Nine races have been set down for Flemington on Saturday, highlighted by the Andrew Ramsden (2800m), with the winner getting ballot exemption for the Melbourne Cup. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out two metres for the entire circuit.
Andrew Ramsden Stakes 🏆: View the Field for the Andrew Ramsden Stakes
Race 1. (11:45) Vale Darby Mccarthy Oam (bm84) 1200m
Pretty thin Mares race and it evolves around what sort of ability does 10 Loolwah (Bet Now: $5.50 TOP ODDS) has. Former British mare that makes her Australian debut for the Danny O’Brien camp. Her form over there was at the mile, but looked pretty good in a Geelong jumpout and good lead that Olly, who looked to ride in the jumpout, is on for the resumption.
2 Gododdin (Bet Now: $4.20 TOP ODDS) is a James Cummings trained mare that ran over 1200m at Sandown a fortnight back and was given a 12/10 steer by Williams. Given every chance to win but couldn’t quite see out 1200m on that testing ground, getting bloused late by More Than Exceed. Back on firmer footing, she should be fine at 1200m.
6 O’So Hazy (Bet Now: $6.00 TOP ODDS) is a talented mare for Greg Eurell that resumes. Hasn’t raced since January 25 at Caulfield when a close up second to News Girl, who won last Saturday and is a Stakes class mare, so that form does read well for a race like this. Placed in lone run down the straight and recent jumpout was quite encouraging.
Race 2. (12:20) Aami Next Generation Sprint 1000m
3 Better Kick (Bet Now: $3.50 TOP ODDS) looks a beautiful mover for Steve Richards that is on debut and the fact they find Olly to ride first up is a good enough push for me. Son of Scissor Kick who has had two jumpouts this prep to prepare. Latest saw him sit wide on speed but under a really good hold and went on to win. He’ll take some beating here I think.
7 Chrome Angel (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS) is a daughter of Street Boss for the Ellerton/Zahra camp that was outclassed in The Showdown at Caulfield before going to the VOBIS Gold Strike during the Warrnambool and under a lovely patient steer from Jamie Kah, the filly was held up before getting a split and showing good change up speed to score. Think short course racing is her go and is a leading chance.
2 Ultimate Man (Bet Now: $41.00 TOP ODDS) is a son of Statue Of Liberty that resumes for the Shane Fliedner stable. He had two outings in the Autumn to start his career, the latest seeing him run second to Ballarat in a 2YO maiden won by Minhaaj, who of course went on to win at Flemington and was highly touted leading into the Slipper. Has had one Bendigo jumpout to prepare. I’d watch the betting and see what it does with him.
Race 3. (12:55) G.h.mumm Mile (bm78) 1600m
4 Merited (Bet Now: $16.00 TOP ODDS) is a daughter of Fastnet Rock for the Price/Kent team that won 2/2 in the Summer to start her prep, including a win over Florent. Resumed on a bog Sandown track two weeks ago and just forget she went around I think in the testing conditions behind La Chevalee. Back on top of the ground, up to 1600m, she deserves another chance.
Think back up to 1600m should suit the Tony Noonan filly 1 Florent (Bet Now: $15.00 TOP ODDS). Impressive winner at big odds two back in the VOBIS Guineas at Caulfield before going to Sandown when coming back to 1400m and tried hard but couldn’t hold out the finale of La Chevalee. Like her back up to the mile and firmer footing is a big tick.
Think the Price/Kent filly 13 Sandsation (Bet Now: $15.00 TOP ODDS) is a sneaky chance here at odds. Was quite good here two back over 1400m when fourth to Oasis Girl before remaining at that trip at Geelong and was close up when third to Let’s Get Tempted, beaten just under a length. She doesn’t really have a turn of foot, so hopefully it’s a genuine tempo.
Race 4. (13:30) Kennedy Mile (bm78) 1600m
Found this race to be a complete dart board job. With the claim, going each way with 10 Diplomatic Measure (Bet Now: $9.00 TOP ODDS), who comes over from Adelaide for the McEvoy camp in a real purple patch. Loved the way he knuckled down to win two back over 1400m before coming back to 1300m two weeks ago and surging hard late to just miss. Like him back up in trip, rolls forward and should take some running down.
9 Sikorsky (Bet Now: $3.70 TOP ODDS) looks hard to beat. Son of Pierro for the Hayes/Dabernig team that has had two runs back from a long break. Definite pass mark first up at Bendigo behind Beautiful Flyer before going to 1400m at Caulfield, only up 100m in trip, but loved the way he found the line in a fast run race won by Jumbo Ozaki. He should be near peak fitness and clearly is one of the hardest to beat.
5 Salorsci (Bet Now: $11.00 TOP ODDS) could be a sneaky chance here at odds. Was keen on him last start at Warrnambool and he duly saluted. Thought the win had plenty of merit given he sat on what was a good speed and was entitled to drop away, but he kept finding and the line was drawing clear of his rivals. Unknown at 1600m, but off last start, he should be fine.
Race 5. (14:10) Furphy Dash 1000m
Just going to give 2 Eduardo (Bet Now: $7.00) one look and if he can’t perform here, it’s a pen job for life. He just hasn’t been the same horse since the Oakleigh Plate last year, where he was one of the runs of the year in defeat given the amount of work he did. Hasn’t done anything since, but he jumped out last week at Cranbourne and it’s the best he has looked since the Oakleigh Plate, so I’ll take a chance on him.
