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The Final Field for the 2019 Melbourne Cup has been released and we have 24 quality horses set to line-up in this years edition of the race on Tuesday 5th November.

We take a look at each of the 24 horses in the Melbourne Cup Field and we provide Video Form for each of them including the International horses in the field.

The best way to find the Melbourne Cup winner is to watch each of the horses lead-up runs heading into the race and we do all the hard work to find these races and list them below.

Cup TIPS ๐Ÿ’ฐ: View our TIPS for the Melbourne Cup

*Existing customers only. 2nd Racing bet. Excl SA & WA. Tโ€™s & Cโ€™s apply. Gamble responsibly.

1. Cross Counter – Odds: $14

Breeding: Teofilo x Waitress
Trainer: Charlie Appleby
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 12: 6-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1710m/3219m
Career Best Win: Melbourne Cup, November 6 2018, Flemington, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 5-2-1
Wet Track Stats: 2: 1-0-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 12 Runs, 3 Wins (2x Stradivarius)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 5 runs, 1 Win (Kew Gardens beating Stradivarius)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Can he put his name into Melbourne Cup folklore forever by winning the race for the second time straight?

Gold Cup (4014m), June 20 2019, Royal Ascot, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

Thought James Doyle rode a 12/10 race on the stayer here. He was there to win 400m out when presented out wide into clear air, but he couldn’t quite finish it off and win and instead had to settle for fourth to Stradivarius. Subsequent form has been outstanding, with several winners.

Irish St Leger (2816m), September 15 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

He stuck to the task well in defeat, but never really looked a winning threat. Jumped and led early before taking cover and it was then he got pulling, which is unusual for him, and that energy burn probably told late, but still a decent enough run.

Final Summary: The nature of this race in recent years makes it very hard for winners to back up and repeat the dose. In fact, no horse has attempted to win back-to-back since Almandin in 2017, who was given an ordinary steer by Frankie Dettori. If you’re going off weights and recent form, I can’t see him winning. But…Charlie Appleby and Australia = an ATM for punters.

 

2. Mer De Glace – Odds: $7.00

Breeding: Rulership x Glacier Blue
Trainer: Hisashi Shimizu
Nationality: Japanese
Career Stats: 18: 8-2-5
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2000m/2200m
Career Best Win: Kokura Kinen, August 4 2019, Kokura, Firm Surface
Dry Track Stats: 17: 8-2-5
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-0-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): Unknown
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Beware the Japanense horse with a picket fence next to his name

Daishoten (2000m), April 29 2019, Niigata, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

This was his first test at Group level and he passed with flying colours under a lovely ride from Damian Lane, who had him parked just off the speed before peeling wider and being patient before pushing the button and the horse kicked on strongly to get the win, his third on the bounce.

Kokura Kinen (2000m), August 4 2019, Kokura, Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

Was a lovely steer from Kawada. Just parked him back in the run before getting the perfect drag up into the race and his turn of foot came to the fore when it was needed and he won. The little query I have is the second horse Cadenas should have won IMO. He ran second to Suzuka Devious earlier this year and that horse, for the most part, has been struggling, so hard to be jumping up and down about this as a form reference.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Gee this was a sweet steer from Lane. He had the Japanese out the back, put to sleep, waiting for those in front to go, which they did, and it just gave him the perfect drag up into the race, where his turn of foot came to the fore and despite doing a bit wrong in the straight, he was far too good.

Final Summary: The stable have well and truly figured out that fresh is best for this guy. They’ve given him a minimum four weeks gap between runs in 2019 and he’s won all five of them. Is he a top class Japanese stayer? No. But does he need to be top class to win a Caulfield Cup? Well he proved not, and the turn of foot he has, the Melbourne Cup is well within reach.

 

3. Master Of Reality – Odds: $21

Breeding: Frankel x L’Ancresse
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 12: 3-1-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/2816m
Career Best Win: Vintage Crop, April 28 2019, Navan, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 5: 1-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 7: 2-0-2
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 12 Runs, 3 Wins (2x Stradivarius)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 5 runs, 1 Win (Kew Gardens beating Stradivarius)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Can Frankie complete his CV?

Gold Cup (4014m), June 20 2019, Royal Ascot, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

Tough, tough, on speed effort in one of the best staying races in the world. Sat outside a world class stayer in Dee Ex Bee and had the better turn of foot when asked, but in turn, Stradivarius, the best stayer in the world, got off their back and pounced, with his class coming to the fore. Master Of Reality just tired late to run third, but it was a great run in defeat. Called To The Bar and Thomas Hobson have won since and Stradivarius has won three since. A1 form.

