12/6/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Sandown

Melbourne metro racing this Saturday heads to Sandown Hillside where nine races have been set down. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (9) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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I am somewhat wary of Synthetic to Turf but I think you have to trust what you saw with 2 Hurtle (Bet Now: $3.20) on debut at Ballarat. The big ticks for the win on debut. First, the market support was strong ($2.5-$2). Second, the time was very slick relative to the meeting and she did it from the front. Just has to handle give in the track and I think she’s one of the better bets on the card.

5 Ranveer (Bet Now: $2.35) is a Matt Laurie trained colt that resumes. This guy was hard in the market when debuting at Flemington back in December. Ran well, but bumped into one of the sharper juveniles we have seen this season in Profiteer. That form looks A1 and his recent jumpout was a nice piece of work.

1 Mimosas (Bet Now: $5.50) does come here off the back of a debut win four weeks ago at Flemington down the straight, but could I dive into short odds? No way. Nice change up speed from off the speed to get the win and to the eye, it was solid, but the time was ordinary and as a whole, not sure what she beat, although a winner has come out of it since. Can win, but I’d wait until jump time for a better price.

5 Sign Seal Deliver (Bet Now: $4.50) is racing really well at the moment for Matt Cumani. He lacks any turn of foot, but is a stayer and if this becomes a 2400m slog, he’ll be last man standing. Lovely ride from Yendall saw him during the Warrnambool Carnival before racing at Flemington a few weeks ago where he tried hard, but was just no match for Heart Of Puissance. That form looks the right one for this.

15 Shakespeare (Bet Now: $5.00) looks the one on the up. Patrick Payne trained former Kiwi that has been pretty good in a couple of runs this time in, the latest coming here when a closing second to Chuck A Luck on the Lakeside course. Tick over jumps trial to sharpen him and once again gets in very well after the claim.

4 Midterm (Bet Now: $34.00) is one I could entertain for wider exotics. His rating has come down now and this does look his level. He isn’t an 84/open class horse. Not anymore and his recent efforts suggest as much, which have been in stronger races than this, so at big odds, he can be a potential improver.

7 Sweet Sixteen (Bet Now: $6.50) is knocking on the door to win one. Team Snowden trained filly that ran at Flemington a few weeks ago. Jamie Kah rode the good race on her, but I think back towards the inside was inferior ground, so be forgiving somewhat of the margin into third she was behind Standoff. Hard to beat here.

8 Wegobam (Bet Now: $17.00) is racing well for the Corstens camp and is a leading chance here I feel. Ran at Flemington three weeks ago and worked home okay from off the pace behind impressive winner Standoff in a race where the form out of it has been ticked off. Just needs to everything right manners wise to be a serious winning threat.

9 Comica (Bet Now: $13.00) is a Mick Kent trained filly that probably went a bit too keen in front at Flemington last time. That was the first time in her three start career that she led and I reckon that just took away something from her finale behind Standoff. With a more economical steer, she’ll be more effective.

9 Amercement (Bet Now: $5.50) should appreciate the rise to 1300m. Both runs this time in have come over 1100m, the latest being three weeks ago at Flemington down the straight and worked home pretty well late behind Modear. Back to a bending track, hard fit…think she’s hard to beat.

12 Little Stevie (Bet Now: $11.00) is racing really well this time in for the Ellerton/Zahra camp. Several weeks between runs since racing over this track/distance when near the speed and fighting on pretty well behind Bons Abroad, who bolted up at Flemington next start, so the form reads well, she handles a wet track and lobs into a plum spot from the gate.

6 Barbie’s Fox (Bet Now: $14.00) is a talented mare that resumes. Go back to this time last year and she did win in town on heavy ground so she can run a positive race at this level despite an unfashionable trainer/jockey combo. Quiet jumpout at Cranbourne, but I think watch the market.

9 Spring Choice (Bet Now: $4.80) should be suited here. Team Corstens have this guy ticking along very nicely after the long layoff. Lovely ride from Lachie King saw him bolt up just under two months ago at Sandown, building the revs from the back and was much too good. He’s got upside to come and finds a winnable race.

