2/3/2019 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Chipping Norton Stakes (Winx) day

An outstanding program has been assembled for Randwick this Saturday, highlighted of course by Winx looking to win another Chipping Norton Stakes (1600m). The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

Field 🏆: View the Chipping Norton Stakes Field

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Always a bit hesitant when horses come back in trip, but it was hard not to miss the run of 7 Haames (Bet Now: $5.50) over 1800m here a fortnight ago in a Highway. Can make a good case he should have fought the finish out but just had no luck in the straight getting clear and when he eventually got clear, he savaged the line. Track with give would be no issue for him and off last start, surely has to go close.

Have to give 12 Belfast Bella (Bet Now: $8.50) another look. She resumed in a Highway at Rosehill over 1500m four weeks ago where she was wide no cover for the trip and folded in the straight behind impressive winner Embezzlement. She is much, much better than that, and has had the month off, so it’ll be interesting to see what she does here, because she’s certainly capable.

8 Splash Of Lime (Bet Now: $26.00) is doing a really good job this time in for the Tom Higgins stable. Had been consistent for a fair while and that was rewarded with a win on her home track last time at Port Macquarie, aided by a lovely steer from an in form apprentice, Mikayla Weir, who has ridden superbly in Highways in the past, so don’t be put off by a 3kg claiming apprentice.

In the corner of 10 Looks Like Elvis (Bet Now: $4.20) for the Bryan Dais stable. He ran over 2000m at Flemington a fortnight ago where he ran a beauty in defeat when a narrow second to a potential Group class stayer in Schabau. Loomed to win but that horse just found when challenged and was too good, but no disgrace running second to him. I think that’s really good form what is a thin staying contest here.

1 Penske (Bet Now: $2.90) is the complete unknown here. First time at a trip but there was plenty to like about his win over the mile here two weeks back, sitting on speed all the way before being clicked up by Parr at the top of the straight and he dashed clear for an impressive win. Handles all conditions, he’s in form…now does seem the right time to test him out at 2000m.

It was a more than encouraging return from 9 Hursley (Bet Now: $8.00) over the mile here two weeks ago behind Penske. He got a mile out of his ground and was never really in the hunt but did close off quite well late and clocked some decent late splits for a horse better suited at 2000m+. Gets to the ten furlongs straight away and has a really good second up record, so he’s a definite winning chance.

1 Castelvecchio…(Bet Now: $3.90) just how good is he? I’m not entirely sold on him just yet. He’s started big odds in both runs/wins and each time the race has been run at a strong tempo, where he has been ridden colt and ambushed them late. If they don’t go as hard this time around, it’ll be interesting to see how he goes. I think he’s talented…but is he Slipper material? We’ll get a really good guide here.

2 Accession(Bet Now: $3.40) has done nothing wrong in his career to date. He ran second to Castelvecchio at Warwick Farm last time and for mine, he just went for home too early. Not Bowman’s fault because he rode to beat the main danger, Dawn Passage, and did that. But had no answers for the finale of the Richard Litt youngster. Softer tempo this time around will suit him more and he can turn the tables.

It’ll be interesting to see how/if 7 Sun Patch (Bet Now: $8.50) measures up. He debuted over 1000m on the Kensington track where he was back near last in the run and really wasn’t going anywhere, but he picked up and really savaged the line late when he got clear air to score an impressive win. Bred to be a good one and that debut win was sharp, with the time comparing well relative to the day. 1200m looks ideal and is a definite knockout chance.

4 Enood (Bet Now: $14.00) looks a talented filly for the Tony McEvoy yard who pushed the subsequent Blue Diamond winner Lyre all the way at Sale before being sent to Warwick Farm where she was tardy away and that sealed her fate behind Deep Chill. She’s bred to be better over further and I reckon a hard 1200m at Randwick off a good speed is going to really suit her.

I want to give 3 Anaheed (Bet Now: $4.80) another chance. Was on her when she resumed in the Blue Diamond Preview and while she was held by stablemate Catch Me, she didn’t have much luck in the straight behind the speed and probably should have finished closer. Have to give her another look because the debut win in the Spring was dominant and the trial leading in was encouraging.

5 Giselle Anne (Bet Now: $10.00) is a Lee Curtis trained filly who probably lacks the class of some of these, but she’s got the right racing pattern and does try hard. That was the case last time in the Widden when sitting on a good speed and sticking on well in defeat when fourth to Amercement. 1200m I’d have a question mark over…as I said, don’t think she wins, but a must for exotics.

There are a number of ways you could go here. I think the Kiwi raider 5 Ever Loyal (Bet Now: $6.50) could give this a shake provided he’s handled the trip over and has settled in. He’s had two runs back from a near year long spell in NZ, both at Ellerslie. Could make a very strong case he should have beaten Ardrossan first up on Australia Day, with that horse franking the form by placing at Group l level next time. Ever Loyal then remained at the Ellerslie 1200m where he showed an electric turn of foot and won with ease, running great time relative to the day. 1300m no issue and he can launch off a good speed or moderate one. I think he can measure up.