Irish St Leger (2816m), September 15 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

On one hand, I think this form is suspect given the winner was ridden an absolute treat, making a midrace move to lead pretty much pinched it. But it’s lightly raced, and don’t really know how good it is. Was a somewhat weak finale by Master Of Reality after sitting on speed.

Final Summary: Lloyd Williams and his sole purpose with racing is to win the Melbourne Cup and the fact he has Frankie Dettori booked for the ride tells me this horse is their #1 seed. The Stradivarius form is top shelf, make no mistake of that. Outside that, the form does look, overall, very suspect. Can you back a horse with one A1 form reference? Personally, I’m looking elsewhere to bet.

 

4. Mirage Dancer – Odds: $34

Breeding: Frankel x Heat Haze
Trainer: Trent Busuttin/Natalie Young
Nationality: Australian/British
Career Stats: 17: 4-5-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1408m/2412m
Career Best Win: Glorious Stakes, August 3 2018, Goodwood, Firm Surface
Dry Track Stats: 14: 4-4-3
Wet Track Stats: 3: 0-1-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 9 Runs, 4 Wins (3x Desert Encounter, including a Canadian G1)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Looks to be going better in 2019 compared to last year.

Hardwicke Stakes (2406m), June 22 2019, Royal Ascot, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Really good effort from him here in a time honoured race. Sat outside a moderate speed before forcing the issue around 1000m from home and looked to travel well. Just lacked the turn of foot to go with Defoe but stuck to the task well enough and that form does ready very well. The subsequent form has seen 16 runs for 3 wins, highlighted by the last placed horse Communique beating Mirage Dancer at Newmarket next start.

Glorious Stakes (2412m), August 2 2019, Goodwood, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

He comfortably saw off Prince Of Arran, but in turn just gave the perfect drag up to an in form Desert Encounter and it was just a matter of pushing the button for that horse, who went straight past Mirage Dancer, but no disgrace running second to that high quality stayer. Subsequent form reads very well with Desert Encounter winning a Group l in Canada recently and Prince Of Arran running well in the Herbert Power.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Gee I thought this was a sweet ride from Melham. He gave the horse every chance but was one of many that was a little unlucky. Held up a vital stage, got clear and worked to the line really well for third. Definite tick re Melbourne Cup.

Final Summary: He’s with the Busuttin/Young team and from all reports has settled into Australian life nicely, which was confirmed with an excellent third in the Caulfield Cup. I prefer others though from a Melbourne Cup perspective, but he’ll run well.

 

 

5. Southern France – Odds: $26

Breeding: Galileo x Alta Anna
Trainer: Ciaron Maher/David Eustace
Nationality: Irish/Australian
Career Stats: 14: 3-3-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/2816m
Career Best Win: Irish St leger Trial, August 16 2019, Curragh, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 2-2-2
Wet Track Stats: 3: 1-1-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 8 Runs, 1 Win (Downdraft in the Lexus)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 5 Runs, 1 Win (Kew Gardens beating Stradivarius)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Form around Stradivarius does read very well. Can he take the next step?

Irish St Leger Trial (2816m), August 16 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

I think you have to stand up and take notice of this win. He sat on speed throughout before putting Melbourne Cup aspirant Master Of Reality with ease, and really surged clear late for a dominant win. Subsequent form out of this race has been suspect though with no future winners from five runs.

Irish St Leger (2816m), September 15 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Pretty good effort to run third. Was tucked in behind the speed throughout before being placed under pressure 600m from home. Made ground late nearer the inside to run third in a credible performance alongside some classy stayers.

Final Summary: Did run fourth to Stradivarius in the Goodwood Cup, which does read super, and go back to May, he pushed Stradivarius hard in the Yorkshire Cup, so he’s got the A1 form to win a Melbourne Cup. Recent form? Suspect. That’s the only knock I have with him. Overall, he’s a definite top five chance.

 

6. Hunting Horn – Odds: $35

Breeding: Camelot x Mora Bai
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 22: 3-2-5
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2004m/2011m
Career Best Win: Hampton Court, June 21 2018, Ascot, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 14: 2-1-3
Wet Track Stats: 8: 1-1-2
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 4 Runs, 1 Win (Magical at Ascot)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 1 Run, 1 Win (Downdraft)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Couldn’t have him on recent overseas form.

