2/12/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Caulfield, Zipping Classic day

Ten races will be run and won at Caulfield on Saturday for Zipping Classic. Weather is fine, track is good (4) and the rail is out five metres for the entire circuit.

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I like the look of 6 Flattered (Bet Now:  $SP.00) for Patrick Payne. Daughter of Yes Yes Yes that debuts off the back of two trials and a jumpout and what is clear to me is that when she is cuddled, she has nice change up speed when asked, which has been evident in the two trials, so Billy Egan and his patient style of riding should suit this girl and I think she’ll be hard to hold out.

4 Eneeza (Bet Now:  $SP.00) commands respect for Moody/Coleman. This girl debuted in the Ottawa on Oaks Day where she was near the speed throughout and tried her guts out but just lacked the killer blow to put them away late in the piece behind Karavas, finishing third. Had jumped out well prior to that so with the run under the belt, I am sure she’ll be around the mark.

3 Centre Square (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can bounce back for Maher/Eustace. He debuted in the Maribyrnong Trial in October where he was hampered early on in the run and that took away something from home I think, finishing down the track. Freshened up and a tick over jumpout win at Cranbourne was sharp so keen to see how he goes.

I think class will get 1 Vasmee (Bet Now:  $SP.00) home. He ran at Flemington on Oaks Day where he did work on speed and he was entitled to knock up but he kept finding and was only run down late by a couple of nice horses, Holymanz and Gregolimo. Back to 70 from 90 grade, he lands on speed, proven weight carrier…I think he’s a great gamble.

4 Awash (Bet Now:  $SP.00) deserves a crack at Saturday grade for Maher/Eustace. This gelding has won three on the bounce, the latest being just over two weeks ago at The Valley when proving quite strong at the end of the mile and was impressive in the run to the line. Racing like 1800m will be fine, in a leading camp and the way he’s racing, he commands respect.

8 Unfair Dismissal (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying and is tough. He ran earlier in the week at Ararat where he led throughout and credit to him, he was there to be beaten, but he found under pressure to fend them off and get the job done. Harder here, but will be out of trouble on speed and will keep chipping away. Knockout hope.

Leaning towards 11 Cadmus (Bet Now:  $SP.00) for Team Freedman, who has done little wrong this time in. Thought he was given a lovely ride by Mertens to win at The Valley last time, getting a sweet sit off the speed before tracking up, then peeling into clear air, and let down with purpose to win and win well. 2400m should be no issue, hard to beat.

7 Grand Pierro (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has found a purple patch for Jason Warren and rates highly for me. Strong win two back in the Ararat Cup before racing here two weeks ago in the Country Cups Final and you can make a case to say he should have won but didn’t get clear air until it was all over when a close up fourth to Claidheamh Mor. Like him up in trip and hard to beat if he maintains his form.

1 Maserartie Bay (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has an element of class on his side and he gets to a suitable trip. He ran over 1800m on Oaks Day at Flemington, his first run since Sep 30, and just looked race rusty but far from disgraced behind stablemate Holymanz. Might want one more, but suited at the trip, in the right camp and is in well after the claim.

2 Right To Party (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been somewhat hard to catch this prep but I do think she has the talent under the hood to measure up and threaten. She ran behind Roll On High on Cup Day at Flemington where she was back off the speed and kept finding the line in a solid effort. She has strong form lines around her to my eye and with the 1400m run under the belt, she appeals.

3 Miraval Rose (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has talent and can win, but odds on seems rock bottom. She ran a fortnight back here and looked all over a winner at the top of the straight but couldn’t quite go on with it and missed, just. 1400m is the query with her, but potentially with a soft run on speed, it should be okay, and with that in mind, she’s a leading contender.

6 Bizot (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a talented type for Archie Alexander and I think she’ll take beating here. She ran over 1400m on Cup Day at Flemington and was one of the eye catchers of the meeting, closing off hard from near last when fourth to impressive winner Roll On High. That form produced the Thousand Guineas winner, Joliestar, so that clearly reads well for this, and I think with this filly, she can get good cover and launch late.

3 Ain’tnodeeldun (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying for Team Freedman and rates highly. This gelding has won three on the bounce, the latest coming in the JRA Cup when seemingly not at home at The Valley but class came to the fore late and he was too good. Back to 1800m from 2040m should be fine, bigger track helps and the way he is racing, he’ll be around the mark.

7 Let’srollthedice (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has found winning form and he can certainly go on with it. Danny O’Brien trained four year old that led throughout to win comfortably at this track/distance two weeks ago, getting complete control in front and gave nothing else a look in to win and win well. He had been knocking on the door to win and now that he has, he can win again for sure.

5 Swords Drawn (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a knockout hope. Michael Moroney trains this gelding, who resumed over 1400m at Flemington on Derby Day where he was near the speed and trucking but didn’t get clear air and pretty much went around like it was a barrier trial. Fitter and up to 1800m are two big ticks and with enormous upside, he’s in with a shout.

