5/8/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Rosehill, Missile Stakes day

Spring is in the air this Saturday at Rosehill with the Missile Stakes (1200m) attracting a quality field. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

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Missile Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Missile Stakes

10 Competition (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing like he will eat up 1800m for Cameron Crockett. He landed bets at odds when winning two back over the mile at Scone before going to 1500m here two weeks ago in a Highway where he got back to near last in the run and while he was never a threat, I loved the way he found the line, looking like a horse that will appreciate more ground. If he can settle closer in the run, he’ll take beating.

3 Spitfire (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness. Matty Dale trained gelding that surprised most with a first up win over 1200m at Goulburn before going to 1500m here in the Highway a fortnight back. He was dragged back from the wide gate and did make up good ground without threatening. He has won up to 2000m so 1800m is ideal. Hopefully gets a more positive steer.

13 Amarantz (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Danielle Seib trained gelding that had been knocking on the door to win and he got it last time at the Provincials at Hawkesbury, giving them a start and a beating in an impressive display. Proven Highway winner at this trip and now off a win, I think he has to be respected as one of the leading contenders.

14 Super Bright (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is knocking on the door for Nathan Doyle. She ran a few weeks back at Randwick over 1200m and tried her guts out to wear down Diamond Diesel, but she just couldn’t quite get there despite surging late, eventually running second. Like her back to 1100m and the way she is racing and finds the line, I think she’ll take beating.

16 Undivided (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks a talented juvenile for Michael Freedman that commands respect. He debuted at the midweeks at Warwick Farm over 1100m where he was held up behind the speed but got clear and he got better as the race went on, proving strong to the line in winning. Good test here, but confident he can measure up.

6 Kibosh (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a John Thompson trained mare that resumes. She hasn’t raced since March 1 at the midweeks at Warwick Farm when third over 1400m behind Sanstoc. Given a good break and with two solid trials under the belt, I think she’s ready to run really well.

5 Aristonous (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is too good of a horse to dismiss off one below par run. I thought he was a moral when racing a few weeks ago at Caulfield but he just got too far back in the run and was left an impossible task. He had too much to do and did make up good ground behind Thorin. I think he’ll love getting to 2400m and if within range, I think he’ll be too good.

4 So United (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing well for GaiBott and is one of the leading chances. He ran over this track/distance two weeks ago when on speed throughout and he tried his guts out under McLucas, but just found one better on the line when nabbed by Kirkeby. He’s holding his form super and with a good racing style, he’ll give himself every chance.

6 Verona (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is getting towards peak fitness and is racing like a rise to 2400m will suit. Three weeks between runs since racing over 1800m at Randwick where she got back off the speed and was seemingly moving nicely. Unfortunately for her fans, she didn’t get the rub of the green and it ended up being an ugly watch. Upside to come, she is a chance for sure.

1 Hollywood Hero (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has found winning form and he can certainly go on with it. Bit on the plain side fresh at Randwick behind Overriding before going to Wyong where he appreciated dropping big time in grade/depth, as well as ridden with a sit, and he was much too good. He’s got good room for improvement and with versatility re racing pattern, he’s a leading chance IMO.

4 Tashi (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is knocking on the door to win for Team Snowden. She has only won the one race but she has shown better ability than what that record suggests. She ran two weeks ago in the Petulant race here and I thought closed off her race nicely when running third, beaten just under a length. Racing like 1400m will suit and the depth here, as a whole, is on the thin side.

6 Ramones (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is on the quick back up for Joe Pride after racing at the midweeks at Canterbury last Wednesday when attempting to lead throughout and he did give a solid kick but couldn’t quite finish it off when a narrow third to Shines. 1400m is the query but he has a good racing style and if this track is playing up/in, he becomes dangerous.

2 Waverider Buoy (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying for Chris Waller and has to rate as one of the hardest to beat. She should have won here two weeks ago but just got too far back from the wide gate but she rocketed to the line late, just missing out on the win when a narrow second to Petulant. Think with a more positive steer, be within range, I think she’s too good for this lot.

3 Petulant (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a key threat. She got a lovely steer from Schiller to win here a fortnight back, with position in running being the difference between her and runner up Waverider Buoy. That was the first time she ticked the 1200m box so with that under the belt, I think she has to rate as one of the key chances.

5 Lady Brook (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one I wouldn’t be entirely dismissing. Joe Pride trained mare that ran here two weeks back when wide throughout and while she was never a threat, she found the line well enough without threatening behind Petulant, beaten just under three lengths. Not sure I could back her to win but is a must for multiples.

6 Wategos(Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to be in for a good prep. He was a strong winner here two weeks ago given he was ridden a touch warm being second up but he was strong and was too good for Brudenell in a good display. He’s got good room for improvement and hard fit now, I think if he finds the front, he’ll take running down.

