A strong nine race card has been assembled for Doomben on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out 2.5 metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (11:43) Tab Venue Mode Hcp 1200m
I really don’t know what to do with this lot. He was unwanted on debut back in January, but I was really taken by the win of 2 Balmaurice (Bet Now: $6.50) at Eagle Farm. He trucked through beautifully and when asked to go, he did and put them to bed with ease. I’m really keen to see how he resumes.
1 Ahooshu (Bet Now: $3.30) has the Sweet Dolly form and that is top shelf juvenile form in Queensland. That came in the 2YO Jewel at the Gold Coast. He tried his hear out from on speed but just felt the pinch and couldn’t match it with the star filly. That form has to read well for a race like this.
3 Military Gambler (Bet Now: $3.60) is a Chris Munce trained juvenile that had specking at odds when winning here two weeks ago. Sat off a decent speed before angling wider and despite taking a little while to wind into his work, he was strong late and impressive. Interesting to see if he can repeat the dose.
Race 2. (12:18) Barrie Greenup Memorial Hcp 2020m
2 Humbolt Current (Bet Now: $2.45) can win again. Thought he did a really good job to win here two weeks ago. The sit/sprint set up wasn’t his go, but overcame it and charged late to get up and win. He loves life in Queensland and has rarely run a bad race north of the Tweed. That should continue here.
His record at Doomben is awful, but hard to ignore the way 3 Romakash (Bet Now: $3.80) is racing at the moment. Matty Kropp has him going super, winning two on the bounce at Eagle Farm over 2200m and 2400m respectively. His big help back in trip is a likely wet track and this turning into a slog. That will be his big tick given he has had the tough runs over longer trips under the belt.
1 Alward (Bet Now: $6.00) is getting back towards his best form. He ran third to Humbolt Current here two weeks back. He had the suck run behind the speed and tried hard. Just lacked the turn of foot to put them away when third. He’s getting towards peak fitness and is a definite winning chance.
Race 3. (12:53) Stradbroke Season On Sale-bm90 1615m
Have to be with 1 Cloak (Bet Now: $2.90) for the lethal Vandyke/Maloney combo. Was met with strong market support when resuming over 1350m here two weeks ago. Looked home when Du Plessis asked for the effort. Just no match for the class of Vanna Girl. Fitter and up in trip, with Maloney back in the saddle, clearly the one to beat.
3 Kubrick (Bet Now: $4.60) will want this track to dry out. On the quick back up for Chris Waller after racing last Saturday at Eagle Farm. He chased strongly nearer the inside and for a few strides looked the winner. Just couldn’t quite finish it off when a narrow second to Walking Flying. Just wants a drying track and the forecast says it should.
6 Barefoot (Bet Now: $10.00) is nearing a win I feel. Not sure the heavy track was to her liking fresh at the Gold Coast before going here where she found firmer footing and ran a much improved race when a close up fourth to Guise. She’s found positive form now and could well go on with it.
Race 4. (13:28) Qld Guineas Day 1 May (bm78) 1200m
I think this race is all about 4 Fender (Bet Now: $3.20). If he’s anywhere near right, he wins this. Quality sprinter for Cav that resumes, having not raced since Golden Eagle Day at Rosehill when struggling on the wet track but far from disgraced in defeat behind Elaborate. Looked great in a recent trial and if this track does dry out, he’s a good thing.
13 Amiche (Bet Now: $2.00) comes here with fresh legs, five weeks between runs, and we keep saying, Vandyke runners with that sort of break between runs is gold. It’ll be interesting to see what the market does with her because she does seem most effective on a truly wet ground whereas this track will improve. Hard to beat regardless.
9 Genzai The Wolf (Bet Now: $8.50) is showing a real liking for Eagle Farm but has run well at Doomben recently. Lovely ride from Huxtable saw him win over 1000m at Eagle Farm last time, ridden cold off the speed before slicing his way through the field and dashing hard late to win. Has run well at 1200m without winning but gets a great chance to change that here.
Race 5. (14:03) Doomben 10,000 Day 15 May-bm72 1615m
The Freedman camp has done a really good job with 7 Express Princess (Bet Now: $3.00), placing her to advantage and relatively staying in their lane. Last couple of runs have come on the Kenso track where she has placed both runs in tidy races, much stronger than this. Just needs luck from the tricky gate to be in the finish.
9 Love Yers All (Bet Now: $4.50) is flying for Lindsay Hatch and the only real query is the mile. But in saying that, she had no dramas with a tough 1350m on a bottomless track here last time out. She ate up the mud and bolted in. Harder here, but she’s a mare in form and does no work from the gate.
