2/12/2023 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Morphettville

Ten races will be run and won at Morphettville Parks on Saturday. Weather is fine, track is soft (7) and the rail is out nine metres from the 1000m-Winning Post; Out six metres for the remainder.

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4 Moon Treaty (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks a good mover for Team Jolly. He trialled a couple of weeks ago at Gawler where he was outside the leader throughout and seemingly trucking under Murray. He took the lead, was under a hold and won with plenty in hand to my eye. He looks a nice type that will win races and confident he can kick off his career with a win here.

6 Zanthron (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a Searle/Callanan trained gelding that resumes. He is first up, having not raced since July 22 when placing here behind impressive winner Lakota Fire, making it three placings on the bounce. Trialled well enough to my eye and should be strong at the end. One of the key threats.

2 Linking (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a son of Atomic that is on debut. He trialled at Gawler over 1000m where he attempted to lead throughout and he gave a decent sight in front but just knocked up late and finished fifth, beaten under two lengths. Seemingly has good early toe so should be on speed and that is the spot to be on the Parks track.

2 Magnetic Edge (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing really well for Hickmott/Riggs and he won’t know himself in a race like this. He ran last Saturday in the Happy Trails Final and although outclassed on paper, he ran a very credible race in defeat behind Danish Fortune after sitting wide no cover. Good record on the Parks track and back against this lot, he appeals big time.

4 Bond Street Beau (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a very interesting runner. Formerly with Andrew Bobbin, he now finds himself with Clarken/O’Shea. This gelding last raced at Flemington on Sep 24 when down the track over 2500m behind Fearentless. Not a noted fresh horse but the trial was solid enough and we know this stable are very good with tried horses, so I think watch the market and see what it does.

3 Thrill Kill (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should appreciate a rise in trip for Peter Hardacre. He resumed over 1400m here where the market said he’d need the run and that’s how it panned out when finishing down the track behind Master At Arms, beaten several lengths. He has a great second up record so fitter and up to 1550m, he can be an improver at odds.

6 Regal Valour (Bet Now:  $SP.00) on top but not really a race I want to get involved in. Phillip Stokes trained mare that ran at this track/distance three weeks ago where she got back off the speed but seemingly tracked up with purpose and looked a threat on the turn but had no answers for the finale of Arugamama. No horse of that quality here and maps ideally.

1 Crown Mint (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a winning threat. He was brave in defeat three weeks back at this track/distance when wide no cover throughout and he couldn’t sustain the run, understandably, but he stuck on really well in defeat to finish third to Arugamama. Should get a better run in transit this time around and the depth is thin. Key threat.

3 Master Of Zerprise (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a track/distance winner and is in positive form for Team Jaensch. This gelding placed over 2000m at Murray Bridge where he seemingly had every chance in transit near the speed but he wasn’t beaten too far behind Red Sequoia. He has that 2000m run under the belt, which should hold him in good stead.

5 Arugamama (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks quite clearly the one to beat for me. Three weeks between runs for Andrew Gluyas since winning at this track/distance where she lobbed on speed after doing early work and gee she trucked in the run. Just a matter of being clicked up in the straight and away she went, drawing clear for a dominant win. She’s found that winning feeling and she can go on with it.

4 Trumpsta (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is in form for Ron Stokes. His last couple of runs have come at this track/distance, winning two back before a solid second to Arugamama three weeks ago where he was off the speed and was out in time to threaten but didn’t have the finale of the mare. Only has to hold his form and he’ll be around the mark but would need to improve big time to turn the tables.

3 Yuri Royale (Bet Now:  $SP.00) comes through the Poison Chalice race from two weeks back on the course proper here. Forgive and forget the run I thought given he was wide no cover throughout and that hard run just told late in the piece, tiring to beat just one runner home. Great record on the Parks track and with a more economical run in transit, he can run an improved race.

7 Hallstatt (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness. He ran three weeks ago at this track/distance where he looked like he would run a well held second but the last 150m, he drove hard late and just missed out on the win when a narrow second to Delcredere. Hard fit now, winnable race and form around him reads okay…he’ll do me.

6 Shootoose (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks hard to beat in a race like this. Bain/Taylor trained gelding that ran on the course proper here two weeks ago where he got into a beaut spot behind the speed before angling clear and in a driving finish, he was quite dominant late and was strong to the line, with big margins throughout. Good room for improvement, he’ll take beating.

3 Hamslette (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is an Epaulette mare that resumes for Team Dodgson and I think she commands respect. Her best form is over further and hasn’t raced since a down the track effort in the Mount Gambier Cup but I thought her recent trial win at Naracoorte was a very sharp piece of work. Not a noted fresh horse but off the trial, I think she can run top four.

