The second stand alone Saturday meeting in New South Wales will be run and won this weekend at Scone with a ripper of a program assembled. The feature event on the card is the $400,000 Inglis Guineas (1400m), where all eyes will be on Twilight Royale, who will earn a bonus $2.4 Million if she is to be successful. In saying that, she’d need to turn around her form this prep.
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Race One (12:20) : Vinery Stud Handicap (75) 2200m Form Guide
Back Me: Going for the filly down the bottom, Raunchy Rocker (Best Odds: $10.00) All three of her runs have been good this time in. Bumped into Spy Decoder first up, then was outgunned by Paederos, who placed at Rosehill on the weekend, then was a tragedy to watch last week where she never got out of a pocket and went to the line under a hold, so she barely raised a sweat, which is why Gai has put her in this race. She’ll jump to the front and give them something to chase with no weight on her back.
Big Danger: Black Jag (Best Odds: $7.50) should get the beautiful cart over from Raunchy Rocker and get the gun sit off that filly. He doesn’t have a turn of foot, but he keeps on at the same speed and will run the distance out very strongly. Gets in very well at the weights too after the claim for Serg Lisnyy.
Roughie: Phrases (Best Odds: $15.00) tried very hard last week in the Gunnedah Cup when a game second to Collar. Back up to an ideal trip now, and although he isn’t well in at the weights, he is another who tries very hard and will give a sight for his followers.
$250 Raunchy Rocker Free Bet
Race Two (12:55) : Segenhoe Stud Handicap (75) 1100m Form Guide
Back Me: Rock Magic (Best Odds: $9.00) was a big winner here first up carrying 60kg, then went to Canterbury and was probably ridden a touch too aggressively and had nothing left for the straight when fifth to Agent. Ichikawa retains the ride, and with his claim, the horse gets in well and from the good draw, he has plenty of options.
Big Danger: I am sure Tarloshan (Best Odds: $13.00) will be kept very safe in betting. This kiwi mare has only had three starts, winning two and running second in the other. Won narrowly on debut at Matamata, then spelled and resumed with a win at Ellerslie in October, beating home Telepathic, the likely QLD Oaks winner, then ran a strong second. Big query here over the 1100m, but she has drawn well and does have her fair share of ability.
Roughie: Big Money (Best Odds: $7.00) was backed as if unbeatable when resuming at Muswellbrook and didn’t give his supporters a moments worry when charging through near the inside to win well, and with something up the sleeve. Drawn terribly here, but is on his home track and gets the claim for boom apprentice Taylor Marshall.
$250 Rock Magic Free Bet
Race Three (13:30) : Yarraman Park- Horsepower Luskin Star Stakes 1300m Form Guide
Back Me: Tricky race. Haussmann (Best Odds: $8.00) was freshened up after winning the Bert Lillye on Keith Nolan day at Kembla and ran in the Hall Mark where he didn’t look 100% comfy on the wet track and inside horses when running third. He’ll improve off that run here and I’m prepared to give him another chance here.
Big Danger: Former Australian galloper, then Singapore galloper, now Australian galloper Masthead (Best Odds: $5.50) made his Aussie comeback at Hawkesbury and was excellent late, running third. That was his first outing since November, so I’m tipping he’ll strip much fitter for that outing, should appreciate the rise to 1300m and a return to firmer footing.
Roughie: Velrosso (Best Odds: $6.50) is an interesting runner here for Chris Waller. Talented when right, but was quite poor in two runs after his brilliant Magic Millions Cup victory. Trialled last week behind classy import Excess Knowledge and looked solid enough to suggest he can run a race fresh. He’ll get back and charge late.
$250 Haussmann Free Bet
Race Four (14:05) : Pryde’s Easifeed Woodlands Stakes 1100m Form Guide
Back Me: Going for some value in the shape of Uratta Belle (Best Odds: $13.00). I didn’t mind her in her first prep, where she was quite competitive alongside the likes of Fighting Sun and Peggy Jean, with the latter winning the Sires Produce, so the form does read well for a race like this and will have improved with the campaign under her belt.
Big Danger: Shiguru Sendan (Best Odds: $2.45) might only be pony size, but what she lacks in size, she makes up for with race sense. She was travelling really well behind the speed last time out at Canterbury and was waiting for the gap to appear, then a narrow split opened up and she took it with no issues and burst through to win. The bigger surroundings of Scone looks perfect, as does the good draw, and gets in well at the weights despite being an impressive city winner.
Roughie: La Bella Rouge (Best Odds: $14.00) ran twice during her opening campaign in the Summer, both resulting in fourths to Kumaon and Peggy Jean respectively. Hasn’t trialled publicly, so it is unknown where her fitness levels are, but trainer Grant Allard is having a very good run at the moment, and this filly has drawn beautifully.
