There might not be a Group l at Randwick this Saturday, but the hype might just be as good, if not a touch better, due to the fact that the next star in racing, Deep Field, will line up in the $100,000 Listed City Tattersall’s Club Lightning (1100m), where he is looking to remain unbeaten in four career outings, but he will face some decent opposition, including star mare Avoid Lightning and Ramornie Handicap winner Big Money, both of which have outstanding first up records. Other highlight races on the card include the $125,000 Group lll The Nivison (1200m), the $100,000 Listed City Tattersall’s Club Cup (2400m) and the $100,000 Listed Brian Crowley Stakes (1200m).
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Race One (13:00) : City Tattersall’s Victory Vein Plate 1000m:
Back Me: Tempt Me Not (Best Odds: $2.30) trialled brilliantly at Randwick recently, travelling well on the speed before pulling clear under no pressure. She actually ran better time than the open class gallopers, including the likes of Shamalia and Inkling, both Group class horses, so that gives you an indication that Team Cummings have a smart one on their hands here. Should also be noted that Josh Parr is riding the weight, which is a good lead given he rarely rides below 55kg.
Big Danger: Elle Snitz (Best Odds: $6.50) has done a bit wrong in her two barrier trials, but there is no doubting she has her fair share of ability. Shame about the barrier draw, because that does make things tough for her, but if Avdulla can somehow take care of that, then this filly has the scope and talent to win.
Roughie: Artistic Beauty (Best Odds: $21.00) showed good speed to lead all the way in her latest trial on her home track at Warwick Farm, winning narrowly. Time was nothing great but she went about it the right way. Has the rails draw and in a race weakened by scratchings, she can bob up in the placings.
Race Two (13:40) : Bartier Perry Handicap (95) 1600m:
Back Me: Looks a really good race for Excess Knowledge (Best Odds: $3.80). I was quite keen on him first up in the Shannon Stakes (1500m) but he got stuck wide with no cover and given he was fresh, he couldn’t sit there for the entire and win. He tired late to run seventh, beaten four lengths by Rock Sturdy, who would have gone around as the Epsom favourite. Barrier one here, home track and ideally suited at the mile. Extremely hard to beat.
Big Danger: Black Revolver (Best Odds: $7.50) is wearing the punters patience very thin at the moment, with three close placings on the bounce, including last Saturday at this track/distance when just failing to pick up Pythageron, beaten a short neck. Steps up a bit in depth here, but does get the minimum and is rock hard fit, so he has to go in, but back him at your own peril.
Roughie: Myamira (Best Odds: $34.00) was resuming after her South Grafton Cup triumph in the Golden Pendant and I thought she was quite good there from the back, making up ground late to be beaten only four lengths by Arabian Gold and Catkins, both Group l mares, while My Sabeel is a leading chance later in the day and Neena Rock won last week at Stakes level, so the form does read well.
Race Three (14:15) : City Tattersall’s Inglis Bonus Handicap (73) 1600m:
Back Me: Kermadec (Best Odds: $4.20) was an impressive debut winner in a Warwick Farm maiden, coming from off the speed and sprinting hard when it mattered most, running good time for the 1400m and it compared well with the other races on the same program run over that distance. Waller doesn’t send them straight to Saturday company unless they are quite smart, so I am keen to see how this colt performs.
Big Danger: Abduction (Best Odds: $8.00) was somewhat of a surprise stakes winner when coming from last to win the Reginald Allen at Rosehill three weeks back. The form out of that race does look very suspect, but she is a blacktype victor, and considering that, she does get in well at the weights, and she looks as if she’ll appreciate the mile.
Roughie: Muscovado (Best Odds: $8.50) ran third in the Reginald Allen where she was ridden a treat on the speed by Thomas Huet, but just couldn’t quite run the 1400m out and tired late to be beaten just over a length. Up to the mile is the obvious worry, but she does get a 5.5kg weight pull on Abduction and a 3kg weight pull on Candelara, so she does look well placed.
Race Four (14:55) : Aristocrat Brian Crowley Stakes 1200m:
Back Me: Best bet on the card here for me in the shape of Kuro (Best Odds: $2.40), who has done nothing wrong this prep, winning three from three, including a last start Heritage Stakes (1100m) triumph here despite wanting to pull hard in front. Form behind him has stood up and he looked so good last Friday in a Warwick Farm barrier trial behind Greco. From the looks of it, he has held his form and then some, so he is the clear way to go for me.
Big Danger: Inkling (Best Odds: $4.60) showed good promise during the Winter, which finished up with a narrow second to Scissor Kick in the Rosebud (1200m). That is excellent form for a race like this, and he did win a barrier trial quite impressively recently here. It will be interesting to see where this horse goes afterwards, but he does look forward enough to be prominent here.
Roughie: Time For War (Best Odds: $8.00) trialled very well behind Rubick recently, and we know what that horse did on Saturday at Caulfield. Time For War resumed in the Roman Consul (1200m) and led before just tiring late when fifth to Brazen Beau. He will take good improvement from that run and is already a Group ll winner and a Group l performer, so we know he has the class.
