4/9/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Chelmsford Stakes day

A bumper ten race card has been assembled for Randwick this Saturday for Chelmsford Stakes Day. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit.

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Matty Dale could have found a race closer to home to resume 19 Molly Nails (Bet Now: $3.10 TOP ODDS) in, but the fact he resumes her here in a Highway without a public trial, tells me she comes here to run well and potentially press claims for the second Canberra slot for the Kosciuszko because you would assume Handle The Truth has the other one. This mare did a really good job in the Autumn, winning two races, including the Canberra Guineas Preview, beating subsequent Group ll winner Yaletown in fast time. Lands in a plum spot from the draw and she’ll do me.

I know John Shelton is keen to get 4 Tara Jasmine (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS) a spot in the Kosciuszko so this run will be a good guide as to whether she’s worthy of getting a slot. Resumed on her home track at Grafton in what was more or less a barrier trial and she duly bolted up with the big weight. She’s got a brilliant finale on her and up to 1200m is a big tick.

Scott Collings has a smart mare in 9 Ten Bells (Bet Now: $13.00 TOP ODDS). Impressive win two back on wet ground at Goulburn but proved that was no fluke with an electric win nearer the inside to win a Highway here two weeks ago. Hard to knock the way she’s racing and is a key winning threat.

7 Selburose (Bet Now: $3.90 TOP ODDS) is three weeks between runs for Chris Waller since racing at Kembla where she was on speed throughout and tried hard, but was clearly no match for a very impressive King Of Sparta. She’s racing well, deserving of a win and can get it here for sure.

Brad Widdup has a talented mare on his hands in the shape of 5 Nags To Riches (Bet Now: $5.00 TOP ODDS). Bit of quality about her first up win on the Kenso track before racing here two weeks ago when back near last in the run and working home with purpose late behind impressive winner More Prophets. That form reads well for this.

6 Spiranac (Bet Now: $8.50 TOP ODDS) is a quality mare for Rod Northam that resumes, potentially on a path towards the Kosciuszko. Hasn’t raced since being far from disgraced in defeat in the Country Championship Final behind Art Cadeau. Liked her recent Muswellbrook trial and I’m saying she’s here in the shop window to press claims for a crack at the Kosciuszko.

Happy to go each way with 13 Love Me Quietly (Bet Now: $21.00 TOP ODDS). She’s on the seven day back up after racing last Saturday over 1400m at Goulburn. She was back near last in a slowly run race and just couldn’t pick up the ground given it was a truly wet track and the weight. Gets good weight relief, finds firmer footing and hopefully can use the inside gate. If that eventuates, I think she only runs well.

6 Tampering (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) is 2/2 this prep for Kerry Parker and no reason why he can’t make it three on the bounce. He won the Midway here a fortnight back and gee he was tough on speed. Was there to be beaten but found plenty under pressure and was too good. Harder here, but has the right racing pattern and you’d like to think there is room for improvement.

The break between runs I like for 10 Savvy Crown (Bet Now: $6.50 TOP ODDS). Month between runs since contesting an 1800m Midway here when off the speed and chasing strongly, just lacking the turn of foot to put them away behind Gemmahra. Prior form suggested a win was near so giving him another chance.

7 Construct (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) doesn’t have the best racing pattern, but he has the A1 form to be winning. Comes through the Up And Coming from a few weeks back at Kembla and in another couple of strides, he probably wins instead of a narrow third to Tiger Of Malay, with runner up Coastwatch franking the form last Saturday. If he’s within range, he can beat this lot.

If this track is playing on speed, 2 Prince Invincible (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) comes right into play. Gary Moore trained gelding that led throughout to win a Midway at Kembla three weeks back on a day where the track was playing fast towards those on speed at that stage of the meeting and he took advantage. Leads this field up and will give a bold sight.

6 Zorocat (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS) has been up a while but continues to race at such a decent level. Bolted up in a Midway two back before racing in another a few weeks back and was solid again, running third to Ashman. She’s better when she gets her toe in but is honest and has a good racing pattern.

Hard to get away from 1 Nature Strip (Bet Now: $1.50). I have Classique Legend as still the best sprinter in Australia, but this guy is clearly hot on his heels. Looked awesome in a trial win at Rosehill last week, and from reports, he has also had a private jumpout at Rosehill, so he comes here ready to rock and roll I’d suggest.

3 Wild Ruler (Bet Now: $4.60) has class and a sharp record over the short course at Randwick. Resumes for Team Snowden, having not raced since a down the track effort in the Doomben 10,000 behind Eduardo. Closed off nicely to win a recent Hawkesbury trial and 1000m/1100m is his A1 trip IMO so he can give this a shake.

2 Trekking (Bet Now: $7.50) will be closing off strongly at the end. James Cummings trained galloper that resumes after a somewhat mixed Brisbane campaign. Loomed to win on all three occasions but couldn’t get the job done. Looked great at Hawkesbury in a trial behind Wild Ruler and I say he runs well.

