Victorian racing continues at Caulfield this Saturday where it is Easter Cup Day, but more importantly, it will be the final meeting Greg Miles will broadcast, a career which spans 36 Melbourne Cups. The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out four metres for the entire circuit.
Race One (11:50) : Jack Elliot Handicap (84) 1600m:
Back Me: 5 Ma Jones (Bet Now: $3.90) had been a bit of a tease in several runs this time in but it was good to see her finally put the win on the board last time out at Tatura where she was given a peach by Yendall and once he presented her with clear air, she put the race away quickly and won with a touch of arrogance. Now her confidence is up, she can go right on with it.
Big Danger: 2 Catch A Fire (Bet Now: $8.00) is a nightmare to trust, but on her day, she is pretty much just better than these, so I’ll be very interested to see what she does here. Comes through the Gold Bracelet at Bendigo where the tempo was against her and she couldn’t really quicken. Blinkers off, winkers on and up to the mile aids her cause.
Long Shot: 6 Stella Etoille (Bet Now: $10.00) is the very interesting runner here. This mare from Tassie is an absolute ripper for the Bill Ryan yard. She has won her past two starts, starting off over the Hobart mile before coming back to 1400m at Launceston and proving too good. Trial to tune up was good and she gets Froggy steering.
Race Two (20:20) : Bill Collins Handicap 1100m:
Back Me: 5 Many Rewards (Bet Now: $3.60) on top for me. This gelding debuts for the Cindy Alderson yard and looks the one to beat off the back of an outstanding trial win at Cranbourne where he did it very easily, winning by three lengths and running sub 46 for the 800m. Looks very promising and should take some beating.
Big Danger: 8 Redcore (Bet Now: $6.50) is probably the best of the raced brigade. Three career outings for Greg Eurell with his best coming first up this time in when running third at Sandown behind Eshtiraak before finishing down the track behind that horse next time out. Looked to jump out well at Cranbourne recently and at his best, he’s right in this.
Long Shot: 1 Al Passem (Bet Now: $11.00) had some late market support when debuting at Wangaratta a couple of Fridays back and he showed a bit of ticker to get the job done first up because he was under pressure before the turn and there were horses strongly challenging, but he just kept finding and ended up holding them off. Good sign that is for a two year old at start one. Think he can measure up.
Race Three (12:55) : Bert Bryant Handicap (78) 1100m:
Back Me: 16 Miss Vista (Bet Now: $4.60) is a talented mare that is first up here for the Osborne camp. Three from four throughout her career, the latest coming under the lights at the Valley in October. Been given a really good break since then and has had numerous jump outs as well as the Albury and Cranbourne trials to prepare. She’s ready to go and if allowed to roll along, she’ll take some beating.
Big Danger: 5 Chase The Horizon (Bet Now: $6.00) is an enigmatic but talented sprinter that is first up here for the Henry Dwyer camp. He can be quite hit and miss at times given his racing pattern of getting back, but if the breaks do go his way, we know he’s very good. Has looked good at the jump outs and does sprint well fresh.
Long Shot: Though aided somewhat by the bias, there was a bit to like about the win of 13 Sir Mask (Bet Now: $19.00) at Mornington last time out. He sat on speed most of the way and was under pressure before the turn but he kept finding under Baster to surge hard late and win. Draws to get a lovely run and gets the 3kg claim for Martin.
Race Four (13:30) : Spicer Thoroughbreds Handicap 1400m:
Back Me: 2 Another Coldie (Bet Now: $4.40) is a three year old colt for Darren Weir who is just in a real purple patch at the moment, winning three of his last four, the last two wins coming on the Parks track at Morphettville. The latest of those wins came a fortnight back where he was confidently backed late and despite a few hairy moments in the straight, he surged hard late to win. Once these Weir runners get on a winning run, they really go on with it. He can continue that trend despite the rise in depth.
Big Danger: 9 Waterloo Sunset (Bet Now: $5.50) should be close to peak fitness now after two runs back from a spell. The latest came in the Bendigo Guineas where she tried to make ground in a slowly run race but just batted away to run fifth. Draws to sit much closer in the run and D Dunn takes the ride which is noteworthy.
Long Shot: 4 Theodolite (Bet Now: $21.00) is a handy gelding that has been taking on the older horses in recent times and been performing quite well without winning. That was until last start at Bendigo where he led all the way, aided by a peach from Linda Meech, who remains on. Looks the leader and will get the lead comfortably to my eye.
Race Five (14:05) : Geoff Murphy Handicap 1100m:
Back Me: 3 Merriest (Bet Now: $6.50) is a talented filly for Danny O’Brien that resumed down the straight at Flemington and she just looked in need of the run when finishing midfield behind Hear The Chant. Has since trialled at Cranbourne and looks back on track to finding her best form after a lovely effort behind the speedy Miss Vista. Did win a Stakes race second up last prep, so we know the quality is there.
Big Danger: 16 Artemis Rose (Bet Now: $3.90) is a smart looking type for the Hawkes camp. Resumed at Hawkesbury where she started prohibitive odds and lived up to that expectation with a dominant win. State switch has always been successful with the stable and she does have upside/fresh legs.
Long Shot: 5 Moonlites Choice (Bet Now: $21.00) is a smart filly that resumes for Darren Weir. Created quite the impression in her first two runs during the Spring with a couple of electric wins. Then went to the Twilight Glow and was far from disgraced behind Prompt Response before racing like a tired horse at the Valley. Draws a horror gate, but she will get cover and hopefully a drag into the event so she can show off that turn of foot.
