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I am going to do the tips a little bit differently this week, if you go to any horse racing website you will see them talking about So You Think and how he will be very hard to beat. I agree he is definitely the class horse in the race and will most likely win but a lot of readers arent willing to take the odds of $1.45 so our tips wont mention the favourite.

Before i start, i better mention im not tipping against the favourite as he would be my top selection but everyone already knows about him, everyone is tipping him to win so this article would be pointless if i was to rave on about how he cant be beaten. Ive seen $1.45 favourites lose before it isnt likely but there is no sure things in racing as we would all know.

The first thing im going to mention is that i will be leaving out any runner that So You Think has beaten this preparation, looking back at the races i cannot see any horse turning the tables on the son of High Chapparel so if he was to be beaten id think it would be from a different form line.

With that out of the way i will get into my tips.

Trusting like So you Think has been one of the stars to come out of the 2009 Caulfield Guineas which now seems to be a very strong race, his last run was in the 2010 Epsom Handicap over 1600m in which he finished 2nd behind Captain Sonador although from the wide barrier he was 3 wide the trip and was still able to make a good amount of ground in the straight to only just miss. Before that he was beaten 1.8L behind More Joyous in the George Main Stakes and looked to want more ground.

Trusting - sportpix.com.au

Trusting - sportpix.com.au

The 2000m i feel will suit and he has a touch of class around him, trainer John Thompson has had him over the jumps which seems to freshen things up for a horse and i think he is a definite chance to upset the favourite tomorrow.

Luen yat Forever has only had the one start in Australia which was last weekend in the Toorak Handicap beaten just under a length by More Joyous, he looks to hand the Australian tracks and should improve on his last run. He has been the star of Macau racing this year, it is very hard to match up the form but we definitely witnessed last week he had some class about him. If he does improve on last weekends run i think he is worth adding to your multiples.

Zipping the old warhorse of the field who knows what the race is about having been competitive in the previous 3 Cox Plates, he ran 3rd last year behind the two 3 year olds in So You Think and Manhattan Rain. He looks to be in career best form after a massive run three weeks ago in the Turnbull Stakes, should be fitter for the race and his main aim has been this race. Has to carry 59kg but is use to the heavy weights and seems to handle them well. Nicholas Hall remains the ride and the pair have a great strike rate of 2 wins from 4 races. If given the right run he will be very hard to wear down, probably one of the horses that could match it with So You Think in a head to head dual down the straight.

Wall Street the NZ star who has won his previous two races both being Group 1’s, not a lot of form to go by leading into the race although he won well in the Hastings Spring Classic beating Ginga Dude whom ran on the weekend and won the David Jones Cup. Prefers the harder track unlike many New Zealand gallopers which will suit tomorrow even though there is a bit of rain forcast for Melbourne tonight we highly doubt it will be like anything we saw at Caulfield. Has been aimed at this race and connections must be confident to bring the horse across. One to add to your multiples.

Conclusion: In a race that So You Think has almost been declared a winner we think there is a lot more depth to it and some great value on offer if you are willing to back against the favourite. So You Think should be the favourite although there are quite a few runners that i mentioned that have come out of different form lines and could cause an upset. On past races i wont be backing any runner So You Think has beaten this preparation including Shoot Out and Whobegotyou although they may run a place. More Joyous is worth a mention although i have a feeling the 2000m may not suit and that the 1600m might be her ideal distance.

Hopefully the tips will give you the reader something a bit different to what other sites have listed by leaving out So You Think.

View the market without the favourite included: Cox Plate Odds

Written by Morgan Payne

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