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Queens Birthday racing in Sydney this Monday heads to Canterbury for an eight race card. The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit.

 

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Race One (12:05) : Tab.com.au Handicap (67) 1550m:

Back Me: 2 Francais (Bet Now: $4.20) comes back to Sydney after a mixed Melbourne campaign. She looks to have found a really good race here and should prove hard to beat.
Big Danger: 1 Aurora Glow (Bet Now: $6.00) was a drifter in betting when resuming at Kembla Grange and he just couldn’t quite finish it off fresh when fourth to Infinite Love. She does have a tidy second up record and though drawn wide, she’s a leading chance.
Roughie: 3 Hembrook (Bet Now: $10.00) ran over this track/distance a couple of weeks back and closed off well from the back behind Invincible Knight, who will go around as a leading chance in the Queensland Guineas at Eagle Farm, so by race time here, you’ll know the strength of the form.

 

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Race Two (12:40) : Schweppes Handicap 1200m:

Back Me: 7 Longreach (Bet Now: $8.00) is a well bred colt who debuted on a bog surface under the lights here back in January and made up ground late behind Vienna Waltz. His two trials leading in to his return to racing have been quite impressive and McEvoy, who rode in both trials, sticks.
Big Danger: 5 Relaxed (Bet Now: $8.00) is a Godolphin youngster that resumes here after having one run in Ballarat back in February. Loved the way he went about it in a recent Warwick Farm trial and only has to overcome the tricky gate to be a leading contender.
Roughie: 13 Piping Hot (Bet Now: $15.00) resumes here for Gai after having two runs in the Autumn, both of which didn’t really fill me with confidence, but her trials leading in have been impressive and I think she has the necessary speed to ping over from the gate and be a threat.

 

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Race Three (13:20) : Hyland Race Colours Handicap 1550m:

Back Me: 1 Kent (Bet Now: $1.70) was a tragedy beaten as a short priced elect when resuming at Beaumont-Newcastle. He bombed the start and had to stick to the inside, and got held up a touch before getting clear but was outgunned late by stablemate Pecans. Fitter here, and with a cleaner getaway, he should be winning I think.
Big Danger: 2 Contented’n’Happy (Bet Now: $13.00) was a really good run on debut over 1150m at Beaumont-Newcastle, where he got a long way back in the run before switching back to the inside and making up solid ground. Up to 1550m from 1150m isn’t easy, but he has the Waller polish and enormous upside.
Roughie: 7 Aurora Rose (Bet Now: $8.00) comes through that race Pecans beat Kent in, and her effort was tidy given she made up good ground from the back in what was a really tidy effort. Draws well here, so I think she can sit closer, and she should just about be at peak fitness.

 

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Race Four (13:55) : Headwater @ Vinery Plate 1900m:

Back Me: 2 Austin (Bet Now: $4.50) is taking his time to break his maiden, but this does look his race. He ran over 2000m at Hawkesbury a couple of weeks back and tried hard but couldn’t quite reel in Sea Sharp, who was well backed and won. Draws well here, Tommy rides, thin depth…ticks the boxes.
Big Danger: 1 Royal Reggie (Bet Now: $15.00) ran over the mile at Gosford last week and got back in the ruck before getting clear and working to the line nicely late for third behind Superbee, and though beaten a fair way, his effort was good, and he is definitely looking for this sort of trip.
Roughie: 3 Esteban (Bet Now: $11.00) has been given a 30 day freshen up since running over the mile at Kembla Grange where he tried hard but was no match for the impressive winner In Mum’s Memory, who is a leading chance in the first. Has upside, but the only query is the 30 day break, and where his fitness levels are at.

 

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Race Five (14:35) : TAB Rewards Plate 1100m:

Back Me: 3 Crafty Tycoon (Bet Now: $9.00) looks the wrong odds for me at $13. He should be much shorter than that. This first starter for Con Karatkasanis has really looked the part for me in two barrier trials, both at Warwick Farm. He will do no work from the gate and Jay Ford, who rode in the latest trial, sticks.
Big Danger: 5 Cry For Peace (Bet Now: $3.90) is a Street Cry filly for Chris Waller that is first up here. She trialled at Warwick Farm a couple of weeks back and worked to the line nicely under little riding behind Pass Of Gold. Form from last prep does read well and this isn’t a strong race.
Roughie: 6 Invincible Light (Bet Now: $10.00) debuted in a field of four at Hawkesbury and couldn’t quite quicken well enough off a moderate tempo to run a close up third to Three Hats. The trial win prior was very sharp and only has to overcome the tricky gate to be a contender.

 

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Race Six (15:10) : McGrath Estate Agents Handicap (76) 1550m:

Back Me: 1 Duca Valentinois (Bet Now: $7.00) looked the winner on the turn last time out at Scone, but as soon as he came off the bit, the wheels started spinning and he could only manage fourth. Hard to trust, but back in trip and a significant drop in depth could spark him back into winning form.
Big Danger: 2 Invinzabeel (Bet Now: $3.20) ran a couple of weeks back at Randwick and tried hard, and in fact was a bit unlucky not to pick up Bullrush given he got squeezed up close to home when attempting to burst through. He’ll do no work from the gate and has upside.
Roughie: 8 Song And Laughter (Bet Now: $6.50) is the watch horse if the track remains to have moisture. He ran over the mile at Warwick Farm last Wednesday and tried hard but was swamped late when fourth to Wine ‘N’ Dine. He has a fab record at Canterbury and does look the leader.

 

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Race Seven (15:45) : Press Statement @ Vinery Handicap (70) 1250m:

Back Me: 6 Mad About You (Bet Now: $13.00) was an impressive first up winner at Gosford before coming to Rosehill a tick over three weeks back and running on well against the tempo when fifth to Our Renaissance. Likes racing on a track with give in it and she will be strong late.
Big Danger: 15 Love’s A Fantasy (Bet Now: $6.00) resumed at the midweeks at Randwick three weeks back and closed off okay late in the piece when fourth to the impressive winner Ravi, who franked the form by winning at Rosehill. Looks to have come back in good order and has enormous upside.
Roughie: 9 Zelda (Bet Now: $8.00) comes through that Ravi race where she got held up a touch in the straight before eventually getting clear and finding the line alright to run fifth. She isn’t one of my horses, but if the breaks go her way, she’s a threat.

 

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Race Eight (16:25) : TAB More Than Just Winning Handicap (67) 1100m:

Bacl Me: 13 Arise Augustus (Bet Now: $4.00) is an absolute beauty for Terry Evans. He ran at Warwick Farm last Wednesday and chased hard down the entire straight, only to just miss out on picking up Magnajoy. Loses nothing with Blake Shinn going aboard and the horse is just racing in great fashion at the moment.
Big Danger: 10 Princess Command (Bet Now: $6.00) was dominant two back at Gosford before going to Warwick Farm where she got back and stayed there in that Magnajoy race mentioned above. Bowman sticks and draws well again.
Roughie: 11 Cockles (Bet Now: $7.00) was well backed when resuming at Wyong and the punters got it spot on as he burst through a gap to dash through and get the win. He ran well in town last prep, and that first up win is a good indicator he can measure up for sure again.

 

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BEST BET: Race Eight Number 13 Arise Augustus

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 3 Crafty Tycoon

VALUE: Race Seven Number 6 Mad About You

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 6, 7

Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 8

Leg Three: 2, 3, 5, 6, 9, 11, 14, 15

Leg Four: 6, 11, 13, 14, 15

$50 Investment= 6.25% of the dividend if successful

 

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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