22/6/2019 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Randwick, Winter Dash day

Nine races will be run and won at Randwick this Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (8) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

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Not quite a case of any price for 2 Funstar (Bet Now: $1.55) but she should be winning if she’s as good as I think she is. She looked a Group l horse off the trial leading up to the debut and sure, she beat nothing but it was the manner in which she did, dragging back after a good start, making her run around the field and putting them away in very impressive fashion. Think she’s a Group l winner in waiting and should be winning this.

3 Switched (Bet Now: $4.00) is a Brad Widdup trained filly who was very impressive when winning on debut at Kembla before racing here two weeks back when near the speed and fighting on very strongly when a close up third to Catwalk. Does have hard race fitness under the belt and a heavy track based on last start will be no issue for her. Got the class of Funstar? Not sure.

I’m a huge fan of Funstar but I’m giving respect to 1 Leviathan (Bet Now: $4.40). Loved the way he trialled leading up to his debut on the Kenso track and was surprised he started near $20. Once Tim Clark got him clear air, he put them away and was most impressive in getting the job done. The blinkers look to have really switched him on and looks a key threat to the fav. They are the only three winning hopes.

Want to give 5 Irish Songs (Bet Now: $3.30) another chance. Liked him when he ran in a Highway here two weeks ago and on face value, he did look weak at the end of the race but Sam Clipperton did say post race that he wish he waited longer as he thought the horse hit the front too early. Think you have to forgive him for last start with that in mind and up to 1200m should be fine.

Third up from a spell, 13 Revitup Rednut (Bet Now: $7.50) should be ready fitness wise. Had excuses first up behind Lifesaver in a Highway here before racing in another Highway here and was good in defeat behind Malea Magic in a bunched finish. Remains down in the weights, Jay Ford takes over and now third up from a spell, she should just about be ready fitness wise.

1 Show Me The Honey (Bet Now: $15.00) is a John Bateman trained gelding who does bring solid city/provincial form here and that is usually a good starting point when it comes to these Highway races. He ran at the midweeks at Warwick Farm last time and was good late behind Jack’s Bar. Wet track no issue, draws a soft gate…just has to contend with the 60kg impost.

He looks very hard to beat does 5 High Power (Bet Now: $7.00). I think Kris Lees has him flying. No luck first up behind Kolding before being held up again then chasing hard when clear behind Quackerjack. Wants further and gets further now up to 2000m, good third up record, wet track no issue, upside, has the right form around him…gee I think he’ll take some beating.

Want to give 13 Belfast Bella (Bet Now: $7.00) another chance. On first look, I was disappointed with her run over 2000m here a few weeks ago but looking at it a couple of times, her run was full of merit. Back near last in a slowly run affair, like last time, and she would have had to run just over 33 for her final 600m in order to win and she just isn’t that good. Going with her again, hoping for a more genuine speed.

7 Reneged (Bet Now: $14.00) looks a definite winning chance. He resumed over the mile here two weeks ago and I loved the way he found the line from the back behind Quackerjack after getting a mile back in the run. He is a previous second up winner despite being better as the prep gets deeper, he gets conditions to suit and it was hard to ignore his resumption. Right in the mix.

Giving 3 I Thought So (Bet Now: $9.00) another chance. Want to be very forgiving of this So You Think gelding, who on face value was poor in the June Stakes first up, but for mine, he just jumped a tad poorly and pulled his head off, leaving himself with no petrol tickets in the end. Jungle Edge engaged should ensure a good speed, which will help him relax, and he trialled too good to ignore off one run.

1 Jungle Edge (Bet Now: $4.00) gets conditions to suit, like he did last Saturday when winning at Sandown. Michael Poy rode him like how he should be ridden, which is rolling on speed and breaking their hearts, which is what I hope Lucinda Doodt does on the old boy because he gets a wet track, he’ll lead and given his record, I think he’s very well in at the weights after the claim.

9 Almanzora (Bet Now: $6.00) is a talented mare for James Cummings that resumes. The set up here is perfect for her to run well so no surprise that she’s been popular in early betting. Her first up stats are good, wet track will be no issue, carries only 50kg after the claim for Robbie Dolan and with a good speed engaged, can see her sitting back and launching at them late.

If the track remains genuinely wet, I think each way could be a decent option via 6 Pelethronius (Bet Now: $8.00), on the seven day back up after racing at Rosehill last Saturday when back and held up. Had his chance but should have finished a touch closer behind Kapajack. He is an absolute swimmer and a two time winner at Randwick. Might need one more, but a definite leading chance if he gets conditions to suit.

Interesting runner is 4 Nahuel (Bet Now: $11.00), a talented stayer for the Freedman camp that resumes. This bloke hasn’t raced since the Summer where he raced very consistently for the most part, including a couple of wins on the bounce before placing at Rosehill behind Cyber Intervention. Can sprint well first up and his two trials leading in have been quite encouraging.

