An eight race program has been assembled for the Parks track at Morphettville on Saturday. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out five metres from the 1000m-Winning Post; Out three metres for the remainder.
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Race One (13:18) : James Boags Premium Plate 1000m:
Back Me: 13 Split Lip (Best Odds: $2.80) is a handy looking filly that resumes for the Will Clarken yard. She ran twice during the Summer, starting off at Gawler (Metro) when running third before coming here where she was no match for Roomooz. Trial win was very good, draws well and with the claim for Emily Finnegan, she has to go on top.
Big Danger: 9 Kharir (Best Odds: $7.50) is a well bred filly that debuts for the low flying Hayes/Dabernig team. We know the record thee stable has had with their babies this season and she has looked quite good at the Flemington jump outs. Keen to see what she does here.
Long Shot: 11 Plover Lover (Best Odds: $12.00) is another debutante here, this one for the Tony McEvoy stable. She has had two trials to prepare for her debut, the latest coming last week here when running fourth. I think she will be better with time, but it’s hard to ignore any two year old this stable saddles up.
Race Two (13:53) : Hughes Chauffeured Limousines Maiden Plate 1400m:
Back Me: The step up in trip should suit the Tony McEvoy trained 4 Megashot (Best Odds: $10.00). He was an odds on pop when resuming at Naracoorte over 1000m and he just found the trip too short, not showing the required dash to match it with those around him. Looks ideally placed up to 1400m and has enormous upside.
Big Danger: 7 Two Odd Sox (Best Odds: $2.25) is on the seven day back up for the Gordon Richards camp after racing in a 1300m maiden here last Saturday where he got back in the run and finished off with purpose but couldn’t quite reel in the well performed Smart Manoeuvre. He has run well on the back up previously, and he finds a very winnable race here.
Long Shot: 1 Gun Rooster (Best Odds: $41.00) was completely unwanted in betting when resuming at Strathalbyn last Wednesday but I thought he ran a beauty when third to With Gravy after getting a long way back in the run. That was his first run in 12 months, he could bounce off that here or have the second up syndrome.
Race Three (14:33) : Darley Goodwood May 20 Handicap (75) 1950m:
Back Me: Very poor race. I’m going for some value in the shape of 13 Just Ranger (Best Odds: $41.00). He has had three runs back from a break for the O’Leary camp, the latest coming over 2000m at Strathalbyn when getting back in the ruck and not really coming on behind Fantastic Magic. Does meet that horse 3.5kg better off here and you go back to last prep, wins over Materialized and Barge And Charge would be good enough to beat this lot.
Big Danger: 4 Celestial Story (Best Odds: $3.40) strung together a couple of impressive wins before racing over 1800m on the course proper a fortnight back where I thought he ran quite well behind the Team Freedman’s Stone Warrior. Clearly not much as depth here, and I think up to 1950m is ideal.
Long Shot: 1 Spanish Halo (Best Odds: $18.00) is a greybeard who could be a big improver here if he finds anything near his best form. He comes through the Stone Warrior race on the course proper where he got back to last in the run and couldn’t get involved in the race. He finds a very winnable race here and looks a great knockout hope at odds.
Race Four (15:13) : Schweppes Oaks Day May 6 Handicap (64) 1250m:
Back Me: 2 Cool Maverick (Best Odds: $6.50) is another on the quick back up after racing over 1300m here last Saturday where he was given a peach of a steer in the run and tried but had to settle for a close up second to Miss Identified. Finding it hard to win, but is knocking on the door and is a threat.
Big Danger: 5 First Channel (Best Odds: $3.70) is a filly who has been well placed by the Stokes camp after formerly being with Team Snowden. Two from two this time in, the latest coming at Balaklava where she showed tremendous fight in the straight when challenged. Toughest test to date here, but rates highly.
Long Shot: 10 Alertness (Best Odds: $19.00) rises significantly in depth but could bob up here at a price with the right run. She ran last Wednesday at Strathalbyn where she got a mile back in the run and finished off with real purpose behind See Me Rollin’. If they go hard in front here, this is the horse to look out for.