Race Five (15:30) : City Tattersall’s Club Lightning 1100m:
Back Me: Deep Field (Best Odds: $1.25). Need we say more? He is the next star of Australian racing and has been beautifully handled by Team Hawkes. They have been very patient with this entire and it looks as though they are going to be rewarded big time in the Autumn, but he firstly needs to knock this race out of the way, and it’s hard to see him not doing that given he carried 58kg first up at Canterbury and broke the track record. Big leap in class, but I am sure he can handle it.
Big Danger: That’s A Good Idea (Best Odds: $13.00) was a real tease in the Autumn, running well without winning. He is now with Team Snowden and produced the goods to win a good race first up at Kensington, lumping 60.5kg. On facts and figures, he won’t beat Deep Field. but the stable is white hot at present so he has to be included in multiples.
Roughie: Wouldn’t be surprised to see improvement from Kencella (Best Odds: $18.00), who has been a touch ordinary in two runs under the care of Chris Waller, albeit in strong company down in Melbourne. Back to Sydney, trialled well and Waller has indicated that they will intend to ride this horse with cover, which hasn’t happened in a long time, so it’ll be interesting to see how that eventuates and whether that sparks improvement.
Race Six (16:05) : City Tattersall’s Clup Cup 2400m:
Back Me: Forget that La Amistad (Best Odds: $4.80) went around in the Metropolitan where she was wide for the first half of the race, and never really travelled before getting a severe check 600m out and losing all momentum. Comes back to this, the same race that was used as a platform for Maluckyday in 2010 before he went on to run second in the Melbourne Cup to Americain. This is D-Day for her.
Big Danger: I give Khalid (Best Odds: $21.00) a serious chance in this. He closed of really well in the Newcastle Cup (2300m) from the back, then was going to do much the same in the Metropolitan but wanted to lay in a touch and it cost him a couple of spots in the finishing order. That little bit of give in the ground is perfect and will be very strong at the end of it.
Roughie: Celtic Prince (Best Odds: $11.00) is finally getting out a trip he excels at after four runs back from a spell. His opening two runs didn’t give us much, but he was much better in the Kingston Town (2000m) at Rosehill behind subsequent Epsom winner He’s Your Man, then stuck on for third in the Colin Stephen over the same track/distance as his last outing behind Deane Martin. He can roll forward and get the drag up behind the top tip, and hope to outgun him in the straight. The Cup dream is still alive with this horse, but he’d need to win this in order to earn a trip south.
Race Seven (16:45) : City Tattersall’s Clup Handicap (85) 1400m:
Back Me: Sticking very solid with All Cerise (Best Odds: $6.50). She arguably should have won two back when she got absolutely flattened by Boss Lane (multiple city winner since), then she raced there again three weeks back and 300m out, she looked home, but she just lacked the killer punch and ran fourth to Woodbine, who went on to perform in the Epsom. She is knocking on the door to win a race and she gets her chance here.
Big Danger: Mahara (Best Odds: $4.20) finished fifth in that Woodbine race and she didn’t have much luck at crucial stages in the straight and should have finished closer. Her trial prior to that was strong and her form from the Autumn was very good, with a stakes placing here behind subsequent Group l winner Diamond Drille. Hard to beat.
Roughie: Murder Of Crows (Best Odds: $4.60) finished third in that Woodbine race and he also was a touch unlucky. He got held up behind tiring leaders and when he eventually got clear, he absolutely savaged the line to be beaten only a half length. Yet to race at Randwick, but gives the impression that the long straight will be ideal, as will a good tempo.
Race Eight (17:25) : City Tattersall’s Club- The Nivison 1200m:
Back Me: Putting the in form mare My Sabeel (Best Odds: $8.00) on top. Kevin Moses has done a remarkable job with this mare, starting off this prep with a midweek win at Canterbury then has gone as far as running third to a couple of star mares in the Golden Pendant (1400m) after sitting wide with no cover throughout. Arabian Gold and Catkins would eat this field for brekky, and My Sabeel had no luck, so she is the one to beat for mine, especially with the chance of some give in the track.
Big Danger: Avoid Lightning (Best Odds: $3.00) comes back to racing after an outstanding Autumn/Winter, which saw win a couple of stakes level and run a close up third in the Group l Tatt’s Tiara (1400m) behind Cosmic Endeavour. Recent trial at Randwick was sharp enough to indicate she is capable of winning first up, and she does look beautifully suited at the weights.
Roughie: Forgive and forget that I’ve Got The Looks (Best Odds: $6.50) has gone around at her past couple in the The Shorts (1100m) and Premiere Stakes (1200m) respectively given she had no luck at each run near the rail, in particular the Premiere where she pretty much went to the line under a hold. Big drop in class here, back to mares grade, she will take some beating.
BEST BET: Race Four Number 2 Kuro
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 2 Excess Knowledge
VALUE: Race Eight Number 4 My Sabeel
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 9
Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 6, 11
Leg Three: 2, 3, 5, 6, 8
Leg Four: 3, 4, 5, 7
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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