22/1/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Canterbury

Seven races will be run and won under the lights at Canterbury this Friday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out six metres for the entire circuit.

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Bit surprised of the odds on offer for 4 Not A Choice (Bet Now: $9.50), on debut for John O’Shea. I thought she would be much shorter based off her recent trial at Randwick, where she was near the speed and not really asked for an effort under Regan Bayliss, going about her business nicely. Draws to stalk the speed and happy to be on at near double figures.

1 Good Omens (Bet Now: $2.80) is the one with race experience and has the in form stable/jock combo. Debuted over 1200m at Warwick Farm where she showed good early toe to lead and looked to go throughout, but felt the pinch late when second to Flexible. She’ll lead and likely look the winner. Last bit will test.

Another that looks silly odds is 3 Iolanthe (Bet Now: $35.00). On debut for James Cummings and though on paper it was just a fair trial at Randwick, I thought she closed off strongly under no pressure and moved well to the eye. If you want to bet in this race, back Not A Choice and this girl each way.

What I like to see from a first starter is when they trial, that there is an instant response when put under pressure, and that is exactly the case for 4 Military Parade (Bet Now: $6.50), who was given a good hitout in his latest trial at Rosehill and closed off quite well. He can sit off the speed and be strong late.

2 Mount Fuji (Bet Now: $1.95) has been kept on ice since resuming at Warwick Farm and closing off strongly late in a good return to racing after a somewhat disappointing first prep. If he can get luck from the draw, he will look the winner at some stage I’m sure and liked the recent tick over trial.

1 Go Gazza (Bet Now: $4.00) has done little wrong in both career outings, placing each time. Latest run came over 1100m here when a closing second to Velorum after getting a fair way back in the run. If he can use gate one to advantage, think he will be dangerous here at likely double figures.

I’ve said for over 12 months that 3 April Rain (Bet Now: $1.40) is a blacktype winner in waiting so she should continue her winning ways here. Resumed at this track/distance where she looked a good thing on paper and that was duly the case. She raced away and spanked them. J Mac takes over and only bad luck beats her.

5 Virgo (Bet Now: $3.10) is the only horse I can see upsetting the hot pot, but still, think $3/thereabouts is very short for her. Got things to suit on speed when winning her maiden here last time and yes, was dominant, but she beat nothing. She is hard fit and will likely lead up the fav. Just not sure holds it out at the business end.

4 Express Princess (Bet Now: $12.00) is a Team Freedman mare that resumes. This girl hasn’t raced since August 22 at Newcastle when down the track and at the end of the prep behind Gemmahra. Two trials to get ready haven’t been too bad and has closed off nicely each time. First four prospect.

5 Space Is Deep (Bet Now: $4.00) looks to be the one on the up and from a soft draw, leaning her way. Resumed with a strong second on the Kenso track behind Trajection before going to Randwick where she was back in a fast run race and just lost sight of the bunny, but was good late. If J Mac can get her to settle closer from the gate, she’ll take a power of beating.

8 McGeehan (Bet Now: $7.50) is a progressive animal for Paul Cave that has to be respected here. Narrow second to Foxborough two back at Warwick Farm before making amends last time out at this track/distance under a lovely ride from a very much in form Kathy O’Hara, who got the revs up on the turn with full momentum and that is what won her the race. Hard to beat once again.

The rub of the green will go the way of 9 Alchermes (Bet Now: $17.00) eventually. Ron Quinton has this mare going very nicely but she just can’t get luck to go her way. Latest run came behind McGeehan and gee she was stiff. Never really clear at any stage and seemed full of running. If she gets luck, she can win this.

1 Come Along (Bet Now: $4.40) looks much better suited at this sort of level. Has raced at Saturday grade his past couple and has been far from disgraced each time, the latest seeing him run a close up fourth to Ulysses. Draws to get a lovely run in transit and with the claim, think he’s well in and hard to beat.

4 Foxborough (Bet Now: $4.20) has been up a little while but is racing well for the John Sargent camp and is a leading contender. Ran over the mile at Randwick last time when on speed and she tried hard. Just couldn’t quite finish it off when fourth to Zing. Gets a sweet run from the gate and should prove to be a winning threat.

3 Knowitall Jack (Bet Now: $12.00) tends to save his best for Canterbury so think he’s the one that represents value. Forget he went around fresh at Warwick Farm. Market said he would need the run and he didn’t appreciate the wet surface. Better suited here and can run a much improved race at odds.

2 Frozen In Time (Bet Now: $3.40) on top in what looks a tidy race. Kris Lees trained mare that sat back off the speed just under two weeks ago at Randwick and loved the way she closed off late when third to Malkovich. Relative to the day, the race didn’t rate through the roof, but it is Saturday form for a midweek event.

7 Dawn Too Good (Bet Now: $4.50) is certainly capable. Massive in defeat fresh before a couple of okay runs where he has been a bit below what he produced first up. Did that burst his bubble? We’ll find out here, because I expect Kathy to be aggressive in finding the front and that is certainly no disadvantage here.

$34+ looks a touch silly for 10 Sausalito (Bet Now: $27.00). The racing pattern isn’t flash but gee he was stiff here last time out behind Estrado. Never got a crack at them in the straight and I think with clear air, he is in the finish for sure. Horrible draw to overcome, but if they overdo it in front, he’ll be strong late.

2 General Soho (Bet Now: $7.00) is an enigma and somewhat of a non winner, but he’s very honest and rarely runs a poor one at Canterbury so he’ll do me each way in the last. Huge in defeat here last time after sitting wide no cover for the trip. Kept finding the line and was very game. Draws to park off the speed and be strong late.

5 Nosey (Bet Now: $3.50) looks hard to beat but is a touch on the short side I feel. Backed as if unbeatable first up for Kris Lees in his first run for the stable and under a lovely steer from J Mac, he finished best. What I will say is that things did fall into place that afternoon. Could something similar happen again?

4 Wander (Bet Now: $14.00) is a knockout chance. Landed some good bets when winning two back on Magic Millions Day at Wyong before racing here where he was in that messy race won by Estrado. Host of unlucky runners in behind, including this guy. Draws wide, so should be clear from the outset and gets the claim for Jones.

BEST BET: Race Three Number 3 April Rain

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 5 Space Is Deep

LONG SHOT: Race One Number 4 Not A Choice

Quaddie Tips (Races Four Through To Seven):

Leg One: 4, 5, 8, 9, 10

Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 5

Leg Three: 2, 3, 6, 7, 10

Leg Four: 2, 4, 5, 9

$50 Investment = 12.50% of the dividend if successful

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