Nine races will be run and won at Randwick on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (9) and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit.
Race 1. (11:35) Newhaven Park (bm72) 1300m
Admittedly 2 Travest (Bet Now: $2.45 TOP ODDS) found the A1 ground when a resuming winner at Warwick Farm but it was still a big effort given he was first up on testing ground and was spotting them a decent start on the turn. Clocked the best last 600m of the race and has more to come. Just a little query of what sort of start he concedes from the gate.
1 Edison (Bet Now: $7.00 TOP ODDS) will appreciate the rise to 1300m. Bjorn Baker trained three year old that has two runs at 1200m to start his prep, the latest coming at Rosehill when close up behind Outback Diva in a solid effort, a much improved effort from what I thought was a disappointing resumption behind Mo’s Crown. Third up, hard fit, hard to beat.
Whenever you hear David Payne talk about 9 Bazooka (Bet Now: $12.00 TOP ODDS), it’s always positive and always have to respect the two year olds taking on the older horses. Showed good promise in his first prep and the form around him reads well. Recent Rosehill trial was very good against open class horses…I think he’s clearly the value.
Race 2. (12:10) Tab Highway Hcp (c3) 1000m
Bit of a throw at the stumps here in the shape of 8 Napoli (Bet Now: $34.00 TOP ODDS), who was formerly with Tash Burleigh but now finds himself at Tuncurry with David Callaughan. Has showed good promise since day one but probably hasn’t lived up to the early hype where he looked city class. Go back to last year, he was five lengths away from the winner in a Country Championship Heat at Goulburn. Three trials leading in I think have been good. He’s a definite market/yard watch.
9 Bad Boy For Love (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) can easily have claims to being the most unlucky runner racing in NSW the past couple of months. Arguably should have won his past three but either has had no luck or been given a poor ride, and it was the latter IMO which cost him in a 1200m Highway here two weeks ago. 1200m back to 1000m I don’t like, but hard to knock the way he’s going.
15 Fair Dinkum… (Bet Now: $18.00 TOP ODDS) he’s becoming frustrating. Condition gave out first up in a Highway here behind Biscara before going back home to Taree where I thought he was a good thing and despite sitting on a strong speed, I thought he was disappointing in the straight, finishing second. He beat Napoli in a trial on Monday and off that, Fair Dinkum beats him home, but keep in mind that track had a severe on pace bias that day. Can certainly win this…but you’d need fat pockets to keep buttering up.
Race 3. (12:45) Grunt Standing At Yulong (bm70) 1100m
10 Tailleur (Bet Now: $2.25 TOP ODDS) for me. Very promising filly for James Cummings that hasn’t raced since her debut romp at Gosford back in January when sitting near a good speed before drawing clear to spank them. Five winners have come out of that maiden, smashed the clock…looks a classy type and her recent trial splitting subsequent city winners Varda and Roheryn was strong.
2 Switched (Bet Now: $4.60 TOP ODDS) should be stronger at the end of her race this time around compared to her run three weeks back at Rosehill over 1200m where she was second up and tried very hard, but couldn’t quite finish it off when a narrow third. That run should toughen her up for this and third up last prep ran a narrow second to Aquitaine, which reads well for this.
I’m respecting 7 Tickler (Bet Now: $13.00 TOP ODDS) for Kurt Goldman. On paper, it was a narrow win on debut in a Warwick Farm maiden, but the runner up Stormy Rock came out and bolted up at Kembla, and the third horse trialled brilliant and was a heavily backed odds on pop, so think the form isn’t too bad. Could cause problems at odds.
Race 4. (13:20) Quincy Seltzer (bm88) 1800m
4 Matowi (Bet Now: $3.30 TOP ODDS) is ready to win now. Three weeks between runs for Chris Waller since racing over 1800m at Rosehill where he had a good run in transit off the speed and presented to win when asked. Just think he ran out of condition late behind Attention Run. Like him at Randwick over this trip and track should be a bit firmer.
7 Mr Dependable (Bet Now: $2.00 TOP ODDS) is third up from a break and should just about be at peak fitness for the WaterBott camp. Ran over this track/distance two weeks ago when leading and looked the winner for the most part. Just beat by a race fit animal in Agassi. Either leads or box seats here, and with the weight relief, is very likeable.
The X factor here is 5 Toryjoy (Bet Now: $8.00 TOP ODDS). Chris Waller trained mare who is a flat track bully in the sense that she can only win if she finds the front and gets control, and Kathy O’Hara does ride the mare better than anyone else. Down the track last Saturday in the Civic but is a mare who has a great seven day back up record and if she can find the lead here, she’ll take a power of beating.
Race 5. (13:55) Ranvet (bm78) 1000m
Looks to be good speed here and I think it will suit 6 Longbottom (Bet Now: $6.50). IMO, she was ridden a touch too warm last start at this track/distance a fortnight back, through no fault of J Mac. Just the cards that were dealt for the race and she did try hard, but was weak late. Collett is on and I dare say he’ll ride her cold and save her for one run.