Arton Million (2000m), August 10 2019, Arlington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

Off the back of a fifth, a well held fifth, to Enable the start prior, he was respected somewhat in the market here but was a beaten horse on the turn despite a relatively soft run outside the speed in a rather disappointing effort, but the winner is arguably the best horse in America.

Irish Champion Stakes (2012m), September 14 2019, Leopardstown, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Was used as somewhat of a pacemaker for the O’Brien stable and was a beaten horse 400m out as Magical put pay to him quickly and he put up the white flag without a great deal of fight, which is concerning.

Moonee Valley Gold Cup (2500m), October 26 2019, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

What to make of this win. He was a pacemaker in the UK but he took a sit here and was very strong the line. On the flip side, Mr Quickie probably isn’t a 2400m+ horse and was tiring late, so was the widening margin flattered somewhat? Only time will tell.

Final Summary: He won the Moonee Valley Cup, and won well, but it would be an amazing overall form reversal if he was to figure in the Melbourne Cup. Happy to look elsewhere.

 

7. Latrobe – Odds: $26

Breeding: Camelot x Question Times
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 15: 3-6-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2414m/2414m
Career Best Win: Irish Derby, June 30 2018, Curragh, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 3-4-0
Wet Track Stats: 5: 0-2-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 9 Runs, 1 Win (Group lll at Dundalk)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 5 runs, 1 Win (Kew Gardens beating Stradivarius)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: The X factor for Team Williams

Ballyroan Stakes (2414m), August 8 2019, Leopardstown, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

Good win on speed from this guy. Took the lead upon straightening and was there to be run down, but showed good ticker late to get the win. Subsequent form has seen nine runs for one win, the fourth placed horse winning a Group lll at Dundalk.

Irish St Leger (2816m), September 15 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Not sure what to make of this run. You’d have to mark him down as disappointing I think because he had the right run in transit, tracking the speed, and looked to be going well, but as soon as it was time to go, he didn’t find much and just whacked away to run a well beaten sixth.

Final Summary: Lloyd Williams has booked James McDonald for the ride. On his 2019 form, I couldn’t back him. But if he produced anything near what he showed in 2018, he’d be one of the hardest to beat. Again, I’m happy to just watch rather than back at this stage.

 

8. Mustajeer – Odds: $18

Breeding: Medicean x Qelaan
Trainer: Kris Lees
Nationality: British/Australian
Career Stats: 20: 4-3-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2787m
Career Best Win: Ebor Handicap, August 24 2019, York, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 1-2-2
Wet Track Stats: 8: 3-1-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 24 Runs, 3 Wins (Prince Of Arran at Geelong)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: High up in the Melbourne Cup market. I have my doubts.

Curragh Cup (2800m), June 28 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This race produced the 2017 Melbourne Cup winner Rekindling and the 2019 edition of the Curragh Cup looks like it will have an influence on the 2019 Melbourne Cup with several runners potentially heading to Melbourne from this race, including Mustajeer, who ran fifth but in another stride he runs third and I thought it was an excellent run in a high class race. The subsequent form has seen 13 runs for two wins, the two wins coming from Melbourne Cup aspirants Latrobe and Southern France.

Ebor Handicap (2787m), August 24 2019, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Gee this was a ripping steer from Colin Keane. The track pattern said outside fence was the place to be, so he cut the corner and saved plenty of ground before eventually finding better ground out wide and he found plenty under pressure to score and confirmed his ticket to Melbourne for the big Handicaps. The subsequent form has seen 12 runs for two wins, Withold winning a Listed race at Newmarket and Weekender winning a three horse handicap at Salisbury.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Really solid pipe opener for the Melbourne Cup. Just lacked the turn of foot of the winner Mer De Glace, but really liked his last 50-100m when strong to the line and through it. Another good Melbourne Cup trial.

Final Summary: Now with Kris Lees and is on track for the Melbourne Cup, the race he was specifically purchased for. The Curragh Cup looks an excellent form reference, but most seem to be jumping up and down about the Ebor. The Ebor, overall, has bee a rubbish form reference for the Melbourne Cup, so I think the Curragh Cup is the form line you want to be looking at.

