3, 6, 11, 15
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