8 Mosshiki (Bet Now: $4.80) doesn’t win out of turn but is racing in a real purple patch at the moment for Rob Heathcoate. Ran over the mile here last time out when off the speed and working home nicely late when a narrow second to Stuck With You. Not far off another win and gets another great chance.
Race 6. (14:42) Doomben Cup Day 22 May Hcp 1615m
Is 8 Criminal Defence (Bet Now: $9.00) a local contender for the Derby? Time will tell, but he looks to have returned in really good order. Resumed over 1350m here two weeks ago when back off a moderate speed. Never really likely after that, but he closed off with purpose at the end when third to Rollinwiththeflow. Fitter, up in trip, he’s likeable.
2 Abracadazzle (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Tony Gollan trained filly that is holding her form quite nicely at the moment. Three weeks between runs since winning over the mile at Eagle Farm after coming back from 1800m the start prior. She had a battle to get there but class came to the fore and she finished best. Been up a while but holding her form and is a leading chance.
1 Tumbler Ridge (Bet Now: $10.00) should love the rise to the mile. Comes through the Rollinwiththeflow race from two weeks back over the 1350m here. He just found the sit/sprint set up not his go, but worked to the line pretty well. Think he has come back well and is a knockout chance here.
Race 7. (15:27) Derby Day 29 May Hcp 1050m
1 Simply Fly (Bet Now: $3.60) is just genuine. Since they have reverted to riding him cold, he has just been a different horse, highlighted by his last start triumph in the 3YO Jewel at the Gold Coast when charging home from near last. Tick over trial was a lovely piece of work and he’ll be strong at the end.
8 Bleu Zebra (Bet Now: $4.20) is a talented daughter of I Am Invincible for Tony Gollan that resumes. She hasn’t raced since January 23 when a sharp winner here, beating home Tycoon Evie, who is being talked up as Stakes class, so the form does read super. Market will be a guide as to where her fitness levels are at, but her 1000m form is dynamite.
9 Xerri (Bet Now: $10.00) isn’t the most reliable horse going around but he comes here with confidence at a high level. Resumed at the Sunny Coast where he looked a good thing on paper and duly saluted under Brad Stewart. Has run well in town before, upside, stable in form…has to be respected.
Race 8. (16:07) Oaks Day 5 June Hcp 1200m
8 Epic Girl (Bet Now: $7.00) is a Chris Anderson trained mare that is three weeks between runs. She got a well deserved win on the board at Eagle Farm over 1200m, sitting on speed before being clicked up and away she went. She was strong and dominant in the run to the line. Now she has a win on the board, she can go on with it.
10 Supergiant (Bet Now: $13.00) is a quality four year old for Michael Costa that resumes. He hasn’t raced since September 26 at Toowoomba where it ended a pretty plain Spring after such a promising Winter prep as a three year old. I will say that last run, he was found to have a poor post race recovery. Trials leading in have been solid and we know his best is good enough.
7 Embrace Me (Bet Now: $26.00) is a very interesting runner. Formerly with Danny O’Brien, she now finds herself with Ed O’Rourke. Her best is more than good enough to be around the mark and despite her first up form being suspect, she has trialled up really well in readiness for her return so keen to see how she goes.
Race 9. (16:43) Stradbroke Day 12 June (c6) 1350m
12 Wonderful Riri (Bet Now: $5.00) has done little wrong since joining the O’Dea/Hoysted camp. Resumed with a sharp win from the back over 1200m here. Then went to Eagle Farm, remained at 1200m, worked home strongly late when second to Kalik. Up to 1350m third up looks a great set up and is in form.
This looks a real target race for 4 Guntantes (Bet Now: $10.00). Second up at 1350m and keep in mind the bonus for being a QTIS 4YO is on the cards as well. Resumed over 1200m here a fortnight ago and he loomed to win and beat Lashes after getting a suck run behind the speed. Just failed to pick her up. Any hint of improvement off that and he’ll take beating.
7 Arthur In Charge (Bet Now: $18.00) is looking for a rise in trip and he gets it here. Ran two weeks back over 1200m here. Snagged back to near last from the wide gate, so his chances were harmed there and then, but loved the way he closed off when a close up fifth to Lashes, a borderline Stakes class mare, so the form clearly reads well.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 4 Fender
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 1 Cloak
LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 12 Wonderful Riri
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 8
Leg Two: 1, 8
Leg Three: 1, 7, 8, 10
Leg Four: 4, 5, 6, 7, 12
$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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