 

9. Rostropovich – Odds: $71

Breeding: Frankel x Tyranny
Trainer: Hayes/Dabernig
Nationality: Irish/Australian
Career Stats: 18: 4-2-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1408m/2414m
Career Best Win: Futurity Stakes, August 20 2017, Curragh, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 13: 3-2-1
Wet Track Stats: 5: 1-0-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 11 Runs, 0 Wins
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: It’ll be one of the all time great upsets in Cup history if he’s to win.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 5 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Was wide no cover for the trip but still, a bit disappointing in the straight behind King’s Will Dream. The form out of the race hasn’t been overly great as of yet, with no subsequent winners to come from it.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Sat worse than midfield in the run out wide early before Dunn made the move to get on speed outside Wofle but as soon as pressure was applied, he went backwards and ended up being a road block for several runners. The form out of this race, so far, has been very suspect.

Final Summary: He did run fifth in the Melbourne Cup last year, so we know he’s capable. But that was 12 months ago and he’s done nothing since. It would be an amazing form reversal if he wins.

 

10. Twilight Payment – Odds: $67

Breeding: Teofilo x Dream On Buddy
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 24: 5-9-5
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2414m/3218m
Career Best Win: Curragh Cup, June 28 2019, Curragh, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 3-5-1
Wet Track Stats: 12: 2-4-4
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 17 Runs, 3 Wins
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2: 5 Runs, 1 Win (Kew Gardens at Ascot beating Stradivarius)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: He’s an unknown, but Team Williams have forked out the coin for him for the big race

Curragh Cup (2800m), June 8 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This race produced the 2017 Melbourne Cup winner Rekindling and the 2019 edition of the Curragh Cup looks like it will have an influence on the 2019 Melbourne Cup with several runners potentially heading to Melbourne from this race, including Twilight Payment, who was outstanding in winning, leading throughout and fending off a very game Latrobe, with Southern France and Mustajeer in behind. The subsequent form has seen 13 runs for two wins, the two wins coming from Melbourne Cup aspirants Latrobe and Southern France.

Irish St Leger (2816m), September 15 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Thought he was plain here in the first run for Joseph O’Brien. Was near the speed throughout and looked to be going but around 600m out, the pressure went on in front and he was one of the first to put the white flag up and paddled late to run seventh, beaten comfortably.

Final Summary: Personally, I think he’ll be a pace maker for the likes of stablemates Latrobe and Master Of Reality. The Curragh Cup win was outstanding and it’s been a good Cup form reference recently. He’ll have no trouble with the two miles…does he have the speed in the legs to run out a fast enough 3200m and win?

 

11. Finche – Odds: $10

Breeding: Frankel x Binche
Trainer: Chris Waller
Nationality: British/Australian
Career Stats: 14: 4-1-3
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/2500m
Career Best Win: Mais-Laff, July 16 2017, Maisons-Laffitte, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 8: 2-1-2
Wet Track Stats: 6: 2-0-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 11 Runs, 0 Wins
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: He’s one of the leading chances.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 5 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This was a very good run in defeat. He was coming off a win at Group lll level at Randwick over 2000m so remaining at the ten furlongs was always the query going into this and that was the difference between winning and losing when beaten a lip by stablemate King’s Will Dream.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

One of the best runs in the race considering he was three wide for the trip without cover yet still hit the front and gave a really good kick but the last 150m, the hard run just told and the four that beat him home had much better runs in transit.

Final Summary: He’s had Melbourne Cup written all over him since last year’s race when running a brave fourth to Cross Counter. He looks to be a better horse 12 months on, and a win here for trainer Chris Waller would stamp him as an all time legend of the sport.

 

12. Prince Of Arran – Odds: $18

Breeding: Shirocco x Stormng Sioux
Trainer: Charlie Fellowes
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 37: 6-8-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/3200m
Career Best Win: Lexus Stakes, November 3 2018, Flemington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 29: 6-7-3
Wet Track Stats: 7: 0-1-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 4 Runs, 0 Wins
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 1 Run, 0 Win
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Got some good form behind world class horsesโ€ฆheโ€™s in the game off the Lexus win.

Melbourne Cup (3200m), November 6 2018, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Heavy Surface

He was mighty in defeat. Another that hit the front too early and jockey Michael Walker did say that post race. Wish he just waited a touch longer to push the button and believes he would have won if he had done that. His best form is on dry ground but this was a clear career best on a near bottomless surface and it took a couple of high class stayers to get past him.

