Ballarat will host their biggest race day this Saturday with the combination of key Magic Millions races supporting the feature, the Ballarat Cup (2200m). The weather is overcast, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out three metres from the 600m-Winning Post; True for the remainder.
Race 1. (12:25) Hertz Ballarat Handicap (78) 1200m
Back in trip and on her home track, 3 So Far Sokool (Bet Now: $15.00) should take beating. She ran over 1400m against the mares on Cup Day at Flemington where she was outclassed behind Cool Passion, who of course won last Saturday to frank the form. Back to 78 grade, she has carried 58.5kg to win in the past so the weight isn’t an issue for mine.
2 Freehearted (Bet Now: $8.00) has been kept on ice for Darren Weir since last running in the Tristarc where the slow tempo didn’t help her cause at all. That, and I think the class factor was a stretch. Looks very well placed back to 78 grade and she is a mare who does tend to race best when produced on the fresh side.
8 Nariko (Bet Now: $8.00) is a Mick Price trained mare who comes here off the back of a solid effort on Bendigo Cup Day where she was wide no cover for the trip but stuck to the task pretty well in defeat behind dominant winner Carlingford. Looks suited up to 1200m and any rain certainly won’t hurt her prospects.
Race 2. (12:55) Global Turf Handicap (70) 1100m
6 I Am Someone (Bet Now: $2.30) for me. Paul Preusker trains this four year old, who was well supported when resuming over 955m last Friday night at the Valley but just had too much to do from the back so in the end I think he did a great job to get as close as he did. Form around him reads well and won his lone second up appearance.
7 Rox The Castle (Bet Now: $3.40) is a Kerry Edwards trained gelding that resumes. He had a two run Winter prep on wet tracks and bolted up each time, with both races proving to be strong form references, so there is plenty of ticks for him leading into today, and his recent Cranbourne trial looked very good.
5 Via Balciano (Bet Now: $8.00) is an I Am Invincible trained gelding that resumes for the Lloyd Kennewell team. He won at this meeting last year when an above average four year old. 12 months on, I’m not sure he’s going as better but his efforts during the Adelaide Carnival were encouraging enough. Recent jump out looked decent and he’s a good fresh horse.
Race 3. (13:30) Champions Estate Handicap (78) 2300m
Hard to get away from the Darren Weir trained 3 Ocean Walzer (Bet Now: $3.20). Loved the way he got the job done last time under the lights at Moonee Valley, aided by such a sweet steer from Ethan Brown, and that form was franked last Friday night via stablemate Truly High. Looks well suited back to 2300m and on the bigger track.
Perhaps back in trip will suit 2 Bling Dynasty (Bet Now: $11.00). Paul Preusker trains this stayer, who has raced at 2500m+ at his past two in Adelaide where he has been okay but hasn’t really attacked the line with any purpose. Been a while since he has greeted the judge, but this is the sort of race he could easily bob up in without surprising.
8 The Dominator (Bet Now: $10.00) is gearing up towards the Jericho Cup and this will be the final tune up for him I would assume. His two wins at his last couple of runs, over 3000m+, have been impressive, slogging it out best to get the job done. If we got a bottomless surface and it was last man standing, he’d be the horse to back.
Race 4. (14:05) Magic Millions 2YO Clockwise Classic 1000m
2 Ancestry (Bet Now: $7.00) is a Hayes/Dabernig colt who showed good speed when having his first start in the Debutant at Caulfield and I thought he was far from disgraced in defeat in a race won by Champagne Boom, who looks very good and ran well on Cup Day. Had a jump out here last week and went beautifully to my eye. Got the race experience under the belt and in the right stable.
10 Not A Royal Doubt (Bet Now: $2.60) is a WaterBott filly having her first start. This girl trialled a few weeks back at Randwick and though pushed out, she was impressive and that form has been franked via Kiamichi. Being by Not A Single Doubt, a bit of rain certainly won’t harm her chances. Looks a lovely type and should run well.
1 Alburq (Bet Now: $21.00) is a son of Rubick on debut for Michael Moroney. He trialled here last week in a clockwise jump out and while he wasn’t as impressive as Ancestry, he still did everything right and moved well. I think he’ll need to improve sharply off that to win, but two year olds can easily do that.
Race 5. (14:40) VOBIS Gold Eureka Stockade 1400m
1 Enbihaar (Bet Now: $2.70) is two weeks between runs for the Hayes/Dabernig team after racing over 1400m on Stakes Day at Flemington where I thought Zahra gave the filly a lovely steer and she looked home but first run in a month, her condition just gave way when fourth to Ringerdingding, with that form clearly franked. Fitter and back to this level, I’m really keen on her chances.
4 Winning Partner (Bet Now: $4.00) looks a nice gelding for the Tony McEvoy team who did a bit wrong when resuming on Bendigo Cup Day but once he put his mind to the task late, he drew clear and won impressively. Not sure he beat much, but it was the manner in which he did it that was impressive. Confident he can measure up.
2 Really Swish (Bet Now: $9.50) is still a maiden but his record suggests that he’s well and truly better than a maiden horse. Two lengths off Ranier in the Gothic two back before racing in a maiden here and just missing out on picking up Dalswinton. He’ll get back and be strong at the end I’m sure. Knockout chance.
