Perth racing returns to Belmont this Saturday for a very strong eight race program. The weather is overcast, the track is good (4) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.
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Race One (14:23) : Perth Racing Twitter Plate 1300m:
Back Me:5 Leitfaden (Best Odds: $2.70) ran at the midweeks at Ascot last Wednesday and finished off best in a close finish under hard riding from Pike. He remains on which is a good lead, so I’ll respect that here.
Big Danger: 8 Diraja Jewel (Best Odds: $2.90) ran well on debut and she showed she would be breaking her maiden status soon. This looks a tougher race but she should take improvement and be right in the finish.
Roughie: 2 Sunset Pete (Best Odds: $19.00) debuted over 1200m at Pinjarra and worked home ok late behind Boyzone. Thin race here and he has upside.
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Race Two (15:03) : Sponsor A Race Handicap 1200m:
Back Me: 1 Vega Magic (Best Odds: $1.40) looks a potential Stakes winner. He had three runs last time in, all resulting in three impressive wins. Outstanding trial win to tune up and really, only bad luck will beat him.
Big Danger: 6 River Dance (Best Odds: $4.00) debuted at Pinjarra and the son of Snitzel could not have been any more impressive in winning. He looks a really good type and he should measure up…not sure he can beat Vega Magic.
Roughie: 2 Brisanto (Best Odds: $14.00) ran over 1000m at Ascot a fortnight and whacked away alright when fourth to Shady Grey. Fitter now and he has the fitness edge on Vega Magic.
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Race Three (15:43) : Belmont Bonanza- $20 Offer Handicap (72+) 1000m:
Back Me: 3 Bourne Supremacy (Best Odds: $3.60) had the suck run behind the hot tempo and when he presented, gee he showed a lovely turn of foot and put the race away in a couple of strides. Maps well again and is a definite threat.
Big Danger: 6 Express Dancer (Best Odds: $5.00) is a talented galloper that resumes for Grant Williams. Best form is over slightly further, but he looked sharp in a recent trial here and only carries 52kg after the claim.
Roughie: 2 Military Reign (Best Odds: $1.75) had to chase that hot speed and he had to carry the big weight, so he was gassed and couldn’t match it with Bourne Supremacy, but his effort was very good and he can turn the tables for sure with luck.
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Race Four (16:19) : Amelia Park Handicap (78+) 1800m:
Back Me: 1 Respondent (Best Odds: $5.50) ran in the Old Comrade at Ascot three weeks ago and worked to the line strongly against the tempo when third to Wink And A Nod. Much easier and though he hasn’t won for two years, he will be hard to beat back in this grade.
Big Danger: 4 Tonto (Best Odds: $4.20) is another tease who hasn’t raced since finishing off late in the Pinjarra Cup. Mile probably is short for him, but look for him to get back and run on well late.
Roughie: 7 Ocean Cracker (Best Odds: $10.00) is the one with upside. I thought there was merit in his last start second at Bunbury over 1400m when second to Spin Da Wheels. Pike remains on and he is a proven city performer.
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Race Five (16:58) : Perth Racing Membership Pro-Rata Rate Handicap 1400m:
Back Me: 4 Celebrity Dream (Best Odds: $1.65) looks a one out job in the Quaddie. She is a very good filly who worked home strongly a fortnight back but couldn’t quite pick up the above average Cool Passion. Draws well, peak fitness, weaker race…just wins.
Big Danger: 2 Airlie Sun (Best Odds: $7.00) ran over 1200m last Saturday at Ascot and produced a brilliant finish to win in impressive fashion. Seven day back up looks ideal and is probably the only threat to Celebrity Dream.
Roughie: 1 Senso (Best Odds: $13.00) took on the older horses last Saturday and was disappointing behind Profit Street. Back to his own age could spark improvement and he is unbeaten in two runs at Belmont.
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Race Six (17:37) : James Boag’s Premium Handicap (1MW) 1000m:
Back Me: 11 Presentatie (Best Odds: $2.25) creates plenty of interest here. This filly is making her Australian debut after winning two races at Wingatui in New Zealand late last year. Didn’t beat much but the times were sharp and a recent trial behind Luckygray was very good.
Big Danger: 1 Travellin’ (Best Odds: $8.00) has been given a seven week freshen up since running on okay late at Ascot behind the handy sprinter Conjob. The claim definitely helps and the freshen up could well spark him back to life.
Roughie: 10 Twelve Rounds (Best Odds: $4.80) was an impressive winner first up before racing over 1000m at Ascot where he tried hard but had to settle for second to Shady Grey. Fitter, down in the weights and for mine is a knockout hope.
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Race Seven (18:15) : Multicultural Raceday May 14 Handicap (1MW) 1600m:
Back Me: 3 Universal Law (Best Odds: $2.25) looks the way to go here. He has been luckless at his past two outings, the latest resulting in being badly held up when appearing to be bolting behind North Ridge. Normal luck here and he wins.
Big Danger: 1 Zonte (Best Odds: $6.00) ran over 1400m in a Stakes race at Ascot a fortnight back and closed off well behind a Group l winner in Magnifisio. That’s the best form line in the race. The negative is the wide gate. If she can overcome that, she is a knockout hope.
Roughie: In terms of value, include 12 Gondiggin (Best Odds: $71.00). Getting on in years, and his recent form has been at Geraldton, but he is a proven city performer and he does race well at Belmont, plus is on the minimum
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Race Eight (18:50) : Terrace Restaurant- Book Now Handicap (72+) 1400m:
Back Me: 2 Zuccheros (Best Odds: $7.00) pulled up with an elevated heart rate when failing first up before being much better next time out when second to Ron’s Call. He has an outstanding record at Belmont and should be at peak fitness.
Big Danger: 4 Spin Da Wheels (Best Odds: $9.00) is a rejuvenated galloper that has won two on the bounce, both coming at Bunbury. 5kg weight drop is a big, big tick, fit, in form and has a fab record at the track/distance.
Roughie: 6 Run Liam Run (Best Odds: $7.50) is a handy sprinter from the bush who won the feature sprint race on Albany Cup Day. Has since trialled there and won that by over 10 so he is ticking along nicely and has proven himself in the city before.
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BEST BET: Race Seven Number 3 Universal Law
NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 4 Celebrity Dream
VALUE: Race Eight Number 2 Zuccheros
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 4
Leg Two: 1, 10, 11
Leg Three: 3
Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 6, 8
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