I’m with 4 She’s All Class (Bet Now: $4.20). Chris Waller trained filly that resumes, having not raced since the Sweet Embrace in the Autumn when back and flashing late, just missing out on picking up Four Moves Ahead. Just one trial back on July 27 to get ready, but I’m assuming she’s had a private jumpout or two at home to get ready. If she does everything right, she’s the one to beat I’d suggest.

Contender or pretender time for 1 Four Moves Ahead (Bet Now: $7.00). She was there to put them away two weeks ago in the Silver Shadow but just knocked up that last little bit behind Swift Witness. You’d like to think there is room for improvement and we know she is quite brilliant when right.

Staying at 1200m is the knock with 5 Mallory (Bet Now: $13.00) but I think she has returned enormous. Trialled well leading into her resumption in the Silver Shadow and she was a real eye catcher from off the speed behind Swift Witness in an excellent return. Just whether she wants further now is the query.

Do I want to take short odds about Zaaki or back something each way? The latter for me, so something small win, bigger the place on 6 Rock (Bet Now: $11.00). Team Hawkes trained gelding that resumed in the Show County where he paraded like he would need the run and that’s how it panned out behind Private Eye. Has a fab second up record and up to 1400m, he has the finale to cause problems.

1 Zaaki (Bet Now: $2.25) is the obvious. How good is he? Not sure, but I think he’s good enough to take care of this lot first up and head onto better things. He was the find of the Autumn/Winter, starting off as a $61 pop in the Doncaster. Fast forward to the end of the Brisbane Winter, he’s regarded as the best horse in Australia. We’ll know for sure this prep how good he is, but he’s good enough to win this first up.

Fitter and up to 1400m, I want to give 8 Prime Star (Bet Now: $11.00) another chance. I was keen on him when he resumed in the Show County but the market said he would need the run and that’s how it panned out. He trialled too well leading in to dismiss him after run and this looks a better set up for him.

I think you have to believe what you saw from 13 She’s Ideel (Bet Now: $8.00) in the Winx Stakes. She is being targeted towards a Melbourne Cup, so it was a slashing return from her to finish off like she did, a close up third to Mo’Unga. Fitter, up to the mile…if there is no second up syndrome, she’s clearly the one to beat.

1 Think It Over (Bet Now: $4.60) has returned in excellent order. Trialled up quite well prior to resuming in the Winx and IMO, if Avdulla was riding, the horse wins. No disrespect to Innes Jr, but he’s not a proper metro rider, never mind a Group l rider, and just didn’t have the vigour to shoulder into clear air at the right time. Fitter, up in trip, he’ll take beating.

Early on in the prep is the right time to strike with 4 Shared Ambition (Bet Now: $8.00) so he commands respect. He hasn’t raced since the Doomben Cup when on speed in a fast run race and tiring late behind Zaaki. Like him fresh at the mile and with a few trials under the belt, he’s ready to rock and roll.

10 Fastconi (Bet Now: $9.00) is racing really well this time in for Chris Waller. You could say he ran here a fortnight back, but really, it was a barrier trial. It was one of the better 11th placed finishes you’ll see. He was absolutely bolting but things didn’t eventuate for him. Clear air this time around and he can win.

11 Geist (Bet Now: $6.00) doesn’t have the best of winning strike rates but she is Stakes performed and looks to have returned in good order. Resumed at Randwick a fortnight back and closed off well from off the speed when second to More Prophets. Good second up record and will be strong late.

5 Broken Arrows (Bet Now: $31.00) won’t want too much rain to hit the track but Matty Dunn has him going super. Far from disgraced here three weeks back behind Big Parade after getting a fair way back in the run. He’s a dry track horse 100%, but can handle give in it. Just prefers dry so the weather will determine how strong his winning claims are.

Second up syndrome is the only knock with 13 Atishu (Bet Now: $2.80). It was a brilliant Aussie debut from her here two weeks ago, sitting off a fast speed before peeling into clear air and away she went. She was dominant. Interesting to see what level she can reach, but I know it’s better than these. Clearly the one to beat.

16 Bigboyroy (Bet Now: $18.00) deserves another chance. This guy was four weeks between runs when racing here a fortnight back. He had to chase a very strong speed and with the break between runs, that lack of race fitness, just brought him undone late I felt. Fitter, he’s a key threat.

5 All Time Legend (Bet Now: $7.50) is three weeks between runs for Les Bridge since racing in a fast run 1200m at Kembla where he just found them a bit sharp I thought but in saying, still have to mark him down as disappointing behind Big Parade. Hard fit now and up to 1400m are two big ticks for him and his best is good enough.

BEST BET: Race Five Number 1 Nature Strip

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 6 Rock

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 10 Fastconi

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 6

Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 13

Leg Three: 5, 10, 11, 13

Leg Four: 4, 5, 13, 16, 17

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

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