2 Vilana (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks so well in here for James Cummings. He comes through the Sir Rupert Clarke from two weeks ago at this track/distance where he should have been right in the finish but unfortunately he didn’t get the clearest of paths in the straight and should have finished much closer behind impressive winner Magic Time. He’s teasing to win a race this prep and he strikes a very winnable race here.

Fitter and up to 1400m are two big ticks for 10 Unusual Culture (Bet Now:  $SP.00). Maher/Eustace mare that resumed two weeks back in the How Now and she was very good against the pattern, working home well from the back behind impressive winner Rose Quartz. Good second up record, up in trip, more upside than most…should prove hard to beat.

3 King Magnus (Bet Now:  $SP.00) was flying this time a couple of years ago…is he going as well this time around? I wouldn’t say no. He resumed a few weeks back at Flemington and was an eye catcher from the back, working home with purpose to be beaten just under two lengths by Cause For Concern. Dodged the Cranbourne Cup to be saved for this so watch the market.

3 Modown (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has had two runs at 1400m now so I think getting to 1600m suits. He ran three weeks back at Flemington where he was back in the ruck but saved ground nearer the inside and kept finding the line in a strong effort behind a very nice horse, Schwarz. He’ll love getting to the mile IMO and he is a horse with upside/progression compared to some here who are looking for the paddock.

1 Arkansaw Kid (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a slight query at 1600m but he is the class of the field and that will carry him a long way. He ran a fortnight back over 1400m when back off the speed and was left flat footed when the sprint went on but picked up and was pretty good in the run to the line behind Run Harry Run. I think with an economical run in transit, 1600m should be fine.

8 Vivy Air (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given another look for Archie Alexander. This filly ran two weeks ago in the Thousand Guineas where she got back to near last in the run and made up minor headway but was never really threatening behind Joliestar. The run prior was a beauty and she is capable of launching over the top if she’s within range on the turn. Don’t dismiss her.

7 Duke De Sessa (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a horse I have time for and he commands respect. He ran in the Queen Elizabeth three weeks ago where he seemingly had every chance in the run and presented to win but couldn’t quite get there when third to impressive winner Muramasa. Quality wise, he is just about top seed, but he is becoming frustrating to follow. That said, he has runs on the board to say he’s right in the mix.

The little bit of juice in the track is a query with 1 Vow And Declare (Bet Now:  $SP.00) but he ran well in this race last year off the Melbourne Cup and suspect something similar will eventuate. He seemingly had every chance in the Cup but that said, he was far from disgraced behind Without A Fight. Back to 2400m, back miles in grade/depth. he’s a key chance.

4 Military Mission (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has done a super job this time in for GaiBott and is right in the mix. He comes through the Melbourne Cup where he was never a winning threat but he kept chipping away and wasn’t too bad in the run to the line behind a star in Without A Fight. Back to 2400m is ideal and he’s hard to beat if there is petrol left in the tank.

3 Thalassophile (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should be suited back to 1600m for Chris Waller. She ran three weeks ago in the Matriarch at Flemington where she got too far back in the run on a day where up/in was the pattern so I thought she did a very credible job in defeat behind quality mare Deny Knowledge. Coming back in trip should be ideal given she has the 2000m run under the belt.

5 Wollombi (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a slight query at 1600m but Team Snowden has this mare going really well. She ran over 1400m at Flemington on Cup Day and worked home with purpose from the back late behind Skew Wiff, who ran super in the Rupert Clarke, so the form does read well so if 1600m is okay for her here, she’ll be around the mark I am sure.

4 Frumos (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should prove hard to beat getting back up in trip I feel. This mare ran last Saturday in the Pendant at Cranbourne and was solid to the line without threatening when fourth to Revolutionary Miss. Getting back up in trip I like, as well as getting to the bigger track, and a Waller horse on a back up is usually gold.

2 Jigsaw (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks suited here for Cindy Alderson and is one of the key chances. He comes through the Manikato at The Valley when outside the speed throughout and just lacked the class/quality to go with Imperatriz late in the piece. That form is clearly A1 for a race like this, he has a good racing style and is a proven weight carrier.

One of the more fascinating runners on the program is 4 Showmanship (Bet Now:  $SP.00), who resumes for John Leek Jr. He hasn’t raced since September last year when struggling here on the bog track in the Sir Rupert Clarke behind Callsign Mav. His recent Pakenham jumpout seemingly looked a decent piece of work and his best is clearly good enough.

Fitter and up to 1200m are two big ticks for 13 Prowling (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He resumed two weeks ago here in the Village where he got back to near last in the run and while he was never threatening Hypothetical, he was an eye catcher in a strong return behind the Team Freedman mare. Much better set up this time around and can certainly take this out, especially if ridden with more intent.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 2 Vilana

NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 1 Vasmee

LONG SHOT: Race One Number 6 Flattered

Quaddie (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 8

Leg Two: 1, 4, 7, 10, 11

Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 5

Leg Four: 2, 4, 5, 8, 13

$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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