Morphettville will play host to a handy eight race card on Saturday. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out seven metres from the 1200m-400m; Out five metres for the remainder.
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Race One (13:44) : Schweppes Plate 1050m:
Back Me: 5 With A Bit Of Dash (Best Odds: $2.50) debuted over this track/distance and just had no idea what she was meant to do, but her last 200m was excellent and a good pointer for this, which just looks so thin on paper.
Big Danger: 7 Fire ‘N’ Vice (Best Odds: $3.60) debuted over this track/distance and attempted to lead all the way but faded out of it to finish down the track behind Hey Doc, who will be a leading chance in Flemington. This is a very thin race, so with the run under the belt, she’ll take some beating.
Roughie: 4 Straying (Best Odds: $8.50) debuts for Jon O’Conner off the back of a trial here where he finished last, beaten 12 lengths…Only positives for mine are that he is well bred and has the services of Dom Tourneur. Next race please.
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Race Two (14:19) : UBET Adelaide Cup March 14 Handicap 1200m:
Back Me: 2 Royal Rumble (Best Odds: $3.80) resumed over this track/distance on Boxing Day and finished his race off quite nicely to run second to Heartz Ablaze, beaten a length. I am confident he can turn the tables now he is got the run under the belt, and he was a Stakes performer last time in. Hard to beat and looks one of the better bets on the program.
Big Danger: 3 Karlovasi (Best Odds: $7.00) resumed over 1000m here on Boxing Day and stuck to the task quite gamely when running fourth to Vicki’s Boy, who franked the form by winning last Saturday. I think he will be better at 1400m, but he did win over this track/distance in the Winter and he is talented, so keep an eye on market moves.
Roughie: 7 Go The Journey (Best Odds: $18.00) was a bit unwanted in betting when debuting at Strathalbyn, but the son of Good Journey showed great speed from the gates and led all the way for quite an impressive debut win. Harder here, but the stable knows when to send them to town and he looks to have a bit of upside left.
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Race Three (14:54) : Nespresso Handicap (64) 1800m:
Back Me: 3 Danouli (Best Odds: $6.50) looked a good thing last start at Gawler and aided by a lovely ride from Jason Holder, the John Hickmott galloper proved far too good for his rivals. He has run well in town before and he can definitely measure up here.
Big Danger: 2 Astro Damus (Best Odds: $8.50) is on the back up from last Saturday where he never got into the race behind impressive winner Rationality, beaten just under five lengths by a very promising galloper. This looks much weaker and the blinkers going back on could spark him back into action.
Roughie: 4 Grand Armada (Best Odds: $17.00) has been given a five week freshen up since failing over 2400m on the Parks track behind Tunes, who has won again since. His form prior was pretty poor, so the little break could have done him the world of good. Watch for the betting.
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Race Four (15:33) : Quayclean Handicap (70) 1050m:
Back Me: 1 Shivarchi (Best Odds: $12.00) ran over 900m at Murray Bridge last start where he was just run off his legs when running fourth to Tarco, who bolted up last Saturday, so the form reads very well for this. Extra 100m and a bigger track should only be beneficial to this former Nowra galloper.
Big Danger: 4 Mister Rockstar (Best Odds: $4.80) was specked at odds when resuming here a fortnight back and the support was justified when he ran a close up third to Tapestry Vision. Form apprentice takes over now, fitter and drops 3kg in weight from last start.
Roughie: 11 Rhinestone Ruby (Best Odds: $18.00) resumed over 1100m here a fortnight back where he was a close up eighth to the well backed Victorian raider Tapestry Vision, beaten three lengths. She has only missed a place once in four second up runs, with her last second up run being a close up second to Californian Devil at Oakbank.
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Race Five (16:13) : Kevin Moriarty Memorial Handicap 1200m:
Back Me: It’s very difficult to win three straight in town, especially after a 13 month break, but that is what 7 Enduro (Best Odds: $4.60) has exactly done this time in, with the latest win coming over this track/distance a fortnight back where he sat on speed and toughed it out best in a great finish. Hardest test to date here, but it’s hard to go against him while he is in this frame of mind.