Race Five (15:54) : Holdfast Insurance Handicap (70) 1400m:
Back Me: 4 With A Bit Of Dash (Best Odds: $5.50) clearly on top for me here. This filly resumed on the course proper a fortnight back against the older horses where she was hard in the market and ran right up to that with a credible second to tearaway leader/winner Counter Pulse, who franked the form by winning on Monday. Has upside, 1400m suits and back to her own age is a big tick.
Big Danger: 9 Sweet Varden (Best Odds: $8.00) is a progressive filly for Tony McEvoy who is showing good promise. Resumed at Balaklava and did a really good to finish as close as she did when third to First Channel given she was well back in the run and the pace wasn’t hot. Good record on the Parks track and is well placed up to 1400m.
Long Shot: 1 Morvada (Best Odds: $8.50) is a quality three year old who should be improved by the rise in trip after resuming over 1050m a fortnight back and finding that far too short. Will be better over 1600m and beyond, but he has the class/quality factor.
Race Six (16:38) : UBET SA Derby Day May 13 Handicap (64) 1000m:
Back Me: Giving 6 Vintage Quartz (Best Odds: $3.60) another look here. Was keen on her when racing over 1250m here last time out and the punters stepped in, but she was a big flop. Led comfortably but didn’t find much in the straight when running fourth. Back to 1000m suits, hard fit and stable is flying.
Big Danger: 7 Cappadocia (Best Odds: $7.50) is a very interesting runner here. Quality filly that resumes for the Stokes yard. Was backed as if unbeatable over debut at this track/distance and won accordingly. Then went to Caulfield where she was outclassed before racing like a tired horse next time out and was spelled. Latest trial was okay and she does have class/quality about her.
Long Shot: 3 Tim’s Principal (Best Odds: $9.50) rises sharply in grade and depth but he has always shown enough promise to measure up to this grade. Comes through a Strathalbyn maiden last time out where he was crunched in betting and absolutely trotted in. Confident he can measure up here against this lot.
Race Seven (17:18) : Adelaide Galvanising Handicap (64) 1000m:
Back Me: 12 Arleigh (Best Odds: $2.45) has been given a four week let up since racing over 1050m on the course proper where she sat off the pace and couldn’t come on due to the slow tempo in front of her. She is much better than that, and I think the break between runs should do her the world of good.
Big Danger: 9 Captain Parker (Best Odds: $6.50) probably lacks the depth and class of some of these but there a couple of things that are in his favour. Fist up last time in he was six lengths off Viddora, a proven Stakes performer, and his trials leading up to this run have been quite sharp. Keen to see how he measures up.
Long Shot: 4 Super Rules (Best Odds: $9.00) appreciated the drop in depth when racing over 1000m at Murray Bridge last time out, sitting near the speed under Jake Toeroek and he found plenty when strongly challenged. Has run some good races on the Parks track previously and draws to get a sweet trip near the pace.
Race Eight (17:53) : MAC Drink Driving? GROW UP Handicap (64) 1400m:
Back Me: 5 Roselli Sting (Best Odds: $4.20) clearly and confidently on top for me here. She ran over 1200m on the course proper a fortnight back and did a really good job against the tempo when running third to Counter Pulse, who franked the form by winning on Monday. Not as much depth here, hard fit and in super form.
Big Danger: 2 Eclair Attack (Best Odds: $2.70) is on the seven day turnaround for the Stokes camp after racing over this track/distance last Saturday where I thought he ran really well but was just no match for the above average filly that is Peninsula Links. Hard fit now, looks ready and finds a good race to break into the winners list.
Long Shot: 12 Wicked Promise (Best Odds: $12.00) resumed over this track/distance on January 25 where she sat near the speed and fought on strongly behind Battle Hardened before going to the 1400m at Murray Bridge where she struggled at the trip. Then went to Balaklava where she got back in the run and finished off okay here. Hard fit now, and there looks to be good speed engaged here, so she’ll get her chance.
BEST BET: Race Seven Number 12 Arleigh
NEXT BEST: Race One Number 13 Split Lip
VALUE: Race Three Number 13 Just Ranger
Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):
Leg One: 2, 3, 4, 8
Leg Two: 3, 6, 7
Leg Three: 2, 4, 8, 9, 12, 13
Leg Four: 2, 3, 4, 5, 12
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