4/5/2024 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville, SA Derby day

Group l racing continues at Morphettville this Saturday for SA Derby Day. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out two metres from the 1200m-Winning Post; True for the remainder.

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2 Artzino (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should appreciate a rise to 2000m for Price/Kent. This gelding looks ready to win off the back of racing over 1800m at Caulfield Heath last time where he got back to near last in the run but I really liked the way he found the line late in the piece when beaten just under two lengths by Tolpuddle. He will love getting to 2000m and with a more positive steer, he’ll take beating.

7 Holmes (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a bit on the one paced side so 2000m here should be fine. Andrew Clarken trained gelding that has had a couple of 2000m runs under the belt, the latest at Bordertown where he was near the speed and was there to win but couldn’t quite get there when a narrow second. He has the good grounding and is honest.

1 Badonkidonk (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is capable with his best. He was a strong winner two back at Oakbank before going to the Hoops race from two weeks back on the Parks track where he did a bit of early work in the run but dropped out and was very plain, failing to beat a runner home. His best is good enough. He can bounce back.

3 Foxy Femme (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to have returned in excellent order for Team Blanch and rates highly for me. This mare resumed with an eye catching third at Murray Bridge before racing two weeks ago on the Parks track where she gave them a start and a beating, launching late to finish over the top. She’ll spot them a start but should be strong at the end.

1 Sweet Baby Boom (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very interesting runner. Formerly with GaiBott, she now finds herself with Clarken/O’Shea and creates interest. She showed really good promise when racing in NSW, establishing herself as city class with multiple wins in town, so we know she has talent, and her trial work has been more than encouraging. Watch the market.

9 Runaway Belle (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is humming for Phillip Stokes and should take beating against this lot. This mare was hard in the market two weeks ago on the Parks track. She was near the fence and chasing from the outset but she kept finding the line and was good in defeat behind Magic Max, beaten 2.3L. Back to this class of race and back to Mares grade, she rates highly.

6 Storyteller (Bet Now:  $SP.00) can bounce back for Michael Hickmott. This gelding resumed with a bang when winning on the Parks track before racing there again a few weeks ago where he had the second up syndrome feels it appeared behind Losesomewinmore. Hard fit now, and off the first up win, he can take out a race like this.

2 Sunzou (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has done little wrong in a couple of runs for Travis Doudle and rates highly. This guy has raced over 1000m on the Parks track in both runs, placing behind Losesomewinmore fresh before a gutsy win a fortnight back where he was on speed, leading, and fought hard to draw clear late. Good test here, but think he can measure up.

1 The Magistrate (Bet Now:  $SP.00) appeals against these. Matty Seyers trained gelding that resumed on the Parks track two weeks back where he got back and chasing the genuine tempo. He ran through the pain barrier and kept finding the line in a good effort behind Magic Max. Back to this level, he appeals.

8 Jazz Affair (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very progressive mare for Team Jolly. She has won three of her past four, winning her past two. Latest was two weeks ago on the Parks track where she made a mess of them, giving them a start and a beating in an electric performance. She’s heading in the right direction and no reason why she can’t win again.

2 Easy Campese (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has done a ripping job since joining Sarah Rutten and is one of the leading contenders. He ran second to Jazz Affair a fortnight back. He was on speed throughout and he tried his guts out but just had no answers for the finale of Jazz Affair. He has a good racing style and is tough. Commands respect.

6 East Indiaman (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will jump on the bunny and take running down. I was keen on him a few weeks back but he couldn’t find the front and once that eventuated, his fate was sealed and was safely held by Overstrike but he stayed on and was solid enough in defeat. Just needs to find the front because he is a different horse when he leads.

1 Sir Kingsford (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks to pick himself. Arrogant win on the Parks track two weeks ago, leading throughout and he gave nothing else a look in, winning by a space. Proven performer in Melbourne so against these, hard fit now, good racing style…good luck beating him.

8 Fortis In Armis (Bet Now:  $SP.00) comes here off the back of a Heat win at Strathalbyn where he ran over 1350m and in a driving finish, he was able to get the job done, just, in a blanket finish. He has run well at this distance range previously and with a bit of upside in the locker, I am not dismissing him.