5 Regal Pom (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a son of Press Statement for Annabel Neasham that resumes. This guy is first up, having not raced since Feb 25 at Doomben when outside the speed, a slow speed, and tried hard, but just didn’t have the speed in the legs to go with them late in the piece behind Sagacious, finishing third. He is a horse who can sprint well fresh and his two trials to get ready have been more than encouraging.

7 Running Bear (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is capable with her best. She resumed here two weeks back where she was kept safe in betting at odds and unfortunately for her supports, not much went right for her and she didn’t really get a chance to build the revs behind Petulant. Fitter, up in trip, and with a good second up record, I wouldn’t pen her.

7 Time To Boogie (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and look the winner for a long way. He was an impressive winner three weeks ago over 1200m at Randwick, leading throughout and was quite dominant in the run to the line, winning by a space and running good late splits in doing so. Off that, 1200m here is fine, and off that last start, he has to rate as one of the hardest to beat.

9 Noble Conqueror (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has an awful habit of being tardy away but he does have the engine under the hood to measure up. He ran over 1500m here two weeks ago where he was well specked at odds. He got back off the speed and was held up for a few strides but found the line well enough when clear behind impressive winner Kangaroo Court. With a clean jump, he’ll take beating against these despite coming back in trip.

2 Pegasi (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and take beating. He’s done a super job since joining Travis Doudle. He has won two of his three runs for the new stable, the latest coming a few weeks ago on the Parks track at Morphettville when on speed throughout and what I liked is that he found under pressure because he was there to be beaten but he was able to fend them off and win. 1200m no issue, good racing style, he’ll take running down.

Happy to side with 11 I Am Me (Bet Now:  $SP.00). I think she has come back a bigger, better horse for Maher/Eustace. I had 1200m, the end of 1200m, at this level, as a query, but her trials have been very strong and I won’t be using that as an excuse. Good racing style and her two wins here have been dynamic. Potentially trying to put her hand up for The Everest? Time will tell.

4 Big Parade (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very interesting runner. Formerly with Mark Newnham, he now finds himself with Joe Pride and he, potentially, could join the likes of Eduardo and Mariamia as cast offs that go to Joe Pride and end up being a Group l winner. He has trialled up sensationally in readiness for the return…could he be a sleeper for an Everest slot? A dominant win here and progression, why not.

Very interesting runner is 10 Argentia (Bet Now:  $SP.00). Another cast off now with Joe Pride and while her trials haven’t had the flashing light of Big Parade, they have showed intent, sitting on speed rather than flop out the back. She has shown gate speed in the trials so if she can take up a forward spot here, she’s very dangerous because her best is good enough.

11 Fawkner Park (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will do me. Good test here for this Annabel Neasham import but he is the one with good fitness under the belt and is right down in the weights. He hasn’t raced for five weeks since a dominant win over 2400m here when giving them a start and a beating. I think he’ll get to this level, properly, in time, but this looks a lovely race to pinch.

5 Bonny Ezra (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying IMO for Chris Waller and is hard to beat against these. He was a real eye catcher fresh in the Civic behind Ucalledit before having a few weeks off and going to the Winter Challenge two weeks ago here and was quite good from near last behind Barbie’s Fox. Getting towards peak fitness now and up to 1500m, he’ll take beating I am sure.

6 Chalk Stream (Bet Now:  $SP.00) creates interest for Chris Waller. He resumes, having not raced since the Adelaide Cup when not handling the two miles at all when down the track behind surprise winner Rebel Racer. Just one trial to get ready for the return but did recently work between races and to my eye, moved nicely. He has a touch of class so watch the market and see what it does.

2 Space Tracker (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a threat. Few weeks between runs since contesting the South Grafton Cup, a Big Dance Qualifier, and seemed to have his chance but couldn’t quite finish it off behind Cepheus. He has run well at the track/distance previously and off prior efforts, they were certainly good enough to take out a race like this.

Fitter and up to 1500m, I think 1 Kingsheir (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can be an improver at odds for Kim Waugh. He was a drifter in betting when resuming over 1300m here two weeks back and on a day when up/in was the pattern, he was no chance but didn’t mind the way he found the line behind Kalino. This looks more within his reach, so not penning him as a chance here.

Fitter and up to 1500m, I think 1 Kingsheir(Bet Now:  $SP.00) can be an improver at odds for Kim Waugh. He was a drifter in betting when resuming over 1300m here two weeks back and on a day when up/in was the pattern, he was no chance but didn’t mind the way he found the line behind Kalino. This looks more within his reach, so not penning him as a chance here.

BEST BET: Race Three Number 5 Aristonous

NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 11 Fawkner Park

LONG SHOT: Race One Number 10 Competition

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 2, 5, 7, 9

Leg Two: 4, 9, 10, 11

Leg Three: 11

Leg Four: 1, 2, 5, 6, 14

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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