September Stakes (2419m), September 7 2019, Kempton Park, Clockwise Direction, Synthetic Surface

His opening few runs for the year were concerning, but he showed something positive here in a race that included Caulfield Cup winner Best Solution. Got the split via the cutaway and stuck on well for third in what looked an okay race on paper, nothing deep re class, but it was good to see him run better as he heads to Melbourne again. Subsequent form out of this race has seen eight runs for one win, a Listed race won by the fifth place horse Mountain Hunter. Ninth place horse Pivonie ran third to subsequent Group l winner Desert Encounter in a Group lll.

Herbert Power (2400m), October 12 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This confirmed he loves racing down under. Very good in defeat but at the same time, gut wrenching for Fellowes because a win would have assured him a start in the Melbourne Cup. The stop/start tempo Haky set was against him. If they kept rolling from the outset, I think Prince Of Arran gets the win. Still very good in defeat.

Geelong Cup (2400m), October 23 2019, Geelong, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Tough, tough win from on speed. Admittedly being on speed/near the rail was no disadvantage but he was there to be run down but showed really good courage late under Michael Walker to win and is now assured a spot in the Melbourne Cup.

Final Summary: As it stands now, I can’t see Prince Of Arran beating some of these home in a Melbourne Cup. It was a wonderful story last year with Charlie Fellowes and the breath of fresh air he was for the Carnival. Would love to see the horse get back to his best. But rather watch than back him at this stage despite the Herbert Power and Geelong Cup efforts.

 

 

13. Raymond Tusk – Odds: $17

Breeding: High Chaparral x Dancing Shoes
Trainer: Richard Hannon
Nationality: British
Career Stats: 12: 3-3-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1609m/2400m
Career Best Win: Gran Premio, October 21 2018, San Siro, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 3-3-1
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-0-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run – Gold Cup (As Of November 2): 12 Runs, 3 Wins (2x Stradivarius)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 24 Runs, 3 Wins (Prince Of Arran at Geelong)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: If you’re a weights fan, he’ll struggle. But the form does make for good reading

Sagaro Stakes (3209m), May 1 2019, Ascot, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Thought this was a really good effort behind what many think could well be the heir apparent to Stradivarius in terms of the best stayer in the world, Dee Ex Bee. Tried his heart out after getting a good run just off the speed. Just lacked the class/brilliance of Dee Ex Bee. That stayer is second to Stradivarius, so the form is definitely a tick.

Ebor Handicap (2787m), August 24 2019, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

I think you can easily make a case that he should have gone close to winning. Just had no luck at all in the straight when seemingly bolting for a run and by the time he got out, those in front had all the momentum. Huge run from near last at one stage. The subsequent form has seen 12 runs for two wins, Withold winning a Listed race at Newmarket and Weekender winning a three horse handicap at Salisbury.

Final Summary: With clear running, I think he goes close to winning the Ebor and IMO, he’s the one from that race I have eyes on. The form prior does read very well and he might be an early value play for the Melbourne Cup.

 

14. Downdraft – Odds: $21

Breeding: Camelot x Cinnamon Rose
Trainer: Joseph O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 18: 7-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1408m/2816m
Career Best Win: Lenebane Stakes, July 8 2019, Roscommon, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 13: 5-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 5: 2-1-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): Unknown
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): Unknown
Target Race(s): Moonee Valley Gold Cup/Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: One of a few internationals that has real X Factor.

Her Majesty’s Plate (2816m), July 26 2019, Down Royal, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Really good change up speed when asked for the effort by Donnacha O’Brien and under hands and heels, this five year old dashed right away from his rivals. Did he beat much? given there’s been 11 subsequent runs in behind for 0 wins, I’m saying no, but to the eye, he was sharp.

Irish St Leger Trial (2816m), August 16 2019, Curragh, Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

Big step up in depth here and I thought his run had merit. He chased Southern France all the way down the straight and got close, but in the end, class came to the fore with the winner and he was edging clear late. Subsequent form out of this race has been suspect though with no future winners from six runs.

Moonee Valley Gold Cup (2500m), October 26 2019, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

The only way this horse was going to win is if John Allen made it a staying contest from around the 600m mark and that’s what he did, taking the front, but was no match late for Hunting Horn and Mr Quickie.

Lexus Hotham (2500m), November 2 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

Gee this was a slick win from Downdraft. Johnny Allen made sure gate one was used to advantage and 400m out, it was race over and he bolted up, securing a start in the Cup on Tuesday.

