19/6/2021 Horse Racing Tips and Best Bets – Flemington, Creswick Stakes day

Nine races will be run and won at Flemington on Saturday, headlined by the Creswick Stakes (1200m). The weather is fine, the track is soft (7) and the rail is out eleven metres for the entire circuit.

Creswick Stakes 🏆: View the Field and Odds for the Creswick Stakes

WATCH LIVE RACING AT

tab

I like the look of 7 Somewatt Fabulous (Bet Now: $4.80 TOP ODDS). Not sure she beat a great deal on debut two weeks ago on the Parks track but to the eye, she was impressive and it wasn’t a total shock because she had jumped out super prior to that. Overall, don’t think this is a strong race, so keen to see if she can repeat the dose.

8 Secret Glamour (Bet Now: $3.30 TOP ODDS) looks to have her share of talent. Maher/Eustace trained filly that was kept pretty safe in betting when debuting at Cranbourne and though she had to take some riding, she was strong late in getting the job done. In the right camp and should love a rise to 1400m.

9 Forbidden City (Bet Now: $3.80 TOP ODDS) is a Peter Moody trained filly that was met with strong market support when resuming over 1200m at Geelong. Got a fair way back off the speed but worked to the line strongly late when second to Tonneofgrit. Gets Jamie Kah to steer. Just needs luck from the draw.

2 South Pacific (Bet Now: $2.80 TOP ODDS) has turned the corner since being gelded. He was a bludger early on in his career down under, but connections have gelded him and his couple of runs since then have been quite strong. In the right camp for this kind of race and does no work from the draw, plus Jamie Kah first time.

11 Smokin’ Pierro (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) is a Michelle Payne stayer that can run well here. Ran over 2500m at Flemington last time out in what was a strong race relative to what he faces here and battled on pretty well I thought when third to Grand Promenade. That form clearly reads well for this.

12 St Arnicca (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) is on the quick back up for Paul Preusker after bolting up last Friday over 2400m at Swan Hill. It was a moderate 64 and he beat nothing really, but he put them away in good style. Run prior in town was solid and overall, this isn’t a strong race.

It’s amazing what initiative can do. They rode 9 Modear (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) closer in the run at Flemington four weeks ago down the straight here and voila, the end result was a strong win. She doesn’t have to flop out the back and launch late. She can take up a position and still be effective. Hoping those tactics are repeated.

4 Hidden Legend (Bet Now: $7.50 TOP ODDS) has a good second up record and can bounce back here. Resumed at Caulfield three weeks ago and was far from disgraced in defeat I thought behind a handy one in The Gauch. The track was lightning quick that meeting, so forgiving that and a bit of juice here will be no disadvantage for him.

2 Hard Landing (Bet Now: $19.00 TOP ODDS) tends to save his best for the straight course so I’m giving him some level of respect. Resumed on the Parks track where he was part of a mad speed battle and rightfully faded out of the finish. Not sure I could back him to win, but one for wider exotics.

4 Witchfulthinking (Bet Now: $3.80 TOP ODDS) is racing very well this time in for Andrew Noblet. Strong winner two back during the Warrnambool Carnival before racing at this track/distance two weeks ago where she attempted to lead throughout and credit to her, she gave a very strong kick. Just couldn’t quite finish it off when beaten narrowly Snickerdoodledandy. She’ll lead and give a bold sight.

9 Poysed To Rain (Bet Now: $3.40 TOP ODDS) is a Team Jolly trained mare that was such a sharp winner fresh on the Parks track two weeks ago. Lobbed into a lovely spot off the speed before Toeroek eased her wider and she let down impressively, putting the race to bed in a few strides and she spanked them. Holds that form, she’s hard to beat.

7 Don’ttelltheboss (Bet Now: $8.50 TOP ODDS) has been up a little while for the Griffiths/De Kock camp. Hasn’t won in a little while but is bursting to win another race. Ran over this track/distance a fortnight back and I thought was given a peach by Hefel. There to win but couldn’t get there, having to settle for third. Should be around the mark again.

8 Degraves (Bet Now: $6.50) is the obvious yard and market watch. If he brings his Irish form and is fit, he just wins. But it’s a guessing game given he is a Team Williams runner that hasn’t raced since September last year but with his form littered with subsequent Group l form, can easily seeing him blowing this field away.