5 Pearl Adios (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one I can entertain for wider multiples. He ran behind Sir Kingsford in the race mentioned above. He got too far back in the run and was very wide throughout, so forgive and forget the run. Has a gate to do no work, settle much closer…must for exotics.

10 Spirit Of Camelot (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a filly with good promise for Michael Hickmott and rates highly. She was 1000m to 1400m when racing two weeks ago in the Nitschke and I thought she was very good late, closing off with real purpose in a strong effort behind Material Dreams. The rise to 1600m should be fine and if she can settle closer in the run, she’ll take holding out.

7 Poifect (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Team Hayes trained filly that looks to have returned in really good order and should take beating. Market took a set against her at Flemington on Anzac Day but nobody told the filly that as she sat on speed, was trucking, before being clicked up and away she went. Hard to beat.

1 Under The Cone (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a progressive three year old for Team Jolly that is heading in the right direction. He was a month between runs when racing over 1550m on the Parks track two weeks ago. He got a fair way out of his ground and while he was never a winning threat, I thought he closed off quite well late behind Sir Kingsford. Good upside to come, has talent, he commands respect.

2 The Map (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has a bit on these I feel. Talented mare that has been kept on ice since the Adelaide Cup where she was as game as ever but just couldn’t quite see the two miles out when beaten narrowly by Excelleration. Two trials since have been strong and although her GF might be two weeks time, the Andrew Ramsden for a Melbourne Cup start, I think she has enough brilliance to beat these.

6 Crimson Vine (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has been up a little whole for Matty Seyers but she is holding her form really well. She ran on the Parks track two weeks ago over 1950m and was as game as ever in defeat. Just couldn’t quite get the win and finish the race off behind Hoops. Only has to continue holding her form and she’ll be around the mark.

4 Disagreeable Miss (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is three weeks between runs for Mick Huxtable since racing at this track/distance when settling off the speed and tried hard but just lacked the change up speed to go with them late in the piece behind Perle Bleue. She has that 2500m run under the belt…not sure she wins, but a first four threat.

4 Bold Soul (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is on top for me in what looks a strong SA Derby. He won the Chairmans last Saturday, and what I liked about the win is that he got better as the race went on and savaged the line to get the win. He’ll eat up 2500m and has that sense of timing, and the stable did win the race last year. Hard to beat.

7 Warmonger (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has to be given serious respect. Price/Kent trained galloper that went within a lip of winning the Port Adelaide Guineas before racing in the Chairmans last Saturday…well, I wouldn’t say he raced. It was a barrier trial. Zero intent with the ride and duly clocked the best late splits of the race. More positive ride, up to 2500m, he’s clearly going to be around the mark.

9 A Samurai Mind (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a nice horse and is one of the better local chances. He took on the older horses over 1950m two weeks back on the Parks track and was brave in defeat but had to settle for a second to a Victorian raider in Hoops. He’s been set for this race since day one and although he likely spots them a start, he should be strong at the end.

11 Losesomewinmore (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a nice horse heading in the right direction for Team Jolly. He resumed on the Parks track a few weeks ago where he was backed with confidence late and he was impressive, giving them a start and a beating in an electric return. Good improvement to come, he’s going to take beating against these.

9 Sixteen Reasons (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is nearing a win for Clarken/O’Shea. She ran third to stablemate Sweetened a fortnight back. She was ridden cold and seemingly had her chance but she found the line and was quite good in defeat, beaten narrowly. If she can get a drag into the race and be within range, she has the finale to win.

3 Sweetened (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has found winning form and she can certainly go on with it. She was far from disgraced two back in the Railway at Oakbank before racing two weeks ago on the Parks track where she was ridden with more intent and voila, she got the job done. Tricky draw but has versatility re racing pattern and will be strong late.

BEST BET: Race One Number 2 Artzino

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 2 The Map

LONG SHOT: Race Eight Number 4 Bold Soul

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 6, 7, 10

Leg Two: 2

Leg Three: 4, 7

Leg Four: 2, 3, 9, 11, 17

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