23/3/2024 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville, Clare Lindop Stakes day

Nine races will be run and won at Morphettville on Saturday where their Carnival is starting to warm up. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out five metres for the entire circuit.

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6 Crimson Vine (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very progressive mare for Matty Seyers. She was an outstanding winner on Adelaide Cup Day over 2000m, eating up a truly run race and gee she was strong late, getting better as the race went on to win and win well. No issue with 2500m IMO and the way she’s racing, gee she is going to take beating.

2 Wheels (Bet Now:  $SP.00), I think, will be suited back up in trip to the scene of the win two back when a strong track/distance winner. She then went to 2250m on the Parks track three weeks back where she had the back of the winner and just couldn’t quite get there when a close up third to Yuri Royale. Back up in trip is ideal and hard to knock the way she’s racing.

5 Rabtat (Bet Now:  $SP.00) creates interest given he jumps sharply to 2500m from the mile at Murray Bridge two weeks back. He tried his guts out but couldn’t quite get there when third to Wild Willy. Not sure he wins, but I can certainly entertain him for wider multiples in what looks a thin race outside the first two.

2 Justa Star (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Justify colt for Andrew Gluyas that is on debut. He won a trial at Oakbank last week where he sat on speed throughout and was seemingly going quite nicely in a good display, his first public hitout. Bred to be a handy one and the fact he has shown early zip for a Justify colt tells me he has talent, so watch the market.

1 Grinzinger Love (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has upside and ability I feel. This girl debuted a few weeks back down the straight at Flemington when near the speed throughout and seemingly was going well enough but couldn’t quite finish it off and had no answers late for Bold Bastille. Upside to come, she’s hard to beat.

9 Duchess Of Sussex (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a filly that I think has an engine under the hood. Just a slight query at 1100m but start three, she should be hard fit now. Nabbed on the peg on debut before going to the Cinderella where she had the suck run in behind and tried hard but just couldn’t quite see it through. Think she has talent so I am not dismissing her.

3 Proven Correct (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a talented three year old that I think will get to the SA Derby. Whether he gets there as top seed or thereabouts, not sure, but there was a lot to like about his maiden win two weeks ago at Murray Bridge over 1400m where he knuckled down strongly late to wear down the tearaway leader in a strong return. Fitter and up in trip, off a win, he takes beating.

7 Under The Cone (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is suited back to his own age I feel for Team Jolly. He ran two weeks back at Murray Bridge over the mile when taking on the older horses and I thought he didn’t disgrace himself at all in defeat behind a nice horse, Wild Willy. Back to his own age, i think he has enough talent to say he runs well and could pinch a first four spot.

6 Solar Mist (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a horse that I do think has an engine under the hood. He ran at Murray Bridge last time, taking on older horses. He had a suck run in transit behind the speed and was game in defeat but couldn’t quite finish it off behind Wild Willy. He has been hit and miss throughout his career but I think his best is good enough to be a threat.

2 Thirsty Guest (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a beauty and hard fit now, he looks hard to beat. He ran in the CS Hayes Memorial on Adelaide Cup Day and kept finding the line nearer the inside, just missing out on the win when a narrow second to Meridius. Hard fit now, he’ll be strong late and the depth isn’t as deep this time around. Hard to beat.

6 Air Assault (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a quality three year old for Andrew Gluyas that potentially has eyes on the Derby. He won the Guineas on Adelaide Cup Day, getting complete control in front and was too good in a dominant display. Hard fit now, has versatility re racing pattern, and has a touch of quality on his side.

3 Exalted Fire (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an improver at odds for Michael Hickmott. This gelding ran over 1400m on the Parks track three weeks back where he had the back of the winner but just lacked the change up speed when the sprint went on and struggled in the straight behind Tapinforpar. Hard fit and up to 1600m on the big track, I am not penning him.

7 Treasurway (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has a clear class edge on these and despite 1050m being short of her best, I think class gets her home. She ran in some good races during the Spring, most of which were blacktype races, and for the most part she was far from disgraced. Is a winner at the track, has jumped out well, maps ideal…hard to beat.

11 Give Some Lip (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a talented three year that is resuming for Clarken/O’Shea. He ended last prep on a high when a maiden winner over 1250m on the Parks track, giving them a start and a beating, launching late for a big win. Trialled well leading and is dangerous if the inside gate can be used to advantage.

