With the Caulfueld Cup (2400m) to be run and won next Satruday, Justhorseracing is once again giving you the in-depth look at the key runners leading into the big race and where your money should be going.
Who ran last weekend?
Lucia Valentina is now equal favourite for the Caulfield Cup after her outstanding win in the Turnbull Stakes (2000m) last Saturday after a minor foot problem a couple of days out from the race. She proved she isn’t just a wet tracker and that she is one of the rising stars. She heads to the big race now as the horse to beat.
The Offer lost no admirers from my perspective when midfield in the Turnbull. He was wide for the second half of the race and was racing on a firm surface, so under the circumstances, he was quite good I thought in the end and is ticking over beautifully. His main aim is the Melbourne Cup, but the Caulfield Cup is well within his grasp, especially if there is any sort of give in the track.
One of the main chances towards the Caulfield Cup was Spillway, but he was quite disappointing in the Metropolitan (2400m) I thought. He was given every chance by McDonald, but as soon as he came off the bit, he tired and went backwards. He doesn’t run 2400m, so I very much doubt he’ll be figuring in the big race next week.
Who is running this weekend?
Dear Demi is an absolute ripping mare and she proved in her Stocks Stakes (1600m) triumph at the Valley a couple of weeks back that she is going to take some beating in the Caulfield Cup. She ran fourth in the race last year to Fawkner, but is clearly going much better 12 months on. She is nominated for the Caulfield Stakes (2000m) this Saturday, the traditional lead up to the big race.
Kirramosa was very good I thought in the Shannon Stakes (1500m) a fortnight back behind Rock Sturdy, making up good ground late to run fifth. She has dodged the good races so far this Spring, but there won’t be a place to hide here against the best of the best. She is also nominated for the Caulfield Stakes.
Where is the value?
Dandino was outstanding in both the Caulfield Cup and Melbourne Cup last year, but really hasn’t been at that sort of level since. He is back in Australia now, and has looked sharp in recent trackwork at Werribee. Personally, I think the Australian horses will clean up the big three, but the way this bloke is looking, he is one who could win the Caulfield Cup.
He might not win a Caulfield Cup, but you had to love the fighting win of Junoob in the Metropolitan. He carried topweight, and was made to carry it thanks to a strong tempo, then was left in front 400m out, and really was a sitting duck for something from behind, but he kicked very hard in the straight and held his rivals. Lacks the class I feel to win a Caulfield Cup, but at $21, he could be worth a little nibble each way.