1 Fancify (Bet Now:  $SP.00) should prove hard to beat for Michael Hickmott. She ran over 1700m at Flemington on Oaks Day where she was near the speed throughout and tried her guts out under J Mac but she couldn’t quite get there when a narrow second to Precious Charm. She seems to race best on the fresh side so the break between runs should be fine and she strikes a very winnable race.

6 Chilko Lake (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has found winning form and she can go on with it. Three weeks between runs since a dominant win at this track/distance when giving them a start and a beating, letting down with purpose to win and win well despite a slow tempo in front. She will likely concede a start but should be strong at the end and can win again.

8 Missile Star (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is racing in a purple patch for Team Jaensch. He ran over 1500m two weeks ago on the course proper here when attempting to lead throughout and she gave a strong kick but couldn’t quite get there and was run down late by a nice horse in Chipson. The depth here isn’t as deep to my eye and I do think back to 1400m, a more patient steer, she only runs well.

10 Vintage Star (Bet Now:  $SP.00) looks a relatively safe option. Team Jolly trained gelding that resumed over 900m at Murray Bridge where he got every chance behind the speed before angling into clear air and he went through his gears late to win and win well. Lands in a perfect spot from the inside gate and has upside/progression whereas some of these look cast.

9 Zufasta (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a hard horse to catch but I do think he is racing in pretty solid form. He ran a fortnight back on the course proper here over 1050m when near the speed throughout and stuck to the task well enough in defeat when third to La Defense, beaten just over two lengths. The depth here isn’t as deep and his recent efforts have been good enough to say he’ll be around the mark.

7 Lucky Fortuna (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a quality mare for Heather Lehmann. She had a good stint in the Northern Territory, the latest run being on Darwin Cup Day when giving them a start and a beating in an electric performance over 1300m. Dirt form doesn’t usually stand up on the turf but she sizzled in a recent jumpout win and can sprint well fresh.

4 Cool The Jets (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is the way I am leaning for Team Blanch. This gelding resumes, having not raced since August 12 when racing over 1100m on the course proper when back off the speed but presented to win. On testing ground, he couldn’t quite get there when a narrow third to Suzido. Can sprint well fresh and his recent Gawler trial was a very nice piece of work.

3 Viduka (Bet Now:  $SP.00) has found positive form and he can maintain it. He ran on the course proper here up on Cup Day where he got back to near last in the run and did make up headway but couldn’t quite get there when a narrow third to Sabermetric. Has a gate to settle closer and still be effective late. One of the key chances.

1 Mr Have A Chat (Bet Now:  $SP.00) will give cheek if he lands on speed and doesn’t have to spend too many petrol tickets. He resumed three weeks back at this track/distance when on speed and doing work, with that early burn telling late when tiring behind Left Turn Clyde. Not a deep race this, so if he finds the front, he’ll run well at a likely decent price.

10 Humboldt (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is a key chance. Former Kiwi that had his first run for Michael Hickmott a few weeks back in the Master At Arms race and while he was never really a winning threat, I didn’t mind the way he finished his race off in a tidy first up effort. Second up syndrome on the cards perhaps, but if there is natural improvement, then he’ll be around the mark.

1 Anjopin (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is in ripping form for Team Jaensch and is one of the key contenders. He ran three weeks back over this track/distance where I thought he was given a beaut run in transit, there to pounce in the straight, but couldn’t quite finish the job when second to Master At Arms. Creeping up in the relative weights but hard to knock the way he’s racing.

5 Run And Tell (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is third up from a spell and should just about be at peak fitness. He ran over 1200m on the course proper two weeks back when on speed and giving a mini kick but he couldn’t quite finish it off and was a bit on the plain side behind Shootoose. Like him up to 1400m and I do think he will be much better when he is ridden with a sit and has a bunny to chase.

5 Secret War (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is yet to fire in three runs on the Parks track but it’s hard to knock how well he is racing currently. Close up second over 1100m at Gawler before going to 955m at The Valley where he produced sustained speed from the front and gave nothing else a look in, winning well and beating up a field which had more depth than what he faces here. Keen.

1 Port Albert (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is flying for Nick Ryan and commands respect. He was given a peach steer by Shinn to win at The Valley two back before going to Canterbury where he attempted to lead throughout but just found one better in Chief Conductor. The last bit will test but if he finds the front and gets control, he’s dangerous.

7 Mouse Almighty (Bet Now:  $SP.00) is three weeks between runs since racing over this track/distance when hunting up to land on speed that burn to kick up just felt the pinch late in the piece behind the talented sprinter Queman. This looks more his level and if he doesn’t do as much early work this time around, he can run an improved race at a likely decent price.

BEST BET: Race Six Number 1 Fancify

NEXT BEST: Race One Number 4 Moon Treaty

LONG SHOT: Race Nine Number 10 Humboldt

Quaddie (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 5, 7, 9, 10

Leg Two: 1, 3, 4, 8

Leg Three: 1, 2, 5, 10, 12

Leg Four: 5

$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful.

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