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Last years Melbourne Cup winner Shocking will be looking to win back to back cups in tomorrow’s 2010 Melbourne Cup, his run in the Mackinnon Stakes i felt was overlooked after making good ground late to run 6th in what was a slowly run race that suited horses on speed.

Shocking has been a noticeable drifter in tomorrows Melbourne Cup although i think he has been overlooked due to So You Think’s impressive win, looking at the race it was slowly run meaning it suited those runners on speed and the track conditions looked to also favour those on speed. Shocking settled at the back of the field and was asked to go around the 400m and made steady ground out wide, Michael Rodd never looked to ask too much of the 5YO son of Street Cry which makes me think the run was simply a trial heading into his grand final race.

It looks like people are forgetting that he ran the 2nd fastest final 600m in the race behind So You Think and we know he will get the 3200m.

With the suppport for Maluckyday Shocking has eased to a very reasonable price of $12 for the win and $3.60 the place, looking at his preparation over spring it is very hard to see him running at the rear of the field and at his current each way value looks to be one of the best bets in the race.

Not including his run in the Mackinnon Stakes his record at Flemington is 4 wins and a 2nd from 5 starts.

Shockings record this preparation:

6-12 FLEM
30-Oct-10
2000M Dead4 (MACKINNON G1) No age restriction WFA $1,002,500 ($20,000) Michael Rodd (11) 59.0 Rtg:118 1st SO YOU THINK (NZ) 58.0: 2nd DESCARADO (NZ) 58.0: 2-4.92, Margin 7.4L 10th at 1200m, 10th at 800m, 7th at 400m, Betting $7/$8/$8.
4-18 CAUL
16-Oct-10
2400M Heavy9 (CAUL CUP G1) No age restriction Hcp Limit 49.0 $2,600,000 ($110,000) Michael Rodd (10) 57.0 Rtg:118 1st DESCARADO (NZ) 52.5: 2nd HARRIS TWEED (NZ) 54.0: 2-35.69, Margin 2.5L 14th at 1200m, 15th at 800m, 15th at 400m, Betting $5/$4.60/$4.60F. 600m unable to improve positions when held up for clear running until passing the 400m. Near 500m had to be eased to avoid heels


2-16 FLEM
03-Oct-10
2000M Dead4 (TURNBULL G1) 4YO & Up SWP $502,500 ($90,000) Michael Rodd (12) 59.0 Rtg:117 1st ZIPPING 59.0: 3rd SHOOT OUT 58.0: 2-3.23, Margin 0.2L 14th at 1200m, 13th at 800m, 12th at 400m, Betting $5.50/$5.50. Held up for clear running in the home straight before gaining clear running inside the 200m


5-11 CAUL
18-Sep-10
1800M Good3 (UNDERWOOD G1) 3YO & Up WFA $352,000 ($8,750) Michael Rodd (6) 59.0 Rtg:117 1st SO YOU THINK (NZ) 58.0: 2nd DARIANA 56.0: 1-49.54, Margin 4.2L 7th at 1200m, 7th at 800m, 6th at 400m, Betting $7/$8.50. Held up rounding the home turn and in the early part of the straight before gaining clear running near the 100m.


1-16 FLEM
04-Sep-10
1600M Heavy8 (MAKYBE DIVA G2) No age restriction WFA $405,000 ($245,000) Michael Rodd (8) 59.0 Rtg:115 2nd HEART OF DREAMS 59.0: 3rd VIGOR (NZ) 59.0: 1-41.70, Margin 0.5L 11th at 800m, 10th at 400m, Betting $15/$21/$18.
7-14 CAUL
14-Aug-10
1400M Slow7 (LISTON STK G2) 3YO & Up WFA $201,000 ($4,000) Stephen Baster (6) 59.0 Rtg:115 1st SHOOT OUT 58.5: 2nd PREDATORY PRICER 59.0: 1-27.28, Margin 6.9L 14th at 1200m, 14th at 800m, 14th at 400m, Betting $61/$71.
 
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