Midweek racing continues at Sportingbet Park this Wednesday, this time back at the Hillside circuit. The weather is fine, the track is dead and the rail is out five metres for the entire circuit.
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Race One (13:00) : Bushnell Outdoor Products Handicap (70) 1000m Form Guide
Back Me: Tough race to kick off the card. Washington Square (Best Odds: $3.40) hasn’t been sighted since finishing a game fourth at the Valley to subsequent Group l placegetter Lion Of Belfort in the Spring. Went to the trials not long after that and went strongly behind Lord Of The Sky, but hasn’t been seen since. He is the query runner for mine, and if he brings that form here, he’ll be hard to beat.
Big Danger: Senor Juez (Best Odds: $2.80) sat wide and stuck on well here a couple of weeks back when a close up third to Tansy, who went on run an unlucky second last Friday night at the Valley. That was Senor Juez’s first run back since running fifth to Bernabeau during Cup week. Serious threat.
Roughie: The Four Lads (Best Odds: $6.00) copped plenty of pressure in front last time out at Terang, but kicked hard in the straight and held them comfortably. With the rail out for this meeting, it will be no disadvantage to be up on the pace, so keep him in mind when betting on this race.
Race Two (13:35) : Equiano King Of Speed Handicap 900m Form Guide
Back Me: Very hard race to sort out with many of these on debut. Of the triallers, I thought the pick was Jewel Heist (Best Odds: $9.00), who has only had the one trial, and that was back in October when third to Oakleigh Girl, a very talented youngster herself. Well bred type who has drawn well, I’ll go with her.
Roughie: Real Warrior (Best Odds: $4.00) finished second to Scavenger in that trial and went to the line under a nice hold, beaten just over two lengths. Barrier makes it tricky, but Olly has been booked, which is a positive lead.
Roughie: Tawteen (Best Odds: $4.60) has the race experience on her side, running fifth to Eloping in the Blue Diamond Preview. With natural improvement from that, and from a reasonable draw, she can figure in the finish.
Race Three (14:10) : Art Series Hotel Group Maiden Plate 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: Was quite keen on Reldas (Best Odds: $4.60) last week, and he ran really well despite not having 100% luck in the straight, getting held up behind the leaders and taking an extra couple of strides to wind up. Newitt on now and he’ll be more aggressive here from the good draw. One of the better bets on the program.
Big Danger: Alysiana (Best Odds: $4.20) found the class a bit too rich last time out at the Valley when down the track in the Typhoon Tracy. Gets her chance to break the maiden tag here I think, and should eat up the long straight, along with the extra distance.
Roughie: Lonhcosta (Best Odds: $16.00) was another horse who caught the eye in that Seymour maiden won by Choose, who came out and won impressively last week on the Lakeside track. Prior to that run, he beat home Reldas comfortably in a barrier trial, so you have to respect this horses chances.
Race Four (14:45) : Mistable Handicap (70) 1800m Form Guide
Back Me: Was quite keen on Deliberate (Best Odds: $4.60) in the Autumn Classic, but that was a real messy race and he was forced to hit the front far too early. He needs a bunny to chase and coming back to midweek level, along with the booking of Olly, he should get his confidence back up, win, and head on to better things.
Big Danger: Kansha (Best Odds: $3.80) put up huge effort, coming from last on the turn to nail them right on the line when racing over this track/distance a couple of weeks back. He should sit much closer from the good draw and is a serious threat.
Roughie: Honey’s Steel Gold (Best Odds: $17.00) wasn’t too far behind them when resuming here over the 1400m against the older horses, ending up a close up eighth to Laohu. He’ll definitely appreciate the rise in distance, coming back to his own age, and he does have the class factor.
Race Five (15:20) : Hyland Race Colours Handicap (78) 1800m Form Guide
Back Me: Thought this was a race in three. Going with impressive last start track/distance winner Duplicity Jones (Best Odds: $3.40), who gave them a real caning here after sitting just off the pace. He’ll get a similar run here, and drops in weight from that win.
Big Danger: Taiyoo (Best Odds: $5.00) is on the back up from last week when a close up third to Cadillac Mountain. Looked the winner 150m out, but the winner really sprouted wings late. Definitely will appreciate the 1800m here and one thing to note is that Jamie Mott, a known heavy weight rider, will strip down to 55kg for this horse, so respect that fact.
Roughie: Street Savvy (Best Odds: $13.00) ran a credible placing over this distance at Caulfield, then got held up behind tired horses and had no hope from that point on when fourth to impressive Flemington winner from last Saturday, Saint Or Sinner, on Mornington Cup Day. He’ll appreciate the bigger surroundings here and Bossy sticks.
Race Six (16:00) : Sportingbet Best Tote Plus 5% Handicap (70) 1600m Form Guide
Back Me: Looks to be a really good tempo here, which should suit Akagera (Best Odds: $17.00), who raced wide with no cover first up yet worked to the line nicely late when third to Written. Has plenty of upside, will relish the extra furlong and won’t get caught wide here.
Big Danger: Conversation (Best Odds: $17.00) led them a merry dance first up at Seymour despite being a drifter in betting. Ran a strong second to a real above average type in Son Senoras in a barrier trial, so she has obviously come back in good order and will only be better over this longer distance, and perhaps with a sit.
Roughie: Berdini (Best Odds: $17.00) let down powerfully late to record a top first up win at Seymour after sitting wide with cover. Showed promise during the Spring if you take away her two flop runs on wet ground. She’ll be much closer from the good draw and is a definite chance here.
Race Seven (16:40) : Swimwear Galore Handicap (70) 1400m Form Guide
Back Me: Collins Street (Best Odds: $7.50) on top for me here. Was quite good towards the latter part of the Spring, in particular last start when a narrow second to Girl In Flight. Loved her two trials leading up to this and Williams, who rode in the last trial, sticks with the gelding.
Big Danger: Vintage Cognac (Best Odds: $10.00) needed to break his maiden status and he did with ease at Pakenham albeit in a very ordinary race outside of himself. He has got the confidence now under his belt, and he can go right on with it.
Roughie: Rich River (Best Odds: $10.00) resumed off a freshen up with a luckless sixth Rebuild at Geelong, where there was a dynamite on pace bias, so for him to finish off the way he did from the back suggests he is in for a really good prep. He’ll appreciate the bigger track and extra distance.
Race Eight (17:20) : Catanach’s Jewellers Handicap (78) 1400m Form Guide
Big Danger: Hard to knock winning form so Cult Of Isis (Best Odds: $11.00) has to go in. He has been fantastic in recent weeks, winning his past four, the latest being a narrow but impressive win at the Valley. Up to 1400m against tougher company is the query, but he is absolutely flying.
Big Danger: Quick Snitzel (Best Odds: $6.00) hasn’t been seen since January 25 when a disappointing fifth to Use The Lot over 1800m at Caulfield. Freshened up now, and when you consider his previous form, he gets in very well at the weights after the claim. Big watch.
Roughie: Edgewood (Best Odds: $18.00) teased me again with another eye catching fifth here a fortnight back behind Laohu despite wanting to lay in, arguably costing himself the race. He’ll figure it out eventually, and when he does, he’ll be winning these sort of races.
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Best Bet: Race Three Number 9 Reldas (Best Odds: $4.60)
Next Best: Race Five Number 7 Duplicity Jones (Best Odds: $3.40)
Best Roughie: Race Six Number 17 Akagera (Best Odds: $17.00)
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 7, 9, 10
Leg Two: 1, 2, 5, 6, 7
Leg Three: 5, 7, 10, 13
Leg Four: 2, 6, 7, 8, 10, 11, 13, 15
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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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