$250 Uratta Belle Free Bet
Race Five (14:40) : Darley Denise’s Joy Stakes 1100m Form Guide
Back Me: Atmospherical (Best Odds: $2.70) was backed as if unbeatable when resuming at Canterbury and only just got the job done, but in saying that, she was resuming, had to carry 56kg against the older mares and was exposed to the front a touch early due to circumstances. Her form from the Summer is excellent, behind the likes of Pirandello, Woodbine and Dream Forward, so class will carry her a long way here. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: The Messina Nymph (Best Odds: $6.50) was a dominant first up winner at Wyong, then went to the Darley Crown and gave plenty of cheek before being swamped late and ending up in seventh, beaten just under three lengths. Back to her own age and sex here should see her give this a serious shake.
Roughie: Big watch on this filly for Kris Lees, Danica (Best Odds: $15.00). Didn’t beat much on debut at Wyong, but the manner in which she disposed of her rivals was highly impressive and her sectionals were excellent. Overall time was a half second slower than the older horses, but in her race, they didn’t go as hard early. I think she has a bright future and why not have a throw at the stumps here.
$250 Atmospherical Free Bet
Race Six (15:15) : Coolmore Dark Jewel Classic 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: Seaside (Best Odds: $7.50) closed off her race quite well late in the Darley Crown behind stablemate and race rival here, Aerobatics. Given she has more upside, I think she is the pick of the Darley runners here and her closing sectionals at Hawkesbury were excellent. Given she is heading towards Brisbane, just how forward she is here will be the query, but she has loads of talent.
Big Danger: I was keen on Two Blue (Best Odds: $6.00) first up at Randwick and she didn’t let me down when nailing her rivals late at good odds to record a strong victory. Normally she takes a run to find her best, but she was very impressive there, so I’m tipping her to improve sharply off that and she rates as a great outside chance.
Roughie: I was also keen on Aerobatics (Best Odds: $6.00) in the Darley Crown, and aided by a gun ride from Christian Reith, she proved too good for her rivals. Given that was her grand final, I do tend to worry about how much is left in the tank for her, but she is a last start stakes winner and isn’t badly in at the weights.
$250 Seaside Free Bet
Race Seven (15:50) : Inglis Guineas 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: Chautauqua (Best Odds: $2.80) was a most impressive winner of the Hawkesbury Guineas last time out, aided by a gun ride from McDonald, who saved all the ground by hugging the rail and sprinting hard late for victory. That was only his third run back from a break, so I’d like to think he has a little bit left in the tank and the big, spacious surroundings of Scone look ideal.
Big Danger: Woodbine (Best Odds: $12.00) was freshened up after failing in the Pharlap and was outclassed when down the track in the All Aged behind Hana’s Goal. He was ridden on the speed in the All Aged and I don’t think being ridden that way is his go. I think the big field should ensure he gets ridden with cover and rates as a definite threat.
Roughie: Cosmic Endeavour (Best Odds: $3.60) has been up for a while but continues to race quite well, as she did in the Darley Crown when a strong third against the older mares after settling off the speed, which isn’t her go. Back to her own age now and that run at Hawkesbury gave the indication that 1400m will pose no concerns.
$250 Chautauqua Free Bet
Race Eight (16:30) : Arrowfield Ortensia Stakes 1100m Form Guide
Back Me: Going for some value in the old marvel Zaratone (Best Odds: $13.00). Was nominated to run in the sprint race at Hawkesbury a couple of weeks back but instead resumes here. I liked him in that Hawkesbury race because he has looked very slick in a couple of barrier trial wins. He is a very fast horse anyway, but even for him, he has caught the eye. He will have company on the speed here, but I’ll take the gamble on the fact he is a very tough campaigner who can cop pressure.
Big Danger: Aeronautical (Best Odds: $7.00) ran an encouraging third in the Hall Mark behind Hot Snitzel despite running on a slow track, and it is well known that Aeronautical doesn’t like getting his feet wet. Ratings wise, he is clearly the best horse in the race and will love a hot tempo in front, which will allow him to use his brilliant finishing burst. Hard to beat.
Roughie: Agent (Best Odds: $7.00) was ridden rather oddly in that Hawkesbury sprint race, sitting midfield and wide with no cover. In saying that, he did stick to the task well under the circumstances and ran a credible seventh. Forget he went around there and go back to his sharp win at Canterbury two back when ridden a treat by boom apprentice Taylor Marshall. Like Aeronautical, he’ll appreciate a fast run 1100m and only needs normal luck to be in the mix.
$250 Zaratone Free Bet
Best Bet: Race Seven Number 1 Chautauqua (Best Odds: $2.80)
Next Best: Race Five Number 3 Atmospherical (Best Odds: $2.70)
Best Roughie: Race Eight Number 2 Zaratone (Best Odds: $13.00)
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 3, 6, 10
Leg Two: 1, 4, 6, 8, 11
Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 13, 14
Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 4, 8, 10
$50 Investment = 11.11% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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