Racing in Queensland remains at Doomben on Saturday for another strong eight race card. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is out 4.5 metres for the entire circuit.
Race One (13:10) : Mary Farm Handicap 1350m:
Back Me: 1 Royal Tithe (Best Odds: $1.80) ran second here last time out and though beaten convincingly her effort was full of merit behind Itz Alrite. Her win prior at the Sunny Coast was outstanding and given there isn’t much depth here, she should take some beating.
Big Danger: 4 Ruby Remedy (Best Odds: $3.80) creates plenty of interest. This Rockhampton visitor resumed a tick under three weeks back when spanking her rivals and the time compared well with the older horses on the same program. Could have stayed home, but stable has sent her to town, so I’d be very cautious about her.
Roughie: 6 Stryking Stunnah (Best Odds: $15.00) is a stablemate of Royal Tithe who ran sixth behind Itz Alrite, beaten five lengths. I doubt she can beat home Royal Tithe, but she should run well nonetheless in what looks a race with little depth.
Race Two (13:45) : Ordanga Construction Services Handicap (1MW) 1350m:
Back Me: 9 Old Smokey (Best Odds: $12.00) resumed over this track/distance a tick over three weeks back and produced a brilliant finishing burst to get the job done in impressive fashion. He has enormous upside and second up last time in he placed behind Duporth Jack over the mile here. Looks the horse to beat for mine, especially at the weights.
Big Danger: 1 Binalong Road (Best Odds: $5.50) is a class galloper for Mack Griffith that resumed over this track/distance a fortnight back where he was given a lovely steer from Jimmy Orman to win narrowly but impressively. He has a very good second up record and this race doesn’t appear any stronger than the one he saluted in.
Roughie: 7 Bentles (Best Odds: $14.00) resumed over 1200m here a couple of weeks back and didn’t really fire a shot when finishing down the track behind Kraftwerk. Bit easier here I feel and can improve sharply second up.
Race Three (14:22) : Hotel LA Handicap 1350m:
Back Me: 6 Kraftwerk (Best Odds: $2.80) has been very good since joining the Tony Gollan, winning his last two starts, both over 1200m here in much easier races than what he faces here, but now looks the right time to tackle the open company, and this isn’t the strongest open handicap going around.
Big Danger: 4 Pillar Of Creation (Best Odds: $3.00) was rewarded for his consistency with a strong win at this track/distance, aided by a super ride from Brad Pengelly. Only has to rise a kilo here and now that he has got the win on the board, he can build on that.
Roughie: 9 Buakaw (Best Odds: $26.00) steps back up in grade after running fifth at the Gold Coast last time out when making up very ground late in the piece when fifth to Ellawisdom, beaten three lengths. Only carries 52kg here and won’t mind some give in the track.
Race Four (15:02) : Redcliffe Rabbits Racing Handicap (75) 2200m:
Back Me: 1 Outraged (Best Odds: $4.80) had been bursting to win a race and he got the win on the board over this track/distance a fortnight back, storming home from near last to get up in the last couple of strides. Creeping up in the weights now but he is clearly the best horse in the race and should take some beating.
Big Danger: 5 Kasier Franz (Best Odds: $3.30) ran third in that race mentioned above, and he really should have bolted in given he was stuck wide no cover for the entire trip yet was only beaten a neck. Better luck here and he can definitely turn the tables. Negative is that he hasn’t won for some time.
Roughie: 12 Rabasco (Best Odds: $21.00) ran over 1800m on his home track at the Gold Coast and despite a slow tempo, he finished off strongly for quite a dominant win. He has a tidy record, so now does seem the right time to tackle city grade.
Race Five (15:42) : OJ & Kitchens & Joinery Handicap (75) 1050m:
Back Me: 9 Passatorio (Best Odds: $10.00) resumes here for Stuart Kendrick. On his day, he is a good horse who would just about take care of these on his best form. The problem is he is too unreliable, but gate one and D Browne are big, big positives.
Big Danger: 11 Another Whiskey (Best Odds: $7.00) ran over this track/distance three weeks back and closed off nicely late in the piece when running third to Lady Jetsetter, who franked the form by running a beauty again last Saturday. He is a second up winner and should take some beating.
Roughie: 15 Pandora Charm (Best Odds: $31.00) ran fourth behind My Little Flicka last time out here, and her effort was pretty good I thought when finishing just under four lengths away. Looks to have a bit of upside left and on her best form, she is a definite threat, and the form from My Little Flicka was franked last Saturday.
Race Six (16:22) : McGahan Electrical Handicap 1110m:
Back Me: 10 Oberland (Best Odds: $6.50) ran over 1050m here two weeks back and let down strongly from off the speed to win narrowly but impressively. That was his first run since November, so there should be enormous upside and take some beating.
Big Danger: 3 Redsson (Best Odds: $12.00) ran third in that race mentioned above where he attempted to lead all the way and just felt the pinch late to be beaten just under two lengths in what was more than a satisfactory effort. He looks a better horse when he has something to chase and I think that should eventuate here.
Roughie: 1 Big Tree (Best Odds: $6.00) is the class runner engaged here. Resumes for Peter Balzen after a solid yet frustrating Spring/Summer prep which saw him run second in all four outings. Recent trial win at the Gold Coast was very sharp, beating home an inform type in Jobiwood. Has to lump topweight, but is the clear class runner engaged.
Race Seven (17:02) : Austcover Plate (Class 6) 1630m:
Back Me: 2 Oak ‘N’ Arthur (Best Odds: $5.50) ran over the mile here last time out and worked home strongly late in the piece despite the big weight when fourth to Heart Of A Warrior. The forecast is for rain, so if the track is in the decent soft/heavy range, he is close to a good thing IMO. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: 5 Miss Husson (Best Odds: $51.00) ran over 1700m at Ipswich last time out and worked home well late without threatening when a 4.5L third to Silento. Her run here prior behind Right Or Wrong was solid, and this isn’t the strongest Class 6 Doomben will see.
Roughie: 14 Waterfront (Best Odds: $15.00) steps straight up to city grade after winning her maiden in awfully impressive fashion last time out on her home track at the Gold Coast. Much harder here, but there is plenty to like about her and she handles all conditions.
Race Eight (17:40): Mater Dei P & F Handicap (1MW) 1200m:
Back Me: 4 Beckham (Best Odds: $7.50) is a talented galloper that resumes for Liam Birchely. He finished his campaign in the Spring with a solid fourth over the mile here behind Gid Up Strop. No trials leading in, but he has a touch of class, will be on speed and can sprint well fresh.
Big Danger: 13 Flight Academy (Best Odds: $10.00) took on fellow mares over this track/distance two weeks ago where she stormed home in restricted room when a close up fourth to Adorabubble, beaten less than a length. Takes on the boys now, but has proven previously she can handle that successfully.
Roughie: 3 Deconstructed (Best Odds: $4.60) is a talented type who resumes here for Liam Birchley. He strung together four wins last time in, including a win over the mile here in November. No trials leading in, but he is talented and despite being suited over further, he will be running on late.
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 2 Oak 'N' Arthur
NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 1 Outraged
VALUE: Race Eight Number 4 Beckham
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 1, 3, 4, 5, 9, 10, 11, 15
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 5, 10
Leg Three: 1, 2, 5, 7, 9, 11, 14
Leg Four: 1, 3, 4, 5, 13
$50 Investment= 3.57% of the dividend if successful
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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