2/5/2020 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Doomben

Nine races will be run and won at Doomben on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out two metres for the entire circuit.

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15 She’s Our Rippa (Bet Now: $5.00) on top, but not a race I want to get involved in. Tony Gollan trains this filly, who has had two runs back from a spell, both over 900m at the Gold Coast where she has started hard in the market each time and while she hasn’t won, she hasn’t been too far away. This is a very thin maiden and I think a rise in trip will suit.

3 Buddie Ollie (Bet Now: $8.00) is a son of Foxwedge on debut for the Meagher camp. He has had four career trials to date, going back to December 2018. Has had one trial this prep to get ready, which came on March 31 at Deagon when running second and looking to go about his business nicely. Think he’s a definite yard/market watch.

9 Se Rendre (Bet Now: $12.00) resumes here for Chris Anderson. This filly had a four run prep to start her career, with her best effort being a solid second at the Gold Coast two back. Tricky draw to overcome, but liked her recent trial at Doomben and will just need luck from the gate to be a knockout chance here at likely decent odds.

5 Thrasher (Bet Now: $4.50), ability wise, is the best horse in the race IMO, but upstairs, she has no idea what she is doing. Was all over her last time out at the Sunny Coast but she was like a drunk when letting down before finally switching on. Problem was, there was only 100m to go and the race was over. Off her run two back behind Tumbler Ridge, she wins this.

2 Starosa (Bet Now: $1.55) is a well bred filly for Tony Gollan that didn’t set the world on fire first up behind Xerri but the Blinkers came off, she raced much better manners wise and showed good ticker to fend off the hard fit/in form Tumbler Ridge to win. She’s got more upside you would assume. Just depends if she can be stronger at the end.

3 Uncomplicated (Bet Now: $7.00) hasn’t done much wrong in her two career outings. Debuted with a strong win at the Sunny Coast despite being unwanted betting before going to the Gold Coast and worked home well from off the pace when third to Sizzlepel. Was 1000m to 1400m, so with that 1400m run under the belt,s hold her in good stead for this.

Time to stand up and be counted 7 Valet (Bet Now: $5.00). Third up from a break now, he should be close to peak fitness. Resumed at Eagle Farm when a closing second to Music Award before stepping up to 1300m at the Sunny Coast when just lacking that turn of foot but was still closing off alright late. He’s crying out for further, which he gets here, and finds a very winnable maiden.

8 Adelase (Bet Now: $5.00) is a Barry Baldwin trained filly that has placed in all four runs this time in but can’t quite crack it for a win. How she didn’t win here two back I do not know watching the replay. Then went to the Sunny Coast, took an eternity to wind up before surging late and just missing out on picking up Federal Agent. She runs well again…couldn’t back her to win with confidence though.

2 Aptihanos (Bet Now: $13.00) is the interesting one. Was hard in the market when resuming at the Sunshine Coast but failed to fire a shot despite seemingly getting every chance on speed behind Federal Agent. There was sustained market support that day so respecting and the fact the Blinkers go back on to sharpen him up.

4 Stylish Saga (Bet Now: $1.55) on top. Son of Real Saga for Chris Munce that resumes, having not raced since December 7 over 1200m here when wide no cover for the trip and did a really good job to stick on like he did when third to She’s Furline. Looked good in a recent trial behind Just Orm and looks well set up for a first up win.

5 Hail Manhattan (Bet Now: $10.00) is a Team Hulbert trained three year old that comes to town at the right time after resuming with a very impressive on speed win at the Sunny Coast over 1000m. When clicked up by Thompson, gee he showed good change up speed and gave them a spanking. Think he can measure up against these.

8 Midnight Matinee (Bet Now: $17.00) is the interesting runner here. Desleigh Forster trained mare that resumes, having not raced since Feb 28 when fourth at the Sunny Coast behind track specialist Coastal Boy. Resumes with no public trials, but can sprint well fresh and draws a good gate to sit off a good speed. Market watch for sure.

2 Magnufighter (Bet Now: $1.80) should appreciate the rise to 2000m. He ran over the mile here two weeks ago when getting the A1 run in transit and once he got the inside split, he looked the winner. Just didn’t quite have the change up speed to win when beaten a lip by Sabkhat. He should be fine at ten furlongs and rates highly.

4 Mongolian Wolf (Bet Now: $2.90) is a Kris Lees trained stayer who can mix his form but he’s a last start winner and with it being a small field, he shouldn’t be far away and either leads/box seats from the gate. Beat arguably a stronger field last time out at the Gold Coast so with that mind, I think he should be closer to favourite.