3 Lashes (Bet Now: $2.70) has to be given another chance. Good resumption behind Adelong before bumping into that mare again two weeks ago off a mini freshen up when wide no cover throughout so I think you have to be forgiving of that effort. Getting close to D-Day for her but she has the quality to beat these up.
Never thought I’d see the day that I’d rate 5 Spaceboy (Bet Now: $3.70) as a serious chance to win a Saturday class race, but here he is and gee it’s winnable. The only way he can win this is if Kathy uses the best asset this horse has – speed. Sustained speed, like we’ve seen recently at these Randwick meets with Witherspoon. He’ll take some running down if that eventuates.
Race 6. (14:30) Tab Live Vision (bm78) 2400m
Gee I’d love a drying deck for 5 Desert Path (Bet Now: $7.00) because I think a win isn’t far away. His effort last Wednesday at Sandown was pretty good I thought. When the sprint went on, he was left completely flat footed but the last 250m he was really good and closed off nicely. Seemingly his best efforts since coming to Australia have come in Sydney so he’s a big watch.
3 Elaborate (Bet Now: $3.50) back up to 2400m I do like. Good in defeat at this track/distance two back before coming back to 2000m when wide no cover throughout and battled away really well behind a smart one in Mount Popa. He’s been up a while but is racing in near career best form and back up in trip is fine for him.
14 Curata Princess (Bet Now: $34.00) can pull out a positive run at Randwick and while I wouldn’t back her to win, I could easily include her in multiples. Four weeks between runs since racing at this track/distance when back in the run and failing to come on behind Terwilliker. Overall depth here isn’t as strong I don’t think and she remains down in the weights.
Race 7. (15:10) Sky Racing Active (bm78) 1400m
1 Outback Diva (Bet Now: $3.60) can win again. The Freedman stable is absolutely flying at the moment and this girl is an example of their purple patch. Loved the way she found the line first up at Kembla before going to the Rosehill 1200m three weeks ago when sitting last in the run before peeling wider and surged hard late to nab them near the peg. Has upside to come and happy to be in her corner again.
5 Miss Redoble (Bet Now: $6.50) is racing well without winning for Tracey Bartley. Comes back to 1400 after racing over 1500m at Rosehill three weeks ago where she was building nicely between the 600m-200m. Just knocked up late to run third to Word For Word. Like her back to 1400m. Just a little query of whether or not she’s got any upside.
12 Vitesse (Bet Now: $9.00) is suited up to 1400m for Chris Waller. She was good two back over 1300m at Warwick Farm behind Threeood before coming back to 1200m here two weeks ago when ridden a bit too warm I thought in a forgive run behind Stella Sea Sun. Like her up to 1400m and with a more conservative steer, she’ll be more effective.
Race 8. (15:50) Heineken 3 (bm78) 1300m
3 Handspun (Bet Now: $3.10) looks ready to win. Two runs back from a spell for James Cummings has been really good. Resumed with a strong third to Adelong before racing over 1300m at Rosehill three weeks ago when back in the run and didn’t get the clearest of paths, but found the line with purpose behind surprise winner Monegal, who proved it was no fluke last Saturday with another good run. Third up, she’s very likeable.
Like 2 Rari (Bet Now: $3.90) here as a winning chance. Greg Hickman trained three year old that had one soft trial leading into his resumption over 1200m at Rosehill three weeks back where he was well supported and tried hard when a close up fifth to Outback Diva, beaten 1.4L. He’ll take good improvement off that you would assume and is hard to beat here.
4 Cristal Breeze (Bet Now: $4.80) is a very interesting runner. Former import for Kris Lees that made his Australian debut over 1200m at Canterbury on a bottomless track and I loved the way he kept finding under Bowman to get up and beat hard fit, in form horses. Only has a rating of 74 still despite being high 80’s when in the UK, so he’s got more to come.
Race 9. (16:30) Drinkwise (bm78) 1600m
Think a rise to 1600m is perfect for the Chris Waller trained 10 Bigboyroy (Bet Now: $2.70). Forget he went around at Canterbury two back behind Chocolatier before racing over 1400m here two weeks ago where he was held up for a few strides, but overall, he had his chance behind Ballet Master. Crying out for this trip and has upside to come.
3 Agassi (Bet Now: $2.60) is an Anthony Cummings trained gelding that had good market support when racing at this track/distance two weeks ago where Tommy put him into the A1 spot. He doesn’t have the greatest of winning strike rates, but that last start effort was pretty good and if he can repeat that effort here, he’ll go close.
12 Adana (Bet Now: $7.50) isn’t the most trustworthy animal going around but he’s racing okay without winning. Comes through the Agassi race from a fortnight back here where he was back near last in the run and worked home well without threatening when fourth to the Anthony Cummings runner. A win wouldn’t totally shock but hard to back with confidence.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Four Number 4 Matowi
NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 10 Tailleur
LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 8 Napoli
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 3, 5, 6, 11, 14
Leg Two: 1, 3, 5, 12
Leg Three: 2, 3, 4, 5
Leg Four: 1, 3, 8, 10, 12
$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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