Biggest query on the program is 2 Advance Yulong (Bet Now: $8.00), a former German galloper making his Australian debut for Chris Waller. His form is better than these. It’s riddled with subsequent winning blacktype form so no dramas there. The query is 1300m first up for a horse who might be better suited at a mile. The Werribee jumpout was outstanding to the eye when on speed and not knocked about. If there’s any market push, I want to jump on.

I don’t think 4 Snippets Land (Bet Now: $31.00) can beat these, but for exotics, he could add some value. He hasn’t raced since the Magic Millions Cup when down the track behind Redouble. He can race well on the fresh side and I didn’t mind the way he trialled behind Trapeze Artist. Getting on in years, but he really is the sort of horse who could be a quaddie killer.

Gee Adam Sandler made some all time pissers in the mid 90’s. Top of the list IMO is Happy Gilmore with Billy Madison a close second. Waterboy a close up third. I could reel off every quote in each movie I’ve watched that many times. Recent Sandler…no thanks. I’ll stick to mid-late 90’s. But anyway, 5 Winx (Bet Now: $1.09) is here, she was stunning first up and will be even better suited here. Watch the champ win and then watch Happy Gilmore tonight.

1 Happy Clapper (Bet Now: $7.50) looks to be low flying for Pat Webster and deservedly got a wildcard for the All Star Mile. He ran just about a career best when resuming in the Apollo and tried his guts out but the great mare just left him for dead. The Clapper does save his best for the Randwick mile and should run second again. Might get a tad closer, but that’s about it.

To the eye, the run of 7 Unforgotten (Bet Now: $34.00) in the Apollo was just a run, but the sectionals told a different story. She was very good, especially very late when warming to the task. She likely has eyes on the Ranvet/Tancred path, so she’ll improve again off whatever she does here, but bear in mind she was stunning when winning at this track/distance in the Spring.

Hard to knock the effort of 7 Nakeeta Jane (Bet Now: $6.00) first up in the Light Fingers. It was an outstanding win for a horse who will be better suited over further. That being said, the Light Fingers was dominated by those nearer the speed and it was last girl standing late, with the staying prowess of this girl coming to the fore. Want to see her repeat the dose before joining the bandwagon.

A trip to Dubai is on the agenda for 3 Oohood (Bet Now: $20.00) pending the result here, so you’d like to think she’s forward and ready to rumble. The pattern for her is wait til 4th/5th up, and you’d think that off the fresh run to the eye, but her late splits were similar to that of Miss Fabulass. She’ll be one of the strongest at the end and has proven herself against the boys and older mares.

I’m very wary of 14 Zalatte (Bet Now: $13.00), an Oaks looking filly for Chris Waller who kicks off her prep. Created such a good impression in her first prep during the Summer, winning 3/3 and she got better with every outing. The two trials leading in have been quite good to the eye, she’ll be better over further, but if they go hard enough here, I’m sure she’ll be flashing late and a win wouldn’t surprise.

9 Manicure (Bet Now: $3.90) is an in form mare for the James Cummings team who comes through the Triscay where I thought she was the winner when she loomed alongside Alassio, but the winner just packed too many punches and her hard fitness just got the better of it. She’s got that hard run under the belt now, so up to 1400m looks ideal and appears one of the hardest to beat.

2 Noire (Bet Now: $4.80) got a definite pass mark when resuming in the Southern Cross two weeks ago. She was back in the run, and she just doesn’t have that turn of foot to reel them in from the back, but she closed off well all the same in an encouraging return. Her eyes are on bigger/better things, but if she can sit a touch closer in the run this time around, she could well be dangerous.

12 Dyslexic (Bet Now: $9.50) is a talented daughter of Foxwedge for Team Hawkes that is first up. The query is she might need the run, as she showed first up last prep, but she looked outstanding in winning her trial last week here. Got back, peeled out and closed off really well under no real pressure to win the trial in good time relative to the morning. She’ll likely be giving them a start but will be charging at the end if she’s right fitness wise.

6 Miss Que (Bet Now: $5.00) does look one of the hardest to beat. Resumed under the lights at Canterbury where she looked the winner when presented at the top of the straight. Just think her condition gave out late when narrowly beaten, something Kris Lees did say could happen given she wasn’t entirely ready. Gets gate one, senior jock on, fitter, plenty to like.

He’s a hard horse to catch, but 8 Renewal (Bet Now: $4.50) is certainly one of the hardest to beat if he’s right and jumps. Tardy beginnings cost him dearly last prep, where you could make a case he should have won a couple of the races with a clean get away. Has been given a good break and the trial win here over Group class rivals was pleasing to the eye. Soft gate, on the minimum, wet track no issue…he can win this.

10 What Could Be (Bet Now: $34.00) is an Alan Scorse trained gelding who was relatively unwanted in betting when resuming on the Kensington track at Randwick but I thought his effort was very good, closing off with real purpose late behind Mossman Gorge. Form out of that race has been good, much better suited second up and the extra 200m looks ideal for this bloke.

BEST BET: Race Two Number 10 Looks Like Elvis

NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 6 Miss Que

LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 5 Ever Loyal

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 5

Leg Two: 1, 3, 7, 8, 14

Leg Three: 2, 7, 9, 12

Leg Four: 3, 6, 8, 10

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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