13/3/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville, Adelaide Cup day

A bumper nine race card has been set down for Morphettville on Monday for Adelaide Cup Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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10 Imposing Suspect (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is eligible for much easier races than this, but I think he is a promising animal for Peter Hardacre and that is a query on how well some of these are going, whereas I think he is flying. He ran last Saturday at Murray Bridge and it was pretty much a barrier trial with the ride, getting a mile out of his ground and was very good late in the piece. Half positive ride, I think she only runs well.

8 Starts With Hello (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has done little wrong in a five start career and is one of the key chances. Few weeks between runs since a win over 1400m on the Parks track. He was able to lob into a lovely spot from gate one. Just a matter of Toeroek getting the run and once it eventuated, away he went and he was much too good. Racing like the mile will suit and this is a winnable race.

Fitter and up to the mile are two big ticks for 5 Montepulciano (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He resumed a tick over two weeks back over 1200m here where he paraded like he would need the run and that’s how it panned out, settling near last and failing to get involved behind Nicajon. Straight to the mile I find interesting but he has a good second up record and has a gate to settle much closer in the run.

I am thinking first up with J Kah on first time, I am in the corner of 5 Klabel (Bet Now:  $SP.00). He had a two run prep in the Spring, the second run being the Rebel Raider Final when on speed and sticking on gamely in defeat when third to the well performed Kiki Express. Looked to trial up really well last week here on the Parks track, he maps to get the A1 run and with J Kah on, he appeals.

Back to 1200m I hate for 4 Press Down (Bet Now:  $SP.00) but if they overdo it in front, look for him to launch late. Three weeks between runs since spanking them on the Parks track. He was trucking in the run and it was just a matter of Pannell pushing the button. Once he did, the gelding exploded. More depth here, but I think he goes very good.

2 Hope At Hand (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a daughter of Impending for the Macdonald/Gluyas camp that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since October 15 on the Parks track here when near the speed throughout and just battled late, somewhat of an end of prep run behind Grey River, who went on to place during Cup Week. Trialled well leading in and in a fast run 1200m, can see her sitting back and finishing off strong.

6 Kenyan Wonder… (Bet Now:  $SP.00) bless her last start. I was amazed at the price she was given she was the best horse in the race and was dropping miles in grade/depth. Rawiller got her out in time and lifted her when it mattered to win. I think she’s a much better horse on the course proper more so than the Parks track and now she has that win, her confidence is up and she can go on with it.

5 Bubble Over (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very genuine mare for John Macmillan that resumed with a win last Saturday at Murray Bridge over 1000m. She was given a peach by Voorham just off the speed, getting the suck run before being able to slice into clear air and in a driving go, finished best. Fitter, up in trip, hard to beat despite a tricky gate to overcome.

2 Draft Day (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can be an improver for Team Corstens. He resumed at The Valley where he got back to near last in the run and just couldn’t get involved, finishing down the track behind Bluestone Lane on a night where up/in was seriously advantaged. Finds a much fairer track this time around and despite drawing wide, I think he commands some level of respect with solid Victorian form.

1 Tiz Enuf (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks the straight bat option. Team Freedman filly that comes here off the back of a debut win at Sale, producing sustained speed from the front and giving nothing else a look in, giving them a spanking and the form out of the race has been franked. Should land on speed and likely leading from gate one. From there, she’ll take running down.

10 Zelta (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a daughter of Snitzel for GaiBott that is on debut. Her trial/jumpout work has been more than encouraging to the eye, certainly good enough to suggest she can give this a shake on debut. Early market suggests she should be respected and with this stable, especially with their juveniles, she appeals as a key winning chance.

5 Kristobel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is in with a shout for me. First run for Sarah Rutten came two weeks ago on the Parks track here and I thought she was very good from off the speed, launching late to just miss out on the win when second to Accapella Moon, driving hard late to just miss. You’d like to think off that effort, she has to be respected and can pinch a first four spot.

9 En Francais (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is heading in the right direction for Jake Stephens and IMO is Stakes class. Hopefully can confirm that here. Resumed with an arrogant win at Murray Bridge before having a mini break and racing over this track/distance a few weeks ago where she made an absolute mess of them after getting a suck run behind the speed. She got clear at the top of the straight and she was dominant. Can only see upside/improvement, she’s clearly the one to beat.

6 Beltoro (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been up forever it seems like but he is holding his form really well. Game second to a very much in form Right You Are two back at Sandown before going to Flemington where he was near the genuine speed and while he was close up in defeat, I thought he had his chance. Might well be looking for the paddock but given his consistency, he’s a must for multiples.