2 Celui (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a key chance for me. Brent Stanley trained three year old that resumes, having not raced since Nov 24 at The Valley over 1000m when keen in the run and just felt the pinch late when fourth to Our Cracklin Rosie, who was flying at the time. Jump/run type, goes well fresh, lands on speed, hopefully in front, and can potentially run them ragged.

5 Bond Street Beau (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks suited up to 1800m for Clarken/O’Shea. This gelding resumed over the mile on Adelaide Cup Day where he got a fair way out of his ground and while he was never a winning threat, I didn’t mind his finale in a solid return behind Ghetto Superstar. He will love getting a rise in trip and this isn’t an overly deep race. Hard to beat.

7 Master At Arms (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing like he will appreciate 1800m. He ran last Saturday on the Parks track over 1550m where he got back off the speed and took a while to wind into his work but he was solid enough late in the piece behind Bolt By. Like him up in trip and if he can settle closer in the run, he’s dangerous.

11 Punchin (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is suited up in trip. He ran over the mile at Strathalbyn last time out when near the speed and he kept chasing in a solid effort when third. He has run well in town before, like him up in distance and overall, this isn’t an overly deep race.

Staying at 1200m I hate for 9 Party Princess (Bet Now:  $SP.00) but I can’t ignore how good she was first up in the City Of Marion. She got a mile out of her ground and while she was never threatening, gee I liked the way she finished her race off behind Snapped. I think if she can settle closer in the run, she’s going to take holding out big time.

14 Boognish (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very nice mare for Clarken/O’Shea. She resumed on Adelaide Cup Day where she looked a good thing on paper and was never really in any trouble, winning quite comfortably and ran strong time in doing so without really being fully extended by Jamie Kah. Heading towards good races over the coming weeks I feel and she is hard to beat here.

6 Grinzinger Prince (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a beauty for Cody Reardon and commands respect. He ran in the City Of Marion where I thought Finnegan gave him an absolute peach and he looked all over the winner but he just couldn’t quite see off Snapped. I think if he’s ridden with a sit and is the hunter, not the hunted, he’ll be far more dangerous.

6 Quickster (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks the one to beat and is on top. Moody/Coleman trained filly that broke a run of outs when winning her maiden at Sandown last time, albeit narrowly, but she has shown class since day one and can confirm that with a Stakes win here in what appears a thin race.

5 Sentimental Flame (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has runs on the board to be forgiven for the first up flop three weeks ago on the Parks track. She got into a decent spot off the pace before coming wider to make her move and she just couldn’t get involved, running second last behind Angelic Appeal. Fitter and up in trip, good form from the Spring, she’ll be around the mark.

9 Angelic Appeal (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is one for wider exotics. This filly ran three weeks back over 1400m on the Parks track here where she sat outside the speed. Credit to her for the way she dug in because she was flat footed 400m out but she picked up, dug in and was too good. 1600m is no issue…class maybe is an issue but can pinch a first four spot.

15 Runaway Belle (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has returned in super order for Phillip Stokes and rates as one of the hardest to beat here. This mare resumed with a bang at Murray Bridge on Australia Day before going to the Parks track a few weeks ago where she got back in the run and worked home with purpose behind Mintulee. If she’s within range 400m out, she has the finale to win.

17 Knightstown (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very hard horse to catch at times but his best is good enough to be around the mark. He resumed three weeks back on the Parks track over 1250m where he got back off the speed nearer the inside and was never a factor but stayed on okay for a horse first up. Not sure I could back him to win but a must for multiples.

11 Dawn (Bet Now:  $SP.00) issue is one I can entertain for wider exotics. This gelding ran three weeks back behind Mintulee where he was near the speed throughout and he tried his guts out but just lacked the finale to go with them late in the piece. Not sure he is a horse I could back to win but he can run top four for sure.

BEST BET: Race One Number 6 Crimson Vine

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 3 Proven Correct

LONG SHOT: Race Two Number 2 Justa Star

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 3, 5, 7, 11

Leg Two: 9, 14

Leg Three: 6

Leg Four: 3, 11, 15, 16, 17

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