Race Six (14:45) : Robert Tarranto Handicap 2400m:
Back Me: 3 Hans Holbein (Bet Now: $1.85) looks the clear horse to beat here for Team Williams. Ran over this trip at Bendigo a fortnight back where he appreciated a fast tempo and once Rawiller gave him clear air from the 700m onwards, it was painless if you were on and he gave them a nice licking. Has been teasing to do that, and now that he has got the job done, he can go right on with it.
Big Danger: 1 Boom Time (Bet Now: $6.00) is the clear class runner and with the claim for Beau Mertens, he gets in quite well at the weights to my eye. He ran fifth in the Mornington Cup and did a really good job there I thought because the tempo/bias was against him and he just doesn’t have that turn of foot. This looks more his go and he’ll be in it for a long way.
Long Shot: 7 Lucques (Bet Now: $19.00) ran over 2000m at Mornington three back and I thought he was much better when third to Snitzelwood where he sat just off the pace and tried hard but the rock hard surface and bias probably didn’t suit him. Fourth up now, so he should just about be ready fitness wise and he does classy form from the Spring next to his name.
Race Seven (15:25) : M & D Dillon Constructions Handicap (90) 1200m:
Back Me: 11 Miss Gunpowder (Bet Now: $4.00) is a very good mare that was formerly with Phillip Stokes but is now with the Hayes/Dabernig team. On her day, she is blacktype quality, but she didn’t really show that in three runs last time in before being sent to the new stable. Jump outs have been very good and if she brings her best here, she’ll take a stack of beating.
Big Danger: 12 Lake Como (Bet Now: $4.60) was down to run in a mares race last Saturday but will run here against the boys. Hard to ignore what she did fresh down the straight at Flemington. She absolutely spanked them and there were runners with Group form in that event, and she made them look ordinary. Can she repeat the dose? Time will tell, but I’ll take the gamble.
Long Shot: 16 Boomwaa (Bet Now: $11.00) isn’t the most reliable horse going around but he does map quite well here so I will include him. Has had four runs this time in, the latest coming down the straight at Flemington when finishing down the track behind Rich Charm. He is much better than that and better around a bend. Looks the leader and has run well at Caulfield previously.
Race Eight (16:05) : Mypunter Victoria Handicap 1400m:
Back Me: 7 Hellova Street (Bet Now: $3.00) is a ripper for the Brunton camp. Has the mantle as the number one horse in Tassie right now and hard to argue with that given he dominated their Carnival before going to the 1400m at Flemington last time out and showing great courage to lead all the way and win despite copping mid race pressure. Has run well at Caulfield before, maps well and should take some beating.
Big Danger: 2 Articus (Bet Now: $12.00) is the most interesting runner across Australia this weekend. Former German star that is having his first run for Darren Weir after just his Caulfield Cup run where he finished down the track behind Jameka. Creates plenty of intrigue, and if he is anywhere near right, he will take some holding out.
Long Shot: 10 Master Reset (Bet Now: $17.00) has been given a near six week freshen up since winning the Cranbourne Cup (1600m) where he was given an absolute peach of a steer from Luke Currie and toughed it out strongly. He seems to race best when produced fresh and he has residual fitness. Hard to beat at the 1400m here with not much on speed pressure.
Race Nine (16:45) : Le Pines Funerals Easter Cup 2000m:
Back Me: 12 Second Bullet (Bet Now: $5.00) for me here. Hasn’t raced for six weeks since racing in the Lord Reims (2600m) at Morphettville where he battled away strongly behind Master Of Arts where he was on trial for the Adelaide Cup. Stable pulled the pin there and freshened up. Trialled well at Cranbourne and if he shows anything of his first up performance, he’ll just about take care of these.
Big Danger: 10 Goldstream (Bet Now: $9.50) was a drifter in the market when contesting the Albury Cup (2000m) last start and he may have just bogged down on the heavy track when finishing down the track behind the talented Green Sweet. He is a dry tracker, so the weather will be vital to his chances, but on his previous form, he’s right up to these.
Long Shot: I was really keen on 11 High Church (Bet Now: $11.00) in the Yarra Valley Cup last time out but gee he was a big flop as a short priced elect behind Hard Call. I’ll put that down to racing flat second up off a brilliant fresh effort in the Cranbourne Cup. Be very wary of the third up bounce back, especially for the Weir yard.
Race Ten (17:20) : Bravo Greg Miles 1600m:
Back Me: 3 French Emotion (Bet Now: $3.90) comes through the Sunline Stakes (1600m) at the Valley where I thought she did a really good job in defeat behind star filly I Am A Star because that girl walked them in front and was given the race on a platter, but French Emotion didn’t turn it up at all. The key to her is dry tracks and she gets it here. Hard to beat.
Long Shot: 2 Hazzabeel (Bet Now: $12.00) is the big improver here at odds. He worked home with purpose against the tempo fresh in the Apache Cat at Cranbourne before going to the 1400m at Flemington where he was caught wide no cover on a genuine tempo and faded out of the finish late. Suited up to 1800m and being third up, he should just about be cherry ripe fitness wise.
Big Danger: 1 Great Esteem (Bet Now: $9.00) comes through the CS Hayes on Adelaide Cup Day where he attempted to lead all the way and he gave a really good kick but was nabbed late by Burning Front, who ran bravely in defeat last Saturday in the Golden Mile at Bendigo. Gets map favours here once again and with a cheap sectional, he will be in it for a long way for sure.
BEST BET: Race Eight Number 7 Hellova Street
NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 3 Hans Holbein
VALUE: Race Five Number 3 Merriest
Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):
Leg One: 3, 7, 8, 11, 12, 16
Leg Two: 1, 2, 3, 4, 7, 10
Leg Three: 3, 5, 7, 10, 11, 12
Leg Four: 1, 2, 3, 16
$50 Investment= 41.66% of the dividend if successful
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