Final Summary: He ran well in the Moonee Valley Cup. I don’t think two miles will be an issue for him. The issue will be does he have the class, because he has been very well placed in recent runs, in what have been weak races. But that win in the Hotham was outstanding.

 

15. Magic Wand – Odds: $26

Breeding: Galileo x Prudenzia
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 19: 2-7-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2281m/2405m
Career Best Win: Ribblesdale Stakes, June 21 2018, Ascot, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 13: 2-5-1
Wet Track Stats: 6: 0-2-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 4 Runs, 1 Win (Magical at Ascot)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): Unknown
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Good horse, but very good at being a bridesmaid.

Arton Million (2000m), August 10 2019, Arlington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Firm Surface

Wayne Lordan gave the mare an absolute peach of a steer off the speed. Got the gap at the right time and on the turn looked the winner. Just lacked the turn of foot of Bricks And Mortar, who is a star and arguably the best horse in America, so this form is A1.

Irish Champion Stakes (2012m), September 14 2019, Leopardstown, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Another very game run. Had the suck run behind stablemate and gun mare Magical, who was outside the leader and another stablemate, Hunting Horn. Magical put pay to him quickly and her turn of foot was far superior to Magic Wand, who stayed on but never really threatened, but still ran a very credible second and of course Magical franked that form in the British Champion Stakes.

Cox Plate (2040m), October 26 2019, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Thought she was very brave on speed. Was a beaten horse on the turn but just kept finding and fought off a few but the hard run just told late as she couldn’t quite hang on to third.

Final Summary: I didn’t think she had the change up speed required to win a Cox Plate unless it’s a strong tempo and it comes down to survival of the fittest, but she got a pass mark for sure. I think the Melbourne Cup is her go and her recent runs have been that of a horse wanting more ground.

 

16. Neufbosc – Odds: $126

Breeding: Mastercraftsman/Nonsuch Way
Trainer: Hayes/Dabernig
Nationality: French/Australian
Career Stats: 13: 3-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1900m/2400m
Career Best Win: GP De Paris, July 14 2018, Longhcamp, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 11: 3-2-1
Wet Track Stats: 2: 0-0-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 17 Runs, 1 Win (Wolfe in Coongy)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 1 Run, 0 Win
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Surely…surely just making up the numbers.

Naturalism Stakes (2000m), September 21 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

The tempo was an absolute crawl until the 600m when Brimham Rocks poured the pressure on, which left Neufblosc out the back and outsprinted. Loomed for a stride or two but flattened out late in an okay run.

Geelong Cup (2400m), October 23 2019, Geelong, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Looked to get a reasonable run in transit just off the speed and was out in time early on in the straight to let down, but as soon as he got clear air, he just whacked away and paddled the last 100m in a poor effort.

Final Summary: That career best win last year saw him beat Kew Gardens and Dee Ex Bee, two high class UK stayers. Any sniff of that here, he runs top ten…but on recent form, he’ll struggle to beat a runner home.

 

 

17. Sound – Odds: $101

Breeding: Lando x Sky Dancing
Trainer: Michael Moroney
Nationality: German/Australian
Career Stats: 24: 7-2-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1600m/3200m
Career Best Win: Oleander-Rennen, May 20 2018, Hoppegarten, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 13: 4-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 11: 3-1-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 11 Runs, 0 Wins
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Won’t win but won’t run last

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 5 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Had an economical run in transit on the rail and looked to be going well but given the race was run at a slow tempo, he just didn’t have the change up speed to go with them but was solid enough in defeat.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Got a reasonable drag up behind Finche and was there to be a threat at the top of the straight, but just lacked the turn of foot and then was a major victim in the carnage caused by Mer De Glace, but in saying that, was a beaten horse.

Final Summary: Not sure he’s going well enough to win, but back to Flemington on the bigger track helps. He won’t win, but he’ll beat a few home.

 

18. Surprise Baby – Odds: $15

Breeding: Shocking x Bula Baby
Trainer: Paul Preusker
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 10: 5-1-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1200m/3200m
Career Best Win: Bart Cummings, October 5 2019, Flemington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 9: 4-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 1: 1-0-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 32 Runs, 1 Win (The Chosen One in Herbert Power)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 10 Runs, 1 Win (Wolfe in Coongy)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Arguably the best chance of the Australian trained gallopers.

Feehan Stakes (1600m), September 7 2019, Moonee Valley, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Had to like this resumption. Had been trialling up enormous prior to this race where he was back in the run and never really a winning factor but found the line strongly behidn Homesman in an eye catching pipe opener.