1 Dr Drill (Bet Now: $5.00) is four weeks between runs for the Maher/Eustace camp since racing in the R A Lee during the Adelaide Carnival at Morphettville where he ran a game second to Lord Vladivostok, looking the winner but was nailed late. Should get a lovely run from the gate and gets in well after the claim.

I think 2 Pacodali (Bet Now: $11.00) can take this out. Maddie Raymond has him going well I feel and comes here off the back of a solid last start effort at Stakes level in the R A Lee when far from disgraced behind Lord Vladivostok. He either leads or sits outside the leader. Wherever he sits, he can control and prove hard to run down.

5 Liapari (Bet Now: $12.00) is yet to run a bad race on wet ground so at big odds, he can run a much improved race here on what he has done to date this time in. With Lisa Enright, his lone run for the camp on saw him run third to So Si Bon…how well does that read for this? Has to be hard to beat.

11 Relucent (Bet Now: $5.50) doesn’t have the greatest of winning strike rates, but he is an honest animal that is rarely far away from the thick end of the prize. He was 1800m back to the mile at Caulfield two weeks ago and didn’t stop chasing in a pretty good effort when second to Strategic Phil. Ready to win and gets his chance here.

2 Savaheat (Bet Now: $12.00) can be an improver. Price/Kent trained galloper that is three weeks between runs since racing at Flemington where he wasn’t suited in a sit/sprint behind Don’t Doubt Dory, so want to be forgiving of that. He likes wet ground and with the claim, he’s well in.

I’m going to give 1 Mark Of The Man (Bet Now: $16.00) another chance. I liked him alot last Saturday at Flemington but the market flucs late suggested that run wasn’t going to be a winning one and that is how it panned out. The run prior was a beauty and his UK form was at the mile so giving him another look.

3 Seb Song (Bet Now: $5.50) does tend to have a liking for wet ground and he should get that here. Strong fresh winner at Cranbourne before going to Caulfield where he seemed to have his chance but was far from disgraced in defeat behind Riot And Rose. That form reads well for this.

8 Literati (Bet Now: $9.50) is racing well for Symon Wilde. Was 2000m back to the mile when winning at Ballarat last time, producing nice change up speed on the bog track to score in a race where the depth, on paper, looked solid. Keen to see how he goes in town against his own age.

14 Altai Ranger (Bet Now: $8.00) for me. Month between runs since racing over 1400m at Flemington where he attempted to lead throughout and tried hard, giving a strong kick, but tired late when a close up fifth to Summaroca. He was nearer the inside and leading, which was an awful set up for that particular afternoon with the conditions. Better suited here and he’ll run a big race from the front.

11 Arkham Knight (Bet Now: $7.00) comes over from SA with decent enough form for John Macmillan, with Jamie Kah to reunite with her former master. This horse does love to race on wet ground so he will get conditions to suit and the resumption at Murray Bridge was definitely encouraging.

2 Defiant Dancer (Bet Now: $7.50) has been up a little while but maintains to hold his form nicely. Ran over 1400m at Caulfield a fortnight back. Had a suck run behind the speed and tried hard when fourth to Biometric. Reckon back to 1300m is ideal and the bigger track will suit as well.

12 Zipping Boy (Bet Now: $3.50) on top in the get out. Jerome Hunter has a smart sprinter on his hands here and right down in the weights, he looks well set up despite a rise in grade/depth, his last start being a win over 1000m here, but he is a winner who is hard fit, loves wet ground and will be out of trouble near the speed.

1 Great Again (Bet Now: $4.20) has class and that will carry him a long way here. Resumed in the Wangoom at Warrnambool and was there to be a winning threat when presented. Just reckon condition gave out late behind Inn Keeper. Whether this Saturday is a prep run for something else, not sure, but he has class and quality.

10 Propelle (Bet Now: $10.00) is a talented mare for the Ellerton/Zahra camp that resumes. Love horses that end a prep on a high and she did that when getting the job done on the Parks track. She has a draw to get three/four wide cover, get a decent drag into the race and launch late.

BEST BET: Race Four Number 9 Amercement

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 2 Hurtle

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 5 Liapari

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 2, 5, 7, 11, 14

Leg Two: 1, 3, 6, 8, 11

Leg Three: 2, 11, 14, 15

Leg Four: 1, 10, 12, 14

$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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