In AFL terms, Sundays meeting at Caulfield is the ‘Premiership Quarter’, with the contenders being sorted out from the pretenders for Sir Rupert Clarke Day. The weather is overcast, the track is good (3) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (13:00) Mypunter.com Handicap (78) 1400m
5 Steel Frost (Bet Now: $3.10) is a Will Clarken trained former NSW galloper who has been outstanding in two runs for the new stable back in SA. Won well first up over 1250m before going to the 1400m a tick over two weeks back and gee he won with authority, ambling to the front and he dashed right away. Good test here, but I am confident he can measure up and win.
11 Castelo (Bet Now: $19.00) is a talented type that resumes for the Clinton McDonald yard. this boy ran some good races during the latter part of the Autumn, including a couple of nice runs here behind the likes of Burning Front and Onpicalo. Has a good fresh record and first up at 1400m tells me there is intent to run well.
Thought 14 Typhoon Monaco (Bet Now: $28.00) produced a lovely return when resuming at the Valley on August 26, sitting back on a leaders track and working home very late behind Fragonard. Has since trialled at Cranbourne and looked quite good there. Up to 1400m on her home track suits and is unbeaten second up.
Race 2. (13:30) iTalktravel Plate (90) 1100m
1 Snitty Kitty (Bet Now: $6.50) does look the safe way to go here. Talented mare for the Henry Dwyer camp who went out on a high, winning the Lightning at Doomben and avoiding the temptation of progressing towards the Tatts Tiara. Recent jump out was very good, trained on the track and does go well fresh.
9 Chiavari (Bet Now: $16.00) is a Nick Harnett trained mare who was good first up at the Valley behind Fragonard before going to Mornington where she trucked up nicely before dashing to the front and looking home, but was nabbed late by Smokin’ Bella. Always runs well here, better than what the record reads, and she should be near peak fitness.
10 Jalan Jalan (Bet Now: $12.00) is a Colin Little trained mare who does have a load of talent but she just can’t quite put it all together. In saying that, it was a total forgive/forget run last time out at Mornington. Was in the right spot but couldn’t get out and lost all momentum/winning chance from the home turn. Has run well here before and with clear air, she’ll be strong late.
Race 3. (14:00) Inglis Cup 2000m
1 Hardham (Bet Now: $1.55) didn’t have the best of luck when resuming over 1400m here behind Grande Rosso before stepping up to the 1700m at Flemington where Nolen made amends with a sweet steer off the pace, taking the leader and fighting hard to hold on to the win. Third up at 2000m looks ideal and really, he is a $1.10 chance.
5 Takomochi (Bet Now: $10.00) is a Waterhouse/Bott trained galloper that put together a couple of sharp wins at the provincials before going to Canterbury where he was heavily backed but just did a bit too much work on speed and tired late to finish fourth to the in form Estikhraaj. Looks the leader here and I think up to the ten furlongs will suit.
4 Baykool (Bet Now: $24.00) is a four year old trained by Pat Carey who is a knockout chance for sure. He ran over 2000m at Mornington last time out and perhaps was ridden a bit too close to the speed when a close up fifth to The Thug, but he was coming again near the line. Should be hard fit now and always have to respect the stable in these kind of events.
Race 4. (14:30) Ladbrokes Up For The Challenge Handicap 1700m
18 Odeon (Bet Now: $18.00) is a talented four year old for the Ellerton/Zahra team who didn’t really have conditions to suit when resuming in the Sofitel (1400m) at Flemington behind Theanswermyfriend but his effort was sound. Up to the 1700m looks ideal, likes Caulfield and he does have a fab second up record.
4 Amovatio (Bet Now: $12.00) is a pest given his racing style but a sharp jump out suggested he was back on track prior to racing over the 1700m at Flemington a tick over two weeks ago and that was exactly the case. But again he got too far back and you could make a case that he goes close to winning with clear air at the right time. Going really well. Just needs to be within striking range on the turn.
The word was that 2 Turnitaround (Bet Now: $15.00) had come back as good as ever and that was proven correct after his ripping first up effort over 1400m here a tick over four weeks back where he savaged the line late to run a close up third to Grande Rosso. He can pull out a decent run second up also, and has performed well here prior to that fresh run. Definite chance.
Race 5. (15:00) Schweppes Thousand Guineas Prelude 1400m
2 Shoals (Bet Now: $6.50) is a quality filly for the Freedman camp who is unbeaten in four career outings. She resumed in the Atlantic Jewel a few weeks back at the Valley where she was ridden a touch upside down but her brilliance was just too much and she scored a dominant win, with the 0.75L margin flattering her rivals. Very keen to see her at 1400m.