2 Dalasan… (Bet Now:  $SP.00) well he either wins this or retire him. I am 50/50 in that regard. He resumed at Flemington and was involved in an incident behind the gates, so I am somewhat forgiving of the run. He comes back home to a very thin race, on paper, but is he gone? If he doesn’t fire here, then yep, he’s gone. His best sees him win comfortably.

11 Philonize (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is on the short side IMO given she is somewhat of a query at 1200m, but she has the right racing style that will give herself every chance. Resumed two weeks ago over 1100m here where she produced sustained speed from the front, giving nothing else a look in and was dominant. More depth here, but jump/run, she’ll look the winner for a long way.

12 Endlessly (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has really found a purple patch since joining Phillip Stokes. 2/2 for the new camp, both at this track, with the latest being a few weeks ago where she got back off the speed before angling clear and letting down with real purpose to win impressively. Can only see improvement and if indeed that is the case, I am confident she can measure up.

5 Noname Lane (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Clarken/O’Shea trained gelding that resumes. He hasn’t raced since Melbourne Cup Day over 1800m when leading and failing to fire when last behind Bartholemeu Dias. Can sprint well fresh, he has a real liking for this track and has trialled up well enough to suggest he can run a forward race fresh. One for multiples.

11 True Marvel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) was a big price at near $20 a few days ago all in and I think he’s the each way gamble. He is a stayer that will have no issue running two miles. His last run came over 2500m at The Valley and was good to the line late in the piece when third to Swords Drawn. Thornton does ride the horse well but it’s an upgrade with Williams taking over and his jumps trial, to sharpen him up, was very good. He’ll do me.

1 Persan (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the class of the race, by some distance, and gets J Kah, so he has plenty going for him. He was a tad plain I thought behind Swords Drawn in the Torney Cup but did lose a plate in the run. Whether that is a genuine excuse, not sure, but gets a significant jockey upgrade and he has run well in a Melbourne Cup previously. Has a bit in his corner.

9 Stars Of Carrum (Bet Now:  $SP.00) could well be a nonny but that said, he is flying. Harry Grace rode a 12/10 on him in the Lord Reims and was there to win but couldn’t quite get there when a narrow second to Highland Jakk. He is right down in the weights, he’ll have no issue with the trip and will be strong late. Must for multiples…backing him to win is another matter.

This might just well be a throw at the stumps with 13 Dual Fuel (Bet Now:  $SP.00) but she is a filly that I reckon could well be a moral for the SA Oaks in several weeks time. She ran last Saturday at Murray Bridge and really, the fact she was able to run third given she was last on the turn, about 15 lengths off the leader, she did a remarkable job to run third. If she’s within range, gee I think she’ll run a big race.

11 Easterly (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a progressive filly for the Price/Kent camp that commands respect. She comes here off the back of a maiden win at Sale over 1500m. She lobbed into a beaut spot under Mertens and really, once he gave the filly clear air, away she went and she spanked them. Gets J Kah on and with luck from a tricky gate, she appeals as one of the hardest to beat.

4 Bavicia (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an interesting runner. Team McEvoy trains this colt, who resumed at the midweeks at Sandown over 1800m where he got a fair way out of his ground and wasn’t too bad in defeat behind Edith, a mare that is progressive despite running a shocker last week at her next run. Comes back to the mile here but should be strong late and form around him from last prep reads pretty well for a race like this.

10 Siyata (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness for the Clarken/O’Shea camp. She resumed with a bang at Murray Bridge before racing at Morphettville where she was very flat when Pannell asked for the effort and just whacked to the line late behind Starlite Valley. I think forgive a good horse for one average run because the win fresh was dynamic, and J Kah on, she appeals big time.

2 Taunting (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a quality sprinter for Michael Hickmott that resumes. He hasn’t raced since Champions Day at Flemington during Cup Week where he was a bit on the disappointing side after seemingly getting every chance near the speed behind Snapper. He has a fab record at the track and has trialled up super leading in. Hard to beat, but watch the market, especially with this stable.

8 Magic Max (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a son of Magnus for the Richards/Moyle camp that resumes. This guy is eligible for easier but he has the talent under the hood to run a positive race. His last run came on November 16 in the Gytrash Final when back and making up minor headway without threatening behind Keep Reading. He needs things to fall into place but his best is good enough to give this a shake.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 9 En Francais

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 11 Philonize

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 11 True Marvel

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 11

Leg Two: 1, 2, 9, 11

Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 11, 13

Leg Four: 2, 7, 8, 10

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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