Bart Cummings (2500m), October 5 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Got his way into the Melbourne Cup field with this win and it was dominant. He surged hard late despite making a sustained run and was strong to the line in winning, confirming his spot near the top of the betting for the first Tuesday in November.

Final Summary: He won the Adelaide Cup over two miles at start number six, which is just extraordinary and he’s gone right on with it since. Local punters will be all over him…the strength of the form is suspect, but two miles, light weight…gee he’ll take some beating.

 

19. Constantinople – Odds: $8.00

Breeding: Galileo x One Moment In Time
Trainer: Hayes/Dabernig
Nationality: Australian/British
Career Stats: 9: 2-4-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1609m/2000m
Career Best Win: Gallinule, May 24 2019, Curragh, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 8: 2-3-1
Wet Track Stats: 1: 0-1-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 4 Runs, 2 Wins (Logician in UK St Leger)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: They’ve forked out the coin. Now he needs to repay that faith and confidence.

Gordon Stakes (2400m), August 1 2019, Goodwood, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Talk about throwing a race away. Had this race won but as soon as pressure was applied, he wanted to wander all over the place, losing momentum while doing that, and in turn gave Nayef Road the win, who was doing everything right in front and proved too good. The subsequent form has seen 14 runs for 3 wins, the best of which being a Group ll win by the sixth place horse at Longchamp.

Great Voltigeur Stakes (2385m), August 21 2019, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

He comfortably beat the rest of the field, but was no match for Logician, who is the next big thing to come out of the UK and confirmed that in mid September when winning the St Leger. Running second to him is certainly nothing to be sneezed at, but again, he wanted to do a bit wrong when under pressure. Logician is a star, and won the St Leger next start, and the third place horse has won a Group lll at Leopardstown.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

The less said the better yeah? Just a horrendous watch if you were on him. He was absolutely bolting but he couldn’t get clear air at any stage that Nolen wanted to and by the time he did, it was all over. Can safely say he just about wins had he got clear air at the right time. Brilliant Melbourne Cup trial.

Final Summary: He has the A1 form, he’s got the engine under the hood to win whatever the stable wants to target, so you can see why they paid what they did. The problem is that he’s just doing too much wrong in the run and not savaging the line. Does he need to be gelded? Set of blinkers? Not sure, but he’s high up in the market for the Cup for a reason and he confirmed that in the Caulfield Cup. Extremely hard to beat.

 

20. Il Paradiso – Odds: $14

Breeding: Galileo x Famous
Trainer: Aidan O’Brien
Nationality: Irish
Career Stats: 8: 2-2-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 2400m/3200m
Career Best Win: Handicap, July 21 2019, Curragh, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 5: 1-1-1
Wet Track Stats: 3: 1-1-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 4 Runs, 1 Win (Stradivarius)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 4 Runs, 2 Wins (2 x Technician, including a G1 at Longchamp)
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: I’m very wary of him.

Lonsdale Cup (3250m), August 23 2019, York, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

What a mighty effort this was. A three year old taking on two world class stayers, including the best in the world in Stradivarius. Gave Dee Ex Bee a massive score and the bob of the head was the only difference between him and finishing second. Massive run after being made to chase a fair way out.

St Leger (2922m), September 14 2019, Doncaster, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Proper race this. Logician is a star in the UK so the form is A1. Il Paradiso had to chase down the stablemate and pacemaker and was forced to go early on once again. He stayed on really well but just couldn’t see it out and had to settle for a very game fifth.

Final Summary: In terms of a proper stayer, I think this is the #1 seed of the Aidan O’Brien contingent, and his recent form is just top shelf. He doesn’t have a turn of foot, but he can put himself on speed and he’ll have no trouble with 3200m. He’s a definite winning chance. I’d also mention to not really take too much into the 12L win at Curragh over 3200m because he beat camels and the form has been ordinary out of it.

 

21. Steel Prince – Odds: $61

Breeding: Nathaniel x Steel Princess
Trainer: Anthony Freedman
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 21: 8-5-1
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/2800m
Career Best Win: Andrew Ramsden, May 25 2019, Flemington, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 17: 8-4-1
Wet Track Stats: 4: 0-1-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 17 Runs, 1 Win (Wolfe in Coongy)
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 1 Run, 0 Win
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Not sure how well he’s going after a promising start to the Spring.

