16/6/2018 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Ipswich, Ipswich Cup day

Ipswich will host their biggest race day this Saturday where it is Ipswich Cup Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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6 Fir For Purpose (Bet Now: $3.30) looks the one to beat. Thought his run in the Spear Chief at the Sunny Coast was a ripper behind Snippets Land, clocking some really good late splits. That is all well and good, but you need early speed also, which he did show two back behind The Amateur. I think he’s the safe play.

20 Bluebrook (Bet Now: $6.00) is the very interesting runner. Kelly Schweida trains this three year old, who has shown really good promise throughout her career. Resumed for the stable with a second before a last stride win at the Gold Coast. Then ran over 1100m at the Sunny Coast and was really good late behind Miss Exfactor. Up to 1350m from the inside gate looks an ideal recipe.

5 Ruthless Agent (Bet Now: $16.00)  isn’t one of mine but I think he finds a very winnable race here to bounce back into form. Kurt Goldman trains this four year old, who is four weeks between runs since racing over 1200m at the Gold Coast where he got back and worked home okay I thought behind Alassak. Certainly has the talent to beat these and Corey is booked.

I’m a sucker for pain and with that being the case, I’m giving 14 Zamex (Bet Now: $9.00) another chance. He has this awful racing pattern of getting a mile back in the run but his effort last time out at the Gold Coast was enormous. Spotted them 10+ lengths at one stage and eventually got to two lengths. I reckon the rise to the mile will suit…just please sit closer in the run.

12 Realing (Bet Now: $8.00) is a talented son of Real Saga for the Matty Dunn team who lumped 63.5kg last time out on his home track at Murwillumbah where he got a mile back in the run but finished off hard late to run a close up second to Madam Shazam. Third up at the mile looks an ideal recipe to run well.

10 Rosie Posie (Bet Now: $21.00) is a Matt Kropp trained mare who steps up to the mile after racing over 1400m at the Sunny Coast last time out where she sat back in a slowly run affair and just couldn’t make up the sufficient ground behind Bold Endeavour. Has run well at the mile before and can produce a decent finishing burst if she gets conditions to suit.

Provided he doesn’t overdo it too much, 7 Tullio (Bet Now: $4.80) looks one of the hardest to beat. I think he has this lot covered in terms of ability but he’s a hot head and wants to get it over and done with as soon as possible. That was the reason he got beat two back over 1200m here but back to 1100m last time and he was dominant. Hopefully he can go on with it.

6 The Fire Trap (Bet Now: $15.00) is a well bred gelding for Matty Dunn who was confidently backed when debuting over this track/distance a couple of Wednesdays back and helped by a lovely steer from Michael Cahill, the son of Sizzling proved far too good. Trials leading in suggested he looked good. Think he can measure up.

13 Tipping (Bet Now: $15.00) is a Chris Anderson trained filly who debuted over the 900m at the Gold Coast two weeks ago where she was run off her legs early but once she balanced and those in front got tired, she came with a brilliant finishing burst to prove too good for her rivals. 1100m no issue and she’ll be strong late if they go silly.

Dartboard job this and it’s landed me with 7 I Feel Good (Bet Now: $26.00), who I think is racing well for the Symons/Laxon team. His overall form the last couple of months has been excellent, with a few wins on the board. Forget his run on Sunday at the Sunny Coast. Wet track, back in trip, slow tempo…nah. Should get the opposite of former and latter here and at around $26+, I can entertain him each way.

I guess the boom horse is 6 Kay Kay Boy (Bet Now: $2.90) for Ben Currie. Former French galloper who won over 2000m last time out at Gatton and really, he was gifted a rather soft lead, controlling things from the front and dashing late. He’ll cop more pressure this time around…he’s too short for my liking but I can see why he’s likeable.

3 Pop ‘N’ Scotch (Bet Now: $27.00) is a previous winner of this race and I think he can add some value to exotics. He sat on speed four weeks over 2200m at the Gold Coast and those tactics were clearly wrong when finishing down the track behind Ready For Danger. I reckon with a more conservative steer, he’ll be more effective.

14 Unlikely Story (Bet Now: $5.00) is a month between runs since racing over 1200m at Doomben where he got a mile back in the run and closed off quite well late in the piece behind Winter Bride, who of course has since won the Daybreak Lover. Fresh, 1100m, park off a hot speed…he ticks plenty of boxes.

15 Don’t Leave Me Out (Bet Now: $3.90) is a son of Rothesay that resumes for the Rob Heathcoate team. This bloke had a pretty good opening prep during the Summer/Autumn. Only won the one race but did measure up in a couple of strong races in town before being tipped out. Recent trial was quite encouraging and stable is in form.

