Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Monday’s (29/10/2018) racing around the country. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing.
Sunday Results: $230 Loss
Last 10 Days: LLLLLLLWWL
Overall Results (Since June 7): $4508 Profit
Bet One- Each Way- Tamworth Race One Number 4 Cervinia:
Gee I think the $7.50 on offer is value for this girl, who is trained by the in form Damien Lane team. Ran over the mile at Wyong last time where she was on speed and fought on well I thought when fourth to Watchdog. She’ll be much better on firmer footing and she should lead these for fun. Think each way she’s a gamble at the price.
Suggested Bet: $15 Win/$25 Place at $7.5/$3 (BetEasys)
Bet Two- Win- Tamworth Race Four Number 1 Magic Name:
I think he’s the winner of this race. Over a month between runs for the Angela Davies team since racing at Port Macquarie where he beat all bar Light Motion, a track specialist there. The break between runs should do him the world of good and I think he should come over and get a good sit outside Akeed.
Suggested Bet: $40 Win (Tote)
Bet Three- Win – Tamworth Race Five Number 1 Continuation:
The SP profile cheerleaders will say no because he was $26 when debuting here but I thought his run was that of a coming maiden winner when second to the handy galloper Autumn Ridge. $26 compared to $2.80 now I’ll concede is a slight query, but there is no depth to this maiden and he has all the upside in the world.
Suggested Bet: $70 Win at $2.8 (Sportsbet)
Bet Four- Each Way- Tamworth Race Seven Number 7 Sweet Missile:
I think each way you can’t go wrong backing this girl. Colt Prosser trains her and she’s been a beauty since day one. Thought there was merit in her last start effort at Muswellbrook given she was wide on speed yet fought on well to run third to Ghibli, and that form does read well. Probably sits outside Social or gets cover. I think at double figures she’s worth a ticket.
Suggested Bet: $15 E/W at $11/$3.2 (Bet365)
Bet Five- Win- Tamworth Race Three Number 11 Our Sunny Girl:
I think we’re getting black figures for a genuine $1.30-$1.40 chance. She’s got these covered surely. First crack at the mile last time at Pakenham and worked home strongly when a narrow third to Limeshow. That level of maiden is far superior to what she faces here and barring bad luck, she should be winning.
Suggested Bet: $150 Win at $2.1 (BetEasy)
Total Spend: $310
