1/5/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Wagga, Wagga Cup day

The Wagga Carnival concludes on Friday with a ripping program, highlighted of course by the Wagga Cup (2000m). The weather forecast is for showers, the track is heavy (9) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Going the way of 5 Estrado (Bet Now: $3.60) in the opener. Gary Portelli trains this filly, who has such an awful racing pattern but she does have talent. Ran at Kembla last time out and while she was beaten four lengths, she should have finished much closer, not getting the clearest of paths in the straight. Has performed on soft ground before, gets an inside gate so hopefully won’t be as far back.

1 Biscara (Bet Now: $2.35) is a Matty Dale trained filly that had her first run for the stable at Gundagai when a late drifter in betting but it mattered now as she showed a good turn of foot when asked by Nick Heywood and won well. Being by Rubick, should be able to handle a genuine wet track and her form from Victoria and South Australia does read well.

2 Carruthers (Bet Now: $14.00) is a big watch here. Talented animal for Norm Gardner that resumes, having not raced since December 27 when down the track at Canberra. Has been given a good break and during that time has had a throat operation, so I think watch the last 10-15 minutes of betting and see what it does with him.

7 Alise (Bet Now: $18.00) for me in a bit of a throw at the stumps. Daughter of Canford Cliffs for the Scott Spackman team that comes through the Shelby Sixtysix maiden from Prelude Day here when wide no cover for the trip and faded late. Two runs prior, both on wet ground, were quite good, so willing to give her another chance in a thin maiden.

10 Miss Elsie May (Bet Now: $2.20) looks the key and perhaps only serious threat to the top tip. Has had around two months off for Trevor Sutherland, having not raced since March 10 at this track/distance when pipped near the peg by Propose To Me. Placed in her lone run on wet ground, on her home track and has to be respected.

2 Highly Decorated (Bet Now: $6.50) can be an improver here at odds. Resumed over 1000m here when back, wide throughout before peeling wider to try and get into the race but failed to fire a shot really in a disappointing return. He’s better than that and gets the Blinkers off. Has already been backed in from around $15.

9 Treasure Boss (Bet Now: $21.00) is an absolute swimmer so despite being first up I’ll go his way. Was formerly with the Mark Gee stable but is now with Keith Dryden. His heavy track form does read very well with three wins from seven starts and the other four outings were full of merit. 1200m first up as well tells me he’s ready to go given in 5/6 previous first up runs, he resumed at 1000m.

1200m for 4 Upper House (Bet Now: $3.50) is well and truly short of his best but he does have a touch of quality about him. Has been freshened up since contesting the Albury Mile when back and chasing well without threatening behind Yousay Bolt. He’ll get back and be spotting them a start but will be strong at the end.

8 Concrete (Bet Now: $8.00) is the one that looks a bit of value here I feel for Joe Cleary. In recent times, he has struggled at 1200m, but keep in mind when he has won, one of those was by ten lengths while the other was a Highway at Randwick. He’s knocking on the door to win one. Best chance will be if he’s on speed and is allowed to do his own thing.

7 Leg Work (Bet Now: $5.50) for me. Danny Williams trains this son of Shamus Award, who was backed as if unbeatable when resuming in a 1200m maiden here and despite a few nervous moments in the straight trying to get clear, he eventually did, burst through, and won well. Tick over trial at Goulburn was quite good and he’s got more upside than most engaged here.

1 Nieces And Nephews (Bet Now: $5.00) is having a near career best prep for the Joseph/Jones team. Hasn’t raced since the Canberra Carnival when scoring a narrow but impressive win over 1300m when showing good ticker on speed to fend them off. Gets in really well after the claim. Just hope the inside is okay for him.

2 Trying (Bet Now: $14.00) is six weeks between runs for Norm Gardner since racing over the mile at Albury in what has turned out to be a decent form race with a couple of winners to come out of it. He was a notable drifter in betting and with 63kg on his back, he failed to pick up. Much better suited at the weights here and loves wet ground.