7 Betcha Flying (Bet Now: $9.50) should be suited up in trip for Chris Waller. This mare resumed over 1500m at Rosehill a few weeks ago and was a real eye catcher from the back in an excellent return behind Kirwan’s Lane. Good second up record and if she can sit closer in the run, she’ll take beating.

1 Galaxy Raider (Bet Now: $12.00) should appreciate a bit of cut in the ground, but hopefully not too much for his fans. He ran over 1400m here two weeks ago and worked to the line pretty well after getting a suck run behind the speed. Up in trip is ideal and he’ll be strong at the end.

2 Reuber (Bet Now: $4.80) is bursting to win a race in town. He’s very consistent. Just not winning. Froggy rode him a treat when racing here two weeks ago. Just no match late for Namakawa, who bolted up and was too good. He’s a very honest horse Reuber and should be around the mark again.

5 Sweet Karolina (Bet Now: $9.50) is racing well for the Corstens camp. She ran over this track/distance a fortnight back and while she was never really a winning threat given where she was in the run, she did make up ground and was good late behind Namakawa. If she can sit closer in the run, she’ll be dangerous.

12 Unique Artist (Bet Now: $15.00) is lightly raced with upside under the belt. Not sure he beat much last time out on the Synthetic at Pakenham, but he made a mess of them, winning by four lengths. Clearly a harder assignment this time around but upside and does no work from the draw.

It’s hard to get away from 1 Curran (Bet Now: $3.80). He’s an absolute beauty for the Tolson/Proctor camp. Lovely ride from Cartwright saw him win down the straight here two weeks ago, with his turn of foot really coming to the fore when asked to go. Run prior he ran second to Ayrton, so the form around him just reads so well.

3 Snickerdoodledandy (Bet Now: $5.00) looks hard to beat for Peter Moody. Strong winner over 1400m here two weeks back when beating the Mares, sustaining a strong run from off the speed to score under Jamie Kah, who remains on here, and drawn wide, I think she’ll be strong late.

11 Aidensfield (Bet Now: $8.00) is a very interesting. Hayes/Dabernig trained filly that resumes after a one run Autumn prep, which saw her finish somewhat down the track in the Kevin Hayes. Go back to the Spring and she was placed multiple times at Stakes level, so she has class when right.

With a bit of give in the track, I’m keen on 11 Rubisaki (Bet Now: $4.40). Looked the winner when presented when racing here two weeks ago. Just couldn’t sustain her sprint and Yulong January was just too tough and too good. The rain forecast will give her enough edge to get the job done.

13 Dice Roll (Bet Now: $2.50) is heading in the right direction for Nick Ryan. Landed decent bets when resuming with a win at Caulfield. Then went to Sandown when heavily backed and despite being one of the first off the bit, he kept finding when required and charged late to nab Yulong January. He can keep winning.

17 Viral (Bet Now: $12.00) can be an improver here. Market said he needed the run when resuming here a few weeks back and it was proven correct. He sat behind the speed and tried hard, but was just never really a threat. His best is good enough to figure, so give him another chance.

10 Muntaseera (Bet Now: $5.00) is suited back to 1000m and is hard to beat. Held up at Caulfield last time out yes, but I thought she was out in plenty of time to beat Sartorial Splendor, but that horse was just too good from the front. Clear air for Muntaseera, and sitting closer, in the run, she’ll take beating.

7 Bless Her (Bet Now: $9.50) was scratched from last Saturday at Sandown in preference for this. Resumed on a very firm deck at Caulfield three weeks ago and was quite good in defeat behind Sartorial Splendor after chasing the strong speed. She’ll come on from that and with a more forgiving track, she appeals.

6 I Am Someone (Bet Now: $13.00) looks to be going well for Matt Laurie. Resumed last Saturday at Sandown and against the track pattern, I thought he worked to the line pretty well behind Zipping Boy. Proven track/distance performer and has reacted positively on the back up previously.

BEST BET: Race Eight Number 11 Rubisaki

NEXT BEST: Race Seven Number 1 Curran

LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 8 Degraves

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 2, 5, 12

Leg Two: 1, 3

Leg Three: 8, 11, 13, 16, 17

Leg Four: 6, 7, 10, 12

$50 Investment = 31.25% of the dividend if successful

Bookmaker	Why Bet	Sign Up	Full Review
	Back Yourself with Ladbrokes!	Join	Review
	Back a Winner with Neds!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to swiftbet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review
	Sign up to Unibet and start betting in minutes!	Join	Review