24/8/2019 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville

Eight races will be run and won at Morphettville this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is soft (6) and the rail is out ten metres from the 1200m-Winning Post; Out eight metres for the remainder.

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1 Roccabascerana (Bet Now: $3.40) looks a smart animal and I think he can make it 2/2 in his career to date. Debuted on the Parks track on May 25 and he gave them a galloping lesson in bolting up after hunting up to hold the lead. He appears a decent type and his trial and jumpout leading in has looked very good. Ready to go first up IMO and I think he can take care of these.

4 Better Harden Up (Bet Now: $4.60) is a Price/Kent trained filly who was very well supported when resuming over 1100m on a bog Bendigo surface against the older horses when off speed before being clicked up by Olly and he took the lead on the filly, who looked home, but was nabbed late by Lucky Cat. Back to her own age and fitter, she should run well here.

3 Hankstar (Bet Now: $13.00) is a son of Delago Deluxe resuming. This bloke hasn’t raced since debuting at Balaklava where he produced a brilliant finale from the back to get up and win, beating the above average The Pugilist. No public jumpout leading in so market will be the guide but off the debut win, he looks handy and could run well despite a bit of depth to this line up.

Gee 2 The Statesman (Bet Now: $2.60) finds a lovely race. The Maher/Eustace stable has this bloke going well and he’s knocking on the door to win. He ran over 2500m at Moonee Valley last time when sitting on speed and fighting on well but had no answers for the turn of foot produced by More Than Ever. He gets a bit of weight relief this time around and drops a fair bit in depth.

1 Sasko (Bet Now: $2.30) has been thereabouts in recent times but just looks to be struggling to get another win on the board. He sat on speed at Flemington two weeks back on a testing track and just didn’t finish it off at all when fourth to surprise winner Jinda. Either he’s looking for firmer footing or he’s had enough. Market the last 10-15 minutes will answer that question.

3 Bling Dynasty (Bet Now: $4.20) is racing well for Paul Preusker but he’s just finding it hard to win these days. He comes through the More Than Ever race from three weeks ago where he tried hard and made a searching run around the leaders on the turn, looking the winner, but the gap came for More Than Ever and his change up speed was too good. He’s not far off a win. Just not sure it’s here, but should run well all the same.

2 Arty Lucas (Bet Now: $1.95) for me. Paul Preusker trains this bloke, who was a bit frustrating to follow at times but finally got a win next to his name at Murray Bridge (Metro) two weeks back, aided by a lovely ride on speed from Lewis German, who controlled the race outside the speed and was too good late for Good Idea. Not much harder here and not badly treated at the weights.

3 Bronski (Bet Now: $6.50) is an honest galloper that rarely runs a bad race. He comes through the Arty Lucas race from a fortnight back at Murray Bridge (Metro) when attempting to lead all the way and he had his chance when running third. Not sure leading is his go, so perhaps with a more conservative steer, he’ll be more effective, and he has run well in town previously.

4 Sir Garfield (Bet Now: $11.00) comes back to Adelaide after a prep in NT where he raced four times for two placings, one of those coming last start over 1900m on Cup Day when second to Yenhaab. Not sure what upside is left in the tank with him and generally those horses who come back to the turf from the dirt generally struggle, but his form prior to heading North was good.

7 Bolt I Am (Bet Now: $8.50) isn’t far off a win for David Jolly. He had a little freshen up prior to racing at Murray Bridge (Metro) where he got a fair way off the speed and was never really in the mix behind More Than Exceed but picked up in the straight and was good late when third to the Stokes four year old. That form reads okay for this and should upside in the tank.

3 Aiguilette (Bet Now: $2.50) is a John Macmillan trained four year old who does appear above average and is being talked up as a horse who could be competitive in Stakes company during the Melbourne Spring. If that’s the case, he’d want to be putting this field away and the trials/jumpouts leading in suggest he’s come back well. Well found in the market but hard to beat.

8 Sunmate (Bet Now: $9.00) has definitely earned a crack in town. Stacey Kotz has this gelding flying at the moment, winning 2/2 this time in, both at Gawler. The maiden win came over 1100m before stepping up to 1200m where he was back, wide with cover, before being presented clear air and he put the race away in a couple of strides for an impressive win. Confident he can run well here.