Race 6. (15:20) Suez McKellar Mile (70) 1600m
11 Ryan’s Fender (Bet Now: $6.00) will do me. Matt Cumani trains this gelding, who is first up. Hasn’t raced since late June when producing a lovely finale from the back to win over the mile at Bendigo before being tipped out. Jumped out really well last Tuesday here and from gate one, hopefully he can take advantage.
13 Pure Scot (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Hayes/Dabernig trained mare who got the job done nicely first up over 1400m here before racing over 1700m on Oaks Day at Flemington where she didn’t have a great deal of luck in the run. Third up at the mile on a track she has won at, plus with the claim for Kersley, she appeals.
4 Kentucky Breeze (Bet Now: $6.50) hasn’t done much for over 12 months but I thought there were encouraging signs on Cup Day over 1400m when settling midfield and sticking to the task well in defeat behind Fifty Stars, who franked the form. Racing as if the mile will suit and overall, this isn’t the strongest race going around.
Race 7. (16:00) The Haymarket Ballarat Handicap (84) 1400m
8 Haunted (Bet Now: $3.80) is a James Cummings trained four year old who comes here off the back of a placing on Cup Day at Flemington over 1400m where he was near the speed and fought on well behind a good one in Fifty Stars. Run prior behind Superhard at Moe, he didn’t have luck, and meets that horse 5kg better off here.
If he’s got enough petrol in the tank, 5 Superhard (Bet Now: $4.20) should take some beating for Darren Weir. Won a couple on the bounce prior to racing during Cup Week in the Country Series Final where he ran a game second to the above average Cochada. Back to 1400m looks ideal for him. Just depends if he has anything left in the tank.
10 Wenner (Bet Now: $16.00) is a handy son of Written Tycoon for the Kenny Keys stable who resumed on Kyneton Cup Day where he was on speed all the way and fought on well but just seemed to run out of puff late when third to Smart Coupe. Really good second up record and tends to save his best for the 1400m.
Race 8. (16:40) Ballarat Cup 2200m
I think 7 Luvaluva (Bet Now: $7.50) was racing for her career last time in the Matriarch at Flemington and she redeemed herself with a close up third to Kenedna. The negative is that the race was run at a farcical tempo but the big tick is that despite being outsprinted, she came again and surged. If she improves off that, she’s a clear threat.
1 Life Less Ordinary (Bet Now: $9.00) is absolutely flying for Chris Waller and is very deserving of a win. Little unlucky not to finish closer in the Kennedy Mile before backing up over 1800m on Cup Day and running a game second to stablemate Kaonic. He deserves a win on the board and I think he gets a great chance here against this lot.
6 Mask Of Time (Bet Now: $21.00) looks to be going really well for the Maher/Eustace but he’ll be doing a rain dance and hoping the heavens open up. I think had he got a wet track last Saturday in the Eclipse, I think he would have won. Up in trip looks ideal and hopefully the forecast for rain is right if you like his chances.
Race 9. (17:20) Magic Millions 3YO & 4YO Classic 1100m
I think 1 Bel Sonic (Bet Now: $7.00) can only run well. Jason Warren trains this son of Bel Esprit, who seems to be most effective when produced on the fresh side. Hasn’t raced since the Creswick Final in the Winter at Flemington when closing off from the back to run fourth to Nature Strip. Recent Cranbourne trial was very good and will be charging late.
5 Platinum Angel (Bet Now: $2.30) is the unknown. At her best, she’ll beat these comfortably but it’s just a question mark of where is she at. She hasn’t raced since the Blazer where she pulled up with Cardiac Arrhythmia in a total forgive. Run prior behind Winter Bride was a beauty and that form would see her win this. Market will be the guide as to whether or not she’s going any good.
12 Terminology (Bet Now: $27.00) isn’t one of mine, but the speed map says she could give cheek in front. The WaterBott stable trains this filly, who is still a maiden but has contested decent races since day one. Resumed at Canterbury where the market said she’d need the run and that’s how it panned out when second to Tell Me. She’ll jump, run and give a sight.
Race 10. (17:55) No Fuss No Event Hire Handicap 1200m
I think 1 Jungle Edge (Bet Now: $3.90) is a good thing the way the race sets up now. He’s an absolute beauty for the Mick Bell team who hasn’t raced since the Manikato where he was on speed and wasn’t too bad in defeat behind Brave Smash. Gets a wet track, the claim sees him thrown in at the weights and Michael Poy, for an apprentice, is a very good judge of tempo.
3 Stellar Collision (Bet Now: $8.50) will appreciate the drop in depth after running down the straight during Cup Week. He was never going to win behind Teleplay, but the margin was exaggerated by the Galaxy Raider fall. Good third up record and off the resumption behind Runson, he could easily fire here.
10 Man From Uncle (Bet Now: $7.00) is a real enigma for Darren Weir but he can certainly win this if he was anywhere near his best form. He ran over 1400m on Cup Day where he was wide all the way and should be forgiven behind stablemate Fifty Stars. Back to 1200m looks his go and should appreciate the drop in depth.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 2 Ancestry
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 6 I Am Someone
LONG SHOT: Race One Number 3 So Far Sokool
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 5, 6, 8, 9, 10
Leg Two: 1, 5, 6, 7, 14
Leg Three: 1, 5, 12, 13
Leg Four: 1, 3, 10, 13
$50 Investment= 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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