2 Ours To Keep (Bet Now: $23.00) is a Chris Munce trained gelding who should appreciate the drop in depth. He contested the Mick Dittman and Gold Coast Guineas to start the prep and he ran okay but was outclassed. This looks more his level. Been freshened up and has had a tick over trial at Doomben to prepare.

5 Manias (Bet Now: $4.80) on top for me. Rob Heathcoate trains this gelding, who is resuming. He hasn’t raced since September 30 when finishing midfield at the Sunny Coast, and by then it looked as if he had enough, which followed a brilliant prep where he won several races. Good fresh horse and two trials leading in have been quite good. Happy to be with him.

9 Oink…(Bet Now: $4.50) I couldn’t have him on top. He’s just finding it hard to win but I reckon 1200m fresh might well suit him. Ran over the 1350m at Doomben last time out and he looked home when Hammersley got him into the clear but he didn’t attack the line at all well enough behind Bushy. Good fresh horse, so giving him another look.

14 Jetsonic (Bet Now: $16.00) isn’t the most reliable in terms of winning but one thing he will do is attack the line. He did that last start at the Sunny Coast and he just missed out on picking up Constant Flight, who franked the form by winning at the Gold Coast. Good record here and a fast run 1200m is a big tick for him.

He’s a bludger in terms of winning but I think 1 Ecuador (Bet Now: $7.00 FAT ODDS) can bowl along in front here and give a great sight. He ran over the mile last Saturday in the Wayne Wilson where he tried really hard but was outsprinted behind Hopfgarten. Better suited up in trip and if he leads, he’ll take some beating.

2 Tradesman (Bet Now: $2.05 FAT ODDS) is the class of the field and is hard fit. Disappointing two back in the Doomben Cup behind Comin’ Through before going to the O’Shea at the Sunny Coast where he was a gutsy second to Egg Tart. Better suited in a handicap and is hard fit now, so he does look one of the main threats.

9 Miss Dubois (Bet Now: $26.00 FAT ODDS) is the interesting one. Opening three runs this time in were rippers before racing over 2200m last Wednesday at the Gold Coast where the market flucs late said she had no chance and that is how it panned out behind Great Glen. If she goes back to her previous efforts, she can run a bold race.

I think the tough nut 2 Religify (Bet Now: $7.50) can run well here first up. He has been an iron horse for Chris Waller for a number of years now. He hasn’t raced since the Crystal Mile on Cox Plate Day where he ran a gutsy second to Lucky Hussler after doing a power of work in front. Very good fresh horse and has looked the part in a couple of trials in Sydney.

I think 10 Privlaka (Bet Now: $15.00) can bounce back here and run well. He did a bit too much work in the run a fortnight back in the Spear Chief at the Sunny Coast when finishing midfield behind Snippets Land. Hasn’t won this prep but has been knocking on the door and I think with better luck this time around, he can bounce back.

6 Bassett (Bet Now: $14.00) is a beauty for Mick Price. Yet to win this prep but has been around the mark for the most part. He comes through the Spear Chief where he had a good sit near the speed and tried hard but I reckon a hard 1400m is a stretch for him. Back to 1350m, and with cover, he can go close to winning.

Hard to knock the way 2 Plucky Girl (Bet Now: $3.40) goes about her business. Toby Edmonds has really figured out this mare. Keep her fresh, keep her to 1400m and get her on firm tracks, and hopefully the last bit is true for this Saturday. Hasn’t raced since the Tamworth Cup where she was gifted a soft lead and she bolted up. Won’t get it as easy this time, but her race pattern is very likeable.

17 A Mist Opportunity (Bet Now: $15.00) looks the sleeper. Andrew Noblet trains this mare, who is a month between runs since making up ground late in the Proud Miss at Morphettville behind She’s So High. Was down to run in the first but gains a start here and looks to get a really good run off a likely solid speed.

13 Malmoosa (Bet Now: $26.00) is a beauty for Daniel Bowen and she does tend to save her best for Ipswich, where she is 3/3. She was heavily backed last time out in the Beef Week Cup and despite getting a long way back in the run, she attacked the line hard late to get the win. She’ll get back here. Just hope the tempo is genuine, which I think it will be.

BEST BET: Race Nine Number 2 Plucky Girl

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 6 Fir For Purpose

LONG SHOT: Race Four Number 7 I Feel Good

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 5, 6, 9, 10, 14

Leg Two: 1, 2, 9, 10

Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 6, 10

Leg Four: 1, 2, 13, 17

$50 Investment= 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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