I’ll take a punt on 3 Rockarosa (Bet Now: $6.50), a former Chris Waller filly having her first run for Keith Dryden. This girl hasn’t raced since April 9 at Wyong when wide no cover throughout in a total forgive. The form guide says she struggles on wet ground, but two of those runs she was good behind a Stakes performed filly in Mirra Vision and the other was that luckless Wyong effort. She’s an enigma but she’s good odds here.

1 Got Your Six (Bet Now: $3.00) is racing really well this time in for the WaterBott stable. Gave them a spanking to win at Muswellbrook two back before racing over 1400m on the Kenso at the midweeks when attempting to lead throughout and tried hard but couldn’t quite see it through when a narrow third to Laila De Vega. Can see her leading and rolling, giving them something to chase, even allowing for the impost.

5 Collectively (Bet Now: $11.00) has always promised to be a nice mare but for the most part she’s been disappointing. Now with Team Price, she looks to be getting towards somewhere near her best. Was okay first up over 1100m before stepping up to 1400m where she produced a brilliant finale from off the pace to win. Has that winning feeling now and can go right on with it.

3 Foxborough (Bet Now: $3.40) has a touch of class on these I feel and am surprised she isn’t favourite. John Sargent trains this girl, who last raced over 1550m on the Kenso track when wide no cover throughout in a total forgive behind Canasta. Go back two starts ago when third to Gone Bye, significant weight pull for Foxborough over that horse here so at the odds, leaning her way.

2 Lancer (Bet Now: $3.90) has that Waterhouse/Bott bone and muscle that will be hard to beat on a bottomless track. Was very good on heavy ground two back at Warwick Farm before going to Canterbury when a close up fifth to The Cartoonist after sitting just off the speed. He likes wet ground, presses forward and is hard to beat.

4 Cyborg (Bet Now: $9.00) does look the pick of the local hopes. He won the Prelude to the Guineas here and it was a ripping steer from Brendan Ward that set up the win. Got back and got the splits nearer the inside before bursting through to win again. Horror draw to overcome, but hard to knock a horse who is in winning form.

I think John Thompson can quinella this race with a couple of old stayers that love wet ground. On top is 3 Maurus (Bet Now: $7.50), who hasn’t been too bad in two runs back from a break. Resumed in the Doncaster Prelude and was solid enough against the bias before going to the JRA Plate and off a slow speed, battled away alright in defeat. He loves wet ground, drops big time in depth and looks the value.

4 Master Of Arts (Bet Now: $9.50) is the stablemate that has probably run better than Maurus in the two same races he has contested, but the query with him is that he has been legless in two Heavy track runs in Sydney, so for him, he wants an improving track, potentially to a soft track, but he looks to be flying and is on song for this.

10 High Opinion (Bet Now: $7.00) ran second in this race last year and potentially is on track to run well again, his third crack at the race. Ran at Rosehill last Saturday and didn’t have the clearest of paths in the straight in a somewhat forgive/forget run behind Welsh Legend. Doesn’t want the track too wet but can handle give in the ground.

2 Shelby Sixtysix (Bet Now: $3.40) for me. Danny Williams trains this filly, who was bursting to win her maiden and it finally came over 1200m here when enjoying a perfect trip off the speed before Guymer angled her into clear air and away she went for an impressive win in good time. She’s going so well that the dreaded Bar Plates are coming off. Happy to be in her corner.

8 Rosy Dawn (Bet Now: $8.50) is a daughter of Al Maher for Norm Gardner that is six weeks between runs, having not raced since March 19 in a Class One at Albury when back in the small field and didn’t really finish it off well enough in a disappointing effort. Been freshened up, heaps of gear changes, back to a sprint trip and at her best, can finish right over the top.

13 Pure Phylis (Bet Now: $17.00) is a Donna Scott trained mare who has raced at Non Tab meetings at her past couple. Gave them a spanking on a bog Albury track two back before going to Corowa and running fifth over 900m. Back up to 1200m, draws an inside gate and do like the booking of Blake McDougall, who does have a good record on the Donna Scott runners.

BEST BET: Race Seven Number 3 Maurus

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 5 Estrado

LONG SHOT: Race Three Number 9 Treasure Boss

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 1, 3, 5, 7

Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 5, 8

Leg Three: 3, 4

Leg Four: 2, 3, 8, 13

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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