Found this race a tough one to sort out. 8 Prairie Fire (Bet Now: $4.80) interests me. He returns as a gelding for the Hayes/Dabernig team with a couple of hitouts on the Pakenham Synthetic to tune him up for his return, the latest coming in late July when beating some handy horses. Market will be the guide, but I’m hoping he can sit off a fast speed and finish off.

3 Barood (Bet Now: $4.20) is just going okay I think but he finds a race to bounce back into positive form. He ran over this track/distance three weeks back and looked to have every chance when fourth to Freehearted after getting a decent run just off the speed. Thought he was working up to a win but last start is concerning. Still, this isn’t the strongest race going around. Coleraine jumpout on Monday was okay.

Want to be very forgiving of 6 Port Vale (Bet Now: $7.00) and his run behind Seven Year Reward fresh at Murray Bridge (Metro) two weeks ago. He sat wide no cover for the most part and got his tongue over the bit so there were clear excuses for him. He was close up at his second run back from a spell last prep and his best is certainly good enough to measure up here.

3 Tiara Star (Bet Now: $3.40) drops a bit in grade/depth here. She ran over 1000m at Murray Bridge (Metro) a fortnight back against the boys and was very good in defeat when second to stablemate Seven Year Reward after getting a good run just off the speed. Two time winner at 1200m and seems to be racing as if she’s looking for it now so up to 1100m off a fast speed looks a really good set up.

2 Stryke In Style (Bet Now: $3.80) is a handy animal for John Macmillan that resumes. This bloke hasn’t raced since March 11 in a strong 3YO Handicap here when back in the run and failing to come on, looking a tired horse. Been given a good break and looked sharp enough in a recent Murray Bridge trial win to suggest he’ll go well fresh, but I think market will be the guide.

1 Akkacan (Bet Now: $13.00) had gone off the boil for a little while but he turned that all around three weeks ago at this track, sprouting wings from near last on the turn to get up and win on the peg at massive odds. Repeating the dose is the trick with this bloke because he can be hot and cold at times, but a repeat of last start will have him in the mix for sure against these.

I reckon there’s a bet here in the shape of 9 Little Akie (Bet Now: $21.00). Brian Mueller trains this 12 year old, who resumed over 1400m at Murray Bridge (Metro) two weeks back and despite being completely unwanted in betting, he ran a ripper I thought, closing off with purpose late to run fourth to the above average mare Amberdi. Fitter and up to the mile, can only see him running well.

3 Tatoosh (Bet Now: $6.00) finds a very winnable race, but it’s been over a year since he has won which is a concern for a horse generally hard in the market each time he steps out. Ran over this track/distance three weeks ago and looked to have every chance when second to Polar Vortex. Been kept up to the mark with a trial last week at Murray Bridge and was given a solid hid out there, so fitness won’t be an issue.

7 Dollar Dollar Bill (Bet Now: $12.00) is a handy mare who was unwanted in betting when resuming at Murray Bridge (Metro) two weeks ago but I thought she found the line well enough in defeat for a staying mare when fourth to Magic Sunset. Second up off a near year break is the concern, but she has a touch of quality about her and up to the mile is a massive tick.

In the corner of 7 Magic Sunset (Bet Now: $2.00). She had trialled up very well prior to resuming at Murray Bridge (Metro) two weeks ago when settling just off the speed but on the turn she looked in a bit of trouble it seemed but once she balanced up, she put pay to them and was impressive in winning by over a length with something in hand. Should take improvement from that and is hard to beat here.

Will Clarken had a couple of runners nominated for this race but goes with the sole rep in 1 Magna Bella (Bet Now: $4.60), who ran third to Magic Sunset in the race mentioned above. Stubby gave her a lovely sit just off the speed and tried hard but Magic Sunset had better change up speed and was too good. Does get a 4kg weight swing on that mare here but the negative is the wide gate.

3 Flop (Bet Now: $18.00) is a talented mare that resumes. She came of age last prep, racing much more consistently, which saw her earn a trip to Melbourne where she was excellent behind Temple Of Bel before two runs at blacktype level where she was far from disgraced. Showed enough zip in her recent Murray Bridge trial win to suggest she’s forward enough to run well fresh.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 3 Tiara Star

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 1 Roccabascerana

LONG SHOT: Race Seven Number 9 Little Akie

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 3, 6, 7, 8

Leg Two: 3

Leg Three: 1, 3, 7, 8, 9

Leg Four: 1, 7

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