A bumper card has been assembled for Morphettville this Saturday, where the feature race is the $100,000 Listed Tokyo City Cup (1800m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out two metres from the 1200m-400m; True for the remainder.
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Race One: Greg Oates Memorial Handicap (82) 2500m:
Back Me: Peacefuleasyfeelin (Best Odds: $9.00) is a former kiwi who has had a couple of runs now under the care of Patrick Payne. He ran over 2600m here and whacked away ok when fourth to Cuban Fighter. Harder here, but he has been kept up to the mark with a jumps trial at Cranbourne.
Big Danger: Wexford Town (Best Odds: $9.00) was smashed in betting when resuming over 2040m at the Valley, and despite getting a reasonable run in front, he folded up badly to run last to Digitialism. He is much better than that, and with the big drop in class, he should take a power of beating.
Roughie: Packing Empire (Best Odds: $26.00) ran in a heat of the Over The Rainbow Series for jumps riders on the flat at Murray Bridge when working home strongly late to finish a close second to Milkwood. This race doesn’t have much depth, and he is on the limit here with Gatt on board. He could improve here at odds.
Race Two: Akeed Mafeed at Goldin Farms Handicap 1200m:
Back Me: Clearly putting American Star (Best Odds: $2.10) on top. I loved his trial here prior to his debut, and he would have been on top had he not drawn a wide gate that day, but it didn’t bother him because he just pinged over from the wide gate and won with real class and authority. Harder here, but that debut win was awesome and he has to go on top.
Big Danger: Caro Kann (Best Odds: $2.20) has been a touch disappointing in recent times, with his last start coming against the older horses when a close up fifth to Scratchy Lass, an above average type. Back to his own age now should be suited, and if he wants to find some form, he will get his chance here.
Roughie: Gold Search (Best Odds: $21.00) was specked at odds on Balaklava Cup Day and he finished off the race alright I thought when third to impressive winner Viceroy, who is destined for much better things. This race is pretty strong so I doubt Gold Search can win, but he can definitely fill a place.
Race Three: Hughes Chauffeured Limousines Handicap (Class 2) 1100m:
Big Danger: Galriguez (Best Odds: $6.00) ran fourth in that race mentioned above and he seemingly had his chance I thought when fourth, but he was first up and did look a bit big in the yard, so he should take good improvement off that.
Big Danger: Geromayo (Best Odds: $5.50) led all the way to score a dominant win a few weeks back at Mildura, aided by a lovely front running steer from Michelle Payne. Loses nothing with Linda Meech going on now, he draws to punch up and hold a forward spot and he should take some beating.
Roughie: Core Breach (Best Odds: $15.00) resumed on Balaklava Day and worked home pretty well I thought without threatening when running fourth to Captain Punch, beaten three lengths. He was desperately unlucky second up last time in where he should have won, so I think he can measure up to these with some luck from the tricky draw.
Race Four: Akeed Mafeed at Goldin Farms Handicap (70) 2004m:
Back Me: Granddukeoftuscany (Best Odds: $3.40) for me here in a really open contest. This Lloyd Williams runner has had one run in Australia, back in March when wide no cover to finish a strong sixth to Tucanchoo. His form when trained by Aidan O’Brien was pretty solid, and he should take some beating here, despite not knowing where his fitness levels are at.
Big Danger: Almahstique (Best Odds: $4.20) has strung together two wins in good style, firstly off with the maiden win at Mildura before running last Wednesday at Morphettville Parks over 1950m and finishing off best with a gritty victory. Harder here, but now is the right time to tackle Saturday company because he is fit and in winning form.
Roughie: Loncava (Best Odds: $18.00) is on the quick back up after racing over the mile last Saturday where he was simply dreadful, running last to Mullinger Lane. Couldn’t have him on current form, but he gets out to an ideal trip now and I like that is he backing up from the weekend.
Race Five: MAC Drink Driving? GROW UP Handicap (70) 1600m:
Back Me: On A Dream (Best Odds: $7.00) is bursting to win a race, and I think he gets his chance here. He has been performing very well in recent times, though he has tried a couple of times to throw the race away and not putting in 100%. He saves his best for this track/distance and this really does look his race. Hopefully he can break through.