Naturalism Stakes (2000m), September 21 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Race wasn’t run to suit at all. He was back in a slowly run race then went Brimham Rocks forced the issue, Steel Prince was flat footed but he was really good the last 100-150m and through the line.

Geelong Cup (2400m), October 23 2019, Geelong, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

On face value, you’d have to mark him down as disappointing. Got an economical run in transit out the back and was tracking up with three wide cover, looming to be dangerous, but as soon as you had that thought, he didn’t show any ping.

Final Summary: Got his start via the Andrew Ramsden. Off his first two Spring runs, yep, he’s in the mix, top ten chance for sure. The Geelong Cup run was a real concern and with that run in mind, I can’t have him.

 

22. The Chosen One – Odds: $81

Breeding: Savabeel x The Glitzy One
Trainer: Baker/Forsman
Nationality: New Zealand
Career Stats: 15: 5-2-0
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/3000m
Career Best Win: Herbert Power, October 12 2019, Caulfield, Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 3-1-0
Wet Track Stats: 5: 2-1-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): Unknown
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Top ten chance.

Herbert Power (2400m), October 12 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Sweet steer from Lane. Just followed the right horses into the race and was the one to beat at the top of the straight. Credit to Prince Of Arran, he made the horse work for the win, but it was decisive all the same and secured his spot in the Caulfield Cup.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Held but far from disgraced. Was back near last in the run and forced very wide on the turn, losing momentum, but picked up late and was solid enough to the line without jumping up and down.

Lexus Hotham (2500m), November 2 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Soft Surface

Can understand why given he was already assured a spot on Tuesday, but they just didn’t try at all to win this. Was back, negative ride throughout and never looked like winning. It was a barrier trial for him.

Final Summary: I think 3200m is a query with him, but he’s in a master stable and they have had great success in poaching some Australian coin. From a betting perspective, happy to let him go around.

 

23. Vow And Declareย  – Odds: $12

Breeding: Declaration Of War x Gebltzt
Trainer: Danny O’Brien
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 13: 2-3-2
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/3000m
Career Best Win: Tatts Cup, June 22 2019, Eagle Farm, Good Surface
Dry Track Stats: 10: 2-3-2
Wet Track Stats: 3: 1-0-0
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 11 Runs, 0 Wins
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 3 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: Off the two runs this time in, he has to be one of the main chances.

Turnbull Stakes (2000m), October 5 2019, Flemington, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Unusual starting point, resuming at 2000m at WFA, but his run was an absolute belter, closing off with real purpose and sticking to the task strongly behind King’s Will Dream in an excellent resumption.

Caulfield Cup (2400m), October 19 2019, Caulfield, Anti-Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

Could make an argument that this was the best run in the race. Had to make a long sustained run six wide and given he was only second up, he was entitled to drop away, but he kept chipping and stayed on to run second.

Final Summary: How much did that Caulfield Cup run take out of him? If he runs up to anything like that, and has that little bit of improvement in the system, he’ll take a power of beating and is one of the leading chances for the locals.

 

24. Youngstar – Odds: $35

Breeding: High Chaparral x Starspangled
Trainer: Chris Waller
Nationality: Australian
Career Stats: 21: 4-1-4
Min/Max Distance Wins: 1800m/3000m
Career Best Win: Queensland Oaks, May 26 2018, Doomben, Soft Surface
Dry Track Stats: 12: 1-1-3
Wet Track Stats: 9: 3-0-1
Subsequent Form Second Last Run (As Of November 2): 9 Runs, 0 Wins
Subsequent Form Last Run (As Of November 2): 5 Runs, 0 Wins
Target Race(s): Melbourne Cup
Short Summary: I’d say she’d be a top five chance if it was a heavy track. Top ten on dry ground.

Hill Stakes (2000m), October 5 2019, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

To the eye, it was just a run, but bear in mind the race was run at an absolute crawl and that sort of race shape just doesn’t suit her at all so she was left flat footed but was okay late in the piece.

St Leger (2600m), October 19 2019, Randwick, Clockwise Direction, Good Surface

This run confirmed she needs two miles. Hush Writer turned this into a barrier trial so those behind really had no chance of winning, but really liked the way she found the line in restricted room.

Final Summary: I’d have something each way on her if this track had genuine give in it. Likely going to get a firm deck though, which is against her, but last start confirmed she’s a stayer. Outside top ten chance on a firm deck.

 
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