1 Malibu Style (Bet Now: $7.50) is an absolute beauty for Neville Parnham that comes through the Prezado race from three weeks back here when off the speed and chasing hard throughout in the straight, finishing third. Has since had a jumpout at Geelong and looked pretty good there. Always has to be respected in these kind of races.
3 Milwaukee (Bet Now: $15.00) loves the straight course so he has to be respected here. Ran here three weeks ago when near the speed throughout and battled away pretty well I thought when fourth to Prezado, beaten under three lengths. To me, ridden a touch colder with good cover, I think he’ll be far more effective, so if that eventuates, he’ll take some beating.
Race 6. (14:50) The Andrew Ramsden 2800m
To me, this is all about 2 King Of Leogrance (Bet Now: $2.35). If he’s somewhere near his best, he wins and stamps himself as a leading Melbourne Cup contender. I immediately said he was my early pick for the Cup (provided the internationals can’t come over) after what he did to them in the Adelaide Cup. It was one of the more arrogant 3200m race wins I’ve seen in some time and under this weights scale, he does look very well in.
I had penned 12 Oceanex (Bet Now: $5.50) after her run in the JRA Plate when given every chance and failing to come on, but credit to the stable, they have got her back in winning form and a live chance here if the fav is off his game. She ran over 2500m at Morphettville last time out in what was a fast run race and she simply outstayed them, so 2800m here no issue, draws to do no work. I think the fav is a good thing, but if he doesn’t fire, this is the pony that wins.
3 Skelm (Bet Now: $27.00) has been up forever it seems but gee Terry Kelly has this bloke going well. Ran third in the Stawell Cup two back before going to the 2600m here and was really good in a fast run race won by Haky. Off that, he should be fine at 2800m and seems to be holding his form despite being up a long time.
Race 7. (15:30) Lexus Trophy 2000m
4 Rupture (Bet Now: $2.10) is flying for Paul Preusker. Impressive winner of the Warracknabeal Cup two back before over the mile before stepping up to 1700m here when leading throughout, and yes, he got a cheap lead, but still had to take advantage of it, and did it in spades. 2000m is perfect for him and just looks the reliable/safe option.
5 Super Titus (Bet Now: $15.00) is bursting to win a race for the Hayes/Dabernig team. He was back near last in the Rupture race from three weeks back here over 1700m and his late splits were outstanding in a slowly run race to finish fourth to the Preusker runner. His 2000m+ form from overseas just reads so well and first time since coming to Australia he has been placed right in a 2000m+ race.
13 Chapada (Bet Now: $10.00) is a must include here. Michael Moroney trains this stayer, who has only won the one race, but has contested some strong races right throughout his career. He was a real eye catcher over 1700m last time out at Flemington, working home strongly off a moderate speed when fifth to Rupture. He’ll eat up 2000m and has more upside than most.
Race 8. (16:10) Seppelt Wines Hcp 1400m
Really keen here on the Saab Hassan galloper 11 Sirius Suspect (Bet Now: $7.00). Excellent in defeat two back at Flemington when second to Wild Planet before being freshened up and contesting the VOBIS Sprint where they opted for a sit behind Pippie and battled away to run fifth, but I think this horse and his record suggests that out of trouble on speed is his go, so he gets that and should prove very hard to run down, especially off a recent jumpout win at Flemington.
I think the A1 trip for 2 Iconoclasm (Bet Now: $5.00) is 1400m so like that he has fresh legs leading into this race. Was very good two back in the Golden Mile at Bendigo when second to Hellova Street before going to the VOBIS Mile at Caulfield where he had every chance when third to So Si Bon, but that bloke is flying at the moment. Saves his best for 1400m and looks hard to beat.
I think back on firmer footing is a big tick for the Nick Ryan trained 9 Sircconi (Bet Now: $16.00). Comes through the Buffalo River race from two weeks ago at Sandown where he had the drop on the two leaders and looked a key threat, but as soon as Callow asked for an effort, the wheels were spinning. Back on a firmer deck, think he’s worth a look at odds.
Race 9. (16:45) Tab Trophy 1400m
3 Beehunter (Bet Now: $4.40) is bursting to win a race and I think he gets a golden chance here. Was very good from the back at Caulfield over the mile in the VOBIS Guineas behind Florent, who has won again since. Beehunter then backed up a week later at Flemington and was held up at a vital stage when beaten a lip by Kuramae. Back up to 1600m I do like. Just needs to show more early interest.
Nick Harnett is doing a super job with 1 Final Man (Bet Now: $4.60). Heavily backed two weeks ago at Sandown and really, the ride was a big reason why the horse won. Olly seized the initiative to take up the running and from around the 600m onwards, it was race over. Can he do it on top of the ground? He’ll go close, but clearly wet tracks are when he comes into his own.
Considering he’s $20+, I think each way, you could save with 6 Stand To Attention (Bet Now: $15.00). Was really keen on him at Warrnambool last time but he had no hope the way the race was run. He was back near last in a race where those in front ran the first 800m in around 50 seconds, which is barrier trial speed. Did a great job to finish off and get as close as he did. Doubt they’ll walk here, home track, 1600m…the set up is there for him to run a beauty.
Best Bets & Quaddie Tips
BEST BET: Race Six Number 2 King Of Leogrance
NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 3 Better Kick
LONG SHOT: Race Five Number 2 Eduardo
Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):
Leg One: 2
Leg Two: 1, 4, 5, 13, 15
Leg Three: 1, 2, 9, 11
Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 6
$50 Investment = 62.50% of the dividend if successful
All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.
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