5 No Doubt (Bet Now: $9.50) has been ticking along quite nicely for Anthony Cummings but unfortunately has found firm tracks in recent times. That will change come Saturday as he finds his preferred conditions. Last run behind Passage Of Time was okay, and that form was franked last Saturday. Hard to beat, but if you like him, you’d want decent double figures.

If the track has decent give in it, 3 Cath’s Village (Bet Now: $7.50) looks really hard to beat for Kevin Corstens. Just missed out on the win two back at Caulfield behind the talented mare Petrelle before going to Flemington over 1400m where she was there to win but I reckon 1400m saw her out when beaten narrowly by Kings Brook. Back to 1200m and on a wet track, she appeals big time.

1 Miss Exfactor (Bet Now: $6.50) bounced back to positive form over this track/distance two weeks ago, sitting on speed and showing much more fight in the straight when a close up third to Gongs. She is a mare who does tend to save her best for tracks with give in it and now she’s found some positive form again, she can go on with it despite remaining relatively high up in the weights.

11 Kawaikini (Bet Now: $11.00) is certainly one not to be dismissed. This mare for Jason Coyle resumed in an 88 at Rosehill three weeks where she was back in the run and never really in the hunt but did make up late ground in an encouraging return behind Passage Of Time, which clearly reads well for this, and back to 78 grade against the mares, she’s one of the hardest to beat.

12 Sweet Victory (Bet Now: $3.90) is on the seven day back up for Mark Newnham after racing over 1500m last Saturday at Rosehill where I thought Clipperton gave the mare every chance but she couldn’t quite finish her race off when a close up fourth to Nicci’s Gold. Like she’s on the turn around, wet track no issue, fitter and up to the mile should really suit her.

4 Maktoum (Bet Now: $14.00) a definite threat for me. Stephen McKee trains this galloper, who hasn’t raced for four weeks since racing over 1500m here when held up for a few strides but was never a winning threat behind Kolding. Kept up to the mark with a trial win here last week and looked pretty good to the eye in winning. Wet track is the key though. He saves his best for when he gets his toe in.

11 High Mist (Bet Now: $35.00) should never be totally discounted when racing on a wet track. He found a wet track at this track/distance two weeks ago but was nearer the inside and that was quicksand for the day in a total forgive behind Quackerjack. Doesn’t have the greatest overall record next to his name, but overall, this isn’t an overly strong and he does have some decent wet track stats.

I reckon he’s a really good gamble here 1 Noble Joey (Bet Now: $10.00) provided he’s each way odds. Comes through much stronger form lines than most engaged here, finishing behind Deprive at his past two, the latest in the June Stakes when on speed and tiring. Think he’ll lead these for fun if he wants to and back a fair bit in grade/depth, with solid wet track form, he’ll take beating.

4 Southern Lad (Bet Now: $4.80) is getting close to D-Day for John O’Shea. Running well but just not winning, his last start coming at this track/distance two weeks ago when second to the kiwi raider Simply Optimistic after getting a lovely ride from Chris Williams. Was a month between runs there, so hopefully there is room for improvement, because he’ll need to in order to win.

5 Ghostly (Bet Now: $9.00) is the one that does look a touch of overs at near double figures. Hasn’t raced for four weeks since racing over 1200m at Eagle Farm in a race won by Noble Boy and that was the day where there was bias towards those nearer the inside, so I thought his run in defeat was good and when Godolphin use to have him, his wet form isn’t too bad.

13 Spiritual Pursuit (Bet Now: $2.00) will be very hard to beat on the proviso that the first up run hasn’t busted her. She resumed over 1100m at Rosehill three weeks ago where she was three and four wide no cover on a very hot speed and was entitled to drop away but kept finding and in the end, was only nutted late by Wagner. Has had the extra week to recover from the run and is hard to beat on form.

7 Deity (Bet Now: $8.50) is a talented mare for James Cummings that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since November 24 when slightly held up at Rosehill but for the most part, she had her chance behind Kool Vinnie. Been given a good long spell and has had the benefit of two encouraging trials leading into her return, and with a stack of speed engaged, can see her getting the cold sit and having last look.

I reckon Joe Pride has 11 Argent D’Or (Bet Now: $27.00) going well. He comes through the Simply Optimistic race from two weeks ago over 1200m here and I thought he did a reasonable job in defeat in inferior ground behind the kiwi raider. Fast run 1000m looks right up his alley, as we saw first up behind November Man, and if the breaks go his way, he can win here for sure.

BEST BET: Race One Number 2 Funstar

NEXT BEST: Race Nine Number 13 Spiritual Pursuit

LONG SHOT: Race Six Number 3 Cath’s Village

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 11

Leg Two: 2, 4, 11, 12, 15

Leg Three: 1, 4, 5, 8

Leg Four: 13

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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