3 Limestone (Bet Now: $9.00) also comes throe Danehill where she was most unlucky. She was certainly going to be in the finish until the run closed and she clipped heels to come down. Convinced she was going to be in the finish until that point. Looks to map super here and on that effort, the 1400m is no issue.
Race 6. (15:30) Ladbrokes Caulfield Guineas Prelude 1400m
I’m not quite 100% a believer in him, but I will go with 3 Royal Symphony (Bet Now: $2.15). His win in the Exford, visually, was spectacular, but keep things in perspective. He only grabbed a $51 chance in the last stride, and yes everything wen wrong for him and still won, but he didn’t beat much I thought. This is the good test for him. If he wins here, then I’ll believe for the Guineas.
6 Kementari (Bet Now: $4.00) is the big watch here. The wraps and boom on this horse are high, not to the level of the horse mentioned above, but high nonetheless. Resumed in the Run To The Rose and I was really impressed by his effort from a Guineas perspective behind Menari. Never looked likely but he found the line well. Been set for the Guineas and has been prepped in Melbourne for a couple of weeks. Massive threat.
2 Summer Passage (Bet Now: $14.00) is a classy colt from NZ who resumed in the Danehill and for mine he just didn’t look entirely at all down the Flemington straight and finished down the track behind Catchy. Should be much better suited around a bend and you only have to go back to his Autumn form to see how good he is.
Race 7. (16:00) Hyland Race Colours Underwood Stakes 1800m
1 Hartnell (Bet Now: $2.10) should be winning…should be. I was all over him in the Makybe Diva, like most, but once I heard James Cummings interviewed moments before they jumped, I wanted out. Cummings talked him right down and clearly he wasn’t ready, as it showed behind Humidor. One thing we know with Cummings is that he is a GF trainer, and that the GF is the Caulfield Cup. But up to 1800m and up against an inferior field, I’m really keen.
The clear threat is obviously 8 Bonneval (Bet Now: $4.40), the star kiwi mare who produced a fab return to racing by winning the Dato at the Valley under a peach from Lane. It was somewhat of a messy race via the fallen horse but he got the mare clear air throughout, pounced at the right time and fended off Abbey Marie. Form out of that has been okay and I think she will give Hartnell a big scare.
Definite D-Day for 4 He’s Our Rokkii (Bet Now: $31.00). On face value, he was dreadful in the Dato behind Bonneval, but keep in mind he was leading, the riderless horse was in the way, and really it was just a scenario where he wasn’t suited. Draws to get a suck run behind them here and on that basis, he should get 1800m.
Race 8. (16:30) Keno Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes 1400m
Have to go with 3 Scales Of Justice (Bet Now: $3.20). WA star who did an unbelievable job to get as close as he did to Redkirk Warrior first up in the Bobbie Lewis at Flemington given he had no idea how to run properly down the straight yet still finished off the best outside the winner. 1400m, back around a bend, fitter…yep, he’s the one for me.
4 Tosen Stardom (Bet Now: $6.50) has been given a tick over four weeks off since running in the Memsie where he was one of the better runs of the beaten brigade behind the dominant leader/winner Vega Magic. Had to change course a couple of times and he is the sort of horse that needs to have clear air, he can’t stop/start. He is a valuable entire and a Group l win would secure the future properly. Great chance here.
14 Mr Sneaky (Bet Now: $8.00) was given a peach by Zahra to win first up over 1200m here before going to the Sofitel (1400m) at Flemington a tick over two weeks back and he was very good in defeat. Just got too far back in a leader dominated race but you had to like his final 200m behind Theanswermyfriend. He is the one with upside and is down in the weights once again.
Race 9. (17:00) Le Pine Funerals Handicap 1100m
1 Hellbent (Bet Now: $8.00) is a quality sprinter for the Darren Weir who is a borderline Group l horse in the right race, but he needs to perform here to warrant that tag. McEwen run fresh behind Russian Revolution was just fair. Wouldn’t say disappointing but expected a bit more. Back to Caulfield, this will tell us where he is at.
13 Rich Charm (Bet Now: $4.80) is an absolute beauty for the Udyta Clarke stable. He really came of age in the Autumn, highlighted by his last run where he took care of a classy field impressively in the VOBIS Gold Sprint. Two trials leading in have been excellent, he is a winner and I love horses going out on a high. Confidence is up and he’s ready to go.
Keen to see 5 Bassett (Bet Now: $7.00) return. He probably lacks the brilliance of some of these, but he is quite bulletproof and is never far away. Loved his recent trial win at Cranbourne, beating up a high class field with Group l winners engaged, and he did it comfortably. Looks ready to go.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 1 Hartnell
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 1 Hardham
VALUE: Race Four Number 18 Odeon
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 3, 6
Leg Two: 1, 8
Leg Three: 3, 4, 6, 9, 14
Leg Four: 1, 2, 5, 13
$50 Investment= 62.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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