5 Boom Boom Epic (Bet Now: $4.50) has found winning form and she can go right on with it. Ran over 2200m here two weeks ago when taking on four rivals and what won her the race was the early initiative from Maddy Wishart to find the front, then controlling things to suit herself and turning it into a dash home. If she can find the front again and get control, she’s a hard mare to get past.

4 Milk Man (Bet Now: $4.00) hasn’t done a great deal since coming to Australia but gee he finds a lovely race here. Struggled on the wet track first up behind Positive Peace before being freshened up and racing on the Kenso track when off the speed and battling away pretty well to run third to Canasta. Fitter and up to the mile, he appeals.

5 Shogun Sun (Bet Now: $9.50) is racing better than what the form guide reads. On face value, hasn’t done a great deal at his past couple, but he has been back in sit/sprints and would have had to run sub 34 for the last 600m to win, which these days he can’t do successfully, so hopefully the speed is on in front so he can get his chance.

3 Sir Barnabus (Bet Now: $17.00) is a son of Rothesay for Jason Edwards that resumes, with likely an eye towards the upcoming lower less features over 2000m+. Hasn’t raced since contesting the Shoot Out during the Summer Carnival when outclassed and down the track behind The Candy Man. Wasn’t too bad in a recent trial behind last Saturday winner Just Orm and can sprint well fresh.

3 Garibaldi (Bet Now: $4.20) should love the rise to 1200m. Resumed over 1110m here two weeks ago when off the speed and spotted stablemate Niedorp a start. Liked the way he finished his race off and was good in defeat when second to the filly. I think up to 1200m will really suit this guy and if the speed is on, which it should be, he’ll charge at them late.

1 The Odyssey (Bet Now: $1.50) is the one to beat on form, clearly. Hasn’t raced since giving them a galloping lesson in taking out the Jewel at the Gold Coast. He is a horse who loves to dominate from the front, and has the gate to use that. The concern will be if he cops pressure from The Move, a stablemate of Garibaldi with that horse potentially getting last look from the box seat. Hard to beat…just can’t take the shorts.

4 Go Deep (Bet Now: $15.00) could run the 1200m out here if the run two weeks ago is a guide. They took a sit with him over 1110m because there were a couple of runners that went silly in front. Normally, this horse dominates from the front over 1000m, but taking a sit at 1110m, he worked home strongly to run third. Off that, 1200m might well be okay and is a chance at odds.

4 Racecourse Road (Bet Now: $2.20) is a talented animal that had his first run for the Kelly Schweida team two weeks ago over this track/distance when getting control in front and I think that was the difference between winning and losing because I think if he copped heat in front, he would have been grabbed. The key has to be can he be still effective whilst taking a sit, or does he have to lead and cop heat.

8 Jardin Rouge (Bet Now: $3.40) is racing well at the moment for Brian Wakefield but can’t quite crack it for a win. Ran here three weeks ago when given every chance just off the speed and tried hard, but was no match late for Fasano. Harder here, but I think her best chance of winning will be a cold ride and launch at them late.

3 Rothabye (Bet Now: $34.00) is the sleeper here I feel. Resumed over 1000m at the Sunny Coast when back near last in the run but gee I thought he was good late behind a proven city performer The Great Boombino. He can pull out a good first up run then race flat second up, so that’s the query here, but the resumption was very good and can’t ignore.

6 Mewstone Rock (Bet Now: $10.00) is a big improver here I feel and in the last, happy to speck her each way. Resumed over 1200m here three weeks ago when hooked back from the wide gate and couldn’t get involved behind Fasano. Draws much better this time around, has a fab second up record and Jackson Murphy does ride this mare very well.

11 Magic Fox (Bet Now: $7.00) is flying I think for Kelly Schweida. Just can’t get the rub of the green. Comes through the Scathing race from two weeks back here and it was just another ride that was without confidence. Hesitant to take runs, held up and couldn’t get a chance to build the revs. He’s going to win one of these sooner rather than later.

15 Watch The Cat (Bet Now: $6.00) is 2/2 for Barry Lockwood so this will be a good test at this level for a horse on the up. Few weeks between runs since winning over the mile at Doomben when doing a bit of work early from the wide gate before finding cover and from then, if you were on, it was a painless watch. Flying is this guy and has to be respected despite the class/depth rise.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 4 Milk Man

NEXT BEST: Race Three Number 7 Valet

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 6 Mewstone Rock

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 4

Leg Two: Field

Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 8

Leg Four: 6, 8, 9, 11, 15

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful

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