Big Danger: Bomber Brown (Best Odds: $5.00) is a former Sydney galloper who has had two runs now in South Australia for the Kennewell yard. He resumed with a good third to Alysiana before running fourth to in form mare A Saucy Snitzel. Getting out to a more ideal trip now, and the stable is just low flying at the moment.
Roughie: Royal Standing (Best Odds: $4.50) has had two runs now for Peter Moody. He tried to lead all the way last start at Ballarat and just felt the pinch late when sixth to Nesbo, beaten just over two lengths. He has raced well here in the past and this is a very winnable race.
Race Six: The Zanimal Tripod Handicap (72) 1200m:
Back Me: Really tricky race to sort out. I’ve landed with Con’s Gold (Best Odds: $9.00). He ran over 1250m on the Parks track a couple of weeks back where he copped immense pressure on speed and was swamped the final stages when fourth to Mio Dio. Provided he can get over here and get a cheap sectional, he should take some beating.
Big Danger: Almighty Bullet (Best Odds: $9.00) ran fifth in that race mentioned above, and he probably didn’t have many excuses given he had the run of the race behind the hot tempo. He was second up after a really good first up effort, so I think third up now he should be ready fitness wise.
Roughie: Beau’s My Boy (Best Odds: $6.00) is the interesting runner. He resumes here for Jon O’Connor and while his best form is over further, he looked really sharp in a recent barrier trial here when third to Brave Journey and Lord Aspen, who both went outstanding last weekend. Gate one and Pannell on board, so market moves should closely watched.
Race Seven: Tokyo City Cup 1800m:
Back Me: Going with the Tony McEvoy trained Pelicano (Best Odds: $16.00). I thought his effort in the Balaklava Cup was pretty good without much luck. He didn’t get much room in the straight and should have finished much closer. Third up now, so he should be getting close to peak fitness, and the rise to 1800m is ideal. Looks one of the hardest to beat.
Big Danger: First Bloom (Best Odds: $26.00) comes to Adelaide after finishing off her race very nicely last start at Warracknabeal when third to Magic Consol, beaten just under a length. Darren Weir knows when to send horses to Adelaide, and he rarely leaves without some level of prize money.
Roughie: Letmedowngently (Best Odds: $9.00) returns to race in South Australia after kicking off her prep in Melbourne, and she performed quite well in the first two runs. She looked to struggle with the big weight last start, so forgive her for that. Suited by the distance increase and is now on the minimum.
Race Eight: William Hill W H Whylie Handicap 1100m:
Back Me: The Messina Nymph (Best Odds: $2.50) was a well supported favourite when resuming on Balaklava Cup Day and he was given every chance from Kerrin McEvoy, but the horse just couldn’t reel in all the way winner Sandhill Flash. Meets that horse 3kg better off here, and I think there is more upside with him compared to Sandhill Flash.
Big Danger: Whitlam (Best Odds: $15.00) has just returned in fantastic order, winning strongly first up before a game second to Red Eclipse in the Spring Stakes (1200m). Back to 1100m suits, loves this track/distance and will be very strong at the end of the race compared to most of these.
Roughie: Karacatis (Best Odds: $13.00) was a real eye catcher in that Sandhill Flash race. He isn’t a horse who likes to get his feet wet, but he closed off well late without threatening the winner. He loves racing here, and if the track is firmer than a soft 5/6, then he has to be rated as a serious winning prospect in a pretty strong sprint race.
BEST BET: Race Three Number 6 Brooklyn
NEXT BEST: Race Eight Number 5 The Messina Nymph
VALUE: Race Seven Number 6 Pelicano
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 3, 4, 5, 8
Leg Two: 2, 3, 5, 6, 8
Leg Three: 3, 4, 5, 6, 10, 11
Leg Four: 1, 5, 6, 7, 8
$50 Investment= 4.16% of the dividend if successful.
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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