Big Danger: 3 Double Pockets (Best Odds: $8.00) was far from disgraced last time out at Flemington when sixth to impressive winner Underestimation, and the form held up last weekend with British General placing at Caulfield. Returns back home and I think back to 1200m will be ideal.
Roughie: 8 Silent Whisper (Best Odds: $10.00) will appreciate the drop in grade after contesting Stakes company at his past two, the latest behind Justify That in the Christmas Handicap. He hasn’t really done much some time, but this is the easiest race he has contested for a while.
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Race Six (16:53) : Harcourts VennMillar Handicap (75) 1200m:
Back Me: Going with 5 Ticket To Toorak (Best Odds: $10.00). He sat on speed last time out on his home track at the Bool and just felt the pinch late when running fourth to Mr Walker. I think as he is getting older, he is best ridden cold with something to chase, and I think from the wide draw here, that should eventuate, and a senior rider goes aboard now.
Big Danger: 8 Miss Adele (Best Odds: $7.50) ran over this track/distance a fortnight and produced an unbelievable finish from nowhere to grab Regal Magnus right on the peg in a thrilling finish. She had no luck start prior, so she is flying, and she can handle this again for sure, even if Holder isn’t aboard.
Roughie: 9 On A Dream (Best Odds: $16.00) resumes here for the Macdonald/Gluyas yard. He performed well during the Winter, but didn’t win and was a real tease on a couple of occasions. No trials leading in, so fitness is the query, but he can run well fresh and if the speed is on, he’ll be strong late.
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Race Seven (17:33) : Medallion Homes Handicap (75) 1600m:
Back Me: 11 Making Mayhem (Best Odds: $3.50) looks the good thing on the program. Mick Price trained type who stuck on well last time out over the Flemington mile behind in form galloper Rib Eye. Much easier here, Tourneur on, draws well, on the limit…can’t see him losing.
Big Danger: 1 It And A Bit (Best Odds: $8.50) raced in restricted room last time out over this track/distance where he ran a solid third to Defiant Angel, beaten just over a length. Rises big time in weight, which is the query, but Cartwright is riding well and that was his first run in a month, so there should be improvement.
Roughie: 3 Capodecina (Best Odds: $13.00) ran in that Defiant Angel race where he sat last in the run and just couldn’t quite get into the race, getting beat 4.5L. He is getting fitter with each run, he draws well, and on his best form, he’d take some beating here.
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Race Eight (18:13) : MAC Drink Driving? GROW UP Handicap (64) 1200m:
Back Me: 8 Lady Andress (Best Odds: $4.80) did a very good job to win first up at Strathalbyn considering she was fresh off a seven month break, was sitting on a solid tempo and was carrying 58.5kg. Looks to have come back in good order and her lone run here resulted in a fifth behind Star Stealer and Coachella, both of which have been subsequent multiple city winners.
Big Danger: 9 Husson’s Shout was beaten by the gate last time out and again he has drawn poorly today although if he can get an inch of luck i think he will be very hard to beat against a field he is facing. Looks very hard to beat if Tourneur can weave some magic which he often does.
Roughie: 7 Loqueteux (Best Odds: $11.00) resumes here forRichard Jolly. His last run came over 1250m on the Parks track where he took ground off subsequent Group winner and Group l performer Miss Gunpowder. Fitness is an issue, but that form line reads so well for a race like this.
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BEST BET: Race Seven Number 11 Making Mayhem
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 2 Royal Rumble
VALUE: Race Three Number 4 Grand Armada
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 3, 6, 7, 8
Leg Two: 2, 3, 5, 6, 8, 9
Leg Three: 11
Leg Four: 1, 4, 7, 8, 9, 15
$50 Investment= 27.77% of the dividend if successful.
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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